Masterbets
Browns/Bills Under
The line is dropping along with the weather forecast as it looks like a cold night in Buffalo. That means you should get your bet on IMMEDIATELY and hope for snow. The current points total is 41 points, and that sets up as decent betting value.
Back to the total points play: the Bills have a poor offense of late. In their last 3 games they're averaging only 14 points per game but their defense is very tough, especially at home. The Under has been a good bet of late when this Bills team plays. The Browns have had a porous defense, but the reports from Cleveland are positive that this team is ready to play hard on defense under the national spotlight.
This is a trap line for Over players. It is much lower than it should be, so don't try to outsmart the oddsmakers and take the UNDER here.
DUNKEL
NBA
Houston at Oklahoma City
The Rockets are just 2-5 ATS as a favorite and face a Thunder team that is 3-0 after scoring 85 points or less in the previous game (85 vs. Sixers). Oklahoma City is the underdog pick (+8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by only 6. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+8 1/2).
Game 501-502: Houston at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.446; Oklahoma City 112.310
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 6; 176
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 8 1/2; 182
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+8 1/2); Under
Game 503-504: Phoenix at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 120.200; Utah 123.691
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 3 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 505-506: San Antonio at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 116.274; LA Clippers 111.712
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1 1/2; 177
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+1 1/2); Over
NCAAB
Massachusetts at Memphis
The Tigers opened with a big win over Fairfield (90-63) and look to keep it going tonight against a UMass team that is 1-5 ATS versus Conference USA opponents since 1997. Memphis is the pick (-15) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 19 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-15).
Game 507-508: Fordham at Villanova
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 51.195; Villanova 74.604
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 21
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-21)
Game 509-510: Brown at George Mason
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 50.289; George Mason 64.672
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: George Mason by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (-12 1/2)
Game 511-512: Troy at NC Wilmington
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 46.030; NC Wilmington 59.596
Dunkel Line: NC Wilmington by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: NC Wilmington by 10
Dunkel Pick: NC Wilmington (-10)
Game 513-514: Toledo at Xavier
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 50.374; Xavier 73.791
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: Xavier by 20
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-20)
Game 515-516: Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 60.133; Pittsburgh 75.677
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 13
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-13)
Game 517-518: Missouri State at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 54.127; Central Michigan 50.433
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 4
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (-1)
Game 519-520: UL-Monroe at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 48.319; Mississippi State 64.330
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 16
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 18
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+18)
Game 521-522: North Texas at Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 54.490; Oklahoma State 69.430
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 15
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 11
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-11)
Game 523-524: Utah State at UC Santa Barbara
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 54.673; UC Santa Barbara 61.553
Dunkel Line: UC Santa Barbara by 7
Vegas Line: UC Santa Barbara by 4
Dunkel Pick: UC Santa Barbara (-4)
Game 525-526: Massachusetts at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 64.769; Memphis 84.316
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 15
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-15)
Game 527-528: Fresno State at St. Mary's (CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 50.008; St. Mary's (CA) 67.551
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+21 1/2)
Game 529-530: Loyola-MD at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 52.042; Boston College 62.509
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston College by 14
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (+14)
Game 531-532: Cornell vs. St. John's
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 57.039; St. John's 57.874
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 1
Vegas Line: St. John's by 4
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (+4)
Game 533-534: Eastern Michigan at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 52.255; Purdue 76.329
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 24
Vegas Line: Purdue by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-20 1/2)
Game 535-536: Loyola-Chicago vs. Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 55.433; Georgia 59.562
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 4
Vegas Line: Georgia by 7
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+7)
Game 537-538: James Madison vs. Davidson
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 50.285; Davidson 72.336
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 22
Vegas Line: Davidson by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-16 1/2)
Game 539-540: Mississippi Valley State at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi Valley State 38.776; Oklahoma 72.686
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 34
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 30 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-30 1/2)
Game 541-542: Santa Clara vs. UAB
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 55.549; UAB 61.900
Dunkel Line: UAB by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: UAB by 10
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+10)
Game 543-544: Florida Atlantic at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 50.023; Arizona 72.440
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 18
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-18)
Game 545-546: Boise State at Siena
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 56.975; Siena 66.619
Dunkel Line: Siena by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Siena by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (+12 1/2)
Game 547-548: St. Bonaventure at Marist
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 55.871; Marist 57.216
Dunkel Line: Marist by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Marist by 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (+5)
Game 549-550: TN-Chattanooga at Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: TN-Chattanooga 48.838; Missouri 67.421
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri by 14
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-14)
NHL
San Jose at Nashville
Nashville returns home after completing a six-game road trip and looks to build on its 4-0 record after playing 3 consecutive road games. The Predators are the underdog pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has Nashville favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+125).
