SIXTH SENSE
WASHINGTON –2 Pittsburgh 36.5
Washington defeated the Lions last week 25-17 and out gained the Lions 6.9yppl to 5.4yppl, including 9.8yps. Pittsburgh lost at home to the Giants, 14-21 and out gained the Giants 4.4yppl to 4.2yppl but were sacked five times and Roethlisberger threw four interceptions. They did hold the Giants to just 2.4ypr, which is impressive and rushed for 4.3ypr against a good Giants rush defense but they allowed 6.2yps and were held to just 4.5yps. If they can’t throw the ball better than that they will struggle against the better teams. Pittsburgh averages just 5.0yppl against 5.2yppl on offense so they are below average. The defense is allowing just 2.8ypr against 4.1ypr, 4.4yps against 5.9yps and 3.8yppl against 5.1yppl. Washington averages 4.7ypr against 4.3ypr, 6.7yps against 6.5yps and 5.7yppl against 5.5yppl. They allow just 5.5yps against 6.5yps and 4.9yppl against 5.5yppl. The Redskins qualify in a home momentum situation, which is 79-34-6 as well as another momentum situation, which is 28-8-2. They also qualify in the same 27-8-2 Monday night situation Tennessee qualified in last week. From the fundamental side, they qualify in two rushing situations, which are 207-122-15 and 282-192-20. Numbers favor Washington by three points and predict about 33 points. Much like Tennessee and Pittsburgh (which I lost) last week, we have a good defensive team that runs the ball well playing at home laying a short number. That’s worth a look for me. WASHINGTON 21 PITTSBURGH 13
BEST BET
3% WASHINGTON –2
Jimmy Boyd
5* MNF BEST BET on Redskins -1
So far the Steelers are 0-2 against the NFC East in 2008 and they'll fall to 0-3 on Monday Night Football. The Steelers offensive line is not as solid as it has been in the past and we knew that would be the case coming into the season with the loss of Alan Faneca. It has struggled against team with a strong pass rush like the Eagles and the Giants and that will continue to be Pitt's Achilles heel this week. The Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Monday games, 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Redskins are 22-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Take the Skins at home.
Dr. Bob
3*Washington -2.5 or less
Ron Raymond
5* Steelers / Redskins Under 36.5
Dominic Brando Sports
150 Units WASHINGTON REDSKINS MONEY LINE -125 OR -1/-130
Frank Patron
7500 Unit NFL Lock
Pittsburgh Steelers +1.5
Players of America
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Washington Redskins
The Play: Pittsburgh Steelers +3.0
Star Value: 5* (50 Units)
Matt Fargo Guaranteed Selections
Pittsburgh Steelers at Washington Redskins
Play Steelers / Redskins Under 37
It is Monday night and so far this season, the over has been the ticket with seven of the eight games surpassing the number with one push in the mix as well. The public not only likes overs to begin with but on Monday night when even more of the public is wagering, more over action is coming in. Now when a trend like this comes into play, we will see even more over action. This number has dropped from an opening of 38 but that is due to early sharp action and not public action.
We have two of the best defenses squaring off tonight as the Steelers are currently 1st in the NFL in total defense, allowing 236 ypg while the Redskins check in at 4th, allowing 278.1 ypg. The two combined to allow an average of just over 33 ppg and neither team is going to yield a whole lot. After allowing 24 points two times in their first four games, the Redskins have allowed 16 ppg over their last four games. Pittsburgh meanwhile has not allowed more than 21 points in any game this season.
The Washington offense has been surprisingly strong as it is 7th in the league in total offense, averaging 364.3 ypg. The problem has been that scoring points has not come easy as the Redskins are averaging 20.6 ppg which is 24th in the NFL. They have a 17.66 YPPT (yard per point) ratio which is the third highest in the league. As a comparison, the other four teams in the top five are Oakland, Kansas City, Cincinnati and St. Louis. They are 29th, 26th, 32nd and 30th in total offense so the Washington ranking of 6th is flawed.
