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MNF Betting News and Notes September 9/24

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GREEN BAY (1 - 1) at SEATTLE (1 - 1) - 9/24/2012, 8:35 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GREEN BAY vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games when playing Seattle
Green Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games at home
Seattle is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay

Green Bay at Seattle
Green Bay: 6-0 Over off a division game
Seattle: 11-3 ATS at home vs. conference opponents

 
Posted : September 20, 2012 9:08 pm
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MNF - Packers at Seahawks
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

Two weeks are in the books this season with mixed results all over the board. Green Bay bounced back from a disappointing opening week loss to San Francisco with a Thursday night triumph over Chicago to even its mark at 1-1. The Packers trek to the Pacific Northwest for a meeting with a Seahawks' squad that continues to hold up their home-field advantage after a Week 2 blowout of the Cowboys.

Under Pete Carroll, the Seahawks own a 13-5 ATS record at home since his arrival in 2010 after Seattle dispatched Dallas, 27-7 as three-point home underdogs. Seattle's special teams set up two scores out of the gate, including a blocked punt returned for a touchdown to grab a 10-0 lead. Russell Wilson put together an efficient performance in his first NFL win, completing 15 of 20 passes for 151 yards and a touchdown, while Marshawn Lynch ran all over the Dallas defense for 122 yards.

Wilson secured his job as Seattle's starting quarterback for another week with the Week 2 victory, denying a Packers reunion with Matt Flynn, who signed with the Seahawks in the offseason after four seasons in Green Bay. Flynn's former team avoided an 0-2 start by beating the rival Bears, 23-10 as five-point home favorites. The Packers managed the win without top receiver Greg Jennings, who missed the game with a groin injury, as the former Western Michigan standout is listed as 'probable' on Monday. Aaron Rodgers hooked up with his second favorite target, Donald Driver on a 26-yard touchdown strike to give the Packers a commanding 23-3 lead and their first victory of the season.

The Packers leave Lambeau Field for the first time in 2012, as Green Bay won seven of eight road contests last season. The lone loss by Mike McCarthy's team came at Kansas City as 11-point favorites in a 19-14 setback, while the Pack finished 4-4 ATS on the highway. However, Green Bay put together a perfect 4-0 ATS mark as a road favorite of six points or less, which is the pointspread range for Monday.

The Seahawks keep finding ways to produce for backers at home, including a 6-1 ATS record since the start of last season as an underdog at CenturyLink Field. Seattle beat Baltimore and Philadelphia outright in 2011 when receiving points at home, while hanging tough in covers against Atlanta and San Francisco. The Seahawks posted a 1-5 SU/ATS ledger in Carroll's first season off a home win, but improved to 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS last season in this situation.

Amazingly, the Packers were featured on Monday Night Football just once in 2011, a season after winning the franchise's fourth Super Bowl. Green Bay sliced up Minnesota, 45-7 as 13-point home favorites in Week 10, but the Packers own a dreadful 1-6 SU/ATS in McCarthy's tenure in Monday action away from Lambeau Field. The lone victory in this span came at Denver in 2007, as Brett Favre hooked up with Jennings on an 82-yard bomb to start overtime in a 19-13 triumph as three-point underdogs. Rodgers is 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in road Monday affairs since being named the starting quarterback in 2008.

Seattle has won each of its last four home Monday night games the last six seasons, including a 34-24 victory over Green Bay in 2006 as 9½-point favorites. Granted, this number is a bit skewed since Mike Holmgren won three of those games when the Seahawks were a consistent playoff team. However, the Seahawks did beat the Rams last season on a Monday night in December, 30-13, as eight-point 'chalk.'

The Packers are listed three-point favorites at most spots, but the juice is at -120 at that number, while several books have Green Bay set at 3½. The total is listed between 46½ and 47, as the game kicks off at 8:30 PM and will be televised nationally on ESPN.

 
Posted : September 20, 2012 9:09 pm
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MNF Week 3

Packers (1-1) @ Seahawks (1-1) — Seattle gave Packers’ backup QB Flynn $13M last winter, but he is still #2 QB behind rookie Wilson; he’ll be valuable here, since he knows every aspect of Packer offense. Curious if Green Bay used their four extra days of prep time to change signals. Seahawks got huge jump in home opener with big special teams plays, recovering fumble on opening kickoff and blocking punt for TD, grabbing quick 10-0 lead, then running ball for 182 yards to wear Cowboys down. Green Bay averaged 5.9/5.7 yards/pass attempt in first two games; Seahawks held first two opponents under 300 total yards. Seattle is 8-5 as home underdog under Carroll; since ’03, they’re 12-8 as home dog. Green Bay won six of last seven series games, winning 48-10 in last meeting in ‘09; they’ve split four visits here.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : September 21, 2012 8:27 pm
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NFL: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks

Green Bay stumbled in it's opener against 49ers but in week-two the Pack were back embarrassing divisional rival Bears 23-10. Packs defense put on a show holding Bears to 94 rushing yards, 74 passing yards sacking Cutler seven times and picking him off four times in the victory. Packers now take to the road for the first time this season to face a Seahawk squad very tough on home field and one that has held five of the last six visitors under twenty points/game in posting a 4-2 (5-1 ATS) mark. No secret that Seattle's offensive blueprint will involve a heavy dose of Lynch looking to take advantage of Green Bay's 27th ranked run stop unit (140 RYG). If Green Bay's stoppers minimize Lynch's impact then Rodgers with his sheer number of pass-catching options could capitalize on Seahawks middle of the road pass defense (228.5 PYG). Easier said than done, these Seahawks are skilled, disciplined and you can bet Pete Caroll will devise ways for his troops to break out Lynch along with making life miserable for Rodgers who's been sacked 8 times in two games and who hasn't really found his groove hitting just 68.8% passes with a pair of interceptions. Plenty of reason to back Seahawks, their ATS record under Caroll at home since arriving in 2010 is no joke, the team is 13-5 vs. the oddsmaker including a perfect 3-0 ATS after a win as a home dog, 2-0 ATS as a dog after scoring => 24 points the previous game.

 
Posted : September 23, 2012 8:31 pm
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