MARC LAWRENCE NFL PICK from HIS PLAYBOOK NEWSLETTER
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Pittsburgh Over Miami by 14 Points
Pity The Winless Dolphins.they've Battled Hard,to Be Sure,with
Five Losses By A Field Goal. Tonight They Take On A Mad-as-hell Foe
That Is 12-2 Ats under The Monday Night Lights. Before Jumping Off The High Board You Need To Know Miami Is 10-3 Ats as Dogs Of 7 Or More Points. You Also Need To Know The Steelers Have Been Favored By 14 Or More Points Three Times Since 1980. They Lost The Money In Each Game.
Burns NFL
MIAMI (+14 or better)
Game: Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Game Time: 11/26/2007 8:30:00 PM Prediction: Miami Dolphins Reason: I'm taking the points with MIAMI. The Steelers have played well at home and they've also fared very well on Monday Nights over the years. However, they're also missing some key players and they're coming off an outright loss to the 1-8 Jets. I played New York in that game, not so much because I liked the Jets but more so because I felt the Steelers were over-valued. While I respect the Steelers as a quality team, I still feel that they're over-valued, particularly when they'll be without star wide receiver Santonio Holmes and star safety Troy Polamalu. Losing Holmes takes away Roethlisberger's best deep threat; losing Polamalu will alter defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau's blitz package. That should only help Dolphins' QB Beck, who should benefit from having a start under his belt. After last week's loss and playing on Monday Night, it's hard to imagine the Steelers "looking ahead." However, with hated division foe Cincinnati on deck, followed by huge games vs. top conference opponents New England and Jacksonville, it may be hard to fully focus on the winless Dolphins. Regardless of the situation, the Steelers have never fared well as really big favorites. They're 0-2 ATS as double-digit favorites the past two seasons and a horrid 5-14 ATS their last 19 in that role. During the same stretch, the Dolphins were 6-3 ATS as double-digit dogs. As bad as the Dolphins were the last couple of seasons, they still managed a 5-2 ATS record when facing teams with a winning record during the second half of the season. They've got linebacker Joey Porter making his return to Pittsburgh tonight and they are obviously desperate to earn their first win of the season. They saw the Jets beat this team last week and would love nothing more then to pick up win #1 in front of a national audience. The team hasn't quit playing hard and as Jason Taylor says: "...I know what we're putting forward. I know what we're putting into it, and we'll get the results one day." Look for them to give a huge effort tonight and easily hang within the big number. *AFC GOM
Burns college hoops
IOWA (pick'em or better)
Game: Wake Forest vs. Iowa Game Time: 11/26/2007 7:00:00 PM Prediction: Iowa Reason: I'm taking the points with IOWA. Iowa began the season with four straight double-digit victories over lesser opponents but stumbled in back to back games when stepping up to face stronger teams at the South Padre Island Invitational. The Hawkeyes are back home tonight though and I expect them to step up and give a huge effort. New Hawkeyes' coach Todd Lickliter won big at Butler and he'll stress the importance of this big nationally televised game against a team from the ACC. Its true that Iowa is relatively inexperienced. However, Lickliter isn't without weapons. He returns both last year's starting forwards (6-8 junior Cyrus Tate and 6-10 senior Kurt Looby) both of them tough defenders and 6-6 senior guard Justin Johnson has begun the year by averaging greater than 15 points per game and making the "All Tournament Team" at South Padre Island. The Hawkeyes were excellent as small home underdogs under Steve Alford the past couple of seasons, going 3-0 SU/ATS when listed as home underdogs of three points or less. I expect them to also thrive in that role under their new coach. Lickliter worked magic in his six seasons as the coach at Butler, taking the mid-major to a pair of Sweet 16 appearances and cracking the top 10 last season. Under Lickliter, Butler was listed as underdogs of four points or less four times the past two seasons and they won all four games outright. While the Hawkeyes may not have many proven scorers, they still know how to play great defense. That's noteworthy as Wake Forest was just 4-11 the past two seasons against teams that allow 64 points or less per game. The Demon Deacons are coming off back to back mediocre seasons and they lost Kyle Visser, the leading scorer, rebounder, and shot-blocker from last season. They also tragically lost their coach during the offseason, when Skip Prosser died of an apparent heart attack in his office in late July. They haven't played a quality team yet and this will be their first road game. The Demon Deacons were just 8-14 ATS as a favorite the past two seasons and an even worse 6-16 ATS when playing non-conference foes. Look for Lickliter's Hawkeyes to score the minor upset. *Big Monday GOM
