FRANK ROSENTHAL
MLB
FISH-105 SB
CUBS UNDER 9.5 SB+
DBACKS-120 SB
KC+115 SB
TEXAS-130 SB+
ANGELS-140 SB
NFL
JETS VS CHARGERS
JETS+9 SB
OVER 43 SB+
Sportsbettingstats
New York Jets at San Diego Chargers -8.5
The Chargers come into this must win game after losing last week to the Broncos 39-38, while the Jets lost to the Patriots 19-10. The Chargers are in a 0-2 hole and need to win to get their season back on track. The Jets are still trying to figure out their offense with Brett Favre at the helm and last week's loss to New England showed that the Jets still have a ways to go. The Jets are led by QB Brett Favre (375 yds 3 TD 1 INT) and his main targets are WR's Jerricho Cotchery (4 rec 100 yds 1 TD) and Chansi Stuckey (6 rec 80 yds 2 TD). The Jets rushing attack is led by RB Thomas Jones (171 yds 1 TD). The Chargers are led by QB Phillip Rivers (594 yds 6 TD 1 INT) and his 2 main targets are TE Antonio Gates (8 rec 122 yds 1 TD) and WR Chris Chambers (5 rec 127 yds 3 TD). The Chargers rushing attack is led by RB LeDanian Tomlinson (123 yds), who has not looked like himself in the last 2 games and is banged up and may not play in this game.
Staff Pick: The Chargers would be 2-0 and leading the AFC West is 2 plays would have gone differently. However, things did not go their way and they are 0-2 and at the bottom of the division. Tomlinson has a bruised toe and may not play in this game, which would give the Jets a huge advantage. The Jets are playing great defense ranked 8th in the league and are especially strong against the run. On the other hand the Chargers are playing poor defense and rank 30th out of 32 teams. San Diego has the offensive firepower, but their D needs to play better than they have their first 2 games. The Chargers secondary is giving up the 2nd most yards (293.5 per game) and with a guy names Favre coming to town that aint a good thing. The Jets only have the leagues 25th ranked offense and they were stymied last week in their loss to the Patriots. Will Tomlinson play? Can the Charger D step up and stop Favre? If the answers to these questions are no then the Bolts are looking at 0-3. Look for the Chargers D to bounce back and play a decent game and for their offense to score just enough points to get in the win column, but the game will be close and the Jets should cover the spread.
Chargers 27 Jets 20
Michael Cannon
Florida -115 at CINCINNATI
Let’s take the Marlins this afternoon over the Reds.
Florida will start Ricky Nolasco and the right-hander looks to finish out a strong 2008 campaign. He’s 15-7 on the year with a 3.52 ERA, including a 2-0 mark with a 2.49 ERA in his last three starts.
Aaron Harang will get the start for Cincinnati and he’s coming off a complete game shutout. Unfortunately the right-hander hasn’t had any consistency this year, and his 5-16 record is proof of that.
Look for Harang to stumble this time out while Nolasco delivers another quality outing.
Take the Marlins for the road win.
3♦ FLORIDA
JR MILLER
JETS +9.0 -115 at Chargers
Major League Baseball:
Royals at Tigers OVER 9.0 -110
JETS +9.0 -115 at Chargers
The over/under line on this game has gone up to 44.5 from 44.0.....We'd take the 'Under' if we could find a 45.5. That could happen as game-time gets closer. We're expecting the Jets to score between 17 and 24 points while the Chargers score somewhere between 20 and 27 points.
Royals at Tigers OVER 9.0
This over/under line is starting to slip against us - (to 9.5) - and we would NOT take the 9.5. Try to find a 9.0, or pass
3Daily Winners
New York Jets vs. San Diego Chargers
Play: New York Jets
PLAY AGAINST home favorites like San Diego after one or more consecutive losses, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with six or more wins in last eight games. This system is a beauty at 24-4, 85.7 percent. Back the Flyboys.
Matt Foust
Kansas City Royals +112
The Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers will square off tonight at Comerica Park, both have a combined 13 games left and are cruising to the end of dismal seasons. However, the Royals do have a little bit left to play for, as they could pass the Tigers in the standings and finish out of last place in the AL Central for the first time since Attila ruled the Huns. We are going with the Royals as a +112 dog tonight.
