Arthur Ralph Superpick Monday!
Golden State -3 1/2
8-0 Run On His Superpicks
Arthur Ralph Superpick Monday!
Golden State -3 1/2
8-0 Run On His Superpicks
North Star Sports Service
MONDAY
NFL - 12/17/2007 CHICAGO+ 10
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Marc Lawrence comp
Game: Phoenix Suns at San Antonio Spurs Dec 17 2007 8:35PM
Prediction: Phoenix Suns
Reason: Play On: Phoenix Suns
Note: Suns have looked forward to this game ever since being booted out of the playoffs last season by the Spurs. Look for Phoenix to improve to 24-11-1 ATS as a conference road dog with revenge here tonight.
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Ben Burns comp
Game: Washington Capitals at Detroit Red Wings Dec 17 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: Washington Capitals
Reason: The Wings are an excellent team and are off to a great start to the season. However, as seen earlier in the week, (when they lost as -275 favorites vs. Edmonton) they aren't unbeatable. The Capitals come in playing well, having won five of their past seven games. Note that the two losses during that 7-game stretch game by just three combined goals too. With the Wings having seen two of their last three games decided by a single goal, I feel that the Capitals offer solid value at +1.5 goals. Consider a play on WASHINGTON at +1.5 goals.
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Jimmy The Moose comp
Game: Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings Dec 17 2007 10:35PM
Prediction: over
Reason: This will be Colorado's 4th game in 6 night and in their last 10 times in this situation the over is 8-2. In their last 26 games vs. Pacific Division team's the over is 19-7. The Kings have played over the total in 5 of their last 6 home games. In their last 10 games vs. Northwest team's the over is 8-2. The over is 7-1 in Colorado's last 8 visits to LA. The team's have played over the total in the last 5 meetings. Play the over.
Michael Cannon
Monday's Plays...
20 Dime –
VIKINGS (Buy the ½ point if your line is -10 ½)
Lay the points with the Vikings tonight when they host the Bears.
There’s no question the Vikings are rolling right now. Their one-two punch of Adrian Peterson and Chester Taylor gives them the best running back tandem in the NFL.
If there’s one thing the Vikings can do tonight, it will be to run the ball against a Chicago rushing defense that ranks No. 24 in the NFL.
Quarterback Tarvaris Jackson has stepped up his game and now gives the Vikings the confidence that they can also throw the ball when needed. Jackson has completed 44-of-61 passes for 496 yards and four touchdowns over his last three games. During that span he has thrown only one interception.
The Bears will have three new defensive tackles this week, which should ease the pass rush and hurt an already soft run defense.
Chicago will also have another change at quarterback, as Kyle Orton will get the start. Both Rex Grossman and Brian Griese were ineffective this year, so why not give Orton a shot?
My take on that is if Orton had any conceivable ability he would have started a lot earlier than Week 14.
The Bears are a putrid 1-10 ATS against an opponent off a SUATS win on Monday Night.
The Vikes counter with a 6-1 ATS mark on Monday’s off a win when going into revenge.
Lay the points as the Vikings grab the home win and cover.
10 Dime –
SUNS
Take the Suns over the Spurs tonight in San Antonio.
This is the team’s first meeting since the Spurs eliminated the Suns in last year’s playoffs.
Phoenix may have won the series if the NBA hadn’t unfairly penalized them by suspending Amare Stoudamire in Game 5 for leaving the bench after Robert Horry’s cheap shot on Steve Nash.
Now the Suns get their opportunity at revenge against a Spurs team that could be without guard Tony Parker.
Phoenix is at full strength and has tremendous motivation, so take the Suns as they get it done in San Antonio.
5 Dime –
CAVALIERS
Lay the points with the Cavs tonight when they host the Bucks.
Cleveland has revenge motive here after Milwaukee upset them 111-107 last month as a six-point dog.
The Bucks have yet to show any defensive intensity away from home this year. Plus, the Cavs have defeated the Bucks in seven of the past eight meetings.
Milwaukee lacks outstanding depth and this marks its third game in four days.
Lay the points as the Cavs win and cover at home.
ness triple play--NBA
Jazz
Cavs
Mavs
confirmed
burns NFL total
under bears/vikings
confirmed
Marco D'Angelo | NBA Sides Double-Dime Bet
504 CLE -7.5 (-110) BetUS vs 503 MIL
Analysis: Tonight Cleveland plays host to Milwaukee expect Cleveland to rebound from Saturday's loss as that game was the second of back to back games for Cleveland. Cleveland is rested and rebounds with a big home Win. Look for Cleveland to Win by 11-14 Points. Take CLEVELAND as my NBA PLAY OF THE DAY and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY
CANNON
20 Dime –
VIKINGS (Buy the ½ point if your line is -10 ½)
Lay the points with the Vikings tonight when they host the Bears.