Burns NBA
PORTLAND (+3 or better)
Game: Orlando Magic vs. Portland Trail Blazers Game Time: 11/26/2007 10:05:00 PM Prediction: Portland Trail Blazers Reason: I'm taking the points with PORTLAND. The Magic are a solid team this year and they've played very well on the road to begin the season. However, they lost their most recent road contest by 18 points and tonight they'll be facing an improved Portland team which has been excellent at home. In fact, while the Blazers remain winless on the road, they're an excellent 5-1 at home, the lone loss coming by five points. The Blazers haven't just feasted on weak teams either as two of those wins came against the likes of Dallas (91-82) and Detroit (102-94). Most recently, they held the Kings to just 84 points, en route to a 87-84 victory. That game was played on Friday, which is worth mentioning as we find the Blazers at 15-9 ATS the past two seasons when playing with two day's rest in between games. The Blazers have also fared well as hosts in this series. Last season, they lost by two points, as four point home underdogs. That pointspread win brought the Blazers to 5-2-1 ATS the last eight series meetings here. Note that Portland won six of those games outright and that the two SU losses came by a combined seven points. As mentioned above, the young Blazers have really been able to feed off the home crowd of the Rose Garden. They're shooting 49.1 percent from the field and 40.9 percent from 3-point range here - both among the top home percentages in the league. Look for them to draw energy from the crowd again this evening as they continue their strong homecourt play and improve to 17-9 ATS since 2005 when listed as home underdogs in the +3.5 to +6 point range. *Annihilator
UNDER kings/spurs
Game: San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings Game Time: 11/26/2007 10:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Kings and Spurs to finish UNDER the total. The Spurs played a high-scoring game at Seattle last night. However, they rarely play two in a row like that and I'm expecting a significantly lower-scoring contest this evening. Like Seattle, the Kings aren't great defensively. However, they ARE much better than the Sonics in that department and they've been playing better on that side of the ball recently. The Kings held the Blazers (who are averaging 97.3 ppg at home) to 87 points at Portland in their most recent game. In their most recent home game, they held the high-scoring Suns (averaging 106.3 on the road) to just 100 points. Not surprisingly, both those games fell well below the total. Last night was the fourth time that the Spurs allowed an opponent to top the 100 point mark this season. The previous three times they responded by holding their next opponent to 80, 84 and 88 points. All three of those games stayed below the total. The first of them came when these teams faced each other at San Antonio earlier this month, a 96-90 final. The UNDER is also 8-5 the last 13 times that the Spurs played the second of back to back games. Additionally, the UNDER is a profitable 12-4-1 the last 17 series meetings here at Sacramento. Despite last night's high-scoring contest, the UNDER remains a profitable 10-5-1 the last 16 times that the Spurs played in the month of November. Look for more of the same this evening as the final combined score falls beneath the generous number. *Blue Chip
Gold Sheet
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 26
*PITTSBURGH 35 - Miami 10--Willie Parker (925 YR) is making no secret of the fact he's after the rushing title now that Adrian Peterson's injury has opened the door. And Ben Roethlisberger (23 TDs, only 8 ints.) is close to his Super Bowl form after LY's injuries. The Dolphins might activate Ricky Williams for this game. But Williams or no, rookie QB John Beck is likely to be plenty mystified by Pittsburgh's array of zone blitzes. Just a couple of turnovers might help the Steelers (4-1 vs. the spread at home) bounce back with a vengeance after last week's "soft" performance visiting the Jets. CABLE TV--ESPN
(06-PITT 28-Miami 17...P.20-15 P.38/143 M.18/38 M.18/37/2/240 P.15/25/0/196 P.1 M.0)
(06-PITTSBURGH -1 28-17...SR: Miami 11-10)
MONDAY NIGHT HISTORY
Miami and Pittsburgh on Monday Night
Miami is 6-15 straight-up and 9-11-1 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football;
32-17 straight-up and 29-20 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football.
