JOHN RYAN
Ai Simulator 10* graded play UNDER Missouri/Northwestern in the Alamo Bowl. For once this season the Missouri defense will be facing a team they matchup well against and based on the AiS projections I fully expect them to play extremely well. Missouri has faced the strongest and most prolific offenses in the nation and this experience will have them well prepared to face an average offense in Northwestern. AiS also shows an 88% probability that Northwestern will not gain more than 150 rushing yards. Note that Missouri is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards over the last 2 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 37-8 UNDER for 82% since 1997 and is a perfect 7-0 UNDER this season. Play under with any team against the total in non-conference games and are off 2 straight losses to conference rivals allowing 31 points or more. Here is a second system that has gone 30-8 UNDER for 79% since 2002. Play under with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games and is a good team winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season. Reflecting the "seasoning" that Missouri has endured this season Northwestern is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) versus passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 62% or worse since 1992. Again, Northwestern is NOT Texas tech, Texas, or Oklahoma by any stretch of analysis. Even against Michigan and Illinois, Northwestern, did not rush the ball well. Note that they are 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992. Take the UNDER.
BEN BURNS
I'm taking the points with CHARLESTON. I successfully played against the Wildcats in their last game, a blowout loss at Purdue. That came way back on 12/20, meaning there could be some rust this evening. Regardless, I again feel that the Wildcats are over-valued and I expect them to have their hands full vs. a Cougars team which is currently playing excellent ball. While they don't have a big name star like Stephen Curry, the Cougars have quietly won nine straight games and are an impressive 10-1 on the season. Their lone loss came nearly six weeks ago and it was vs. Temple, a team which also defeated Tennessee. The Cougars have gone a perfect 5-0 ATS in lined games since that loss. While the schedule has admittedly been rather soft, the Cougars did hand a 9-1 South Carolina team its only loss. Bobby Cremins is an excellent coach and he's got his team at 4-1 ATS the last five times they were underdogs of six points or less. Cremins has six players averaging double-digits in scoring and the Cougars are coming off a 1-point win at Winthrop on 12/22. Look for that "close game" experience to serve them well here as they continue their best start since the 2001-02 season. *TV GOW
I'm taking the points with OKLAHOMA CITY. I played on the Thunder when these teams faced each other here last month. Oklahoma City came in as 9.5 point underdogs and lost by only one point. I feel that the Thunder will give the Suns a much tougher game than expected once again. Phoenix hasn't played since suffering a tough loss on Christmas Day, which isn't always a positive. (The Suns are already 0-1 SU/ATS this season when playing with three or more day's rest in between games.) With their loss on Christmas, the Suns fell to an ugly 3-9 ATS their last dozen games. Including last month's earlier result here, the Suns are just 2-6 ATS against teams with a losing record. Conversely, the Thunder are 13-5 ATS their last 18 games and 11-5-1 ATS on the season when facing a team with a winning record. They're also 3-1 ATS when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss and 4-2 ATS in the revenge role overall. Additionally, the Thunder/Sonics are 7-1-1 ATS their last nine games in this series. Look for another highly competitive effort here as they take the game down to the wire with a shot at the upset. *Annihilator
I'm playing on Rutgers and NC State to finish UNDER the total. This total has climbed from its opener and I feel that the current number is offering us excellent value. Yes, both offenses closed out the season on a high note. Both teams were also relatively solid defensively on the season though, particularly Rutgers, and both were strong on that side of the ball down the stretch. Both teams saw three of their five road games dip below the number. The Scarlet Knights held each of their last four opponents to 17 points or less and to an average of just 12.5. On the season, they held 10 of 12 opponents to 24 points or less. As for the Wolfpack, they did allow 28 points in their finale. However, they'd held each of their previous three opponents to 17 points or less, with those teams averaging less than 15. Overall, five of the Wolfpack's last six games finished with 51 combined points or less. Ten of their 12 games finished with 58 points or less on the season, nine of them finishing with 56 or less. The UNDER was 2-0 when the Wolfpack were coming off a bye with games against Florida State and Duke producing 43 and 44 points. While the Wolfpack didn't get to a bowl in his first year here, it's worth noting that O'Brien had seen both his last two bowl games, while with Boston College, finish with less than 50 combined points. Look for this afternoon's final combined score to also prove lower than expected with the UNDER improving to 17-7 the last 24 times that Rutgers played a non-conference game which had a total. *Best Bet
Tommy the Swami
North Carolina St +7 vs Rutgers
Play ON a Bowl dog in this spread range with 28+ days rest off a SU win in its last game and an underdog SU win before that. 11-0 ATS since 1995, beating the spread by close to16 ppg. These ferocious dogs have won 9 of the 10 games outright, with the only loss coming by a single point.Bowl Favs that are 3-0 SU/ATS their lst 3 gms are on an 18-34 run thru their last 52 gms.
Opposite Action Plays
Northwestern
JB Sports
Denver Nuggets
Ron Raymond
Nashville Predators
Mike Lineback
NC State
Tony George
Memphis Grizzlies
Rocketman
Murray St
ASA
3 * NC State
Alatex
SuperPlay NC State
Teddy June
Rutgers
Wildcat
7* NC State/Rutgers Over
Dr. Canada
Rangers
Flames
Kings
Hey Blade for the first time i see Dr.Canada do you know his record so far in NHL?
apeche
19* rutgers
12* rutgers over
17* northwestern
24* northwestern over
8-8 +5.9* YTD in bowls
5-2 L 7 bowl games +48.7 *
1-0 on Sunday +15*