There’s no question the Vikings are rolling right now. Their one-two punch of Adrian Peterson and Chester Taylor gives them the best running back tandem in the NFL.
If there’s one thing the Vikings can do tonight, it will be to run the ball against a Chicago rushing defense that ranks No. 24 in the NFL.
Quarterback Tarvaris Jackson has stepped up his game and now gives the Vikings the confidence that they can also throw the ball when needed. Jackson has completed 44-of-61 passes for 496 yards and four touchdowns over his last three games. During that span he has thrown only one interception.
The Bears will have three new defensive tackles this week, which should ease the pass rush and hurt an already soft run defense.
Chicago will also have another change at quarterback, as Kyle Orton will get the start. Both Rex Grossman and Brian Griese were ineffective this year, so why not give Orton a shot?
My take on that is if Orton had any conceivable ability he would have started a lot earlier than Week 14.
The Bears are a putrid 1-10 ATS against an opponent off a SUATS win on Monday Night.
The Vikes counter with a 6-1 ATS mark on Monday’s off a win when going into revenge.
Lay the points as the Vikings grab the home win and cover.
10 Dime –
SUNS
Take the Suns over the Spurs tonight in San Antonio.
This is the team’s first meeting since the Spurs eliminated the Suns in last year’s playoffs.
Phoenix may have won the series if the NBA hadn’t unfairly penalized them by suspending Amare Stoudamire in Game 5 for leaving the bench after Robert Horry’s cheap shot on Steve Nash.
Now the Suns get their opportunity at revenge against a Spurs team that could be without guard Tony Parker.
Phoenix is at full strength and has tremendous motivation, so take the Suns as they get it done in San Antonio.
5 Dime –
CAVALIERS
Lay the points with the Cavs tonight when they host the Bucks.
Cleveland has revenge motive here after Milwaukee upset them 111-107 last month as a six-point dog.
The Bucks have yet to show any defensive intensity away from home this year. Plus, the Cavs have defeated the Bucks in seven of the past eight meetings.
Milwaukee lacks outstanding depth and this marks its third game in four days.
Lay the points as the Cavs win and cover at home.
ALan Boston
-10 on Eastern Kentucky
Frank Rosenthal
MONDAY, DECEMBER 17, 2007
NFL WEEK # 15
282 VIKINGD-10 SB
UNDER 43.5 SB
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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
NO GAMES SCHEDULED
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NBA
507 WOLVES+9.5 SB
509 WARRIORS-3.5 SB
511 SUNS+2.5 SB
OVER 202 SB
513 MAGIC OVER 203 SB
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COLLEGE HOOPS
517 INIDANA ST+6 SB
523 WOFFORD+18 SB
526 ILLINOIS-22 SB
532 SANTA CLARA-6 SB
GOOD LUCK!
Drew Gordon
Monday Picks:
1. 200,000♦ Bears
2. 50,000♦ Hawks
3. 50,000♦ Tulane
1. Bears- There's no doubt the Bears have been a disappointment this season, but underestimate them at your own risk in this spot, and here's why:
First, anyone not named Grossman or Griese is starting. Clearly, neither one of those signal callers has been able to get this offense going, so the switch to Kyle Orton is a welcome change. Remember guys, he went 10-5 as the Bears starter in 2005, albeit with a much better defense, but give the kid some credit for doing it in his rookie season. Two years removed, he knows the system better and should do just fine against a terrible Vikings pass defense.
Second, while the Vikings have been surging over the last 4 games, averaging 34 ppg, let's not get carried away. This is still a young team, led by a highly inconsistent Tarvaris Jackson, and before we go laying double digit points with the Vikings, he's got to show more consistency, period. In fact, the last time the Bears were double-digit dogs was 3 years at Minnesota, where they covered 27-22.
Finally, consider the revenge factor, as these same Vikings beat the Bears 34-31 back on October 14th at Soldier Field. Besides the fact this game is being played on the Big Stage of Monday night, the Bears would like nothing more than to return the favor tonight on the road. Remember guys, the Bears actually have a better record on the road (3-4 SUATS) than at home (2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS).
Bottom line, look for Kyle Orton is inject some much needed intelligence into the Bears offense tonight, as too many stupid mistakes between Grossman and Griese have doomed this team time and again. With a chance to snap their losing streak, get some revenge, and keep their very slim playoff hopes alive, look for the Bears to deliver the payday in primetime tonight.
