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MNF Betting News and Notes September 10/1

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CHICAGO (2 - 1) at DALLAS (2 - 1)

Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO vs. DALLAS
Chicago is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing Chicago
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Chicago at Dallas
Chicago: 6-0 ATS in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3
Dallas: 1-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins

 
Posted : September 30, 2012 7:33 pm
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NFL Week 4

Bears (2-1) @ Cowboys (2-1) — Dallas struggling mightily on offense, scoring 23 points in last two games, with only one TD drive longer than 23 yards; they’ve run ball 39 times for 87 yards vs Seattle/Tampa, neither of which reminds us of ’85 Bears. Cowboys started 3 of 12 drives in Tampa territory, still scored only 16 points last week. Dallas has now covered only three of last 15 games as home favorite, though they’ve been better home favorite outside the division (13-10 since ’07, compared to 3-11 vs NFC East foes). Cutler is 28-58 passing last two games; he just looks bad when pressured, moreso than most QBs. Since ’07, Chicago is 6-10-2 vs spread as non-divisional road underdog- they’ve converted only 13 of 41 on 3rd down, but they do have 11 sacks in last two games. Underdogs are 10-0 vs spread in non-divisional games involving NFC East teams; NFC East squads are 0-7 as non-divisional favorites, 0-4 at home.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : September 30, 2012 7:35 pm
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MNF - Bears at Cowboys
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The Week 4 card closes out in Arlington on Monday night with a pair of NFC squads hooking up. The Cowboys have alternated wins and losses in each of their first three contests, coming off last week's victory over the Buccaneers, while the Bears also seek consistency following a home triumph over the Rams.

Dallas started the season with an impressive road underdog showing against the rival Giants, 24-17, but the Cowboys failed to cover in a loss at Seattle and a 16-10 home win over Tampa Bay. Both ATS losses came in the favorite role, as Dallas owns a dreadful 4-17-1 ATS record when laying points since the start of the 2010 season. The Cowboys defense held the offensively inept Buccaneers in check, giving up an early touchdown and a field goal in the final minute, while allowing just 166 yards.

Chicago's defense has always been its staple and it showed again last week with a late interceptions return for a touchdown in a 23-6 rout of St. Louis as seven-point favorites. The Bears played without running back Matt Forte, who suffered an ankle injury in a Week 2 loss at Green Bay, but the Pro Bowler is expected back on Monday night. The Rams were held to 160 yards, while the Bears have given up just one offensive touchdown in the last two weeks.

The last time these two teams met up came in Week 2 of 2010 in Texas, as the Bears knocked off the Cowboys, 27-20 as seven-point underdogs. One of Dallas' two touchdowns came on a 62-yard punt return from Dez Bryant, while Jay Cutler carved up the Cowboys' defense for three touchdowns. Both clubs struggling running the ball, as the Bears rushed for 38 yards, while the Cowboys amassed 36 yards on the ground.

The Cowboys are known as America's Team, but they sure don't take care of business under the Monday night lights. Dallas has compiled a 1-6 ATS mark since 2006 on Mondays, but has found a way to win four of the last five straight-up in this situation. Last season, the Cowboys edged the Redskins in their only Monday night contest, 18-16 as three-point favorites, as Dan Bailey tied a rookie NFL record by kicking six field goals in the win.

Lovie Smith's club has won five of the last six Monday night games, while covering four of six Monday road contests since 2004. In 2011, the Bears split a pair of Monday nighters against Lions and Eagles, as Chicago lost, 24-13 at Detroit as seven-point underdogs. The Bears rebounded at Philadelphia in a 30-24 shootout win, cashing outright as 7½-point underdogs.

From a totals standpoint, Dallas' defense has stepped up by cashing the 'under' in all three games, while allowing just 17 points or less in both victories. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have combined to score just 23 points the last two weeks after tallying 24 points in the series opener at New York. The Bears look to duplicate a Week 1 effort against the Colts in which they scored 41 points, as Chicago has cashed the 'under' each of the last two weeks by tallying a combined 33 points.

