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Monday Night Football Betting News and Notes

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NY GIANTS (6 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 3)

Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NY GIANTS vs. NEW ORLEANS
NY Giants are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games
NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

NY GIANTS at NEW ORLEANS
NY GIANTS: 22-9 Over vs. conference
NEW ORLEANS: 0-6 ATS off road win by 3 pts or less

 
Posted : November 27, 2011 4:53 pm
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NFL Poolies Cheat Sheet: Week 12
By Colin Kelly
Covers.com

N.Y. Giants at New Orleans (-7)

Why Giants cover: They’ve dumped two in a row SU and ATS and need to get the ship righted to keep NFC East hopes on track. Tom Coughlin’s squad likes the Monday night spotlight (4-0 ATS) and is a solid road bet (30-14 ATS in the last 44).

Why Saints cover: They’ve got home-dome advantage. New Orleans is 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four at the Superdome and coming off the bye week, the Saints have had extra week to rest up for Giants. Home team favorites are 6-1 ATS in the last seven Giants-Saints affairs.

Total (50.5): Big number, but with Saints averaging 31.3 ppg (second), the over is always in play. The over has cashed in New Orleans’ last four off its bye week.

 
Posted : November 27, 2011 4:54 pm
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NFL Week 12

Giants (6-4) @ Saints (7-3) - Saints won last two post-bye games 48-27/34-19; they’re 4-0 as home favorites this year, winning by average score of 40-17. Giants are 4-0 when they run ball for 100+ yards, 2-4 when they don’t; they’ve run ball for average of 72.8 ypg in four post-bye games. Saints held only one of last eight opponents under 100 rushing yards (Bucs had 84) so chance for Giants to control ball on ground here in Eli’s second homecoming to Crescent City. Home side won six of last seven series games, with Giants losing last three here, last two by 45-7/48-27 scores; last time Giants won here was in ’93. Giants lost last two games, with three TD’s, 10 3/outs on their last 22 drives.

 
Posted : November 27, 2011 4:55 pm
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MNF - Giants at Saints
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

For the first time in three weeks, the Monday night game has a line in the single-digits as the Saints battle the Giants to wrap up Week 12. New Orleans (7-3) can stay one game behind San Francisco for the second-best record in the NFC with a victory, while New York (6-4) sits one half-game behind Dallas inside the NFC East race.

The Saints are two years removed from winning the first-ever Super Bowl in franchise history, as Sean Payton's team is finding its groove following consecutive divisional victories. New Orleans knocked off Tampa Bay in a revenge spot at the Superdome in Week 9, followed by an overtime victory at the rival Falcons to sit all alone atop the NFC South. The Saints will be looking to get at least one home game in the playoffs as they own a 4-0 SU/ATS record in the Big Easy, while three of those victories have come by double-digits.

The Giants looked to be the team to beat in the NFC East after knocking off the Patriots in Week 9, but Big Blue got tripped up in back-to-back losses to the 49ers and Eagles. New York fell short in a 27-20 defeat at San Francisco as four-point underdogs, while failing to rebound against a banged-up Philadelphia squad last Sunday. Playing without Michael Vick, the Eagles managed a 17-10 road triumph as six-point road 'dogs over the Giants, as New York lost to Philadelphia at home for the fifth consecutive time.

The NFC playoff race is heating up past the 11-0 Packers as six teams are fighting for the other four postseason seeds. San Francisco has basically locked up the NFC West at 9-2, while the other two divisions represented on Monday night are up in the air. The Lions (7-4), Bears (7-3), Cowboys (7-4), and Falcons (6-4) are right there in the playoff mix with different head-to-head tiebreakers affecting each club. The Giants do not own a tiebreaker advantage against any of these clubs, while facing Dallas twice in the final month of the season.

New Orleans is averaging nearly 40 points per game at home, but that number is skewed thanks to a 62-point effort against Indianapolis. The Saints still light the lamp at the Superdome with their lowest point output being 27 three weeks ago against Tampa Bay. Amazingly, the Saints are 2-2 to the 'over' with these high-scoring affairs at home, while New Orleans has hit the 'over' five times and the 'under' five times in 10 games.

