Chuck Franklin Monday Picks:
NFL and MLB
2000♦ TENNESSEE TITANS
New Orleans is going to have to turn things around at some point, but I don't think it will be tonight. The 0-2 Saints are coming off an embarrassing 14-31 loss to the Buccaneers, who they were favored to beat by five. The Titans nearly pulled off an upset victory over the Colts last week, and ended up losing by only two points to the reigning Super Bowl Champs. So it's pretty clear that Tennessee has momentum and team pride on their side. I know this is the home opener for the Saints, but they only covered one of their last six games as a home favorite last year, so I don't have a lot of faith that they can cover this one. Plus, the Titans are on an impressive 12-2 run as underdogs. I'm definitely taking the points in this one, and I won't be surprised by an outright win for the Titans.
1000♦ MILWAUKEE w/BUSH over St. Louis w/Wainwright
The Brewers have the best home record in the National League, and will get another win tonight in this meeting with the Cardinals. St. Louis is only 4-14 in their last 18 games, and have lost ten of their last 11 as the listed underdog on the road. The pitching match-up is pretty even as both Adam Wainwright of the Cardinals and Dave Bush of the Brewers are have just better than average seasons. The main factor in this one will be that amazing 47-27 home record for the Brewers, and I expect them to please the Milwaukee fans with another win tonight.
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Saints
Brandon Lovell
20* MLB Cardinals +135 (Listed Wainwright)
There is no excuse for my performance yesterday. It was easily the worst day of the year for me. Our big play on the Dallas - Chicago UNDER was looking beautiful with a 3-3 tie going into halftime. I thought I had that game pegged. I am not going to blame injuries or even the betting gods for the bad luck. It was my pick, I lost. Plain and Simple. I owe you. I can get this money back. I have positive units in EVERY sport since I been here at MJWINS. I found a great MLB move tonight. We get a large portion of it back tonight. Good Luck.
Marc Lawrence | MLB Money Line
free pick905 SDP (-140) BetUS vs 906 SFG
Analysis: Note: Padres send Chris Young to the mound in San Francisco knowing he is 3-0 against the Giants this season. He's also 5-0 in his team starts on Mondays the last two years. Back the steady servies of Young and San Diego here tonight.
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Mon, 09/24/07 - 7:05 PMLenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line
free pick911 KAN (-108) SportBet vs 912 BAL
Analysis: The Royals are 0-6 this year against the Orioles and have lost eight straight against Baltimore going back into last year. Kansas City's best chance to end that eight-game slide in this series could come against Daniel Cabrera (9-17, 5.51 ERA), who hasn't won in his last six starts. Cabrera is 0-5 (team is 0-6) with an 8.70 ERA since beating the New York Yankees on Aug. 14. Gil Meche (9-12, 3.70 ERA) will try to win his third straight start for Kansas City. Meche has won his last two starts (allowing just one ER over 13 1-3 innings), ending a nine-start stretch in which he had gone 0-6 (team was 0-9). Baltimore has never been quite the same since that doubleheader loss to the Rangers on August 22, going 8-24 over its last 32 games (including that DH loss). Despite similar records this year, KC is 67-88 and Baltimore is 66-89, the Royals are plus-$195 versus the moneyline, while Baltimore is minus-$1,850. Take KC.
Mon, 09/24/07 - 7:05 PMLarry Ness | MLB Money Line
free pick911 KAN (-108) SportBet vs 912 BAL
Analysis: The Royals have lost their last eight games vs the Orioles, including an 0-6 mark this year in which Kansas City has batted just .181 in those losses while being outscored 34-9! That hardly makes sense. While the teams own similar records this year, KC is 67-88 and Baltimore is 66-89, the Royals are plus-$195 versus the moneyline, while Baltimore is minus-$1,850. The Orioles have not been the same team since losing that record-setting doubleheader to Texas back on August 24. Baltimore will take an 8-24 mark since then into tonight's game with the Royals. Baltimore will send Daniel Cabrera (9-17, 5.51 ERA) to the mound, who hasn't won in his last six starts and is tied with St Louis' Kip Wells for the major league lead in losses. Cabrera has allowed opponents to bat just .259 against him this year but also leads the majors with 104 walks issued and 119 earned runs allowed. He is 0-5 with an 8.70 ERA since beating the New York Yankees on Aug 14 and the Orioles are 12-20 (minus-$927) in his starts in '07. Gil Meche (9-12, 3.70 ERA) will try to win his third straight start for Kansas City. In his last two starts, he's allowed just one ER in 13.1 innings, for an ERA of 0.68. KC is 14-18 in his starts TY but he's actually eked out a small profit, at plus-$15. Take the Royals.
