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Monday Night Football Betting News and Notes

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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SAN DIEGO (4 - 7) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 8)

Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SAN DIEGO vs. JACKSONVILLE
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

SAN DIEGO at JACKSONVILLE
SAN DIEGO: 18-3 ATS vs. AFC South
JACKSONVILLE: 6-15 ATS off ATS loss

 
Posted : December 4, 2011 7:42 pm
(@blade)
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NFL Poolies Cheat Sheet: Week 13
By Colin Kelly
Covers.com

San Diego (-3) at Jacksonville

Why Chargers cover: Too much talent for this team to be riding a six-game SU and ATS losing streak and eventually that talent should win out. This week could be the spot, as Jacksonville is out of sorts after firing coach Jack Del Rio on Tuesday. The Bolts are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 in December while the Jags are on ATS downslides of 4-9-1 overall and 2-8-1 as a pup. Plus, the Jags can’t score, averaging a league-worst 12.5 ppg behind rookie QB Blaine Gabbert.

Why Jaguars cover: Well, there’s that 0-6 SU and ATS burden San Diego is carrying. The Bolts are also 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven on the road.

Total (38.5): We’re talking about Jacksonville here, so the under has got to be considered. The under has cashed in all but one of the Jags’ games this season, and they are on under runs of 6-0 on Monday night, 5-0 as an underdog and 5-1 at home.

 
Posted : December 4, 2011 7:44 pm
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MNF - Chargers at Jaguars
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The Week 13 card closes out with an AFC matchup that won't turn a lot of heads in Jacksonville. Both the Chargers (4-7) and Jaguars (3-8) are out of playoff contention, but both teams would like to salvage their season in front of a nationally televised audience. One of the key storylines in this contest is Jacksonville moving forward after its long-time head coach was let go last week.

Jack Del Rio's 8½-year tenure came to an end as the head man of the Jaguars after failing to make the playoffs for the fourth straight season. With all the quarterback struggles around the league this season, the Jags are the poster-child of offensive ineptitude. Jacksonville's offense ranks at the bottom of the league in many major categories, including total yardage, passing, and points per game. Rookie Blaine Gabbert is completing just 48% of his passes, while his highest yardage total is 221 in nine starts.

The Jags fell at home to the Texans last Sunday in Del Rio's final game, 20-13, as Houston cashed as six-point road 'chalk.' Jacksonville's offense failed to get in the end zone as its lone touchdown came on a fumble return less than two minutes into the game. The Texans' offense was limited to just 215 yards in the victory as Matt Leinart broke his clavicle in the first half, paving the way for rookie T.J. Yates at quarterback. The Jags have scored 16 points or less in four of five home contests, resulting in a 4-1 'under' record.

The Chargers were expected to do big things inside the AFC, while winning their own division was almost a certainty. However, San Diego has squandered a 4-1 start by dropping six consecutive games to fall out of the AFC West race. The Lightning Bolts have burned backers during this losing skid with an 0-6 ATS mark, including an 0-4 ATS record on the highway.

San Diego had an opportunity to save its season last Sunday against a surging Denver squad at home, but the Chargers lost in overtime, 16-13. A Chargers' win would have put them two games out of first place entering Week 13, but the Broncos rushed for 208 yards to climb above .500. One of the biggest reasons for San Diego's recent struggles is the play of Philip Rivers, as the franchise QB has thrown 10 interceptions in the last six games.

This is the first time Jacksonville is facing a team at home that is below .500, after battling Tennessee, New Orleans, Baltimore, Houston, and Cincinnati at EverBank Field. The only signature victory for the Jaguars this season came in Week 7 as a Monday night home underdog, beating the Ravens in a forgettable 12-7 triumph. Jacksonville held Baltimore to 146 yards of offense, while cashing as 10-point 'dogs. However, the Jags own an 0-6 SU/ATS record as a single-digit underdog this season, while dropping each of their last eight games in this pointspread range.

Following a three-game stretch in which the underdogs covered on Monday night, the last three favorites (Green Bay, New England, and New Orleans) all won convincingly as seven-point 'chalk' or more. Road favorites on Monday night are 1-2 SU/ATS this season, including San Diego's overtime loss at Kansas City in Week 8.

The home team is 4-0 in four lifetime meetings, including San Diego's 38-13 blowout of Jacksonville at Qualcomm Stadium last September as seven-point favorites. However, the Jags are a perfect 2-0 SU/ATS in two home matchups with the Chargers, as Jacksonville captured a 24-17 victory in 2007.

The Chargers are listed as three-point road favorites, even though you may have to lay -115 or -120 'juice.' The total is set at 39, as Jacksonville has cashed the 'under' in a league-high 10 games. The game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST from EverBank Field and will be televised nationally on ESPN.

 
Posted : December 4, 2011 7:45 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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What Bettors Need to Know: Chargers at Jaguars
By Covers.com

San Diego Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3, 39)

THE STORY: The dismissal of Jacksonville Jaguars coach Jack Del Rio earlier this week was surprising only in its timing. Barring a stunning turnaround, there will be few eyebrows raised when Norv Turner is shown the door by San Diego Chargers management at the end of another underachieving season. Against that backdrop, the Jaguars will host the Chargers on Monday night in a matchup of teams that have a combined two wins – both by Jacksonville – since Oct. 9. San Diego has lost six consecutive games to see its playoff hopes all but evaporate.

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (4-7): After avoiding its customary slow start by winning four of its first five, San Diego hasn’t won since blowing a 21-10 halftime lead at the New York Jets. QB Philip Rivers didn’t throw an interception in last’s week’s 16-13 loss to Denver after getting picked off 10 times in his previous five games. Among the few positives last week was the performance of RB Ryan Mathews, who rushed for a career-high 137 yards.

ABOUT THE JAGUARS (3-8): Newly appointed interim coach Mel Tucker will need a magic wand to fix an offense that ranks dead last in scoring (12.5 points per game). Tucker said he’s sticking with rookie QB Blaine Gabbert, the league’s lowest-rated passer at 62.2. Jacksonville averages a wretched 131.3 yards passing. Expect to see a heavy does of RB Maurice Jones-Drew, who is second in the league with 1,040 yards. He was a yard shy of his fourth 100-yard game in last week’s 20-13 loss to Houston.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. San Diego is mired in its longest losing streak since dropping nine straight spanning the 2002 and 2003 seasons.

2. It’s been a turbulent week in Jacksonville. Along with Del Rio’s ouster, WRs coach Johnny Cox was fired and team owner Wayne Weaver announced he was selling the team.

3. The Chargers have owned December since 2006, winning 20 of 22 games.

LINE MOVEMENT:

This line has been on both sides of the field goal spread, but San Diego -3 is the line most commonly being used. The over/under has moved between 38 and 40 with most sportsbooks now settling with 39.

TRENDS:

The Chargers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 December games but 2-8-1 in their last 11 games as road favorites.

The Jags are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall and 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as underdogs.

The over is 30-12-4 in the Chargers' last 46 road games while the under is 10-1 in the Jags' last 11 games overall.

PREDICTION: Jaguars 19, Chargers 17. Despite the disparity in talent, swoon continues for beleaguered San Diego as Josh Scobee boots four field goals.

 
Posted : December 4, 2011 7:46 pm
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