Monday Service Picks

Marc Lawrence 100% NFL MONDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH! - Monday 10/1

Play On: Cincinnati Bengals
Note: Monday night road favorites off BB wins of 20 or more points are 5-17 ATS, including 0-5 ATS if they are undefeated on the season. With the Bengals off back-to-back losses, grab the points in a game loaded with value here tonight. No surprise to see Cincinnati win this game straight-up!

Advantage Sports

Best Bet: New England/Cincinnati OVER

Spylock (1-1 NFL Sun. ; 3-0 last week)

1* New England

Doc's

2* Cincinnati +7

Joe Gavazzi

4* New England

PPP Penthouse

5% New England

Dr. Bob

New England Patriots

ROBERT FERRINGO

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 53.5 New England at Cincinnati (8 p.m., Monday, Oct. 1)

This is a move against the public. Now, I have to warn you, if this game does go ‘over’ it will likely be by about 20 points. However, over the last three years there have been 15 games with a total in the 50’s and teams are just 2-13 against those posted total. Bill Belichick is smart enough to know that he needs to run the ball to beat the Bengals, while Cincinnati can move the chains just well enough keep the clock moving.

Gold Sheet

NEW ENGLAND

NORM HITZGES NFL PLAYS (21-18 ytd)

New England (over Cincinnati)

New England/Cincinnati Over

BIG AL's MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SIDE WINNER:

Cincy Bengals

Total of year OVER Bengals

Michael Cannon, Down 35 Dimes Yesterday, The Slide Continues
Monday's Plays:

15 Dime –

PATRIOTS
Lay the points with the Patriots tonight when they travel to Cincinnati to take on the Bengals.
I don’t need to waste time here praising the job the Patriots have done through the first three weeks of the season. You already know all about it.
But I do need to point out a few unbelievable tidbits they’ve accomplished so far.
Start with how the Pats have punted only four times all season. Then there’s Tom Brady, who has averaged just six incompletions per game through the first three weeks. How about Randy Moss and his 400+ receiving yards and five touchdowns?
Now they get to face a Bengals defense that can’t even begin to hang with the offensive precision that Brady directs.
The Pats will attack every weakness the Bengals have shown through the first three weeks, and they are too numerous to list here. It’s what Bill Belichick does and there’s nobody in the league better at it.
The Bengals are going to have to hope that Carson Palmer can trade scores with New England, because there’s no way they’re going to slow the Pats down defensively.
Since that seems unlikely without the services of Rudi Johnson, I feel 100% confident in laying this number, even on the road.
Cincinnati is a woeful 1-6 ATS in its last seven as a home dog.
Lay the points with New England as they run away with this one in Cincinnati.

5 Dime –

ROCKIES +1 ½ RUN LINE
Take the Rockies plus the run and a half tonight in their one-game playoff versus San Diego.
I just can’t go against this momentum that the Rockies have right now, but there’s the matter of beating San Diego’s ace, Jake Peavy.
I have my doubts as to whether or not Colorado can win this game straight up, but I am convinced this is going to be a one-run game either way.
Peavy has been great for San Diego this year, going 19-6 with a 2.46 ERA. He’s 3-1 over his last five starts with a 3.90 ERA. His lone no-decision in that stretch was against the Rockies, a game in which Colorado won, 2-1.
The Rockies will counter with Josh Fogg and he’s been solid down the stretch. The right-hander is 3-0 with a 2.94 ERA over his last six starts. Fogg beat the Padres on September 9, going five innings and allowing just one run in the 4-2 win.
With all the mojo the Rockies have shown down the stretch, take them plus the run and a half against the Padres tonight.

Chuck Franklin Monday Night Football Pick:

2500♦ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Let’s see… we’ve got the New England Patriots, rated # 1 in both total offense and defense, matching up with the Cincinnati Bengals, who are rated 5th in total offense and 29th in overall defense. Do you need any more reason to side with the Pats in this one? New England has been the best bet in the NFL since October of 2006, and are on an 8-1 ATS run. The Patriots are also very profitable on the road, covering nine of the last 11 times in that situation. Cincinnati has a terrible record as home underdogs, failing to cover six of the last seven times in that situation.
I expect to see the Patriots’ smothering defense shut down and frustrate the Bengals’ best feature; their talented but mouthy wire receiver combination of T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Chad Johnson. And since their best rusher Rudi Johnson will likely be absent from this game due to a hamstring injury, Cincinnati will be in a tough spot. The Bengals are giving up nearly 32 points per game, so they obviously don’t have the defensive strength they will need to compete with the high-scoring Patriots. Look for New England to exploit this and easily cover this spread.

HERE ARE THIS WEEK'S PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB PLAYS FROM MARC LAWRENCE:

9/30/07 - NFL GOING DOWN
PLAY AGAINST any 3-0 ATS NFL team in Game Four of the season if they
won their first game of the season by 15 > points and are facing an
opponent that scored > 10 points in its previous game.
ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 0-12
Play Against: Pittsburgh and New England

Rationale: NFL teams who open the year 3-0 ATS are quite popular
with the oddsmaker and the betting public. If they won their opening
game of the season in overwhleming fashion their following grows.
Put them up against a formidable opponent and they dissapoint, going
just 2-10 SU in this role as well.