The favorites have split the first four Monday night contests this season, but were on the verge of going 3-1 SU/ATS if it wasn't for the disputed touchdown at Seattle last Monday. The 'under' has hit in each of the last three Monday nighters following an 'over' in the Cincinnati/Baltimore opener.

The Cowboys are listed as 3½-point favorites in most spots, while the total is set at 41½. The game kicks off at 8:35 PM EST from Cowboys Stadium and can be seen nationally on ESPN.

 
Posted : September 30, 2012 7:36 pm
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Bears at Cowboys: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

Chicago Bears at Dallas Cowboys (-3.5, 41.5)

Tony Romo and Jay Cutler have come under fire for less-than-stellar performances thus far this season. While their respective stat lines haven't been aesthetically pleasing, the end results have still been promising. Both quarterbacks will look to guide their respective teams to an impressive 3-1 start when Romo's Dallas Cowboys host the Chicago Bears on Monday night. The clubs rode solid defensive efforts to their victories last week as Dallas held Tampa Bay to just 166 total yards en route to a 16-10 victory. Not to be outdone, Chicago benefited from six of its NFL-leading 14 sacks in last week's 23-6 triumph over St. Louis. The Cowboys' beleaguered offensive line is on notice after committing several penalties while struggling with pass protection.

LINE: Cowboys -3.5, O/U 41.5.

ABOUT THE BEARS (2-1): Cutler has been erratic at best this season, and will now have to keep a wary eye on right outside linebacker DeMarcus Ware (four sacks). Left tackle J'Marcus Webb, who was on the receiving end of a sideline shove from Cutler, will bear most of the responsibility for protecting his quarterback. Pro Bowl RB Matt Forte resumed practicing after injuring his ankle against Green Bay in Week 2, but it's unknown how much - if at all - he'll play on Monday. Michael Bush had 55 yards last week and scored his third touchdown of the season.

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (2-1): Dallas would be well served to get DeMarco Murray untracked. The Cowboys' starting rusher had an 11-yard touchdown last week, but mustered just 38 yards on 18 carries - with seven of those coming for a loss. Keeping Bears stud wide receiver Brandon Marshall in check would be wise as well. Marshall has scored a touchdown in both career contests versus Dallas, but he'll likely be paid a visit by Gerald Sensabaugh. The safety missed last week's game with a calf strain, but expects to play on Monday.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-0 in Cowboys last six games overall.
* Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
* Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five Monday games.
* Under is 7-3 in Bears’ last 10 road games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Dallas S Danny McCray will replace starter Barry Church, who underwent season-ending surgery to repair a torn Achilles tendon. In addition, the Cowboys signed punter Brian Moorman to fill in for an injured Chris Jones (sprained knee).

2. Cutler's passer rating of 58.6 is second worst among qualifiers, ahead of only Miami rookie Ryan Tannehill (58.3).

3. Although Dallas boasts big CBs Brandon Carr and rookie Morris Claiborne, no member of the team's secondary has an interception this season. Cutler, who has thrown six, is tied with Cleveland rookie Brandon Weeden and Philadelphia's Michael Vick for the most this season.

 
Posted : September 30, 2012 7:48 pm
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NFL: Streaks, Trends, Notes
Sportspic.com

Chicago Bears at Dallas Cowboys

To Both teams struggling to find offensive consistency but both playing well defensively the betting market is screaming 'Under' as it has the total down to 41.5 after opening in the 45 range. Romo and the Cowboys scoring a league low 15.7 points/game while giving up 18.0 PPG and the Bears/Cutler crew recording a middle of the pack 24.7 PPG giving up 16.7 per contest the number is certainly in line with each team's performance after three weeks. The two squads trending to the 'Under' on the season posting a 1-5 O/U mark, Bears on a 3-7 O/U stretch on the road, Cowboys 2-5 O/U at home and 0-6 O/U vs the conference easy to see why the 'Under' is a popular bet.

 
Posted : September 30, 2012 7:48 pm
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