MINNESOTA (2 - 6) at GREEN BAY (8 - 0)
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Minnesota's last 21 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Green Bay's last 21 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY
MINNESOTA: 0-6 ATS Away off SU win
GREEN BAY: 7-0 ATS off 2 game road trip
Vikings at Packers: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-13, 50.5)
THE STORY: Rookie Christian Ponder didn't project to be a first-round draft pick this year and certainly didn't figure to be in the mix for the starting quarterback job in his first season with the Minnesota Vikings. So as Ponder gets set to make his third career start on Monday night, he'll again be asked to overcome steep odds when the Vikings pay a visit to Lambeau Field to face the reigning Super Bowl champion – and unbeaten – Green Bay Packers. It will be the second time in three starts that Ponder will be staring across the field at Aaron Rodgers and the Packers, who have reeled off 14 consecutive victories dating to last season's run to the Super Bowl.
ABOUT THE VIKINGS (2-6): Coming out of its bye, Minnesota will look to build on a 24-21 win at Carolina in Week 8. Ponder threw for 236 yards and a touchdown and Adrian Peterson had rushing and receiving TDs. The Vikings led visiting Green Bay at halftime in Ponder’s first start, but the Packers ripped off 20 consecutive points in the third quarter to take control. The Vikings will lean heavily on Peterson, who rushed for 175 yards in the first meeting and has amassed 982 yards in nine games against the Packers. Jared Allen, who leads the league in sacks with 13.0, had two of Minnesota’s four against Rodgers in Week 6.
ABOUT THE PACKERS (8-0): Rodgers continued his brilliant season by throwing four touchdown passes in a 45-38 win at San Diego. Charlie Peprah and Tramon Williams returned interceptions for TDs as Green Bay surpassed 40 points for the third time this season. It was the second four-touchdown game of the season for Rodgers, who has tossed an off-the-charts 24 scoring passes against only three interceptions. He’s also the first player in league history to compile a passer rating of at least 110 in each of the first eight games to start a season. The defense, particularly against the pass, continues to be a concern after allowing 65 points in the last two games.
LINE MOVEMENT:
This line has moved around a lot between 13 and 14 but it looks like it'll close on the low side of the two-touchdown mark. The total could be found as high as 51.5 but it looks like it's settled at 50.5.
TRENDS:
The Vikings are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as road underdogs but 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games.
The Packers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games and 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games against teams with losing records.
The under is 7-1 in the Vikings' last eight road games while the over is 7-2 in the Packers' last nine home games.
WEATHER:
A little chilly but that's to be expected for a Packer home game. Game-time temperature should be around 41 degrees F.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. Green Bay is the third reigning Super Bowl champ to open the following season 8-0, joining San Francisco (1990) and Denver (1998).
2. Minnesota’s Allen has registered a sack in a franchise-record 10 straight games. He has 11.5 sacks in his last six games against the Packers.
3. The Packers are averaging 34.4 points per game. New Orleans (31.9) is the only other team averaging more than 30.
PREDICTION: Packers 34, Vikings 20. The Vikings will look to use the running of Peterson to play keep-away from Rodgers. It works – for about a half.
MNF - Vikings at Packers
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Two NFC North rivals going in different directions wrap up the Week 10 card at Lambeau Field. The Packers (8-0) are riding a 14-game winning streak dating back to Week 16 of last season, while Green Bay has a terrific shot to finish the regular season at 16-0. The next task for Mike McCarthy's club is the last-place Vikings (2-6), who have played well since changing things up at quarterback.
After the Brett Favre experiment ended last season, the Vikings turned to another veteran in Donovan McNabb. However, that didn't work out well as Minnesota started the season at 0-4, even though the Vikings managed to cover in losses to the Chargers and Lions. Following a humiliating 39-10 blowout loss at Chicago in Week 6, head coach Leslie Frazier decided to pull the plug on McNabb and start rookie Christian Ponder at quarterback.
The first round pick from Florida State infused life into the Minnesota attack, as Ponder threw a pair of touchdown passes in a 33-27 home loss to the Packers. The Vikings covered as 10-point underdogs, as Adrian Peterson ran all over the Green Bay defense with 175 yards and a touchdown. Aaron Rodgers threw for 335 yards and three touchdowns, including two scores in a 20-point third quarter outburst.
Minnesota picked up its second win of the season and first under Ponder in a 24-21 victory at Carolina as three-point 'dogs. The Vikings won the battle of rookie quarterbacks, even though top pick Cam Newton threw for 290 yards and three touchdowns in the loss. Ponder led the Vikings on a pair of scoring drives to erase a seven-point deficit late, including Ryan Longwell's go-ahead field goal with less than three minutes remaining.
The Packers' offense continued to cruise in a 45-38 shootout victory at San Diego last Sunday as 5 ½-point favorites. Rodgers delivered another efficient performance with four touchdown tosses to four different receivers, while the defense intercepted three Philip Rivers' passes. Green Bay improved to 6-2 ATS with the road cover, as the two ATS defeats have come as double-digit away favorites.
This has been an incredible run for the Packers from both the SU and ATS perspective since beating the Giants in Week 16 of last season. Green Bay has covered 11 times during this 14-game winning streak, while cashing in seven of the previous eight contests at Lambeau Field.
Underdogs are on a nice run in Monday night games recently by cashing in each of the last three weeks. However, two of those 'dogs were at home (Jacksonville and Kansas City), while Chicago won outright at Philadelphia last week as eight-point 'dogs, 30-24. The home team is 7-3 SU this season on Monday night, but home favorites are just 3-4 ATS, including the Buccaneers as the lone double-digit home 'chalk' coming into this Monday (Tampa Bay failed to cover in a seven-point win).
Interestingly enough, the Packers are making their one and only appearance under the Monday night lights this season against the Vikings, which is rare for a team that just won the Super Bowl. Granted, Green Bay played in the Thursday night season opener against New Orleans and won 42-34 as five-point favorites, but is playing in its third primetime game this season. The Packers made just one appearance on Monday night last season and lost as three-point favorites at Chicago, 20-17. Green Bay owns a 2-0 SU/ATS mark on Monday nights in McCarthy's tenure at Lambeau Field, including a 27-14 blowout of the Ravens back in 2009.
Minnesota isn't a prime candidate to be on Monday night since the retirement of Favre, as the Vikings are back in this spot for the first time since a 29-20 loss to the Jets last season as four-point underdogs. New York put up a front-door cover on a late interception-return for a touchdown on an errant Favre throw, while the game went 'over' the total of 39 in spite of just nine points scored in the first half.
The Packers are listed as 13-point favorites on Monday night, while the total is set at 50½. The game will be televised nationally on ESPN and kicks off at 8:30 PM EST from Lambeau Field.
NFL Week 10
Vikings (2-6) @ Packers (8-0) - Defending champs are 3-0 as home favorites, winning by 8-26-21 points. Unbeaten Green Bay won 33-27 (-10) at Metrodome three weeks ago, despite Vikings outrushing them 218-114; Pack used 10-yard edge in average field position for win, as eight of 11 Viking drives started 80+ yards from goal line. 2-6 Minnesota has trailed at half in only two games; they’re 4-0 vs spread when they score 23+ points, 1-3 when they don’t. Divisional home favorites are 8-2 vs spread in NFC games. Pack is +11 in turnovers, taking ball away 2+ times in six of last seven games. Vikings lost four of last five visits here, losing by 2-34-5-4 points. Rookie QB Ponder is from Texas, played at Florida State, so a November night in Lambeau could be new experience for him. Four of last five series totals were 52+.