SIXTH SENSE
ARIZONA –9.5 San Francisco 46
Arizona dominated St. Louis last week in their 34-13 win. They out gained the Rams 7.5yppl to 4.2yppl. Those numbers include out passing the Rams 9.5yps to 4.9yps and when you take away the 80 yard fluky touchdown pass for the Rams their passing numbers are just 2.6yps. SF is off their bye week after losing at home to Seattle. They out gained Seattle in that game and Shaun Hill came in to play quarterback and looked pretty decent and will get the start here. SF averages 4.5ypr against 4.0ypr but just 6.0yps against 6.6yps although I expect those numbers to get better with Hill. Overall they average 5.4yppl against 5.5yppl. They allow 3.6ypr against 4.1ypr and 5.1yppl against 5.3yppl. Arizona rushed for 177 yards at 5.4ypr last week, which is great considering they have not rushed the ball well this year. Do this against the Rams isn’t quite as impressive as it might be against the Ravens but it was still a nice improvement. Part of that reason is they have gone to Tim Hightower to rush the ball for them, replacing E. James. Arizona averages 7.4yps against 6.2yps and 5.9yppl against 5.2yppl. They allow 5.5yppl against 5.4yppl. SF qualifies in my turnover table, which is 388-247-18. They also qualify in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 657-528-42, including a subset, which is 527-399-30. Numbers favor Arizona by 10.5 points and predict about 56 points. SF hasn’t lost by more than seven points here over the last six years. They won last years game here 37-31. In fact they have totaled at least 59 points in each of the last three games played here. In 2005 they played the game in Mexico. SF has totaled at least 46 points in each of their road games this year and allowed 29 or more in all but two of their games. Arizona has scored at least 30 points in each of their three home games this year. They defeated the 49ers by 10 in the first game of the season but were out gained in that game 6.8yppl to 4.3yppl. Five 49er turnovers did them in. I will only lean towards the 49ers in this game but I do like the over based on value and past history not only in both teams games this year but in this series history played here. ARIZONA 34 SAN FRANCISCO 26
3% ARIZONA/SAN FRANICSCO OVER 46
Robert Ferringo
1-Unit Play.San Francisco (+9.5) over Arizona
GAMEDAY
1* ARIZONA -9.5
DOC
3 Unit Play.Take San Francisco 49ers +9 ½ over Arizona Cardinals
Just too many points to be laying in a divisional match-up that has been very competitive in recent years. The visitor has covered five times in the last seven meetings (1 tie) and Arizona will be looking ahead to Seattle, a team they face next weekend. The Cardinals put forth a workman’s like effort that is good enough for the victory but not the cover. Arizona 27, San Francisco 21
Andrew Powers
Indiana -11
Brandon Lang
10 Dime 6-point teaser - Arizona and Over
FREE - Boston Celtics
Winning Angle
Play Arizona (-9.5) over San Francisco*
San Francisco has lost 11 of the last 14 games coming off a loss by 14 points or more and they have also lost 15 of the last 21 games against the spread as an underdog. San Francisco has lost 8 of the last 9 games against the spread coming off an OVER the total and they are allowing an average of over 30 points a game on defense in road games this season.
Play on Arizona minus the points on Monday
Pro Sports Plays
Take Arizona (-9.5) over San Francisco
(10* Top Play)
San Francisco has lost 5 consecutive games and they have also lost 6 consecutive games against the spread coming off a home loss by 21 points or more. San Francisco has lost 12 of the last 15 games as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
BeatYourBookie
100* Play Arizona (-9.5) over San Francisco
San Francisco is 1-8 ATS after allowing 30 points or more over the last 2 years
San Francisco is 5-14 ATS vs. conference opponents over the last 2 seasons
San Francisco is 1-8 ATS coming off an OVER the total
MONEYLOCKOFTHEDAY
Arizona -9.5 (3 Units)
Portland/Orlando Under 193 (3 Units)
Erin Rynning
Playmaker Memphis +11.5
20* San Francisco
Lenny Del Genio
25* MNF GOY
49ers
Nick Bogdanovich
Small Cardinals -10
JOE PHILLIPS
NFL MON NIGHT GAME OF THE YEAR
The Arizona Cardinals have the #1 scoring offense in the NFL avging over 29 ppg with Q.B. Curt Warner 2431 yds passing to the best W.R. tandems in the league with Larry Fitzpatrick and Anquan Bolden with 91 catches combined. R.B. Tim Hightower has been installed as the starter with 109 yds lst wk and a T.D. vs the Rams. The defense allows just 23.5 ppg. San Francisco has benched Q.B. J.T. O'Sullivan after throwing 11 picks and losing 6 fumbles as well over the first 8 games for Shawn Hill who will be making his first start of the season.49ER defense allowing 28.8 ppg.
Take the ARIZONA CARDINALS AT HOME
Larry Ness
NBA Monday Monster Play
15* Mia Heat
Non-Conf Game of the Week
15* Orlando Magic