Pittsburgh is 21-5 straight-up and 19-7 vs. the pointspread at home on Monday Night Football;
13-17 straight-up and 15-14-1 vs. the pointspread on the road on Monday Night Football.
Dr. Bob
Strong Opinion
Miami/Pittsburgh Under 41
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Mike Rose
MIAMI / PITTSBURGH UNDER 41
It’s been a brutal season thus far for the Miami Dolphins, but the team has to press on over the next six weeks in hope of securing one victory this season that will allow them not to be considered the worst pro football team ever to take the field in the NFL. Pittsburgh is coming off a despicable effort in the Meadowlands that saw them lose to the J-E-T-S in overtime by a 19-16 final count. Maybe they thought they could just take the field and win the game, or maybe they thought they could just turn it on when it mattered most. Either way, practice will not have been the most pleasant place to be this week, and I’m sure we’ll see a much different Steelers club take the field this Monday night. Head Coach Cam Cameron’s club has played some competitive ball in their L/3 games. Since getting blown out in New England, the Dolphins have lost three games to the Giants in London, the Bills at home, and Philly on the road by a combined 16 points. They’re getting closer towards winning their first game of the season, but that will be an awfully tough task to compete this week with the Steelers coming off just their third loss of the season last week. Pittsburgh also suffered a couple of major injuries (WR Holmes/SS Polamalu) in last weeks game that should help the Dolphins chances, but the players on the field for the home team still outclass the Fins dramatically. Pittsburgh has been installed a 16-point favorite in this spot with the ‘Total’ set at 41. The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS the L/4 times they’ve been installed a road underdog greater than 10.5-points, but those spots occurred under prior regimes. On the flipside, Pittsburgh is a perfect 5-0 ATS after losing outright the week before the last five times. That streak includes ATS wins over Cincinnati and Seattle this season. As for the ‘Total’, the ‘Under’ is 4-0 ATS the L/4 times off a Steelers SU loss and 6-1-1 ATS in the Steelers L/8 home games vs. teams with a losing road record. All in all, it looks to be a very long night for the Dolphins. Pittsburgh should bounce back in a big way here and cruise to their 6th home win of the season. Miami turned the offenses' keys over to rookie QB John Beck last week, and the offense struggled mightily against a mediocre Philadelphia defense. It won't be pretty this week either against a Steelers unit only allowing a shade under 11 PPG at home this season. Miami's defense hasn't given up either, allowing a combined 43 points the L/3 weeks, and the Steelers offense had trouble executing last week mainly due to a limited ground attack and poor O-Line play. Sixteen is a ton of chalk to lay in this spot, so we'll back the 'Under' instead in a game that should allow many to catch up on sleep they lost over the holiday weekend....
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Jim Feist
ORLANDO MAGIC
They have been beasts on the road at 7-1 SU, 6-1-1 ATS. Not having No. 1 overall pick Greg Oden has certainly hurt the interior defense of Portland, allowing 98 ppg. They could use Oden this game against Orlando's man-child Dwight Howard. "I want to be a great player in this league, even one of the greatest players ever to play," Howard said this week. New Magic coach Jeff Van Gundy is all business: "Everybody is kissing our butt because we are 12-3, so we think we are great." Orlando carries a 7-1 SU/ATS run into this one. Play the Magic!
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John Fina
November 26, 2007
Selection: Utah Jazz (-)
Reason: Put us down on the Utah Jazz (-) for our Free NBA Selection on Monday. Today the Utah Jazz will be on the road as they take on the New York Knicks. We will lay the points with the Jazz! The Jazz are coming off a 10-point victory against the Pistons on Sunday, and are now 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 games. In addition, the Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games. To say the least, the Jazz have a lot of talent. With that said, the Jazz should easily be able to beat a struggling Knicks team (3-9 SU on the season). The Knicks are also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against Western Conference teams. We also don't mind the Knicks being at home as they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games at home. The Jazz also have a history of beating the Knicks in New York. This is shown by the Jazz being 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against the Knicks (when playing in New York). Lay the points! Take the Utah Jazz!
