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NCAAF
Weather Report
Tuesday, November 12
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 12
Tuesday’s games
Ball State @ Buffalo (-4.5)
Ball State (3-6, 2-3)
Ball State’s two I-A wins were both by 2 points (37-35/25-23)
Five of their last seven games were decided by 6 or less points.
Cardinals have 8 starters back on offense, only one on defense.
Cardinals have 81 returning starts on offensive line.
Freshman QB Semonza started three games last year.
Ball State is 4-6-1 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog (2-3 TY).
Cardinals are 11-6-1 ATS last 17 games coming off a loss.
Cardinals are 15-6 ATS in last 21 MAC games.
Ball State allowed 420+ TY in five of seven I-A games.
Over is 6-1-1 in their I-A games this year.
Buffalo (5-4, 3-2)
Buffalo gave up 38+ points in all four losses.
Bulls allowed 489-489-452 yards in last three games.
Bulls have 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Buffalo has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Ogbonna has 1,527 PY (10 TDs’, 2 INTs)
Buffalo is 3-8 ATS last 11 games as a home underdog (1-0 TY).
Bulls are 2-5 ATS in last seven games coming off a win.
Bulls are 11-17-1 ATS in last 29 MAC games.
Buffalo is 1-3 when it scores fewer than 30 points.
Over is 5-0 in their last five games.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Ball State won nine of last 11 series games.
Cardinals are 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Buffalo
Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.
MAC home favorites are 8-5 ATS in conference games.
Western Michigan @ Bowling Green (-8.5)
Western Michigan (5-4, 4-1)
WMU is 4-1 SU/2-2-1 ATS in MAC, scoring 41.6 points/game.
Broncos were held to 14-0-20-28 points in their losses.
Broncos have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
WMU has 92 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Wolff started five games last year.
Under Taylor, WMU is 4-5 ATS as a MAC road underdog.
Last three games, Broncos ran ball for 209-358-211 yards.
WMU allowed 31+ points in five of last seven games.
Last five games, WMU is +7 in turnovers.
Over is 5-0 in WMU’s last five games.
Bowling Green (5-4, 4-1)
Falcons won last three games, by 21-15-10 points.
Bowling Green is 1-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Falcons have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Falcons have 123 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bazelak has 40 career starts.
Bowling Green is 2-7 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite (0-3 TY).
Falcons are 0-5 ATS as a favorite this season.
Under Loeffler, Falcons are 16-26 ATS in MAC games.
BG won last two weeks 27-6/41-20/23-13 (+6 in turnovers)
Under is 4-1 in their last four games.
Bowling Green won last two series games, 34-10/13-9.
Broncos won three of last four visits to Bowling Green SU.
Under is 8-2 in last ten meetings.
MAC home favorites are 8-5 ATS in conference games.
Central Michigan @ Toledo (-14.5)
Central Michigan (3-6, 1-4)
CMU lost its last four games, by 2-4-39-10 points.
Chippewas two I-A wins were by 1-3 points.
Chippewas have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Chippewas have 73 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Labas was at Iowa the last two years.
Under McElwain, CMU is 12-8 ATS as a road underdog.
Four of their last six games were decided by 4 or fewer points.
Chippewas are 5-16 ATS in last 21 MAC games.
Last two weeks, CMU was held to 168-250 total yards.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Toledo (6-3, 3-2)
Toledo split its last six games, after a 3-0 start.
Rockets’ MAC wins were by 10-1-7 points.
Toledo has 4 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Rockets had no returning starts on OL (added 3 transfers).
Junior QB Gleason started two games LY.
Toledo is 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a home favorite.
Rockets are 8-16 ATS last 24 games coming off a win.
Rockets are 10-13 ATS in last 23 MAC games.
Last six games, Toledo is minus-7 in turnovers.
Over is 6-2 in their I-A games.
Bowling Green won three of last four meetings.
This is first time since 2004 that BG is favored over the Chippewas.
Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
MAC home favorites are 8-5 ATS in conference games.