Take the Bears plus the points over the Vikings as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Hawks- Despite what you've seen the Jazz do at home this season, try and remember they're still a very average road team, going 5-9 SUATS away. In fact, this should come as no surprise, because the Jazz have been "road-weary" for some time now, going 9-23 ATS over their last 32 road games.
Atlanta meanwhile, after years of futility, is finally starting to look like a "real" team. Years of top draft picks, along with the acquistion of Joe Johnson from the Suns 3 seasons ago, have started to pay dividends, as you can no longer snicker at this Hawks team.
Injuries are also a factor, as both Harpring and Okur are out, leaving the Jazz's biggest edge, their frontline, with some depth issues. Williams and Boozer will still get theirs, but the Jazz will miss Okur's ability to spread the floor with his shooting and Harpring's toughness off the bench.
Finally, let's take the number into consideration. Despite the fact the Jazz have covered 9 straight against the Hawks, they're only slight favorites... What does that tell you? Oddsmakers aren't stupid, and we should take this number for what it is, a clear sign of Utah's futility on the road. In the end, it wouldn't surprise in the least if Atlanta won this game outright, but take the points regardless.
Take the Hawks plus the points over the Jazz in this NBA match up.
3. Tulane- Two average teams meet in this contest, but you've got to like the Green Wave at home tonight, as they face-off with a road-weary Sycamores squad in this one.
Like Dr. Jekyl and Mr. Hyde this Indiana State team has split personalties: One at home, where they're 4-0 and one on the road, where they're a winless 0-4. Make no mistake, we see the 0-4 version tonight, as the Sycamores aren't built to run with a Green Wave offense that excels at home, averaging 75 ppg on a solid 48% shooting. Compare that to Indiana State's pathetic road numbers, averaging 58 ppg on 39% shooting, and you start to see my reasoning behind this play.
Match ups also favor Tulane, as they've got some decent size with forwards Gomez and Louisme. Indiana State maybe guard-heavy, but they don't even have the best guard on the floor. That distinction goes to the Green Wave's Kevin Sims, who despite some woeful shooting, leads the team in scoring, assists, steals and minutes. Neither team has a true "go-to guy," but I'll take Tulane's balance over the Sycamores guard heavy rotation any day.
Bottom line, Indiana State has given us zero reason to believe they can get it done tonight on the road. Their offense is average overall, but becomes difficult to stomach when they travel. Not to mention they leave their defense back at home, allowing their opponents to shoot 49% on the road this season! End result: Another poor road effort from the Sycamores, as the Green Wave protect their house and grab the cash in this one!
Take Tulane comfortably over Indiana State in this college hoops match up.
ATS Lock Club
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4 units on the Minnesota Vikings (-10) over the Chicago Bears, 8:30
BLACK MAGIC SPORTS
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5 Unit Black Magic NCAA Dog of the Night Morehead State +1
Morehead State beat Tennessee Martin in both meetings last season, including a 70-48 win on their home floor. They get Tennessee Martin at home tonight and there is no way in hell they should be the underdog. Tenn-Martin has just 1 returning starter and they are lacking depth mightily. Morehead State is 2-0 on their home floor this season in their only two home games. They are a much different team when playing at home. Morehead State is 7-3 in their last 10 home meetings with Tennessee-Martin. Cash in with Morehead State as the underdog.
3 Unit Sharp Play on Indiana State +6
Indiana State beat Tulane by 12 points last season. Each team returns 4 starters this season so we don’t expect anything to change. Indiana State should not be the underdog in this match-up. Tulane is 15-29 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins. Indiana State is 52-31 ATS against good defensive teams allowing less than 42% shooting on the season. Tulane is 3-12 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season. Indiana State will hit their fair share of 3-pointers to keep them right in this ball game. Cash in with Indiana State as the underdog.
NFL:
4 Unit NFC North Total of the Month on Vikings UNDER 43
All value goes on the UNDER tonight with two running teams that will really be stacking the line against one another. The Bears are starting Kyle Orton at quarterback so they will not be putting up more than 13 points against this great Vikings’ defense. Minnesota is giving up just 11.3 points a game in their last 3 games overall. The UNDER is 7-1 in the Vikings’ last 8 Monday Night Football games. Minnesota is 8-1 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Minnesota is 10-1 UNDER after a win by 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Chicago will put a better game plan together to stop the Vikings in their second meeting of the season with Minnesota. It’s obvious the Bears can’t score so Minnesota will win this one by a final of 20-10 in a low scoring affair. Cash in with the UNDER 43 points.
