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Monday Night Football Seahawks vs. Rams

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SEATTLE (6 - 1) at ST LOUIS (3 - 4) - 10/28/2013, 8:40 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 55-81 ATS (-34.1 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 28-52 ATS (-29.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
SEATTLE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 131-167 ATS (-52.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 131-167 ATS (-52.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 64-93 ATS (-38.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 94-131 ATS (-50.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SEATTLE vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games at home

Seattle at St Louis
Seattle: 16-4 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
St Louis: 30-51 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game

Seattle @ St Louis
The Seahawks are 28-12 ATS overall lately, 13-7 ATS as a favorite, 22-7 ATS versus NFC opponents, 19-9 ATs on turf and 7-1 ATS as a double digit favorite. However Seattle is just 28-52 in October and 0-7 ATS as a conference favorite off an away game. St Louis is 4-2 ATS as a home dog of 10½ to 14 points, but 9-16 ATS as a double digit dog overall, 11-18 ATS versus NC opponents (0-5 last 5), 9-14 ATS playing in a dome and 0-4 ATS on Monday night. Note in the series the underdog is 5-1 ATS the last 6 and note Seattle is 9-3 ATS the last 12 versus St Louis.

 
Posted : October 27, 2013 8:09 pm
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NFL Week 8

Seahawks (7-1) @ Rams (3-4) — Kellen Clemens gets first Ram start under center with Bradford (knee) out for year, not exactly what is needed vs Seattle team that is 14-2 in last 16 series games, though they did lose two of last three visits here, with average total in their last three visits here, 28.7. 4th road game in five weeks for Seattle, with all four games in domes; Seahawks are 5-2 vs spread this year, 3-1 on road, with wins on foreign soil by 5-3-12 points and 34-28 loss at Indy (led 12-0 early). Popular wisdom is that Rams will try to run more with backup QB, but defenses will load up box and make Clemens try and beat them; Rams are 0-4 this year when scoring less than 27 points. On their first drive of game, St Louis has run 26 plays for 70 yards (2.7 ypp) for no points- they’ll need to get ahead early, to keep smallish crowd engaged. If Game 5 of World Series is going on couple of blocks away, this could be a very small crowd. Five of last six Seattle series wins are by 10+ points. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 6-3 vs spread this season. Four of last five Seattle games, six of seven St Louis tilts went over the total.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : October 27, 2013 8:11 pm
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Monday Night Football Betting: Seahawks at Rams
By Covers.com

Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams (+11.5, 42.5)

Having lost their starting quarterback for the season and whiffed on an attempt to lure Brett Favre out of retirement, the St. Louis Rams are facing the unenviable task of solving one of the league's most ferocious defenses in a prime-time matchup. Former No. 1 overall pick Sam Bradford suffered a torn ACL in last week's loss to Carolina, putting Kellen Clemens in the line of fire when the NFC West-leading Seattle Seahawks visit the Rams on Monday night.

The Seahawks have won two straight since their lone defeat at Indianapolis and hold a one-game lead over San Francisco atop the division. Seattle's calling card is a unit that is second in total defense (282.1 yards per game) and interceptions (11) and third in the league in points allowed with an average of 16.6 per game. Although the teams split a pair of narrow decisions last season, the Seahawks have won 14 of the last 16 against St. Louis.

LINE: The Rams opened as 10-point home dogs and are now +11.5. The total opened 42.5.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (6-1): While Seattle's defense receives a ton of attention, the offense has been efficient behind second-year quarterback Russell Wilson and wrecking-ball running back Marshawn Lynch, who is second in the league in rushing with 578 yards. Wilson has thrown for 11 touchdowns versus four interceptions while awaiting the return of marquee wide receiver Percy Harvin, who returned to practice this week after undergoing hip surgery in preseason. The Seahawks are tied for second in turnover differential at plus-7 and have forced at least two in each game.

ABOUT THE RAMS (3-4): St. Louis' modest two-game win streak came to a crashing halt last week at Carolina, a defeat magnified by the loss of Bradford. Clemens, a former second-round pick of the New York Jets who is in his third season with the Rams, has only 12 starts and 31 career appearances on his resume, posting a completion percentage of 51.8 and passer rating of 62.2. Clemens will be relying on a pair of the team's first-year players - wideout Tavon Austin leads all rookies with 29 receptions while running back Zac Stacy is averaging 70 yards rushing in his past three.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Seahawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
* Over is 4-0 in Rams last four games overall.
* Seahawks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six Monday games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Lynch has rushed for 100 yards in three straight against St. Louis.