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LT Profits
Appalachian State +4.0 (-110)
Mon Nov 26 '07 7:00p
The Davidson Wildcats are receiving a lot of love in the early going, but we are still not convinced that they merit being road favorites over an Appalachian State Mountaineers team that is very tough at home.
Davidson actually sneaked into the ESPN/USA Today Poll at number 25 last week, and they even received some votes in the AP Poll. The primary reason for all the hoopla is that the Wildcats gave top-ranked North Carolina a game before falling just short 72-68. However, this team then went on the road to Western Michigan and was upset 83-76 as four-point favorite. In fact, Davidson is just 2-2 straight up for the season, losing to the only real teams they faced while beating a couple of teams named Emory and North Carolina Central!
Sure, one can argue that 3-2 Appalachian State has not beaten anyone yet either, but that just puts these teams on equal ground to start with. When you then consider that the Mountaineers are 20-8-1 against the spread in their last 29 home games, we feel that they should be a slight favorite here. Remember also that Appalachian State went into Davidson last season and upset the Wildcats 81-74 as eight-point underdogs.
While this may not rival the upset by the Mountaineers? football program over Michigan, we do feel that this team gets the job done at home here.
Appalachian State +4
Los Angeles Clippers +6.5 (-110)
Mon Nov 26 '07 10:35p
This looks like a lot of points for the Houston Rockets to be spotting the Los Angeles Clippers on the road tonight.
Sure, the Clippers have had their fair share of injuries, but they have still managed to go 6-6, and their backcourt is now intact with Sam Cassell and Cuttino Mobley playing again. They may also get a boost tonight if Brevin Knight is able to return from his groin injury. Regardless, the last time the Clippers were this big of an underdog at home was last Wednesday vs. the Denver Nuggets, and the Clips responded with an outright 101-90 upset.
Besides, the Rockets are not exactly tearing up the court right now. They did manage to win at home vs. Denver on Saturday, but that snapped a six-game losing streak. Also the Rockets are just 2-5 against the spread and 3-4 straight up on the road this young season, making them vulnerable when favored by this much away from home.
In fact, Houston is 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games stretching back to last season, and we look for the Clippers to take this game down to the wire at the very least, with an outright upset not impossible.
Clippers +6.5
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Big Al Mcmordie
Game: Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Clippers Nov 26 2007 10:35PM
Prediction: Houston Rockets
Reason: At 10:35 pm, our member selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the LA Clippers. Over the last three seasons, the Clips are a dreadful 4-14 ATS as home underdogs, including 0-6 ATS vs. an opponent off a straight-up win. The Rockets won their last game, 109-81 over the Denver Nuggets to move to 7-6 on the season. Look for Houston to blow out the undermanned Clippers tonight. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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BRW Sports Advisors
NFL Miami Dolphins ~vs~ Pittsburgh Steelers
Over 39.5 (-105)
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Jimmy The Moose
Game: Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Nov 26 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers
Reason: The Bruins are 4-6-1 on the road this season. Boston has lost 5 of their last 6 road games. Away from Home Boston is averaging 2.55 GPG while giving up 3.27. In their last 39 games vs. Atlantic Division opponents the Bruins are 11-28. The Flyers are 6-1-2 at home this season where they average 3.33 GPG and give up 2.33. In their last 8 games playing with 1 days rest they are 6-2. The Flyers have won the last 3 meetings between the clubs and will take tonight's game. Play on the Flyers -.
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Vegas Hot Sheet
Pittsburgh -16
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PETER KING
Miami Dolphins (0-10) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3)
I pick a relatively close game not because I think the Steelers won't play well. I think the message from Mike Tomlin will be heard loud and clear, and several times, this week. "Every time you take the field, you've got to come to play,'' Tomlin said the other day. "That's what great teams do.'' I think Miami will play OK down the stretch, in part because Cam Cameron's going to put the kid quarterback, John Beck (only 9-of-22 in his debut at Philly last week), in position to succeed. Success is a relative term on an 0-10 team, but I think Beck's going to have some.
