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NCAAF Betting News Match-Ups and Trends For Friday 9/29/23

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(@shazman)
Posts: 60067
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : September 29, 2023 9:30 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60067
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Louisville @ NC State
Louisville (4-0)
— Louisville has ACC wins over Georgia Tech (39-34), BC (56-28).
— Cardinals gave up 488-427 total yards in the two games.
— New coach Brohm is a Louisville alum (66-44 as a HC)
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 150 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 12 games at Cal last year.
— since 2014, Louisville is 12-10 ATS as a road favorite.
— In his career, Brohm is 30-32 ATS as a favorite.
— Cardinals went bowling five of last seven years (2-3).

NC State (3-1)
— NC State has I-A wins over UConn (24-14), Virginia (24-21)
— Wolfpack’s loss was 45-24 (+7.5) at home to Notre Dame.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB Armstrong started 30 games at Virginia.
— since 2013, State is 8-11 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last five years, Wolfpack is 18-24-1 ATS in ACC games.
— State was outgained 384-319 in LW’s close win at Virginia.
— NC State won three of last five meetings.
— Cardinals are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Raleigh.
— Virginia was 2-1 vs Louisville last 3 years; Armstrong was UVa’s QB.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Louisiana Tech @ UTEP
Louisiana Tech (2-3)
— last 2+ years, Tech is 3-9/3-9/2-3.
— In their losses TY, Bulldogs gave up 223.3 rushing yards/game.
— Tech gave up 479.3 TY/game in its three losses.
— Tech’s one I-A win: 22-17 (-11) over FIU.
— 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 76 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 29 games at Boise State.
— Tech is 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games. 
— Bulldogs haven’t been to a bowl since 2020.

UTEP (1-4)
— UTEP is 0-4 vs I-A teams; they beat a I-AA team, 28-14.
— Miners lost last three games, giving up 38-31-45 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 122 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 29 starts.
— Under Dimel, Miners are 11-17 ATS at home.
— Last 3+ years, UTEP is 12-9 ATS in conference games.
— Last 5+ years, UTEP is minus-49 in turnovers (minus-6 TY).
— Miners have played in one bowl since 2014 (2021 New Mexico Bowl)

— Tech is 9-1 SU/5-5 ATS in last ten series games.
— Bulldogs are 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to El Paso.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Utah @ Oregon State
Utah (4-0)
— Utah QB Rising (knee) missed first four games (check status)
— Utes (-5) beat Florida 24-11, Baylor 20-13 (-7.5), Utah 14-7 (-3.5)
— Utes played two QBs so far; one is more of a runner.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; high expectations
— senior QB (Rising) has started 24 games, none this year.
— last 4+ years, Utes are 38-13 SU.
— last two years, Utah was 2-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— Since 2016, Utah is 42-22 ATS in Pac-12 games. 
— Utah lost last four bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.

Oregon State (3-1)
— OSU lost 38-35 at Wazzu LW, giving up 422 passing yards.
— Beavers scored 42-26 points in first two I-A wins.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 28 games at Clemson.
— Under Smith, OSU is 10-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Beavers are 12-6 ATS inlets 18 games coming off a loss.
— OSU’s only loss was 38-35; they allowed 11 ppg in their wins.
— Beavers are 2-3 SU in last five bowls (were favored in all five).

— Utah won six of last seven series games.
— Utes are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Corvallis.
— last three meetings went over the total.

Cincinnati @ BYU
Cincinnati (2-2)
— Cincinnati’s only I-A win: 27-21 (+6.5) at Pittsburgh.
— Bearcats lost last two games, 31-24/20-6.
— 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 20 starts back on offensive line; not much experience.
— senior QB Jones started 7 games at Arizona State LY.
— last 6+ years, Cincinnati is 9-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— New coach Satterfield is 10-13-2 ATS as a road underdog
— Cincinnati lost its last three bowls; favorites covered 4 of their last 5 bowls.

Brigham Young (3-1)
— BYU lost its Big X debut 38-27 at Kansas LW.
— 31-10 SU last 3+ years; Kansas held them to 9 YR.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line— added transfers on OL
— senior QB Slovis threw 1,268 passes, 68 TD’s at USC/Pitt.
— BYU is 1-5 ATS in last six games as a home favorite.
— Last three games, Cougars ran 76 times for 132 yards.
— BYU is 3-2 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.

— These teams haven’t met since 2016.
— This is their first meeting as Big X rivals.

 
Posted : September 29, 2023 9:32 am
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