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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 14
Friday’s games
Oklahoma State @ Colorado (-16.5)
Oklahoma State (3-8, 0-8)
OSU is 0-8 in Big X games, giving up 39.3 ppg.
Cowboys gave up 456+ total yards in its Big X games.
Cowboys have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cowboys have 214 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bowman is in his 7th college season (13 starts LY)
OSU is 4-7 ATS in last eleven games as a road underdog.
Oklahoma State is 1-7 ATS in Big X games this season.
Cowboys are 18-15-1 ATS in last 34 games coming off a loss.
Oklahoma State is minus-9 in turnovers in its last seven games.
Cowboys scored 39-45 points in their two I-A wins.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Colorado (8-3, 6-2)
Colorado won eight of its last ten games (9-1 ATS).
Colorado scored 31+ points in eight of its nine wins.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.
Sanders is 7-4 ATS as a favorite with Colorado, 4-2 at home.
Colorado is 9-12 ATS last 21 games as a home favorite (3-1 TY).
Under Sanders, Buffs are 13-5 ATS in conference games.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 7-2 ATS coming off a loss.
Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.
These teams haven’t met since 2016.
Big X home favorites are 20-19 ATS.
Nebraska @ Iowa (-3)
Nebraska (6-5, 3-5)
Nebraska lost 4 of its last 5 games, after a 5-1 start.
Nebraska is 1-5 when it allows more than 10 points.
Cornhuskers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Nebraska has 152 returning starts on OL, mostly from transfers.
Freshman QB Raiola has thrown for 2,392 yards (12 TDs, 10 INTs)
Nebraska is bowl eligible for first tome since 2016.
Last five games, Nebraska is minus-5 in turnovers.
Nebraska is 17-9-1 ATS last 27 games as a road underdog.
As a college coach, Rhule is 21-12 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Rhule, Nebraska is 3-6-1 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their road games.
Iowa (7-4, 5-3)
Iowa is 1-4 if it allows 20+ points, 6-0 if it allows less than 20.
Iowa’s seven wins were all by 16+ points.
Hawkeyes have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 154 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB McNamara has 21 career starts.
Hawkeyes are 12-11-1 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite (3-2 TY).
In his career, Ferentz is 71-61-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Iowa is 22-16 ATS in last 38 games coming off a win.
Hawkeyes are 25-19-1 ATS in their last 45 conference games.
Over is 8-2 in their I-A games.
Iowa is 8-1 SU/5-4 ATS last nine series games.
Cornhuskers are 2-4 SU/ATS in last sis visits to Iowa City
Over is 8-3 in last 11 meetings.
Big 18 home favorites are 26-19 ATS.
Utah @ Central Florida (-9.5)
Utah (4-7, 2-7)
Utah lost its last seven games (2-5 ATS)
Three of Utes’ last four losses were by 3 or fewer points.
Utes have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Utah has 60 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Wilson has 1,510 PY (10 TDs, 11 INTs)
Utah is 15-5 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog (1-0 TY).
Utah is 3-7 ATS in last ten games overall.
Utes scored 22+ points in their four wins (0-5 score less than 22)
Since 2016, Utes are 47-32 ATS in conference games (3-6 TY).
Utah’s last three games went over the total.
Central Florida (4-7, 2-6)
UCF lost seven of its last eight games.
Knights scored 45-35-56 points in their three I-A wins.
Knights have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
UCF has 58 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Rizk has thrown for 797 yards (5 TD’s, one INT)
Under Malzahn, UCF is 10-12-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Malzahn is 32-38-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Malzahn, Knights are 13-20-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Malzahn, UCF is 7-12-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
Big X home favorites are 20-19 ATS.