Steelers 27, Dolphins 17
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MIKE WYNN
Phoenix -5 Over Golden St
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EROCKMONEY
Miami (+15) at Pittsburgh
The Steelers are hurting and are slightly overrated in my opinion. Miami is a terrible team, but they are long overdue for a solid performance. Monday night in front of the nation might be the time to do it. Big Ben can easily lose a game at any time as he still makes a lot of mistakes when the Steelers struggle to run the ball. Parker has looked sluggish lately, Holmes and Polumala are out. Call me crazy, but I think the Dolphins not only cover, but win outrright. Take the poins, but this may be an opportunity to throw a little slice on the moneyline.
Pick: Dolphins by 3
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Wild Bill
Dolphins +16 1/2 (4 units)
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Pointwise Phones
3* PITTSBURGH STEELERS
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Cappers Access
Nfl - Steelers
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Totals 4 U
Houston/l.a. Clippers Over 185 1/2
Michael Cannon
Monday's Plays...
15 Dime –
STEELERS
Lay the big number with Pittsburgh tonight over Miami.
At first glance this seems like an easy spot to take the Dolphins. You would be getting a boat load of points and the Steelers are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Jets.
That’s where the obvious ends.
The Dolphins are where they’re at because they are not a good football team. Their normally reliable defense has taken a huge step backwards this year and they will not be able to contain the running of Willie Parker or the passing of Ben Roethlisberger.
Pittsburgh has been somewhat of a Jekyll and Hyde team this year. They play great at home and have laid some duds on the road. The Steelers are 5-0 at home this season while outscoring their opponents 150-54.
On top of that, the Dolphins will be starting rookie quarterback John Beck.
Now Beck may turn out to be a fine quarterback in this league some day, I know he made me and my clients a lot of money last year while playing at Byu, but starting on the road against a defense as sophisticated as Pittsburgh’s is something he’s not ready for.
I’m reminded of Cleveland playing at Pittsburgh late last season with Derek Anderson at quarterback. The Browns never had a chance and the Steelers easily cruised to a 20-point win. Anderson, as he’s shown this year, isn’t exactly fodder as a quarterback.
The Steelers will be chomping at the bit to wash the bad taste out of their mouths from last week’s loss to the Jets. They are 12-2 ATS on Monday Night and I see them getting out to a big lead early and then cruising the rest of the way.
Lay the points as the Steelers win tonight by 21.
5 Dime –
WAKE FOREST
Take Wake Forest as the small road chalk tonight over Iowa.
Wake is dealing with the emotional turmoil of losing head coach Skip Prosser, who died during the summer. I believe that will actually bring this team together a lot quicker than they would have otherwise and could turn them into a contender in the ACC.
The Demon Deacons have a nice nucleus of perimeter players who can shoot the three. They have an experienced point guard in Ishmael Smith and a freshman, Jeff Teague, who can give them valuable minutes when Smith needs a rest.
They aren’t the biggest team in the middle, but that won’t affect them against an Iowa team that is learning a new system under new coach Todd Lickliter. Their interior defense should be tough to penetrate, but Wake isn’t going to play that style so that offers Iowa no advantages here.
Lay the small number as Wake gets the road win and cover.
TRAILBLAZERS
Take the points with Portland tonight when they host Orlando.
The Trailblazers have played good at home and bad on the road. Tonight they play their third home game in a four-game stand. Portland is a young team that hustles and the home court has been kind to them, as they’ve gone 5-1 at The Rose Garden to start the season.
Orlando is playing its third game in four nights. The Magic only had one day to prepare for five West Coast matchups in eight days.
Don’t be surprised if they didn’t spend a lot of time putting together a game plan for Portland.
Take the points with the Trailblazers as they keep this one within the number at ho
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-CBB (10-2 run with Insiders since Nov 16 / 6-1 in BKB!)
