Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 5/4/20
Monday's Best Bet: Irish Spirit can win for new outfit at Will Rogers
By Jarrod Horak May 4, 2020
Monday’s 9th race from Will Rogers Downs is a $20,900 entry level allowance event for 3-year-olds and up traveling one mile on the main track (Post Time 6:15 p.m. ET).
#3 IRISH SPIRIT (4-1) is now under the care of Robertino Diodoro, and Ty Kennedy wins races with this outfit. The Southern California transplant figures to save ground stalking the pace, and the lightly raced gelding still has upside.
#7 March West (8-1) improved his ratings in all three lifetime starts. I like his early-pressing versatility.
#8 Momma’s Baby Boy (3-1) graduated in his final 2018 start, and missed all of 2019. He resurfaced this year in the Scott Young barn and was second best in his last pair.
#4 Potomac (5-2) never got involved as the favorite in his last two outings at Oaklawn Park. He was once good enough to win a race like this, but I do not trust him in his current form.
#2 Newport Beach (12-1) is the upsetter. He has speed and returns to dirt, and is 2-for-3 at one mile.
Wagers:
#3 to win
Exacta 3-7/3-7-8
Trifecta 2-3-4-7/8/2-3-4-7
Trifecta 2-4-8/2-4-8/3-7
Recent Best Bet Winners
April 20 - SHE'S ALL WOLFE ($2.80), Trifecta ($89.00)
April 21 - CANEY'S GHOST ($5.80), Quinella ($9.00), Trifecta ($14.10)
April 23 - LUNA FORTIS ($25.40)
April 24 - Artemus Eagle/River Finn Exacta ($77.20)
April 25 - Sneaking Out/Bye Bye J/Ready to Runaway Trifecta ($20.05)
April 29 - Eaton's Memory/Matapan Exacta ($8.60)
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fonner Park
Fonner Park - Race 2
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) .50 Pick 4 (Races 2-5)
Claiming $3,500 • 4 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $4,400 • Post: 4:27P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500. RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $2,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * HOLIDAY CLOVER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in a verage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FRIGIDISH: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. TAYLOR'S BEAUTY: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
6
HOLIDAY CLOVER
5/2
9/2
5
FRIGIDISH
10/1
5/1
4
TAYLOR'S BEAUTY
3/1
6/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
6
HOLIDAY CLOVER
6
5/2
Front-runner
75
63
73.8
63.4
58.9
1
TEMPLE CITY DARLIN
1
8/1
Front-runner
64
61
73.4
38.2
25.7
5
FRIGIDISH
5
10/1
Front-runner
76
76
70.5
64.4
58.4
4
TAYLOR'S BEAUTY
4
3/1
Front-runner
70
65
62.8
57.4
51.9
2
PEARL OFTHE HARBOR
2
6/1
Alternator/Stalker
63
64
56.0
57.8
45.8
3
JAFMIL'S INFERNO
3
7/2
Alternator/Stalker
74
60
29.3
51.0
46.0
7
MISS ELLIE'S GIRL
7
6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
70
68
16.6
45.0
35.5
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