Lenny Del Genio's Lenny Del Genio's 20* CBB Conference Game of the Month (8 straight!)
Play on Tenn-Martin at 7:00 ET. Morehead State cannot score, nor can they stop their opponents from doing the same - two traits that aren't very helpful when you're a college basketball team. They shot a pathetic 26.1% from the floor against Murray State back on 12/8, while allowing the Racers to more than double them up at 54.1 FG%. It was already the fourth time this season that the Eagles shot under 36.5% this season AND the 4th time they allowed an opponent to make more than they miss. Meanwhile, the ATS fortunes of these two OVC schools could not be more drastically different. Tenn-Martin is a perfect 6-0 against the spread this season, while Morehead State has covered just 9 of its last 30 games and its only two SU wins this year have come against non-lined opponents, one of which was named Alice Lloyd. Tenn-Martin doesn't play those girls, averaging 42 rebounds per game (including 14 on the offensive end), and they outscore Morehead by over 22 points/game on the season. This series has a history of 2-0 sweeps and with the visitor playing with double revenge from last year, we'll side with them. Tenn-Martin is our 20* Conference Game of the Month.
Good luck, Lenny
THE REAL ANIMAL
3* Minnesota -10 on the buy @ -120 at Olympic
Pick Date: 12/17/2007
Adrian Peterson had a field day a few weeks ago in Chicago with 224 yards and three touchdowns. If anything, he should be quicker on artificial turf against a beleaguered Chicago defensive line. The Bears this week had to put starting nose tackle Anthony Thomas and back-up defensive tackle Antonio Garay on injured reserve. Of course Tommie Harris, arguably their best down lineman has not been at 100 percent all season. Darwin Walker has been limited by an elbow injury and has not been able to participate fulltime. In their last home game Chicago was out-rushed by the Giants 175-68. What made that especially disturbing is New York was without #1 running back Brandon Jacobs. The Chicago secondary has also been down a notch most of the season without the likes of Mike Brown and Nathan Brown. The Bears are downright feeble in just about every statistical category. They are #31 in rushing, surprisingly #29 in total defense, #27 against the run, #25 against the pass, and #28 in QB protection. Tonight Kyle Orton gets his first start of the season. Orton started 15 games in 2005 but hasn’t seen live action since the preseason this year. Adrian Peterson gets all the national attention, but as I mentioned last week, the Vikings are #1 in the league against the run allowing 3.0 a carry. By virtue of the fact Chicago is pathetic in running the football, the burden of moving the chains will really fall on Orton and the passing game. The Vikings are +10 in turnovers and you’d have to believe a rusty Orton is subject to mistakes. The Bears are 4-9 ATS this year including 1-4 versus teams with winning records. A moneymaking NFL system suggests to go against teams with a .400 winning percentage or less in their 14th game if this is their final road game of the year and they are coming off a SU and ATS loss. That record is 18-3 ATS the last 21 and the Bears fall into this go-against system. But there’s no real value in tonight’s “side” spread. Chicago has too many question marks and lack of motivation to go with despite the fact they are a double-digit underdog for the first time in three years. Minnesota is a perfect 4-0 ATS this year in the role of a favorite. The Vikings have won and covered four straight entering tonight and the offense is peaking scoring 139 points in that span. The Peterson/Chester Taylor combination means the Vikings have breakaway speed available on virtually every play. I saw enough of the Bears last week to know I want nothing to do with them financially in this spot. This team lost to Detroit at home scoring seven points. PATHETIC! Minnesota is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings at home with the Bears. With the vast improvement of Tavarias Jackson, 44-of-61 last 3 games, I’ll back the Vikings tonight despite the high price. Jackson struggled in Chicago completing 9-of-23, but he’s a different QB right now.
3* Minnesota –10 @ -120
Premium Football Plays
paid and confirmed
5-1 yesterday with BEST BETS winners on New Orleans, New York Jets, Carolina and STRONG OPINION wins on Green Bay and Miami.
**BEST BET***MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-10) VS. Chicago Bears:
There is no hotter team in football right now than the Vikings and they should continue their recent dominance with an easy win over a Bears team that will start Kyle Orton at QB. This is certainly a desperation move as Chicago is clearly out of options and are just hoping someone gives them a spark. This team has the look of one who threw in the towel and the Vikings on the other hand are streaking toward that last playoff spot in the NFC. They will use their awesome running game to control the clock and put the Bears on their heels as they score an easy conquest. THE PICK: Minnesota Vikings (-10)