My Las Vegas Insider is on Wake Forest at 7:00 ET. Wake lost four of five starters off last year's team, plus head coach Skip Prosser to a heart attack. However, I like the makeup of this team and new head coach Dino Gaudio is a great recruiter and a Prosser disciple (not much will change). I'm not sure why Todd Lickliter would leave Butler (29 wins LY and the school's 2nd Sweet 16 in the last six years) for Iowa? The Hawkeyes lost their top-two scorers and top-two rebounders off a team that failed to make the NCAAs for the FOURTH time in the last six years last season. The 6-6 Johnson is the lone double digit scorer this year (15.3) and the two big guys, the 6-10 Looby (7.8-7.2) and the 7-0 Gorney (5.2-5.2), are very mediocre. Wake PG Smith (6.7-4.7 APG) had lots of help on the perimeter with Williams (15.0-7.7), Hale (11.0) and Teague (10.0). Inside, 6-8 freshman Johnson (13.3-6.7), the 6-8 Skeen (8.7-3.7) and the 7-0 McFarland (7.3-4.0), should have few issues handling Looby and Gorney. Iowa opened 4-0 but it came against Idaho St, Northern Colorado, Florida-Gulf Coast and Maryland-Eastern Shore. In losses to Bradley and Utah St (neutral site), the Hawkeyes have averaged 59.0 PPG and 44.0% shooting (14-of-41 or 34% on threes). Wake has the better perimeter game and inside game. Iowa has the homecourt but it's NOT enough. Las Vegas Insider on Wake Forest.
Good Luck...Larry
greg shaker
Mon, 11/26/07 - 7:00 PMGreg Shaker | CBB Sides
double-dime bet718 Fla. Internatnl 4.0 (-110) BetUS vs 717 South Florida
Analysis: NCAAB: South Florida Bulls at Florida International Panthers - Florida Int +4 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Game Date: 11/26/2007
Note: You can refer to the total writeup for a lot of this information. As you know, I am very high on a lot of teams of the Sunbelt. This team is one of those and I am not the only one. Every college basketball coach says he's excited about the start of preseason practice, but Florida International coach Sergio Rouco really means it this season. "I'm extremely excited," Rouco said. "This is the most talented team I've had here in my four years. We've got seven returning players and two giants. These are the kind of players we need to win the Sun Belt and get to the NCAA Tournament." So far his excitement is well deserved. The Panthers were beat badly last year by the Bulls and it is payback time tonight. They have size, shooting ability, and experience. Those 3 things are the most important ones that I can think of. Outright win probably but I will gladly take the points. You can bet this one all the way down to Pick. This is my final CBB Play Monday.
greg shaker
Mon, 11/26/07 - 7:00 PMGreg Shaker | CBB Total
double-dime bet718 Fla. Internatnl / 717 South Florida Over 144.0 BetUS
Analysis:
NCAAB: South Florida Bulls at Florida International Panthers - Over 144 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Game Date: 11/26/2007
Note: When deciding to play a College Hoops Total, there are a number of things to consider. Certainly the most important one in the pace of the two teams in the competition. That is sub-compared to the venue, because NCAA Squads that like to push the ball are usually more effective doing so on their homecourt. They are also usually more effective with offensive efficiency. The Panthers do both well and are currently ranked #29 in the country of close to 340 teams. In two games this year, they have put up 58 and 55 shots and overall shooting in those games were very high indeed. Thay have shot very well connecting on over 50% of shots attempted. As good as they are scoring, they are worse with D Efficiency ranked #303. South Florida is mid-range pace but high efficiency at #42 this year in their 5 games played. They too have shot well but have allowed the opposition to do the same. We have two average free throw shooting squads and likely to see a number of shots at the line, with this game probably being in a point margin toward the end that will warrent extra bonus shots. Last year's contest saw a blowout by the Bulls but a number of shots taken, 118 to be exact, and only 129 points due to the Panthers meager results at just 16 of 56 from the court. They are very likely to have much more success tonight. The scout line has opened at 144 and likely to be the open at offshore. Play it up to 147.
Brandon Lang
50 dime
Steelers
free pick over pitt and miami
Frank Rosenthal
NFL at 6pm
NBA
702 KNICKS+6 SB
712 CLIPPERS+7 SB
713 SUNS-4 SB+
COLLEGE HOOPS
717 SO FL-4 SB
725 DAVIDSON-3.5 SB
spritzer--
tko..............steelers
direct line release........cal ply
tko.............davidson
ko..................gold st
5 star total.........dall over 09
feist--
inner circle..........fla int
window..............ark st
island source...........hornets
platinum................sa over 93
total...................suns over 28
cokin--
fat man releases.........davidson-5, over 38.5
under the hat..............majic
window...............ark st
spritzer--
tko..............steelers
direct line release........cal ply
tko.............davidson
ko..................gold st
5 star total.........dall over 09
feist--
inner circle..........fla int
window..............ark st
island source...........hornets
platinum................sa over 93
total...................suns over 28
cokin--
fat man releases.........davidson-5, over 38.5
under the hat..............majic
window...............ark st
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NFLMiami (0-10 SU, 2-5-3 ATS) at Pittsburgh (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS)
The Dolphins travel to Heinz Field still in search of their first win of the season as they take on the Steelers in a nationally televised contest.