Larry Ness' Monday Night Game of the Month (Titans/Saints!)
My 15* is on the NO Saints at 8:30 ET. Are the Saints back to being the "Aints?" Or, is the team's 0-2 start just a "bump in the road?" We'll find out tonight. The Titans come in 1-1 (2-0 ATS) and have been an ATS 'machine' with Vince Young at QB. Young is 12-3 ATS as a starter and while I'm impressed with his ability to lead the team, I still question his whether he will be a "big-time" player in the NFL. His QB rating was a horrific 66.7 last year and he completed just 51.5% of his passes (a terribly low percentage). To compare, Drew Brees' passer rating is 66.4 after two games this year and everyone wants to know, "what's happened to Brees?" Meanwhile, the same people say "forget Young's numbers, he just wins!" Young's completion percentage is up to 62.2% in '07 and his QB rating is up a little to 76.3 (still pretty bad) but note he's averaged 131 ypg passing through two games. Again, Brees has averaged 226.0 YPG in '07 and the question is, "what's wrong?" I think Fisher is a great coach but this is desperation time for the Saints at 0-2 (Panrthers and Bucs are both 2-1 in the NFC South). Deuce has just 87 YR in two games and Bush just 65 (3.0 YPC). The 2ndy has been laughably bad allowing five TDPs with zero INTS, while the pass rush has been non-existent with zero sacks (think there's a connection?). However, let's note that entering Week 2, five playoff teams were 0-2 to open '07. Sunday, the Chiefs, Eagles, Giants and Jets all won (2-0-2 ATS). Tonight, it's the Saints turn! Monday Night Game of the Month 15* NO Saints.
Lenny Del Genio's 15* NL Game of the Week (Padres/Giants!)
Play on the Padres at 10:15 ET. The Padres opened their final homestand of the season by winning the first seven games. However, they were swept by the red-hot Rockies over the weekend and will enter MLB's final weekend of the regular season 2 1/2 games back of the D'backs in the NL West and just a half-game ahead of the Phillies in the wild card race (the Rockies are only 1/2 games back!). The good news for SD is that the Padres are opening a three-game series at San Francisco tonight. They've dominated the Giants this year, going 12-3 (plus-$880). The Giants (69-87) have lost eight of their last 11 games and likely will finish with their worst record since going 68-94 in 1996. Barry Zito (9-13, 4.56 ERA) has been a huge bust for San Francisco, as since winning on August 2, he's gone 1-3 over his last nine starts (team is 2-7). He's only allowed more than three ERs in two of those nine starts but after signing him for $40 million during the off-season, the Giants expected much more. For the season, SF is 12-19 (minus-$733) in his starts. Chris Young (9-7, 2.83 ERA) looks to pick up his first win in over two months for San Diego. Young was 9-3 and led the majors with a 1.82 ERA when he left a start on July 24 after two innings with an injured side. He went on the 15-day DL and since coming back on Aug. 9, is 0-4 with a 5.61 ERA in eight games. However, Young is 1-0 with 2.75 ERA in three starts this season against the Giants and San Fran is 47-62 (minus-$1,560) versus right-handed starters this year. San Diego is my 15* NL Game of the Week.
