Ben Burns
Personal Favorite
Toronto
Dr Bob
CAROLINA (-3.0) 21 Tampa Bay 18
The winner of this marquee match up takes over the lead in the tough NFC South and this is a tough game to call. Tampa Bay is 0.1 yards per play below average offensively team with Jeff Garcia at quarterback, from a yards per play perspective, but the Bucs are actually better than average on offense because Garcia rarely turns the ball over (just 7 interceptions thrown total over the last two seasons). Carolina’s defense has allowed 5.0 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.4 yppl against an average team, so the Panthers have a 0.5 yppl advantage when the Bucs have the ball. The Panthers, meanwhile, are 0.5 yppl better than average on offense since week 3 (star WR Steve Smith was suspended the first 2 games and the Panthers struggled), but Tampa Bay is among the best defensive teams in the nation and rate at 0.8 yppl better than average (4.8 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.6 yppl) and the Bucs have a 0.2 yppl advantage over the Carolina attack. While the Panthers have an overall advantage of 0.2 yppl from the line of scrimmage, the Buccaneers have a 2.2 points advantage in projected turnovers and have an edge in special teams with Clifton Smith now returning kicks and punts for the Bucs (Smith has averaged 17.6 yards per punt return and 29.5 yards per kick off return). This game is even mathematically even with Carolina’s home field advantage, but Tampa Bay does apply to a negative 42-82-5 ATS situation. I’ll pass on this one.
Primetime Sports Advisors
50 units Carolina -3
5 units Orlando -3
Bob Balfe
Panthers -3 over Bucs
These teams are evenly matched, but the difference tonight will be the defensive line play. Carolina matches up very well against the Bucs and has a ton of experience on defense. Tampa's Defensive Line is hurting with the only healthy player being Chris Hovan. Look for DeAngelo Williams to do enough on the ground to open up the Panthers passing attack. Carolina plays so well at home and will want to get revenge from the beat down they took earlier this season in Tampa. Let's take the home Panthers.
Rocketman
5* Tampa Bay +205
4* Nashville -115
Nashville is 12-6 SU and ATS overall vs St Louis the past 3 years. Predators are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Predators are 6-1 in their last 7 road games. Predators are 4-1 in their last 5 Monday games. Predators are 4-1 in their last 5 overall. Predators are 21-10 in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Blues are 17-37 in their last 54 vs. Western Conference. Blues are 46-100-1 in their last 147 vs. a team with a winning record. Blues are 2-5 in their last 7 home games. Blues are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win. Blues are 16-42 in their last 58 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Blues are 7-19 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Blues are 7-19 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Blues are 1-5 in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Predators are 20-6 in the last 26 meetings. Predators are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in St. Louis.
NFL
4* Carolina -3
RAS
San Jose State 1.5 UNITS
Lenny Del Genio
Oddsmaker Mismatch
Carolina
Pro Sports Plays
10* Take Miami (-7.5) over Charlotte (NBA Top Play)
Miami has won 4 consecutive games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they have also won 4 of the last 5 games. Miami is averaging over 100 points a game at home this season.
10* Take Hawaii (+22.5) over Illinois (NCAA Top Play)
Illinois has lost 8 of the last 9 games against the spread coming off a win by 15 points or more and they have also lost 11 of the last 14 games against the spread when playing in the month of December.
5* Take San Jose State (+11.5) over San Diego (NCAA Bonus Play)
Take Carolina (-3) over Tampa Bay
(10* Top Play)
Tampa Bay has lost 13 of the last 17 games as a road underdog and they have also lost 15 of the last 22 games when playing on the road.
BeatYourBookie
100* Play Carolina (-3) over Tampa Bay
Carolina is 5-0 SU revenging a loss when the team scored less than 14 points
Carolina is 9-1 SU when playing on natural grass fields this season
Carolina is 5-1 SU over the last 6 games
100* Play Houston (-7) over Memphis
Memphis is 0-7 ATS after having lost 3 of the last 4 games
Memphis is 11-24 ATS when playing in the month of December
Memphis is allowing an average of 102 ppg on defense the last 5 games
100* Play Wichita State (+2) over TCU
Wichita State is 9-1 ATS coming off 3 or more non-conference games
Wichita State is allowing an average of 61 ppg on defense
Bonus Hoops & Hockey Plays
50* Play Hawaii (+22.5) over Illinois
50* Play Ottawa (-165) over Florida
WinningAngle
Play on Carolina (-3) over Tampa Bay*
(Top NFL Guarantee)
Carolina has won 5 of the last 6 games and they have also won 6 consecutive home games this season. Carolina has won 7 of the last 8 games as a favorite this season and they are only allowing 13 points a game on defense at home this season.
Play on Carolina minus the points on Monday
Play Miami (-7.5) over Charlotte* (Top NBA Play)
Play San Jose State (+11.5) over San Diego* (Top NCAA Play)
Play Wichita State (+2) over TCU*
Play Boston (-240) over Tampa Bay* (Top NHL Play)
Brandon Lang
20 Dime Panthers
(if your man has 3-1/2 you buy the 1/2 and only lay 3. Remember, don't ever get beat by the hook)
FREE - Bucs/Panthers Over
Kelso
Chairman's Club
10 Units Panthers (-3) over Buccaneers
Northcoast
Monday Night Marquee
TB/CAR Under 39
Opposite Action Plays
PANTHERS
Ron Raymond
Rockets/Grizzlies Under