Gil Meche is having another stellar year for the Royals, even if his numbers are slightly down from last year. He still possesses a 4.08 ERA, 12-11 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has been particularly effective facing the Tigers since he joined the Royals last year. Kansas City is 4-2 versus Detroit when Meche starts and Meche’s team is 6-2 in his last eight starts against the Tigers. In those eight starts Meche allowed 18 earned runs (2.25 per game), struck out 43, and walked just 16. In his last four starts at Detroit, KC is 3-1 and Meche allowed seven earned runs (1.75 per game), struck out 22, and walked seven.
Zach Miner is having a quality year as well and he has been a decent starter for the Tigers since they converted him to one back in July. He has a 4.16 ERA and 1.41 WHIP, but Detroit is 7-4 in his eleven starts. He has been outstanding versus the Royals allowing just one earned run in three starts against them.
But yes, I am still going with Kansas City, and here’s why. Miner has received some of the best run support in the league since being made a starter (7.64 runs per game). In Miner’s last three starts at home the Tigers are 3-0, but Miner has yielded 14 earned runs in those three starts. The only reason Detroit won two of those games was due to the fact that they pounded out 23 runs. They will not do that tonight against KC; they have scored just 16 runs in Meche’s last five starts against them. I also look for KC to get a few off of Miner. The Royals were in their most dismal offensive stretch of the year on the three occasions they faced Miner. Right now they are perhaps their hottest stint, averaging 6.4 runs per game over their last 10.
I am not calling for an offensive outburst on the part of KC, but I am looking for more than one run. This should be a lower scoring affair, and I see KC besting Detroit by a run or two.
Pick:Royals +112
Scott Rickenbach
Over Easy Monday: 1* (regular play) OVER the total in Boston vs Cleveland
It is absolutely no surprise to us that this total dropped to a 9 after opening up at a 9.5 and this drop to a key number is offering substantial line value! Keep in mind that a 9 means we just need four runs from each team to guarantee no worse than a push. The reality here is that the Red Sox could get this game over the total all by themselves (more on that below) but we do expect the Indians to be able to scratch for at least four runs against Josh Beckett and Company tonight! The Red Sox right-hander has produced three straight solid starts but let’s not forget that he’s still just 5-4 on the season at Fenway Park with a 5.61 ERA. Teams are hitting .296 against Beckett in Boston and, although it will be chilly tonight in Boston that is still nothing that either one of these teams will struggle with. Cleveland isn’t exactly a “hot spot” on the weather map! The fact is that the Indians lineup is looking much better than it was for much of this summer as Victor Martinez and Travis Hafner have recently returned from injuries. The Indians have won 9 of their last 13 games and they’ve averaged over 7.5 runs per game in the nine victories! This team is playing some of it’s best ball of the season and their lineup is looking as strong as it has in a long time.
As for the Red Sox, they can clinch a playoff spot with a win tonight and so their lineup will be “stacked” against Zach Jackson of Cleveland and that’s bad news for the Indians southpaw. The 25 year old has simply been unable to enjoy success at the MLB level. His numbers this season are much like he’s produced throughout his career as he’s 2-5 with a 5.92 ERA and a .310 BAA in 17 career MLB games (14 starts). Jackson is unlikely to enjoy any success at all against a Red Sox team that crushes the ball at Fenway Park. Don’t be fooled by their lack of offensive production throughout much of their recent road trip. The BoSox are hitting just .268 at home but note that they are hitting .293 at home this season and they will absolutely “tee off” against Jackson tonight. More bad news for the Tribe here is that they have one of the worst bullpens in baseball so, once Jackson gets knocked out (early we expect), the Red Sox will continue to pound the ball as they look to clinch a playoff spot tonight. A total of 9 on this game, with the way the Indians have been hitting and with their subpar pitching on display, is an absolute bargain. Play OVER the total in Boston as a regular selection.