Good luck, Lenny
Scott Spreitzer's MLB Divisional Mismatch Game of the Year! - Monday
I'm laying the price with the Tigers on Monday. Detroit may be on the outside looking in, but they're facing the right opponent if they wish to stay alive. The Tigers have whipped the Twins in seven straight meetings and a couple of their big sluggers are in a good situation. Carlos Guillen and Gary Sheffield have had their way with Twins' starter Carlos Silva and I expect more of the same tonight. The Minnesota righty is just 3-10 away from the Metrodome this season, sporting a hefty 5.64 ERA and a horrible, .315 BAA! In seven appearances (six starts) at Comerica, Silva has allowed an even higher .347 Detroit team batting average with a very weak 5.30 ERA! Detroit counters with Nate Robertson who owns a strong 3.89 ERA in 18 games (17 starts) against Minnesota. The Twins have been horrible from the plate against the Tigers this season and I expect Robertson to continue their woes. It's a perfect matchup for the Tigers and we'll lay the price on Monday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
ike Lineback
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Selection 1: 4* PREMIUM TEASER Same-Game 6 Pt -110
1) Tennessee Titans
Spread +10.5 for Game
2) Tennessee Titans/New Orleans Saints
Total Points OVER 39.5 for Game
We would be all over Tennessee in this game if not for New Orleans being in an 0-2 desperation spot on MNF with all their offensive weapons. Still think Titans have a chance to win this game because poor play in NFL is hard to turn around in one week. New Orleans obviously have some defensive issues so believe Vince Young & Co. can put some points on the board. Plus Young is quickly becoming one of the best 4th quarter QB’s in the league. Hence, can’t see Tenn. losing by 10 plus under any circumstances. The main reason why I’m not taking the Titans +4.5 for game is because I believe game may be very competitive and with Narlins having the playmakers (mainly Bush; and overdue for big play), a close game at end could turn into a 7 pt. lead in a hurry if Brees and/or Bush create a quick TD strike. Plus think HC Peyton will open the playbook tonight and ATTACK. Saints are still a big question mark but still have same personnel from a yr. ago. Regardless, can’t see them running away with this game, especially with one of worst secondary’s in league (11.5 yppa). Tenn. 12-3 ATS as an underdog the last 2 yrs. Would not be surprised if 50 plus points are scored in this game under the Monday night lights BUT prefer the 6 pt buy. TEASE TENNESSEE AND THE OVER.
Net Prophet
NFL:
Tennessee +5 over New Orleans
MLB:
San Diego (Young) -135 over San Francisco (Zito)
JOE DALLEO
[ 70 years old & still putting out winners. Now celebrating his 15th year with Don Wagner ]
95-64 +33.15 in MLB this year.Puts out a lot of dogs.
MLB : Texas Rangers (a rare fav. from Joe)
northcoast marquee play
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tn/no over 45-
Mr A's
Monday, September 24th, 2007, 10:15 p.m. est.
San Diego's (R) Chris Young
San Diego Padres (85-70) at San Francisco Giants (69-87)
(R) Chris Young (9-7) vs. (L) Barry Zito (9-13)
San Diego sends Chris Young (9-7, 2.83 ERA) to the mound. The right-hander is 0-4 with a 5.61 ERA in his last eight games. He is 1-0 with 2.75 ERA in three starts this season against the Giants, 1-1 with a 3.34 ERA in five career starts.
San Francisco counters with Barry Zito (9-13, 4.56). The Southpaw is 0-2 in his past six starts, and is 0-2 with a 3.26 ERA in five career starts against the Padres.
San Diego has won seven of their last 10 games, but has struggle away from home, just 2-6 in its last 8 on the road. Meanwhile the Giants have dropped eight of their last 11 games. Both teams are struggling, including both of tonight's pitchers, Young and Zito. But, San Diego has been successful versus San Francisco. They have won the last five meetings,12-3 this season. Take the Padres.
Oddsmakers:
San Diego as a -140 road favorite with the total listed at 7½ 'over'.
San Diego Padres - 135
Bob Balfe/sunday Selections
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Titans / Saints OVER 45.5
ATS Lock Club
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4 units on the Tennessee Titans (+5) over the New Orleans Saints, 8:30