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my football picks thread

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(@butterbean)
Posts: 34
Eminent Member
Topic starter
 

17-13 and +$90 ytd. balance = $590.00
nfl is killing me. i will just lay off mnf and start working on ncaa this week. i like the over 47 tonight, but no bet. the way i have been sucking it up at nfl so far, a play on the under might be wise. 😆

man i was liking iowa state. it is all the way down to 4 now, and i think i have to go the other way. seems like the value is with the horns.

texas -4
30/27

nebraska over 46
30/27
usc -3.5
30/27
rutgers +29.5
30/27
mich state -3.5
30/27
texas a&m -8
30/27
tennessee +7.5
40/36
miss state +9
40/36
pitt over 53
40/36

 
Posted : September 28, 2017 3:17 pm
(@jboppa)
Posts: 1540
Noble Member
 

It really is about finding value, line movement, public opinion. Usually if 9 people bet on a side I would bet the other way..mainly for the pro league anyways.
You try to find value in select games. Not bet on every game like someone on this forum. College is a lot easier. There are over 60 games a week so you have some what of advantage imo.. where as in the pros the line is spot on by vegas.
Also when you do this long enough you can anticipate public opinion right when the lines are open. With that knowledge you can pick plays early knowing the line will move out of your favor or wait on a play knowing by kickoff the line will move toward your favor.
I love this game.

 
Posted : September 28, 2017 5:01 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 38020
Illustrious Member
 

Always wait to the end You follow heavy and sharp money, I've seen bigger line swings in under 5 min. Sometimes, then within a 24 hr. period

 
Posted : September 28, 2017 6:39 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 38020
Illustrious Member
 

I use stats on 1 phase of the game both in football and mlb over plays that's it

 
Posted : September 28, 2017 6:46 pm
(@butterbean)
Posts: 34
Eminent Member
Topic starter
 

yeah i have been at this almost 20 yrs now. i always start with stats. then as the week goes on i follow the forums and line moves, and just go with my gut at the end. been working for me for the most part. i wish good fortune to both you guys. go with what works.

 
Posted : September 28, 2017 10:02 pm
(@butterbean)
Posts: 34
Eminent Member
Topic starter
 

18-15 and +$57 ytd. balance = $557.00
need to get it rolling now. i am adding 3.

rutgers +29.5
30/27
mich state -3.5
30/27
texas a&m -8
30/27
tennessee +7.5
40/36
miss state +9
40/36
pitt over 53
40/36

adds:
kansas state -14.5
40/36
tulsa over 70.5
30/27
n carolina +9.5
30/27

 
Posted : September 30, 2017 1:23 am
(@butterbean)
Posts: 34
Eminent Member
Topic starter
 

18-15 and +$57 ytd. balance = $557.00
need to get it rolling now. i am adding 3.

rutgers +29.5
30/27
mich state -3.5
30/27
texas a&m -8
30/27
tennessee +7.5
40/36
miss state +9
40/36
pitt over 53
40/36

adds:
kansas state -14.5
40/36
tulsa over 70.5
30/27
n carolina +9.5
30/27

19-23 and -$196 ytd. balance = $304. i'm back guys. had to take a week off after getting my clock cleaned to the tune of 1-8. i went out and did some other stuff, and i barely even watched ball this last week. this week looks easy to me, so hopefully i can flip that this week.

texas tech under 79
50/45

tcu -4.5
50/45

southern cal -12.5
50/45

oklahoma -8
50/45

nebraska +24
50/45

baylor over 71
50/45

and there is all my money out there. good luck everyone.

 
Posted : October 9, 2017 11:42 pm
(@michael-cash)
Posts: 7614
Member Moderator
 

Welcome back boss, GL this week.

 
Posted : October 10, 2017 6:58 am
(@butterbean)
Posts: 34
Eminent Member
Topic starter
 

Welcome back boss, GL this week.

ty. to you as well.

 
Posted : October 10, 2017 11:13 pm
(@michael-cash)
Posts: 7614
Member Moderator
 

I don't need luck, Champ. I have all of your to do the hard work for me lol

 
Posted : October 11, 2017 6:59 am
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