2. The Rams are 30th in the league in rushing defense at 126.4 yards per game.

3. Wilson is seeking his sixth straight win against an NFC West opponent.

 
Posted : October 27, 2013 8:13 pm
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Seahawks at Rams
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The focus in St. Louis (and most of the Midwest) will be on Busch Stadium tonight with Game 5 of the World Series between the Cardinals and Red Sox. However, the Rams don't want to be forgotten as they wrap up Week 8 in the NFL with a division showdown against the NFC West-leading Seahawks. The task will no doubt be tough for Jeff Fisher's club, who turns to their backup quarterback tonight.

In last week's 30-15 beatdown at Carolina, the Rams not only lost their fourth game of the season, but lost Sam Bradford to a torn left ACL. The former top pick from Oklahoma suffered the knee injury in the fourth quarter, as the St. Louis offense only mustered one touchdown, while failing to cover as 7½-point road underdogs. In spite of the defeat, the Rams sit just one game below .500 at 3-4, but St. Louis will turn to Kellen Clemens to steer the ship at quarterback against a tough Seattle defense.

The Seahawks took care of another division foe on the road last Thursday in a 34-22 rout of Arizona to cash as five-point favorites. Seattle built a 14-0 advantage before Arizona cut the deficit to 17-13 several minutes into the third quarter. The Seahawks erased any Cardinals' hope of a win by scoring the next two touchdowns to maintain a double-digit edge. Pete Carroll's squad improved to 7-1 overall and 5-2 against the number, while the Seahawks look to stay hot on the road again.

Seattle has won three of four games away from CenturyLink Field this season, equaling its victory total on the road from last season already. The Seahawks jumped a huge hurdle in last week's triumph at Arizona, snapping a four-game skid against NFC West opponents on the road dating back to 2011, but Seattle has been up and down when it comes to visiting the Edward Jones Dome.

Last season, the Seahawks were tripped up by the Rams in a 19-13 defeat as 2 ½-point road favorites. That loss came less than one week following the infamous "Hail Mary" touchdown against the Packers with the replacement officials to give Seattle the improbable victory over Green Bay. Following a Marshawn Lynch rushing touchdown, the Seahawks were outscored 19-6 the rest of the way, as Russell Wilson was intercepted three times by the St. Louis defense. The Seahawks have lost two of three visits to the Edward Jones Dome in Carroll's tenure, including twice in the favorite role.

The Rams have won two of three home contests, but the two victories have come against the Cardinals and winless Jaguars. The only defeat came to Seattle's chief rival, San Francisco back in Week 4 in a 35-11 setback. Under Fisher, the Rams have covered all four times as an underdog of at least nine points, including in a Week 6 rout of Houston.

From a totals standpoint, St. Louis has cashed the 'over' in six of seven games, including all three at the Edwards Jones Dome. Seattle drilled the 'under' in the first two weeks of the season, but the Seahawks are riding a 4-1 'over' run, while going 'over' the total in the last three road contests.

Favorites own a 5-3 SU and 3-4-1 ATS record on Monday night football this season, while the Raiders (push at Denver) and Jets (won at Atlanta) saw success as double-digit underdogs. The 'over' cashed at a 5-1 clip to start the season on Mondays, but the 'under' has come back in the last two weeks thanks to strong defensive performances by the Chargers and Giants.

The Seahawks are listed as 11 ½-point favorites in most spots, but that number is hovering around 13 in other locations. The total is set between 43 and 43 ½, as the game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and can be seen on ESPN.

Week 9 Look-ahead:

Five teams opened as road favorites, including the Bengals (at Miami), Saints (at Jets), Chiefs (at Buffalo), Ravens (at Cleveland), and Colts (at Houston). The longest favorite is New Orleans, who is laying 4 ½ points at New York in an interconference matchup.

Seattle will be listed as a double-digit favorite for the fourth time this season next Sunday with a visit from winless Tampa Bay. The Seahawks opened as 16½-point favorites, while going 1-1 ATS against Jacksonville and Tennessee at home in large 'chalk' spots.

 
Posted : October 28, 2013 10:15 am
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NFL: Streaks, Trends, Notes
Sportspic.com

Seattle at St Louis

Seattle off a convincing 34-22 victory on the road against the Cardinals head into St. Louis huge Monday Night favorites as they take on Rams minus Sam Bradford lost for the season after suffering a torn ACL in a 30-15 loss at Carolina. The Seattle offense in a groove scoring 27.3 points per game along with a dominant defense limiting opponents to an average of 16.6 points the Seahawks should have little trouble disposing Bradford-less Rams. Sports bettors expecting an easy trip to the cash window with Seahawks need to keep in mind. Since Pete Caroll took over reigns in Seattle the Seahawks are 3-3 ATS vs Rams including a pair of non-cover last season. Seahawks suffered a 19-13 week-four loss right here at Edward Jones Dome as 2 point road favorite before bouncing back with a 20-13 home victory as 11 point favorite in the final week of play. Pulling the trigger on the weaker team is a stretch. But, can't ignore the fact that division familiarity takes it's toll on road favorites. In the NFC West, road favorites are just 6-11 ATS since 2010 and that includes Seahawks being 1-3 ATS under Pete Caroll. Double digit favorites 8-7-1 ATS this season, MNF favorites 3-3-1 ATS, Seattle 0-3 ATS in Week-8 action the road to the cash window is a hazardous one for Seahawks.

