Monday Night Football Free Pick: Patriots vs. Dolphins Predictions
By Anthony Rome
(The Spread) – The AFC East will be featured in the first Monday Night Football game of the season, as the Dolphins host the Patriots at 7:00PM ET.
Odds: Oddsmakers have installed the Patriots as 7-point road favorites against the Dolphins, who may struggle again this year with Chad Henne under center. The over/under total for this game is currently 45.5 points.
Line Movement: The Patriots only opened as a 3.5-point favorite when the spread was released back in April but as expected, the line quickly jumped up. New England is now a 7-point favorite in Vegas and at most books, while the over/under total is 46 after opening at 46.5 in Vegas.
Public Betting: Of the 65,000-plus wagers on tonight’s game, 81% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Patriots –7. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for updated public betting numbers.
NFL Free Pick: Take New England. According to latest NFL trends, the road team is 6-2 against the spread in the last eight meetings between these two teams, while the Patriots are 4-1 against the number in their last five division games. They’re also 13-5 in their last 18 games as a road favorite of 3.5 to 10 points and 44-21-3 ATS in their last 68 road games. The Dolphins, meanwhile, are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall and 1-4 in their last five games against the AFC East. The Patriots upgraded their pass rush in the offseason and should harass Henne all night. Miami’s defense is solid but it could be on the field all night against Tom Brady and Co.
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL FREE PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS –7