Big AL
At 8:30 pm, our AFC Total of the Year is on the 'under' in the Baltimore/New England game, as it falls into a Totals system that's cashed 82% ATS since 1991.
Red Dog Sports
14-7 overall
10-5 college hoops
4-2 NBA
Won with VCU over in 2nd half on Sunday. I should have posted an early heads up on that. VCU plays home to William & Mary on Wednesday.
Towson -1
The Towson Tigers are coached by Pat Kennedy and are 3-3 this year while Delaware is 0-4 and lost 8 in a row. Delaware is not very deep and they will hope for a low scoring game. They have played just one home game and lost to Hampton by 51-50 but were outrebounded 39-23. They just lost on the road at Iona 57-52 as only 5 players scored. Delaware lost the rebound battle 41-24.
Delaware does have PG Brian Johnson, Sam McMahon and Herb Courtney to score but Towson is much deeper even after losing Gary Neal and his 25 ppg average. Junior Hairston had 26 points and 21 rb's vs. Loyola and has several double/doubles this year. The Tigers also have Raboin, Pease, CC Williams, Durant, Crossin, Coleman and Spruill. Tommy Breaux plays football and basketball for Towson.
Last year Towson won 75-68 at Delaware as they were 8-10 in the conference while the Hens were 3-15.
Let's hope for a high scoring game which will help Delaware and not a game in the 50's.
BTW, it does scare me that Towson did lose badly to Navy in their last game as they did not shoot well.
Towson -1
JEFFERSONSPORTS
70% this weekend in all sports. 7-3
Been posting plays since Oct 6. Here are the exact records since then.
NCAA HOOPS 14-11-2
NCAA FOOTBALL 17-7
NBA HOOPS 22-16
NFL FOOTBALL 6-6
NHL HOCKEY 28-15
OVERALL RECORD 87-55-2 (61%) since Oct. 6
good luck guys. I wasnt going to continue to track their record but i have gotten requests from some in the forums to continue to do so. So I will continue. I dont think they would mind with this record.
NBA EARLY RELEASE
DALLAS-3 (yest hit early release with ORL)
Jim Feist
UTAH JAZZ
After playing 4 of the last 5 at home, this is a long road trip for stumbling Miami. They are 2-5 on the road with a 21-point loss at Orlando and a 15 point loss at Charlotte. They are still searching for team chemistry with newcomers like Ricky Davis and guard Smush Parker. This season, Riley continues to tweak a rotation that features as many as six new players in supporting roles. Miami has the second-worst record in the East. Utah is always motivated for coach Jerry Sloan, and the Jazz are ripping teams at home by a 111-93 average! Utah is 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS at home. Play the Jazz.
Big Al McMordie
BALTIMORE RAVENS +20
At 8:30 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Baltimore Ravens, as Double-Digit home underdogs are historically a good bet in the NFL, and especially if our underdog is NOT off back to back blowout wins. Take the large spot with the Ravens. Also, a free play for tonight is hoops is on Tennessee State + over Indiana, as the Hoosiers are 5-24 ATS since 1994 off a double-digit road win, including 1-15 ATS when laying 2 or more points, 0-8 vs. foes with a win percentage less than .600, and 0-3 off an upset win. On Saturday, Indy upset Southern Illinois 64-51 as four-point underdogs. Look for a letdown on Monday night in this big favorite role. Take the points with Tennessee State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Mike Davis
PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS +9
The Portland Trail Blazers (5-12) are headed to Tennessee to face the Memphis Grizzlies (6-10) on Monday night. Portland is the worst road team in the league as they are 0-9 when playing away from home. However, they have a young group of athletes and they will welcome the up and down style of the Grizzlies. The Trail Blazers were spanked yesterday by the Spurs 100-79 in San Antonio. They will see a much different team tonight as the Memphis Grizzlies play an up tempo style and they don't play defense! Memphis is allowing 105.5 points per game and that ranks them 28th in the NBA. I will gladly take this many points vs. a bad defensive team. Take the Portland Trail Blazers
Tony Mathew's
WOFFORD +23
We will side with Wofford +23 as they face-off against Wisconsin in Monday's College Basketball contest. Wofford has played well this season. Wofford is already 3-1 on the season which is mainly due to them being able to score an average of 73.2 points per game, while allowing their opponents to score an average of only 50.5 points per game. Wofford has also proven to be a solid road team. In fact, Wofford is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games (dating back to last season). Wofford is also 12-4 ATS in their last 16 overall games (dating back to last season). Wofford does not get much "TV Time" and will want to prove themselves to the public as this game will be shown on ESPN2. As for Wisconsin, they have played well this season as well (5-1 record). However, Wisconsin is in a bad spot tonight. Wisconsin is coming off a loss to Duke and history has told us that Wisconsin does not bounce back from losses well. In fact, Wisconsin is 2-5-1 ATS when coming off a loss. We expect another poor performance by Wisconsin tonight. To say the least, there is a lot of value with the underdog tonight! Take Wofford +23!