The Steelers are 25th in total offense as they have not been able to get any sort of consistency together. They put up solid point totals against the Bengals and Texans, scoring 38 points in each of those games, but those two defenses are not strong at all. Pittsburgh has faced four teams in the top ten in the league in total defense and it has averaged 14.8 ppg in those games in regulation, not counting the three points scored in overtime against the Ravens. This offensive line is a mess and it will show again tonight. 7* Under Pittsburgh Steelers/Washington Redskins
Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections
$500K NON CONFERENCE MONDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE YEAR
WASHINGTON
Matt Rivers
1. 100,000♦ Redskins
2. 50,000♦ Bulls
1. This price is just too cheap! I do believe that all in all Pittsburgh is the more stout and solid overall team that has a better shot at going further in the playoffs but right now with all of their injuries and being on the road it is just too much to ask them to win this game which they pretty much have to do in order to cover. Mike Tomlin's team blew that last game at home against the Giants in the fourth quarter. I watched that game and something just seemed to be missing. Ben Roethlisberger was not able to get off and things just did not look all rosy for the home boys at Heinz Field. Washington is a team that I do not fully trust and especially not when laying big numbers but I do think that the Redskins at home here on Monday night will man up and take care of business. Jason Campbell has been very consistent this season, Clinton Portis is clearly an MVP candidate and Santana Moss, Antwan Randle El, Chris Cooley and a few others are skilled players at skilled positions. Pittsburgh can come in and punch Washington in the mouth a little but Jim Zorn's team is not close to being all finesse and no toughness as they will not just get knocked out. I expect a competitive game but the Steelers are a beat up team that in the end just should not win this game on the road against a quality opponent. Washington at home should be at least a field goal chalk here and to get under that three is a semi coup and a no-brainer!
2. The Magic are a talented team that will make some noise before all is said and done but right now Dwight Howard and the boys are just not playing very good ball at all. Orlando was wretched in the opener at home against the Hawks in a blowout loss and then looked terrible in Memphis losing to a poor Grizzlies group. They did rebound in that last game beating another awful team in Sacramento but I'm not so sure that things have been fully corrected. I like da Bulls this season with a blossiming superstar in Derrick Rose and believe that last season's debacle was just a poor underachieving season. Chicago is a team with a ton of talent as Rose is a stud and Gordon, Deng, Hinrich, Thomas and others are really solid NBA players. If these guys come together and reach their potential we are looking at one of the better teams in the entire Eastern Conference. Playing on the road here is difficult no doubt but I can see an outright and to therefore get a number back like this is certainly enough for me. Da Bulls!
Brandon Lang
10 Dime - Redskins
FREE - Redskins/Steelers Under
Tommy Rider
Game of the Month
Steelers +3 (3 units)
Normally I wouldn't give out a Game of the Month this early but I looked over the other Monday Night games for November and I don't see a situation I like better than this one. I know a lot of people will be on Washington tonight but I really love the Steelers in this matchup. I think Pittsburgh is a pretty easy team to figure out. When they play a team that can put pressure on the quarterback, they are going to struggle. We saw that against the Giants and Eagles, who sacked Ben Roethlisberger a combined 13 times. The problem for the Skins is they don't rush the passer well, recording only 10 sacks on the season so far. I think Big Ben will be able to sit in the pocket tonight and survey the field. When he is able to do that, the Steelers are tough to beat.
On the other side of the ball, Jason Campbell is developing nicely but he's still the kind of quarterback who needs a running game to feed off of. That isn't going to happen tonight. Clinton Portis has been sensational this year but no one runs the ball on Pittsburgh. I think the Steelers will force Campbell to beat them and with Santana Moss battling a serious groin injury, I don't see that happening. After not registering any sacks last week, I expect James Harrison and LaMarr Woodley to cause a lot of havoc tonight rushing off the edge.
I think this is a good spot for Pittsburgh coming off a loss. Plus, they play well on Monday Night and there is something to that. Having traveled around with a team, I know that they hate Monday night games because it changes up their schedule and football teams are all about a consistent schedule. So Pittsburgh playing well on MNF is no fluke. I think this is a great matchup for the Steelers so I'll gladly take a field goal in a game I believe they will win outright.
Scott Spreitzer
25* Steelers / Redskins Under
MONEYLOCKOFTHEDAY
76ers/Kings Under 198 (3 Units)
Warriors -2 (2 Units)
Steelers/Redskins Over 36.5 (3 Units)
WINNING ANGLE SPORTS
PLAY ON PITTSBURGH
Pittsburgh has won 3 of the last 4 Monday Night Football games and they have won 3 of the last 4 games coming off a home loss. Pittsburgh has won 3 consecutive games vs. Washington and they are only allowing an average of 13 points a game on defense in road games this season.Play on Pittsburgh plus the points on Monday