Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.
Saturday’s games
Oklahoma @ Kansas
Oklahoma (7-0)
— Oklahoma scored 43.1 ppg in its first seven games.
— Last three weeks, Sooners gained 523-486-442 yards.
— under Venables, Sooners are 4-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— Oklahoma is +10 in turnovers this season.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 147 starts back on OL; should be much better
— junior QB Gabriel started 12 games LY, also started at UCF
— Oklahoma won its last two games, 34-30/31-29.
— Sooners are 16-12 ATS in last 26 conference games.
— Oklahoma is 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in last five bowls (average total, 78.2)
Kansas (5-2)
— Kansas gave up 27 or less points in its wins, 40-39 points in losses.
— Last three games, Kansas gave up 252 rushing yards/game.
— Jayhawks ran ball for 221+ yards in four of their five wins.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line; four starters are back
— junior QB has started 13 games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 4-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— in his career, Leipold is 14-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 9-12-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 6-10 ATS coming off a loss.
— Kansas was 6-7 LY, going to their first bowl since 2008.
— Oklahoma won last 18 series games.
— Sooners are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Kansas.
— Under is 3-0 in Sooners’ last three visits to Lawrence.
— Big X home underdogs are 8-3 ATS.
Clemson @ NC State
Clemson (4-3)
— Tigers gave up 28-31-28 points in losses, 17 or less in wins.
— Clemson is 5-5 SU in last ten games overall.
— Clemson is 4-0 if they allow less than 300 TY (374-311-362 in L’s)
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 99 starts back on OL, with four returning starters.
— soph QB threw 100 passes LY, but started only once.
— Tigers are 7-8 ATS in last 15 games as a road favorite.
— last 5+ years, Clemson is 31-16-1 ATS in ACC games (1-4 TY).
— Tigers are 5-3 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.
— Three of Clemson’s last four games stayed under the total.
— Clemson lost three of its last four bowls SU.
NC State (4-3)
— NC State scored 24+ points in wins, 24-10-3 points in losses.
— Wolfpack had bye last week; unclear who starts at QB here.
— NC State scored 12.3 ppg in its three ACC games (2-1).
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB Morris has started four games.
— Previous starter Armstrong started 30 games at Virginia.
— under Doeren, State is 8-11-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last five years, Wolfpack is 18-26-1 ATS in ACC games.
— NC State lost last three bowls; their last bowl win: 2017.
— Clemson won 16 of last 18 series games.
— Tigers are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Raleigh.
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.
— ACC home underdogs are 8-3 ATS.
Memphis @ North Texas
Memphis (5-2)
— Tigers split last four games, giving up 29.5 ppg.
— Tigers scored 28+ points in wins (0-2 score less than 28)
— Memphis allowed 31+ points in three of last four games.
— Last five games, Memphis allowed 455.4 yards/game.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line- 3 starters are back.
— junior QB has 24 career starts
— Memphis is 2-0 on road, 37-3 (-21) at Ark State, 45-21 (-7) at UAB.
— under Silverfield, Memphis is 3-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— Tigers are 10-17 ATS in last 27 AAC games.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.
— Tigers have been bowl eligible nine years in row (’21 bowl cancelled)
North Texas (3-4)
— North Texas allowed 31+ points in five of seven games.
— UNT scored 40-45 points in its I-A wins; 21-39-24-28 in losses.
— UNT hasn’t had a winning season since 2018.
— new HC was 24-18 at I-AA Incarnate Word.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 157 starts back on offensive line; they’re supposed to be good.
— junior QB started 18 games at UL-Monroe.
— UNT allowed 215 rushing yards in all six I-A games.
— since 2016, Mean Green is 6-8 ATS as a home underdog.
— UNT is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 conference games.
— Last three Mean Green games stayed under the total.
— UNT went bowling five of last six years (0-5 SU/1-4 ATS).
— Memphis (-12.5) beat North Texas 44-34 last year.
— UNT outgained 473-332 in that game, but was minus-2 in TO’s.
— Before last year, their last meeting was in 2013.
— AAC home underdogs are 2-7 ATS.
Duke @ Louisville
Duke (5-2)
— Duke QB Leonard has been banged up (check status)
— Duke lost two of last three games, after 4-0 start.
— Duke scored 24+ points in its wins, 14-20 in losses.
— Blue Devils covered their last seven tries as a home favorite.
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 122 starts back on offensive line, with 4 starters back
— junior QB has started 14 games.
— under Elko, Blue Devils are 3-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Elko, Duke is 8-3 ATS in ACC games.
— Duke won/covered its last four bowls; last bowl loss was in 2014.
Louisville (6-1)
— Cardinals lost 38-21 at Pitt last game, their first loss of year.
— Louisville has three wins by 7 or fewer points.