Miami, which is trying to avoid joining the 1976 Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the only winless teams in NFL history, is making its second trek to Pennsylvania in as many weeks. Last Sunday in Philadelphia, the Dolphins competed the entire game but still fell to the Eagles 17-7 as 9?-point underdogs. The Dolphins managed just 186 total yards against Philadelphia and their only score came on an 87-yard punt return for a TD by rookie Ted Ginn Jr.
Pittsburgh suffered a 19-16 OT loss to the Jets in New York last week, falling as a nine-point favorite. The loss snapped a three-game winning streak that had put the Steelers in charge of the AFC North.
Miami rookie QB John Beck gets his second career start for the Dolphins after going 9-for-22 for 109 yards in his debut against the Eagles. The Dolphins? offense has produced just 27 points the last three weeks. Meanwhile, although the defense has given up just 43 points in the last three games, Miami still is surrendering an NFL-worst 154.9 rushing yards per game and 27.4 points per contest.
The Dolphins are 1-2-2 ATS on the road this season and 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 games against AFC foes.
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU (4-1 ATS) at home this season with the only non-cover coming two weeks ago in a 31-28 win over the Browns as 10-point favorites. The Steelers are outscoring their visitors by an average of 20 points per game (31-11), with the defense giving up just 184.6 total yards per game at home (67 rushing yards ypg).
These teams met in the season opener last September when the Steelers scored a 28-17 win at home as a one-point chalk.
Pittsburgh has been dominant at home on Monday nights, going 21-5 SU and 19-7 ATS, including a 38-7 rout of the Ravens as a 9?-point favorite three weeks ago. Meanwhile, Miami is just 6-15 (9-11-1 ATS) on the road under the Monday night lights.
The over is 38-13-2 in the Steelers? last 53 home games (3-2 this year) and 11-4 the last 15 times the Dolphins have played on Monday night.
ATS ADVANTAGE: PITTSBURGH and OVER
_________________________
.
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NBA
Houston (7-7 SU, 5-9 ATS) at L.A. Clippers (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS)
The Rockets visit the Staples Center in Los Angeles for a game against the Clippers in a battle of struggling Western Conference squads.
Houston opened the season 6-1, then went on a six-game losing streak (1-5 ATS) that finally came to an end with Saturday?s 109-81 rout of the Rockets as six-point home favorites. Tonight?s contest kicks off a four-game West Coast road swing for Houston.
The Clippers have dropped four of their last five and six of eight (1-7 ATS), including Saturday?s 98-89 home loss to the Hornets as three-point underdogs. Los Angeles has been favored in just one of its last 10 games, during which Mike Dunleavy?s squad is just 2-8 ATS.
The Rockets are just 2-5 ATS on the highway this season, posting an average of 94 points a game and giving up 95.7 ppg.
The Clippers are just 2-3 ATS on their home court, averaging 96.7 ppg while allowing 97 ppg.
Houston has won seven of the last 10 meetings with Los Angeles (5-5 ATS), including the last two back in March. The road team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 head-to-head meetings, including Houston?s 92-87 victory as a three-point chalk on March 28.
The under is 7-3 in the Clippers? last 10 overall, but the over has been the play six of the last seven meetings in this series.
ATS ADVANTAGE: HOUSTON
stan sharp
Mon, 11/26/07 - 10:05 PMStan Sharp | NBA Sides
dime bet710 POR 5.5 (-110) BetUS vs 709 ORL
Analysis: Stan and his Top NBA Bettors all agree that Portland will give Orlando fits tonight in Portland. This is a bad scheduling spot for Orlando who starts a 5 game road trip after beating the Miami Heat & Shaq by 21 points. Expect a flat performance from Orlando tonight. TAKE PORTLAND as STAN'S NBA MONDAY NIGHT BIG BET and make them a SINGLE DIME PLAY.