SIXTH SENSE
CAROLINA –3 Tampa Bay 38
Carolina comes off a nice outing at GB with a 35-31 win. They out gained the Packers 6.5yppl to 5.8yppl, including out passing GB 8.9yps to 6.2yps. They were out rushed 5.0ypr to 4.8ypr. Those yards per play numbers could have been worse knowing Carolina threw the ball only 19 times and GB threw the ball 47 times to skew the overall YPPL numbers. TB won at home against NO but they were out gained 5.0yppl to 4.2yppl, including being out passed 6.0yps to 3.9yps. They did out rush NO 4.4ypr to 2.4ypr. TB has struggled on offense this year, gaining just 4.1ypr against 4.4ypr and 5.9yps against 6.3yps for a total of 5.1yppl against 5.5yppl. The defense has been solid allowing just 3.8ypr against 4.2ypr, 5.5yps against 6.4yps and 4.8yppl against 5.5yppl. Carolina averages 6.6yps against 6.3yps and 5.5yppl against 5.4yppl. Their defense has played just as well against the pass allowing 5.5yps against 6.4yps. They aren’t quite as good against the run allowing 4.1ypr against 4.1ypr and 4.9yppl against 5.4yppl overall. Carolina qualifies in a Monday night situation, which is 27-8-2. They also qualify in a rushing situation, which is 206-120-15. Numbers favor Carolina by 4.5 points and predict about 32 points. Carolina is 6-0 at home this year. TB has played three teams on the road this year that are above .500 and they have lost all three of those games although the losses have been by 4, 3 and 4 points. Better offense, equally good defense, solid situations and a short number make this a good situation to play Carolina. CAROLINA 20 TAMPA BAY 10
3% CAROLINA -3
Pointwise Phone Play
2* Carolina
Steve Budin
100 Dime Carolina
Gameday
Lean Carolina-3
ATS Lock Club
3 units Bucs +3.5
ATS Financial
3 Units Carolina/Tampa OVER 38
JEFFERSONSPORTS
NCAA HOOPS EARLY RELEASE
WICHITA ST.+2
Wichita St. has played some very tough games. They have put up about the same numbers as TCU but against a lot tougher competition. Wichita St. and TCU run at a slower than avg tempo but Wich St. is extremely more efficient. This gives us the edge. A size advantage and a few more days of rest and practice should help here as well. They stormed back at Tex Tech before falling in a close game. They should carry some of that late game momentum into this.
GREG ROBERTS
5* NFL GAME OF THE YEAR
CAROLINA PANTHERS -3
Doc
3 Unit Play.Take Carolina Panthers -3 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
BIG AL
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR
CAROLINA
ATS Lock Club
3 Units Wichita State +2.5
ATS Financial Package
3 Units San Diego -11
Steve Liebmen
Houston Rockets -7
San Diego -11
Indiancowboy
4 Unit Play Take Over 193 between Houston Rockets @ Mempihs Grizzlies (POD)
This is not a mistake, this is meant for a 4 unit play. I am debating whether or not to do 4 units for my POD and 3 units for all of my regular plays and will consider this and am trying this out. But, as per this play, I do like the 4 unit wager as compared to the 3 unit wager. I think the over is a solid play here for several reason here. Notice more than 75% favor Houston here, that itself is scary. Houston beat this team 82-71 earlier this year so this is a revenge game for Memphis. That game went well under the posted total but Houston can play overs when they face competitive games on the road - take a look at the Denver, Miami, Oklahoma City and Orlando games on the road. Memphis lost by 19 points on the road to New Orleans as they return home as so they are obviously not in a good mood. Memphis did come off that nice win against the Clippers and since they haven't won many games this year, maybe it was a let down in the pscyhe. The bottom line is Houston has gone over the last 7 out of 8 road games, they have gone over the last 5 road games and Memphis is 4-0 when facing a team with a winning % of greater than 60%. I expect Memphis to be competitive in this game and consequently expect this game to go over the posted total.
3 Unit Play. Oklahoma City -4 over Golden State Warriors
Note, that Jackson is questionable for this game as is Maggatte. So you wonder why nearly 80% are riding the jock straps of the Warriors and it makes you amused. Look, OKC has been playing much better basketball as they come off a competitive game against Orlando and are on an ATS run that has quietly gone unnoticed. GS is still extremely young and they are not led by the veteran leadership they once had. Thus, the Monte Ellis, Baron Davis leadership is gone as Ellis is still hurt - not to mention Richardson is no longer there as well. This team is led with young guys who have to go on the road to get it done and they might not even have Jackson or Maggatte suiting up for this baby. The only reason why I was wary of choosing the Thunder over the Warriors is the fact that this team lost by 30+ to the Spurs on the road recently and Don Nelson will likely get it his players fired up, but having said that, I think OKC is due for a breakout game as they have been playing great competitive basketball lately and they might just win this game by DD as it comes down to pure shooting and I think the Warriors if they don't have either Maggatte or Jackson are in a lot of trouble this game. But, it all depends on their injury status. Look, the bottom line here, OKC is playing great basketball, they were competitive against Miami, Orlando and Charlotte all on the road and covered. They beat Memphis Outright on the road. They have covered their last 7 of 8 and, they have solid new coaching and they will get it done against an injured GS squad. Besides 85% of the public I believe will get buried today taking GS foolishly not reading the injury status as to why GS is actually catching points rather than laying points.
San Jose State +9.5 over San Diego
This is exactly why you do the Research each and every day. It is to find such value as this ever day. Did you know that San Diego lost their leading scorer for the year? His name is Brandon Johnson and it is a huge loss for this team this year. San Diego is a competent team, but it can be seen that this team is more defensive now with the loss of Johnson. After all, this team put up 46 points at San Diego State. The total for this game is set at 114. Hence, we are getting 9.5 points on a team that is in tact, who comes off a 1 possession loss to Santa Clara and hence on a bounce-back, who has revenge aginst this San Diego team from last year's loss and San Diego is still reeling from their leading scorer going down. Gyno Pomare and Chris Lewis are going to have to pick up the slack at home and I'm not saying they won't win this game, but I am saying they don't have all their wheels in bearing completely yet and San Jose State comes of their own respectivce loss and will make this a great ballgame. While over 60% favors San Diego, this is another solid fade as this game does not take into account the injury nor the fact that San Jose State can play some solid defense of their own. I have SJS losing by just 3 in this game. I will take the 9.5.
The Prez has MNF GOY going tonight. He's on Carolina -3
Good luck