The Giants started off the season at 3-1 ATS, but Tom Coughlin's squad hasn't helped out backers by putting together a 1-4-1 ATS mark the previous six games. Three of those non-covers came as a favorite of at least six points, dropping the G-Men to 2-4-1 ATS when laying points. New York is a nearly a coin-toss proposition as a road underdog since 2008 with an 8-7 ATS record, including outright victories at Philadelphia and New England this season.

The Saints are making only their first appearance under the Monday night lights this season, while the Superdome is seeing its first Monday action since 2009. New Orleans picked up a pair of impressive victories in front of the national televised audience over the Falcons (35-27) and Patriots (38-17) on their way to a Super Bowl title. The Saints were showcased twice in the Monday spotlight last season as New Orleans held off San Francisco, 25-22 as five-point 'chalk,' while edging Atlanta as 2½-point road 'dogs, 17-14 in December.

The Giants have made only two trips to the Superdome in the last 15 years as they have been whacked in each appearance. New Orleans drilled New York, 45-7 in 2003, one season prior to Eli Manning's arrival with the Giants. The Louisiana native threw for just 178 yards in his only game in his hometown, as the Giants fell short, 48-27 in October 2009. The Saints thoroughly dominated the Giants as Drew Brees tossed four touchdown passes, while New Orleans easily cashed as 2½-point favorites.

New York has responded well in Coughlin's tenure on Monday nights with a 6-2 SU/ATS mark, as the two losses have come in the road favorite role at Jacksonville (2006) and Cleveland (2008). The Giants came through as an away 'dog last season at Dallas, 41-35, improving Coughlin to 2-0 SU/ATS in the underdog role on Monday nights.

The Saints are listed as seven-point favorites across the board, while the total is set at 51. The game will be televised nationally on ESPN and kicks off at 8:30 PM from the Superdome.

 
Posted : November 27, 2011 4:56 pm
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Giants at Saints: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

New York Giants at New Orleans Saints (-7, 50.5)

THE STORY: The New York Giants stamped themselves as serious contenders with a come-from-behind win at New England on Nov. 6. That was followed by back-to-back losses to San Francisco and Philadelphia, which has the Giants trying to stamp out talk of another late-season tailspin as they prepare for a rugged road test against the New Orleans Saints on Monday night.

New Orleans is coming off a bye week and is unbeaten at home (4-0) this season, providing a tall order for the Giants, who are in the midst of a brutal five-game stretch that includes games against unbeaten Green Bay and at new NFC East leader Dallas.

ABOUT THE GIANTS (6-4): New York’s already-suspect running game has ground to a halt with Ahmad Bradshaw missing the last three games with a broken bone in his foot. The Giants managed only 29 yards rushing in last week’s 17-10 home loss to the Eagles. Bradshaw did not practice Thursday and could sit out again. Eli Manning has been intercepted four times in his last three games. He has connected with WR Victor Cruz 25 times in the last four contests.

ABOUT THE SAINTS (7-3): Drew Brees is setting a torrid pace, throwing for the most yards (3,326) in the first 10 games in league history. He has at least 20 completions in an NFL-record 30 straight games and has thrown a TD pass in 37 consecutive games – the second-longest streak in league history. TE Jimmy Graham has six TDs and at least four catches in every game. The Saints have allowed six opponents to score at least 23 points.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Brees, who has thrown a league-high 422 passes, will be matched up against a defense that’s tied for the lead in sacks (31.0).

2. Manning had a 120.5 passer rating in the fourth quarter, tops in the league.

3. Graham leads NFL tight ends in receptions (62) and yards receiving (873).

LINE MOVEMENT:

The majority of sportsbooks opened with the Saints giving 7 but there were a few offshore shops that went Giants +6.5. The line is now over the touchdown spread at 7.5 at most locations. The total has been up and down between 50.5 and 52.

TRENDS:

The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games but the Giants are 30-14 ATS in their last 44 road games.

The over is 5-1 in the Giants’ last six games against teams with winning records and 4-0 in the Saints’ last four games off the bye week.

PREDICTION: Saints 30, Giants 20. Without a running game, Giants are unable to slow New Orleans down.

 
Posted : November 27, 2011 4:57 pm
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