MNF Betting News and Notes 10/15

NFL Week 6

Broncos (2-3) @ Chargers (3-2) — Network TV’s fascination with Peyton Manning has Denver playing schedule frontloaded with tough games; they’ve lost three of last four games, but three losses came to teams ranked in top four in league. Winner of this game and rematch in five week goes long way towards taking AFC West title. Broncos lost 27-21 in Atlanta, 31-21 in Foxboro, but you get feeling Manning is feeling more comfortable with receivers. San Diego won nine of last 12 series games and four of last five, with last three decided by 5 or less points, but Denver won two of last three visits here. Chargers got hosed by officials in Superdome Sunday night; they’ve turned ball over six times in two losses (-4), twice in three wins (+6)- they were 7-24 on 3rd down last two games, after going 20-41 in first three. Divisional home favorites are 6-6 vs spread so far this season.

Armadillosports.com

Monday Night Football: Broncos at Chargers
By Covers.com

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (+1, 48.5)

It is only Week 6 in the NFL, but Monday night's game between the Denver Broncos and host San Diego Chargers should go a long way in determining the AFC West winner.

With Oakland and Kansas City not expected to contend for the division title, San Diego has the opportunity to take a two-game lead on Denver, the defending AFC West champion and only other legitimate threat. The Chargers are 9-3 against the Broncos since quarterback Philip Rivers took the reins in 2007, while Denver quarterback Peyton Manning is 4-5 all-time against San Diego and has lost five of the last six meetings.

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for clear skies and temperatures in the mid 70s. Winds are expected to blow west at 3 mph.

LINE: Oddsmakers opened the Chargers as 1-point home favorites but money flipped the spread, setting the Bolts as slight home dogs. The total has been bet down from 50 to 48.5 points.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (2-3, 2-3 ATS): Denver couldn't handle Tom Brady and the Patriots' hurry-up offense and lost at New England 31-21 last week. The Patriots recorded a team-record 35 first downs and kept the Broncos' defense on the field for 35:49, a trend which must be reversed if Denver expects to win. Another issue is wide receiver Demaryius Thomas, who made nine receptions for a career-high 180 yards against the Patriots, but lost a fumble for the third straight week.

Manning faces San Diego for the first time in a Denver uniform. He has performed admirably as a Bronco - except for the first quarter in Atlanta when he threw three interceptions - while appearing 100 percent healthy following neck surgeries which forced him to miss the entire 2011 season. Denver will face the NFL's No. 5 rushing defense, and needs Willis McGahee to repeat his 117-yard rushing performance in last season's win.

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (3-2, 3-2 ATS): San Diego led 24-14 last week before previously winless New Orleans scored the game's final 17 points to deny the Chargers a second consecutive 4-1 start. Rivers has been sacked 14 times, tied for sixth-most in the NFL, and faces two of the league's top pass rushers in Denver's Von Miller (five sacks) and Elvis Dumervil (three).

Running back Ryan Mathews is expected to regain his starting spot Monday despite not being on the field during the Chargers' final drive against the Saints. He had 80 yards rushing and 59 receiving against New Orleans. Mathews, who has shared time in the backfield with Jackie Battle and Ronnie Brown, must hang onto the ball: He has 10 fumbles (five lost) in 29 career games. The Broncos' minus-6 turnover differential could play right into the hands of an opportunistic Chargers' defense which has six interceptions and recovered four fumbles.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
* Broncos are 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
* Road team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. McGahee is the only RB to rush for more than 100 yards against the Chargers in their last 12 games.

2. Mathews has rushed for more than 100 yards in his three games against Denver (127.3 average) with three touchdowns.

3. Denver snapped a four-game losing streak to San Diego with a 16-13 victory in overtime in the second meeting last season. This will be the fourth encounter on Monday Night Football since 2007 - the Chargers won the last meeting 35-10 in 2010.

MNF - Broncos at Chargers
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The AFC West is up for grabs this season, just like it has been for the past several years as the Chargers and Broncos wrap up the Week 6 card. Denver won this division last season with an 8-8 record, but with a former MVP at the helm this season, the Broncos look to reach the .500 mark with a victory while San Diego searches for consistency.