 
Posted : October 28, 2013 10:16 am
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MNF heads to St. Louis
By Sportsbook.ag

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (6-1) at ST. LOUIS RAMS (3-4)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Seattle -14 & 44
Opening Line & Total: Seahawks -10 & 42

The Seahawks head into St. Louis on Monday night where they meet a Rams team that will be without quarterback Sam Bradford for the rest of the season.

Seattle played the Thursday night game last week and came away with a convincing 34-22 victory on the road against the Cardinals. The Rams, on the other hand, came up empty-handed in Carolina as they committed three turnovers and fell 30-15 against the Panthers. St. Louis quarterback Sam Bradford tore his ACL in the game and will be replaced by Kellen Clemens for the time being. Considering the team contacted 44-year-old Brett Favre to be its starter, Clemens does not figure to be a long-term solution. In the past five meetings between these teams, the Seahawks are 4-1 SU with the last matchup being a 20-13 victory for Seattle last December. However, the Rams covered as 10.5-point underdogs and won outright 19-13 at home when these division foes last met at Edward Jones Dome.

The Seahawks are 16-4 ATS (80%) off 1 or more straight Overs in the past three seasons, and are also 13-4 ATS (77%) against conference opponents in the past two seasons. St. Louis has favorable trends too though, as Jeff Fisher is 47-27 ATS (64%) in weeks 5 through 9 as an NFL head coach, and Seattle is just 24-43 ATS (36%) after a win over a division rival since 1992.

Seattle went into the desert and defeated the Cardinals behind the superb play of QB Russell Wilson, who threw for 235 yards (8.1 YPA), three touchdowns and no interceptions in the game. He also rushed for 29 yards, but did fumble three times, losing two of those. Wilson has now thrown for 1,489 yards (8.0 YPA), 11 touchdowns and just four interceptions on the season, but he has taken 20 sacks and fumbled eight times, losing five of those. RB Marshawn Lynch continued to run the ball extremely well with 91 yards on 21 carries with a score, giving him 578 rushing yards (2nd in NFL) and six rushing touchdowns (T-2nd in league) for the season. WR Golden Tate was Wilson's leading receiver with four receptions for 77 yards, but his targets should decrease with the return of top WR Percy Harvin (hip) nearing. Harvin has a slight chance to play in this game, but he is more likely to return next week.

Although TE Zach Miller and WR Sidney Rice both caught touchdown passes versus the Cardinals, there is no guarantee they do it again as Wilson spreads the wealth, completing passes to nine different receivers in that victory. The Seattle defense has been stellar this season as it is allowing a league-low 4.5 yards per play with just 190.6 passing yards per game (2nd in NFL) and 91.6 rushing yards per game (6th in NFL). The Seahawks rank third in the league in scoring defense (16.6 PPG) despite a below average time of possession (29:42). This defensive unit has forced multiple turnovers in all seven games (19 total), and recorded a season-high seven sacks last week. This will make it very difficult for new Rams QB Kellen Clemens to move the football.

St. Louis Rams was a devastating blow with Sam Bradford tearing his ACL in the midst of his best pro season (90.9 passer rating, 24 passing YPG, 14 TD, 4 INT). His backup Clemens (2-for-4, 19 yards last week) will start in Week 8, but is just 4-8 as a starter in the NFL with his last win coming in 2009. His last start was in December of 2011 where he threw completed just 45% of his passes for 226 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. He also rushed for 18 yards and a touchdown in that game against the 49ers, a 34-27 home loss. St. Louis is now going to rely heavily on their new starting RB Zac Stacy (214 rush yards, 4.3 YPC, 1 TD), who carried the ball 17 times for just 53 yards (3.1 YPC) against the Panthers last week, but he did catch four passes for 34 yards and a touchdown out of the backfield.

With a shaky starting quarterback, the Rams will hand it off to Stacy as much as they can but it will be hard for him to get it going against the Seahawks stout rush defense. The Rams' run defense has been just the opposite, surrendering 126.4 rushing YPG (3rd-worst in NFL), and will have to step it up otherwise Marshawn Lynch will really make them pay. St. Louis hasn't been great defending the pass either though, allowing 8.0 yards per pass attempt, which is the second-highest number in the league. The Rams tied for the league lead in sacks last year (52), but they have just 18 sacks this season (T-16th in NFL). But they will try to exploit Wilson being turnover-prone, as St. Louis has been able to generate nine takeaways over the past four games. However, this won't be as easy if top CB Cortland Finnegan (thigh) remains out.

 
Posted : October 28, 2013 3:12 pm
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