Game 1-2: Vancouver at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.189; NY Islanders 11.070
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-145); Over
Game 3-4: Ottawa at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.254; NY Rangers 10.953
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+140); Under
Game 5-6: Boston at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.690; Toronto 11.743
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-130); Over
Game 7-8: Edmonton at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.603; Detroit 12.870
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-210); Over
Game 9-10: San Jose at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.042; Nashville 12.486
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+125); Over
NFL
Game 429-430: Cleveland at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 129.613; Buffalo 130.945
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 5 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+5 1/2); Over
Tom Freese
Boston at Toronto
Boston is 5-1 their last 6 games and they are 4-1 their last 5 games vs. Eastern Conference foes. The Bruins are 4-1 after scoring two or less goals in their last game and they are 9-4-1 their last 14 games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of under 40%. Toronto is 3-7 their last 10 home games and they are 3-11 vs. an opponent who scored two or less goals in their last game. The Maple Leafs are 1-4 their last 5 home games vs. the Bruins. PLAY ON BOSTON -
Karl Garrett
Loyola Maryland at BOSTON COLLEGE -14
Early in the year in college buckets, you are going to find schools overextending themselves in pre-conference action. Tonight happens to be another prime example, as Loyola Maryland is already playing their third game in four night.
Loyola was on court yesterday afternoon is a 73-70 nail-biter of a win over Tennessee State, and now they must travel to Chesnut Hill to face a Boston College team that opened this past Friday with a 15 point home court win over Central Connecticut State.
This may not be Al Skinner's best team at BC, but they do have Tyrese Rice back for his senior season, and playing the rugged ACC gives the Eagles the pedigree needed to blast Loyola Maryland in this spot.
Watch as Loyola hits the wall around the half way mark of the second half tonight.
Take the Eagles.
3♦ BOSTON COLLEGE
Sports Gambling Hotline
Houston at OKLAHOMA CITY
Tonight we have another total winner, but it comes out of the NBA.
Play the UNDER in the Rockets-Thunder matchup, as these teams have already played to an UNDER earlier this year, combining for just 166 total points in a game where the total was 191!
That makes 3 straight series UNDERS, and UNDERS in 5 of the last 6 series meetings.
Houston comes into this one having played UNDER the total in their last 3, and 4 of their last 5 games, while Oklahoma City has been on a bit of an OVER roll, topping the total in 4 straight, but 3 of 4 of those OVERS have come on the road.
At home, Oklahoma City has played LOW in 4 of their first 5 games.
Expect defense to be the cry of the fans from the stands, and expect this Houston-Oklahoma City game to hold LOW.
Play on the UNDER.
2♦ UNDER
Drew Gordon
Houston at OKLAHOMA CITY +8'
I know full well its hard to back a 1-9 Thunder team, even at home. But in this particlular case, they're catching a rock-solid Rockets team at precisely the right time, but let me explain further...
The Thunder are sanwiched right in the middle of two tough games for this Rockets team, between a hard-fought win over New Orleans Saturday, and then a look-ahead game against Dallas on deck. In other words, its possible Houston may lose their focus in this sandwich game, especially considering the hefty price on this contest.
Second, the one thing the Thunder have done well at home is play defense, allowing 95 ppg on 43% shooting, which is surprisingly close to the Rockets defensive numbers on the road (92 ppg, 44% shooting). Not only that, but Houston-backers have to be concerned with the lack of offense, as they're scoring just 91 ppg on 41% shooting... Making it rather difficult to cover the number in this spot.
Finally, its no secret the Rockets have taken this team lightly in the past, going just 2-6-1 ATS over their last 9 meetings. With the Thunder sitting at just 1-9 for the season, it should come as no surprise if the Rockets "take a night off," especially considering they have Dallas on deck. In the end, the Rockets are the better team, but situationally, you have to give the edge to the Thunder.
Small play on Oklahoma City plus the points over Houston in this NBA match up.
1♦ OKLAHOMA CITY
Bobby Maxwell
San Antonio +1' at L.A. CLIPPERS
San Antonio is missing two of its big three players as Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker recover from injuries, but this team has a lot of veterans and a lot of heart. They have won two straight close games and they can still play defense. We'll play the Spurs today in Los Angeles against the Clippers.
The Spurs have only scored more than 100 points once this season. Obviously the loss of two stars hurts when it comes to putting points on the board. But on defense they have toughened up lately, limiting the opposition to just one game of 100 points or more in the last seven and none in the last five.
San Antonio got a 77-75 home win over the Rockets on Friday and then went to Sacramento on Sunday and got a 90-88 win as two-point road 'dogs.
Meanwhile the Clippers have opened the season as only they can, losing eight of their first nine games and six of seven at home. Saturday night they lost 121-103 to the Warriors as 3 1/2-point favorites and they are allowing 103.8 points per game this season. Los Angeles isn't stopping anybody and yet they are only averaging 89.9 points themselves. Ugly.
