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Monday Night Football Betting News and Notes

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CHICAGO (4 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (3 - 4)

Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 145-104 ATS (+30.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CHICAGO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO vs. PHILADELPHIA
Chicago is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

CHICAGO at PHILADELPHIA
CHICAGO: 11-1 Under as road underdog
PHILADELPHIA: 15-2 Under after gaining 7+ yards/play

 
Posted : November 6, 2011 7:36 pm
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NFL Week 9

Bears (4-3) @ Eagles (3-4) - Chicago won three of last four series games, with all four games decided by 5 or less points; seven of last nine in series were won by 6 or less. Bears won four of last six visits here, but last visit here was in '07. Both teams won last two games after shaky starts; Chicago is 0-2 in true road games, losing 30-13 (+7) in Superdome, 24-13 in Detroit. Philly beat couple of divisional rivals after a 1-4 start; they allowed 13 or less points in all three wins 24+ points in all four losses. Chicago scored 24+ points in its wins, 17 or less in its losses. Teams won/covered all five games week after playing Dallas, with four of those five staying under total. All three Chicago road games went under the total. Winner gets back to .500; loser is in deep trouble.

 
Posted : November 6, 2011 7:37 pm
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NFL Poolies' Cheat Sheet: Week 9
By Colin Kelly
Covers.com

Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles (-9)

Why Bears cover: Giving nine points to team that reached last year’s NFC title game seems a stretch, to be sure. Perhaps overlooked is that these two teams have met each of last four years, and Bears have gone 3-1 SU and ATS, all as a ‘dog. Philly in ATS ruts of 3-7 overall, 4-9 vs. winning teams and 1-5 at home (all as chalk).

Why Eagles cover: Michael Vick-led offense tears it up with league-best 449 ypg – 112 more than Bears’ average – and No. 1 rushing attack at whopping 179.9 ypg, which can chew up some serious clock and limit Bears opportunities. That’s what happened vs. Dallas last week in Philly’s 34-7 rout, with Eagles keeping ball 42 minutes. Andy Reid’s troops have cashed four straight on Monday night.

Total (47): Under 5-1 Eagles’ last six at home and 20-8 Bears’ last 28 on highway.

 
Posted : November 6, 2011 7:37 pm
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MNF - Bears at Eagles
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The Week 9 card in the NFL wraps up at Lincoln Financial Field as the Eagles look to reach the .500 mark against the Bears. Philadelphia (3-4) actually enters this game with a record worse than Chicago (4-3), but Andy Reid's club is a healthy touchdown favorite. The Eagles still have work to do in the NFC East, but the groundwork for a comeback has already been laid down.

Philadelphia destroyed Dallas in a must-win spot last Sunday night at the Linc, 34-7 as three-point favorites. The Eagles cruised to a 24-0 halftime advantage, thanks to a pair of Michael Vick touchdown passes. The domination was felt in plenty of statistical categories, including time of possession (42 minutes for the Eagles), first downs (31-12 in favor of Philadelphia), and yardage (495-267). Probably the biggest victory for the Eagles was another division win, improving their record to 2-1 inside the NFC East.

The Bears are quietly hanging in the NFC Wild Card race after knocking off the Buccaneers in London two weeks ago, 24-18. Matt Forte continues to be one of the top offensive forces in the league after rushing for 145 yards and a touchdown, while the Bears' defense intercepted Josh Freeman four times. Chicago has helped out its cause for tiebreakers inside the Wild Card chase with victories over Tampa Bay and Atlanta, which will be important when late December rolls around.

The weapons are well-known in the Philadelphia arsenal offensively, but its defense has stepped up over the last two weeks. The Eagles allowed nearly 30 ppg during their four-game losing streak, but have given up just 20 points total in wins over the Redskins and Cowboys. The test will come against a Bears' team that doesn't dominate from a yardage perspective, ranking in the middle of the league at 337.4 yards/game.

Lovie Smith's club is responsible for plenty of big plays from all three phases, which makes the yardage ranking misleading. The Bears' defense and special teams has combined for four touchdowns, including a pair of returns for scores from Devin Hester. Chicago has struck six times on plays of 40 or more yards through the first seven games, while Philadelphia's big-time offense has compiled seven such plays of more than 40 yards.