Peyton Manning hasn't thrown an interception in the last three contests, as Denver finally faces a team that is not a part of the NFL's elite. The Texans, Falcons, and Patriots each beat the Broncos through the first five weeks of the season, but Denver owns home victories over Pittsburgh and Oakland. The task for Manning and the Broncos this week is to not only win on the highway, but improve on a 2-3 ATS mark.

The latest loss for Denver came at New England, where the Broncos were eliminated from the playoffs in January in blowout fashion. This time around felt like the same old story with Manning under center instead of Tim Tebow, as Denver trailed, 31-7 with five minutes remaining in the third quarter. However, Manning rallied the Broncos back with a pair of touchdown passes, while even getting Denver in position to cover as 6½-point underdogs, but a Willis McGahee fumble in the red zone ending all hopes of the Broncos cashing as they fell, 31-21.

The Chargers return to Southern California after getting tripped up at previously winless New Orleans, 31-24 as 3½-point underdogs. San Diego led by 10 points in the third quarter, but former Charger Drew Brees burned his former team with four touchdown passes, including a pair to Marques Colston in the second half to finally give the Saints a win after four defeats. Philip Rivers finally busted the 300-yard barrier for the first time this season (354), while the Chargers have cashed the 'over' in three of the last four contests.

Norv Turner's club has split a pair of home games this season against the Titans and Falcons. Luckily for San Diego, the Chargers are a perfect 3-0 inside conference play, while winning each of their first two division contests against Oakland and Kansas City. In all three victories, the Lightning Bolts have allowed less than 20 points a game, as the Raiders, Titans, and Chiefs have combined for just four victories in the first six weeks of the season.

The road team grabbed each meeting last season, but both games were decided by a total of eight points. San Diego went into Denver in September and picked up a front-door cover with a late Nick Novak field goal in a 29-24 victory as 3½-point favorites. Both starting running backs shined as McGahee and Ryan Mathews each logged 125 yards on the ground, but San Diego picked up its third consecutive win at Sports Authority Field.

The Tebow magic came out in the next matchup in San Diego one month later, as the Broncos erased a 10-0 deficit to force overtime and eventually beat the Chargers, 16-13 as 4½-point 'dogs. Matt Prater tied the game with a field goal late in regulation, then won it with another three-pointer in the final minute of overtime. McGahee (117) and Mathews (137) each ran wild again, as the Broncos captured their second victory in three tries in Southern California.

Dating back to his days with the Colts, Manning has lost five of his previous six games to the Chargers since 2005. The lone victory (both SU and ATS) came in San Diego back in 2008, a 23-20 triumph as three-point underdogs. Two of those defeats came in the postseason, including an overtime setback in the Wild Card round of the 2009 playoffs, 23-17.

The last time the Chargers played at home on a Monday night came against these Broncos in 2010, as San Diego routed Denver, 35-14 as 9½-point 'chalk.' In fact, the previous two times San Diego has played at Qualcomm Stadium under the Monday night lights, the Lightning Bolts have faced the Broncos, with Denver capturing an underdog win in 2009 to improve to 6-0 (the Broncos would win only two more games that season).

Manning was last showcased on Monday night in a Week 2 defeat at Atlanta, as the future Hall of Famer looked anything but with three interceptions in the opening quarter. The Falcons grabbed an early 20-0 advantage before holding off the Broncos, 27-21 as three-point favorites.

The Chargers are listed as one-point favorites, with several books setting the contest as a pick-em. The total sits at 47½, as the game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST from Qualcomm Stadium and will be televised nationally on ESPN.

Chargers havent faced the quailty of foes Denver has and yes they got hosed by refs a lil bit but the calls were legit unlikewhen scabby refs were in OMFG those dudes were fixing games they had vested interest in !

both teams are plus points equally Cahrgers + 22 Denver + 21 but the teams chargers have betaen ai'n all that great Raiders Titans KC thats whythey are 2-0 in div

I'll go with roadie here even tho too many dogs this week happened but 1 points aint making me any money so i have to take Broncos money line at + 105 i think it is !
other offshore boks vary also only SBG global has it right Denver +105 BETONLINE has broncos -115 Chargers are ML dog -105

wow weird 5 dimes has denver as -107 favored ml chargers are - 103 Changing mind after rembering we had 11 DOGS all week cover and win games s/u

Like i they always say when in doubt take the home team !

Chargers - 1 point

Chargers - 1 point

ok i seen enough Denver is the favorite but i have to take +1 point at 5 dimes broncos +1 +101