San Antonio has won eight straight matchups with the Clippers and four in a row in Los Angeles. And going back to March 2006, the highest point total they've been able to put up against the Spurs is 88. Look for San Antonio to lock them down again tonight and get a win and cover. Play the Spurs.
3♦ SAN ANTONIO
Jeff Benton
For Monday we’ll venture to College Basketball for the first time this season and take the points with Utah State over UC Santa Barbara.
Santa Barbara was hardly impressive in Friday’s season-opener at home against Division II Cal State Los Angeles, winning 64-55. The Gauchos got outscored 34-25 in the second half, shot just 42.6 percent from the field (6-for-20 from three-point land) and committed a whopping 22 turnovers. First-game jitters? Perhaps, but that still shouldn’t happen against a Division II opponent at home.
While UCSB struggled to put away Cal State LA, Utah State had no such trouble against its cupcake on Friday, trouncing Montana State-Northern 71-50 while making 54.3 percent of its shots and turning the ball over just eight times.
The Aggies have won five straight meetings in this rivalry, including last year’s Bracket Buster 72-59 rout at home as a 4½-point chalk. In fact, Utah State’s last three wins over the Gauchos have been double-digit routs, including an 80-50 victory in their most recent trip to Santa Barbara in 2005. Utah State finished last year on ATS runs of 7-1 overall and 6-0 in non-conference games, while UCSB was 2-7-1 in its final 10 home contests last year and 2-5 ATS in its last seven against non-league foes. Take the points, even though I’m pretty confident that the Aggies will depart Santa Barbara with an outright win.
2♦ UTAH STATE
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Oklahoma City Thunder +8.5
We'll play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team. This system is 47-19 ATS the last 5 seasons. Oklahoma City has lost 7 in a row and is coming off a blowout loss on the road. The Thunder will return home tonight leaving it all out on the floor to get back in the win column. The Underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and we'll snatch the dog again here.
Tommy Rider
Eastern Michigan +21 (1 unit)
Miami, OH +14 (1 unit)
Brown +12 (1/2 unit)
Vegas Experts
Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills
Bad weather looks like a possibility tonight and when these teams met last year in Cleveland in the snow, the result was an 8-0 final in favor of the Browns. Not saying it will be that low scoring this time around but the Bills have gone Under in four straight games, are 15-5 Under coming off an ATS loss, and a perfect 6 for 6 Under the total when coming off back-to-back pointspread losses. Cleveland will still keep the offense simple under QB Brady Quinn.
Play on: Under
LT Profits
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers Under 177.0
This may look like a vey low total, but when we look at the series history between the San Antonio Spurs and the Los Angeles Clippers and also at the fact that the Spurs had a tough game last night, this total is understandable.
For starters, the Under is 19-8-3 in the last 30 meetings between these clubs, including an unbelievable 13-1-1 in the last 15 meetings here in Los Angeles. The last two meetings at Staples produced point outputs of 162 and 170 points respectively, which again shows that this posted total is not as low as I seems at first glance.
Then there is the fact that the Clippers are shooting a woeful 41.1 percent from the field this season, so it is no coincidence that they are off to a 1-8 start. Sure, they have averaged 100 points over the last three games, but those contests were vs. Golden State, Sacramento and Dallas, three clubs that play at a fast pace and do not play much defense. The last time they played a team that actually defends anyone they managed just 83 points vs. the Houston Rockets.
Now the Spurs are a depleted club without Parker and Ginobili, and as a result they are averaging just 84.0 points in the last five games. They are also coming off of a hard-fought 90-88 win at Sacramento last night, and this is an old club that may not bounce back as well when playing back-to-back games as some younger teams would.
We look for history to repeat here tonight, which would man both teams tossing up tons of bricks.
Pick: Spurs, Clippers Under 177
Nostradamus
Cleve/Buff. Under 41
Vancouver -140
Nashville +120
SJ/Nash Under 5.5 -115
blade, any premium plays yet?
3Daily Winners
Cleveland Browns vs. Buffalo Bills
Play:Cleveland Browns +5
Originally this was going to make this a 2* play on Cleveland, however the forecast has been changed to 3 inches of snow as a possibility, thus will make this a Free Play. What I like about Cleveland in this spot is when expectations are low, they respond. The Browns are 22-11 ATS after one or more consecutive spread losses. Brady Quinn will face a more challenging defense in Buffalo who will likely blitz more than Denver did, however the Cleveland offensive line is above average and should limits hits on Quinn. Just like last year's snow game Jamal Lewis can control the contest running the ball. Buffalo's offense is really hurting with no running game, averaging just over 80 yards per game the last five contests. This exposes QB Trent Edwards as just ordinary when asked to pass to win. With the Bills offensive woes, five points is too much. Take the Browns and based on the weather and the Under.