The Bears knocked off the Eagles last November at Soldier Field, 31-26 as three-point home 'dogs. This game had plenty of twists and turns, as the Eagles had an opportunity to take the lead at halftime, but a Vick interception in the red zone led to a Chicago touchdown in the final two minutes. The Bears led 21-13 at the half, then put the game away with a Jay Cutler touchdown pass two minutes into the third quarter. Philadelphia scored late to make the final score look respectable, but that victory by the Bears was their fourth in a row en route to a division title.

Chicago is making its first trip to the City of Brotherly Love since 2007, when the Bears shocked the Eagles, 19-16 as 5½-point underdogs. The two teams exchanged a handful of field goals through the first three quarters, but Brian Griese's late touchdown to Muhsin Muhammad gave Chicago its first win in the series since 1995.

The Eagles own a 3-4 ATS record this season as the formula is simple: when Philadelphia wins, it covers the spread. However, the Eagles have struggled in the role as a substantial favorite this season as they have failed to cover in home losses to the Giants and 49ers when laying at least nine points. Under Reid, the Eagles are 1-5 ATS the last six times as a favorite of at least 6½ points, dating back to the end of the 2009 season.

The Bears compiled a 4-1 ATS mark as a road underdog last season, but haven't cashed in that role in 2011 with losses at New Orleans and Detroit. Chicago has responded well off a road win recently with a 5-2 ATS ledger since September of 2009. The number to pay attention to with the Bears comes from the totals department, as Chicago is 10-5 to the 'over' the last 15 contests.

Philadelphia is listed as a 7½-point favorite, while the number is sitting at eight at several sportsbooks. The total is steady at 47, as the temperatures will not be a factor in the mid-50's. The game will be televised nationally on ESPN and kicks off at 8:30 PM EST.

 
Posted : November 6, 2011 7:38 pm
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Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles (-8, 47)

THE STORY: The Chicago Bears and Philadelphia Eagles both seek their third straight victory when the teams square off at Lincoln Financial Field on Monday night. Chicago will be playing its first game on North American soil since a 39-10 home triumph over Minnesota on Oct. 16. The Bears posted a 24-18 win over Tampa Bay in London on Oct. 23 before enjoying their bye last week. Philadelphia has rebounded from four straight losses by recording consecutive victories over NFC East rivals Washington and Dallas in which it has allowed a total of 20 points while scoring 54. Chicago has won three of its last four meetings with the Eagles, including its most recent visit to the City of Brotherly Love in October 2007.

LINE: Eagles -8, O/U 47.

WEATHER: Clear skies are expected with only 4 mph winds blowing WSW. The temperature should be around 46 degrees.

ABOUT THE BEARS (3-4): Running back Matt Forte is anything but happy with his current situation. Forte, who leads the NFL with 1,091 yards from scrimmage, has a base salary of just $555,000 this season and feels he is vastly underpaid considering his workload. Furthermore, the 25-year-old is likely to receive the team's franchise player tag instead of the lucrative contract extension he is seeking, a probability that had Forte voicing his displeasure and questioning the Bears' loyalty during the week. Forte gained 117 yards on 14 carries in a home win over Philadelphia last season.

ABOUT THE EAGLES (4-3): LeSean McCoy poses a major test for Chicago's run defense. McCoy, who has scored at least one rushing touchdown in six of Philadelphia's seven games, is coming off a career-best 185-yard effort in last Sunday's 34-7 rout of Dallas and is averaging a league-high 107.7 yards per contest. McCoy caught a TD pass in his only game without a score on the ground, making him the only player in the league to find the end zone in every contest this season.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Eagles quarterback Michael Vick is 0-3 lifetime as a starter against the Bears. In five career meetings, Vick has been sacked 15 times, thrown three interceptions and fumbled on seven occasions.

2. Chicago has allowed a total of 83 rushing yards in its last two contests.

3. Each of the last four meetings between the Eagles and Bears has been decided by five points or less.

TRENDS:

- Philadelphia is 3-7 against the spread in its last 10 games overall.
- Chicago is 5-2 against the spread in its last seven Monday games.
- The underdog is 7-2 against the spread in the last nine meetings between these two teams.
- The under is 20-8 in Chicago's last 28 road games.

PREDICTION: Eagles 31, Bears 21. Philadelphia continues its turnaround as Vick finally gets in the win column against Chicago.

 
Posted : November 6, 2011 7:40 pm
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