Matt Rivers
CHICAGO BULLS
Chicago started out the season in miserable fashion but it was always a matter of time as to when they would get things going. That time very likely is now and at this price we are getting a bargain. Dallas is a very good team as Dirk and company can beat anybody at anytime but they have not covered a game in a few weeks (0-6) and have grabbed the cash in only one of their past 9. Avery Johnson's squad has also dropped four of their last six straight up with the lone wins coming at home against weak teams in the Timberwolves and Trailblazers. Chicago has now won and covered two straight with ease and seem to have put the miserable 2-10 start to the season behind them. After all Scotty Skiles' team is still super talented with stars like Luol Deng, Ben Gordon, Andres Nocioni, Ben Wallace, Tyrus Thomas, Kirk Hinrich and others. To get these guys at the United Center and not have to lay anything, even to the Mavs, is the right side. If da Bulls started the season well we would be laying a handful but are not and that's what I call a bargain.
Mike Rose
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -20
The Patriots storm Baltimore a perfect 11-0 and look to take out last years AFC South champs in style for the entire country to see in what looks to be another Monday Night dud. Baltimore has had a very disappointing season to date, but there’s no doubt M&T Bank stadium will be rocking for this affair. New England had themselves a scare last Sunday night at home vs. Philadelphia, but they escaped with the 31-28 victory to keep their hopes alive of being just the second NFL team ever to have a perfect season. What this team has done so far this season is simply astounding. What’s even more amazing is the fact that they’ve been able to get it done with everyone rooting against them except for their die-hard fans. “Spygate” really pissed this organization off, and it looks as if they’re taking it out on the rest of the league. As for Baltimore, 2006 seems like it was 10 years ago with the way this season has transpired. They haven’t won a game since the middle of October, and they’re coming off a humiliating defeat at San Diego that saw the Chargers roll them by a 32-14 final count. The offense has always been an issue under HC Brian Billick, but now the defense has taken a turn for the worse. They’ve allowed 30+ PPG the L/2 weeks, and that does not bode well this week with the offensive dynamo that is the New England Patriots paying them a visit. Last week saw the Pats close as 24-point home favorites against Philadelphia. It was the largest pointspread I had ever seen in the professional ranks. Now, they’re a 20-point favorite on the road…. MADNESS!!! The Pats have displayed pointspread prowess this season no matter the number. They come into this game 9-2 ATS with their average number to cover ringing in at a lofty 12 PPG. As good as NE has been, Baltimore has been that bad against the number. They’ve only managed one cover all season long and it looks as if that streak will be extended by one after tonight. Baltimore will look the part early on defensively with Ray Lewis dancing around in the pre-game festivities, but when push comes to shove Brady and the Pats offense will be able to carve their defense up en route to another road win and cover. Baltimore's self confidence is hanging by a thread right now, and it will unravel as soon as they find themselves down a couple of TDs in the first quarter. Lay the points with confidence as the Pats pick up their 12th win and 10th cover of the season.
burns college hoops
MISSOURI STATE (+9 or better)
Game: Missouri St. vs. Arkansas Game Time: 12/3/2007 8:00:00 PM Prediction: Missouri St. Reason: I'm taking the points with MISSOURI STATE. Arkansas is one of the best teams in the SEC and comes in having won four straight games. However, the Bears are again one of the best teams in the always competitive Missouri Valley Conference. Like the Razaorbacks, the Bears have also won four straight games. After knocking off a solid St. Louis team, the Bears defeated Winthrop on the road. They've got the talent and the experience necessary to score the upset tonight and I expect them to enter the game as a confident group. As one of the most consistent programs in the Valley, the Bears have typically thrived as road underdogs of this size. In fact, they're a profitable 8-2 ATS the last 10 times they were listed as road underdogs in the 9.5 to 12 range. During the same stretch, the Razorbacks were a money-burning 3-7-1 ATS when listed as home favorites in the same range. It should also be noted that none of the Razorbacks last four wins has come by more than a dozen points, despite two of those games (Oral Roberts and Delaware State) not even having pointspreads! While the Razorbacks played on Saturday, the Bears haven't played since 11/25. Some teams tend to become a bit rusty after an extended layoff. However, under Coach Hinson the Bears haven't been one of them. In fact, they're an impressive 15-3 SU (11-4 ATS!) the last 18 times that they played with seven or more day's rest in between games. These teams played a close one against each other in 2005, with the Razorbacks winning by three points. I expect tonight's game to come down to the wire once again. *Annihilator
