HAMILTON (10 - 9) at CALGARY (16 - 3) - 11/30/2014, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
CALGARY is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
CALGARY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf this season.
CALGARY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON vs. CALGARY
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Hamilton's last 10 games
Calgary is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
StatFox Super Situations
HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) off a home win over a division rival, with a winning record on the season 36-9 since 1997. ( 80.0% | 26.1 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season 36-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.9% | 0.0 units ) 6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )
HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season 39-13 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.0% | 24.7 units ) 7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 3.7 units )
Grey Cup Preview
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com
CFL Grey Cup Championship Betting Preview It took a long and grueling 20 weeks of the regular season and two rounds of playoff games, but the stage has finally been set for this Sunday’s Grey Cup Championship between the East Champion Hamilton Tiger-Cats and the West’s Calgary Stampeders.
The Tiger-Cats punched their ticket to a second-straight appearance in the CFL title game with Sunday’s 40-24 romp over Montreal as three-point home favorites. The total in that game easily went OVER the 46 ½-point closing line. Calgary clinched the West Division title and a trip to British Columbia for Sunday’s title game by running all over Edmonton 43-18 as a 6.5-point home favorite in the second half of this past Sunday’s CFL Division Finals double-header. The total in that contest went OVER as well with a closing line of 48½.
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (10-9 SU, 10-9 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (16-3 SU, 13-5-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -8
Total: 52
Game Overview
Any bettor that had the guts to stick with the Tiger-Cats after a 2-7 straight-up start in the first half of the season that yielded a 3-6 record against the spread was rewarded down the stretch with a 6-2 record both SU and ATS in their last eight games. They had to get past a surging Montreal team twice to get to this point with a Week 20 victory SU and ATS that clinched the East Division regular season title and a win last Sunday that clinched a spot in the 2014 Grey Cup.
Hamilton owes much of its current success to the vastly improved play of quarterback Zach Collaros. He had his issues taking care of the ball at times with 15 touchdown throws verse nine interceptions, but was able to come up big when his team needed it the most. This past Sunday against the Alouettes, he went a very efficient 18-for-27 for 199 yards while adding a key 19 yards on the ground on three carries. Hamilton’s leading receiver this season has been Luke Tasker with 72 catches for 937 yards and five touchdowns and Collaros was actually the team’s second leading rusher with 328 yards on 57 attempts.
Calgary got out of the gates quickly this season with a 4-0 SU start (3-1 ATS) and it never looked back with 12 more SU victories in its next 15 games. The Stampeders were clearly the class of the CFL this season behind an offense that averaged a league-high 28.4 points a game complementing a defense that held opposing teams to just 19.3 points. Even in the Stampeders’ three losses this season they were in a position to two of those games. The combined spread in the final score of those three setbacks was just 22 points with 16 of them coming in a late September loss to Montreal.
The two biggest playmakers on this team have been quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell and running back Jon Cornish. Mitchell ended the regular season ranked fifth in the CFL in total passing yards (3,389), but more importantly, he completed 63.3 percent of his 417 attempts while tossing 22 touchdowns against eight interceptions. Cornish has established himself as one of the top backs in the CFL and this season was no exception with a league-high 1,082 yards and five scores on 139 carries.
Betting Trends
The Tiger-Cats have covered ATS in their last four games following a SU win and the total has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 postseason games.
The Stampeders are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a SU winning record, but just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. The total has gone OVER in five of their last six games in the playoffs.
Head-to-head in this matchup, Calgary has won the last six games SU including both meetings this season by a combined 13 points. Hamilton has a slight 3-2 edge ATS in the last five games and the total has stayed UNDER in the last four games between the two.
CFL Grey Cup
This year's Grey Cup features losers of last two Grey Cups; Calgary won its last title in Montreal six years ago; Hamilton's last title was 15 years ago, when they beat Stampeders here in Vancouver. Calgary won last six meetings and 10 of last 11, winning 10-7 (-9) in Week 4, then 30-20 (-3) in Week 8, at which point TiCats were 1-6 and looking dead. Both those games stayed under total. Calgary has been best team in league all season, winning 11 of last 13 games- they won only appearance on this field three weeks ago. Stampeders are 5-1-1 vs spread in last seven games. Hamilton lost 36-29 here back in Week 7, but TiCats won eight of last ten games, covering last three tries when a dog.
Armadillosports.com
Grey Cup Betting Preview: Tiger-Cats vs. Stampeders
By Covers.com
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Calgary Stampeders (-9, 52.5)
The Calgary Stampeders and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats meet at BC Place Stadium on Sunday to determine the 102nd Grey Cup champion. Calgary is looking for its first title since 2008 after tying a franchise record with 15 regular-season victories. The Stampeders had no trouble defeating the Edmonton Eskimos in the West Division final and were 8-1 on the road during the season.
Hamilton scored 40 points in its East Division final victory over the Montreal Alouettes - more than it scored in any of its regular-season games. The Tiger-Cats won most of their games at their new home stadium and struggled to win on the road, going 2-7. Hamilton is making its second consecutive Grey Cup appearance and looking for its first title since 1999.
LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Stampeders at -8 or -8.5 and it's currently anywhere from -7.5 to -9. The total is presently 52.5.
INJURY REPORT: Tiger-Cats - WR Andy Fantuz (Questionable, undisclosed). Stampeders - DL DeQuin Evans (Out, calf).
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Hamilton would seem to have the motivational edge after getting blown out in last year's Grey Cup but I'm not sure this matchup suits them any better, and motivational factors can pretty much be thrown out the window as it is the Grey Cup after all. The Stampeders will be just as hungry and they should be able to impose their will by the time the second half rolls around. Reasonable value with Calgary at the current number in my opinion." Covers Expert Sean Murphy.
ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (10-9): Brandon Banks returned two punts for touchdowns in the East final, while running back Nic Grigsby also scored a pair of touchdowns. Quarterback Zach Collaros leans on Luke Tasker as his main receiving option, but Andy Fantuz could be a wild card for Hamilton’s offence after missing much of the season due to injuries. Delvin Breaux caught an interception in the East final and will likely receive the toughest coverage assignments against Calgary.
ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (16-3): Jon Cornish recorded 174 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns in the West final and should see a lot of snaps against Hamilton. Bo Levi Mitchell threw another four touchdown passes last week despite being sacked three times and also added a rushing score. Defensive lineman Charleston Hughes has been dealing with a foot injury but played against Edmonton, bolstering Calgary’s fearsome pass rush.
TRENDS:
* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Stampeders last six games overall.
COVERS CONSENSUS: According to Covers Consensus, 57 percent of wagers are backing the Stampeders.