Lenny Del Genio
Oakland Athletics at Texas Rangers
Prediction: Under
If you believe in the old adage that ?chicks dig the long ball,? then you have to believe the Oakland?s Greg Smith has been experiencing plenty of lonely nights this season. Smith is 24-4 Under in his 28 starts this season, including all 17 nighttime starts and all 13 as a road underdog. This total is unusually high due to the opponent, the hard-hitting Texas Rangers, but they have scored five runs or less in 5 of their last 7 games. Oakland averages only 4.0 runs/game on the road this season. Take Under.
LARRY NESS
Oakland Athletics @ Texas Rangers
PICK: Texas Rangers
The Rangers can call themselves a second-place team but while FOUR of the other five second-place clubs are within 2 1/2 games (or closer) of the division leaders, the Rangers are a ridiculous 21 1/2 games behind the AL West-leading LA Angels. So much for being in second place. The Rangers own MLB's best team BA (.281) and are MLB's highest scoring team (5.50 RPG) but the Rangers also own MLB's worst overall team ERA (5.44) as well as MLB's worst bullpen ERA (5.12). To say the least, that's a bad 'daily-double.' However, in the Oakland A's, Kevin Millwood (9-9, 5.15 ERA) will be facing a team which is dead-last in the majors with a team BA of .241 and has scored just 620 runs (San Fran's scored 619, while San Diego's and Washington have scored 618). Opposing Millwood will be lefty Greg Smith, who has pitched well for most of the '08 season. Smith enters this game only 7-15 with a 4.09 ERA but it's not easy pitching for a team which can't score. In his three previous September starts, he's held both the Orioles (seven IP) and Angels (six IP) scoreless but in between allowed seven hits and six ERs (5.2 IP) to these Rangers. In four starts vs Texas, he's allowed 23 hits and 18 ERs (over 22.2 IP) for a 7.15 ERA. The Rangers are only 11-9 at home vs lefties in night games this year but they have averaged 6.9 RPG, which should give Millwood and the team's shaky bullpen some "breathing room." Take the Rangers.
Mike Anthony
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets
Play: Chicago Cubs
Frank Jordan
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets
Play: New York Mets
If the season ended today the Cubs would host the Mets as the Mets would win the wildcard. But the season has one more week to play itself out to see who will win the East, Wildcard and West in the NL. In this one look for the Mets to avoid a three game losing streak with a home win. Play NY Mets
GINA
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
The hot Phillies have won nine of their last 10 games overall and have been in command of the Braves. Philadelphia has won 21 of the last 27 meetings, six of the last eight against them at Citizens Bank Park.
Go with the Philadelphia Phillies at home to grab their sixth straight victory against the Atlanta Braves. Atlanta has played horrible away from home, just 4-12 in their last 16 road games, 26-49 this season.
Philadelphia Phillies -155
New York Jets at San Diego Chargers
The Chargers are without doubt the better team and should seize a victory tonight at home, but New York has won and covered the spread in the last three battles in San Diego and old man Brett Favre has beaten them in all five games of his career. Take the points in a close Monday night fight. San Diego Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus the New York Jets, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home.
New York Jets +8½
Bob Majors
DET (-123) vs KAN
Kansas City travels to Detroit in a late afternoon encounter in the AL Central Division.Basically the game is meaningless for both teams, but there is pride at stake.
Pitcher Gil Meche is on the mound for KC and has been effective as of late.Meche has pitched 20.0 innings against the Tigers and is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA. On the road, he is 5-6 with a 3.77 ERA and when he starts the team is 8-8.
Countering for the Tigers is Zack Miner who is 4-1 with a 5.05 ERA and a record of 4-2 when he starts for the team.Miner has pitched against KC compiling a 3-0 record in 21 innings and a respectable 1.29 ERA.
With Miner's dominance over the Royals in past performances, we are siding with Detroit.
Matty O'Shea
Jets TE Dustin Keller OVER 15.5 receiving yards
Here's an interesting take from the New York Daily News
"The Chargers (0-2), a made-to-order opponent for Keller. The Chargers can't cover anybody (597 passing yards allowed), least of all tight ends. In the season opener, the Panthers' Dante Rosario made seven receptions for 96 yards, including the game-winning grab as time expired. The Broncos' Tony Scheffler ripped them for six catches, 64 yards and two touchdowns."
SportsKingz
ANGELS -140