Burns NHL
ISLANDERS
Game: Boston Bruins vs. New York Islanders Game Time: 12/3/2007 7:05:00 PM Prediction: New York Islanders Reason: I'm laying the price with the NY ISLANDERS. Home ice has meant a great deal to both of these teams so far this season. The Bruins are 7-3 vs. the moneyline at home but just 6-8 on the road. Meanwhile, the Islanders are 4-6 on the road but a healthy 9-5 at home. Therefore, its no real surprise that the home team has won both meetings in this series so far. The Bruins won 2-1 at Boston on 11/23 and the Islanders returned the favor on Long Island the following night, winning by an identical 2-1 score. That victory brought the Isles to a perfect 5-0 the last five home series meetings and 6-0-4 (six wins, four ties) the last 10. Its also worth noting that the Bruins are playing their fifth straight road game. Conversely, the Islanders have only played one "road" game in their past six games and didn't involve any travel as it came vs. the Rangers. While the Bruins and Islanders currently have very similar records, I feel the the Islanders are the more talented team with both a goaltending edge and a coaching edge. By the end of the season, I fully expect them to finish ahead of the Bruins in the standings. Look for them to be the stronger team tonight as they overtake Boston in the conference standings and continue their home ice series dominance. *Best Bet
Burns NFL
BALTIMORE (+17 or better)
Game: New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens Game Time: 12/3/2007 8:30:00 PM Prediction: Baltimore Ravens Reason: I'm taking the points with BALTIMORE. The Eagles showed that the Patriots could be beaten, at least vs. the pointspread. Like the Eagles, the Ravens aren't your typical sub-500 team. They won the division last year, have a coach who has won the Super Bowl and have a winning record at home. That being said, I expect Billick's crew to play with a lot of pride this evening. This team is better than their record indicates and they virtually never get blown out here. In fact, I looked through the database at the Raven's last 25 home games and found that they've gone 19-6 and that NONE of the losses came by more than 17 points. Although the playoffs are a writeoff, the Ravens could really salvage their season by handing the Patriots their first loss. While this is arguably Baltimore's biggest remaining game, the Patriots have a big game vs. the Steelers on deck. The Ravens are well aware of the fact that they're such large underdogs and I expect it to be a positive motivator. As Ravens' receiver Derrick Mason said: "We could have been 100-point underdogs. It doesn't matter to me. I know a lot of people figure we should just pack it up and not go out there and play. But we're a football team just like they're a football team. I feel that if we go out there and do what we need to do and don't turn the ball over, then we have a good shot of winning this game." The Ravens are 16-4 SU and 13-7 ATS their last 20 home games in the month of December and I look for them to give the Pats a much tougher game than expected. *Main Event
Burns NBA
BULLS (+2 or better)
Game: Dallas Mavericks vs. Chicago Bulls Game Time: 12/3/2007 8:35:00 PM Prediction: Chicago Bulls Reason: I'll gladly take the points with CHICAGO. However, I expect the Bulls to win tonight's game outright. The Mavericks, who have big games vs. San Antonio, Denver and Utah on deck, have been struggling lately. They lost their last game 112-101 at New Orleans and are now an ugly 0-6 ATS (2-4 SU) their last six games. Three of those games came against Eastern Conference teams and the Mavs lost all three games outright. Conversely, the Bulls come in playing improved basketball, having won two straight games by double-digits. Last season's game here had a similar pointspread (Mavs were favored by -3.5) and the Bulls won outright by 11 points. Note that while the Bulls are 5-2 ATS the last seven times they were underdogs of four points or less, the Mavs are 2-5 ATS when favored by four points or less. The Bulls can take a lot of positives from their last win. Ben Gordon and Luol Deng each shot 13-for-21, with Gordon scoring 34 and Deng 29 -- both season highs. Perhaps more importantly, Ben Wallace recorded his first "double-double" of the season, scoring 10 points while grabbing a whopping 19 boards. Look for the Mavs' recent struggles vs. teams from the East to continue as the Bulls build momentum and earn their third straight win.
LT Lock
BULLS+3
cto - confidential tip off - ( goldsheet )
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heres the 4th of 6 plays this week
1~0 on 11*
2~0 on 10*
10* ORLANDO over *Golden State (NBA)...Orlando is ripping trough the NBA right now, and high-scoring Magic should have more than enough
in the tank to handle defenseless Golden State side that’s yielding 112 ppg at home and has yet to hold an opponent below 100 points at
Oracle Arena. The Magic played last night in Los Angeles against the Lakers, but Orlando covered its first four chances playing the 2nd
of back-to-back games. Fundamental matchup favors athletic Magic pivot Dwight Howard (as it does almost every night this season),
who’s scoring 23 ppg & pulling down 15 rpg this year. ORLANDO 116 - *Golden State 100 RATING - 10