— Cardinals are 2-0 at home: BC 56-28 (-14), Notre Dame 33-20 (+6)
— New coach Brohm is a Louisville alum (72-45 as a HC)
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 150 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 12 games at Cal last year.
— Louisville is 11-5 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.
— In his career, Brohm is 20-20 ATS as a home favorite.
— Cardinals went bowling five of last seven years (2-3).
— Louisville (-20) won 62-22 at Duke in last meeting, in ’21.
— Cardinals ran ball for 384 yards in that game.
— Before that, teams last met in 2016.
— ACC home favorites are 8-8 ATS.
Oregon @ Utah
Oregon (6-1)
— Oregon has scored 33+ points in every game this season.
— Ducks’ only loss was 36-33 at Washington.
— Ducks’ road wins: 38-30 at Texas Tech, 42-6 at Stanford.
— Last five games, Oregon ran ball for 222 yards/game.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 96 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB Nix QB has 47 career starts, 34 of them at Auburn.
— Last 5+ years, Ducks are 51-17 SU.
— under Lanning, Ducks are 5-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Lanning, Oregon is 9-4-1 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Under is 4-2 in Oregon’s games vs I-A teams.
— Ducks are 3-2 in last five bowl games; all three wins were by one point.
Utah (6-1)
— Utah is coming off emotional 34-32 win at USC LW.
— Utes are 3-0 SU at home, winning by 13-7-20 points.
— Utah ran ball for 317-247 yards in last two games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; high expectations
— Utah QB Rising (knee) is OFY; soph Barnes is playing well.
— last 4+ years, Utes are 40-14 SU.
— since 2018, Utah is 0-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— Since 2016, Utah is 44-23 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Under is 4-2 in their I-A games.
— Utah lost last four bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.
— Teams split last eight meetings.
— Ducks lost last two visits to Utah, 38-7/32-25
— Last three meetings stayed under the total.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 6-3 ATS.
Georgia vs Florida (@ Jacksonville)
Georgia (7-0)
— Georgia won first four SEC games by 10-7-38-17 points (1-3 ATS)
— Georgia is 2-4 against spread this season.
— Dawgs outgained last two opponents, 1,160-402.
— In Dawgs’ only one possession game, Auburn ran ball for 219 yards.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— Last four games, Georgia threw for 350.8 yards/game.
— New QB for Georgia; he is completing 73.6%, with 12 TD’s, 4 INTs.
— Last 2+ years, Georgia is 13-11 ATS in SEC games (1-3 TY).
— Georgia’s last four games went over the total.
— Dawgs won their last six bowl games (4-2 ATS)
Florida (5-2)
— Gators scored 22+ points in its wins, 11-14 in losses.
— Florida’s two losses were by 13-19 points.
— Gators are minus-2 in turnovers this season.
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 74 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 32 games at Wisconsin
— under Napier, Florida is 6-2 ATS as an underdog.
— in his career, Napier is 17-4-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Gators are 6-16-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— Florida’s last three games went over the total.
— Gators lost last three bowls, by a combined 114-40.
— Georgia won five of last six series games (4-2 ATS)
— Under is 7-4-1 in last 12 meetings.
— SEC favorites are 19-11 ATS.
Iowa State @ Baylor
Iowa State (4-3)
— Cyclones won three of first four Big X games.
— Iowa State scored 24-27-30 points in I-A wins, 13-7-20 in losses.
— Cyclones are 4-3, but have a +7 turnover ratio.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line
— LY’s starting QB Dekkers withdrew from school (gambling charges)
— freshman QB is completing 60% of passes (12 TD’s/5 INTs).
— ISU is 2-6 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
— last 2+ years, Iowa State is 10-12 ATS in conference games.
— Cyclones lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— ISU is 4-10 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Baylor (3-4)
— Baylor is 2-4 vs I-A teams, giving up 33.8 ppg.
— Bears’ two I-A wins were by total of four points.
— Last four games, Baylor allowed 447 yards/game.
— Baylor is 3-5-1 in last nine games as home favorites (0-2-1 TY)
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 54 starts back on offensive line; 2 of 3 starters will be transfers.
— junior QB had 15 starts coming into this year.
— Bears are 12-9 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— under Aranda, Baylor is 17-17 ATS in Big X games.
— Bears are 3-2 SU in last five bowls; they were underdog in 4 of 5 games.
— Baylor won three of last four meetings (5-0 ATS in last five)
— Cyclones are 2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Waco.
— Last three meetings went over the total.
— Big X home underdogs are 8-3 ATS.
Mississippi State @ Auburn
Mississippi State (4-3)
— Miss State lost three of first four SEC games (W7-3 @ Arkansas LW)
— Bulldogs are 1-1 on road: L30-37 at South Carolina, W7-3 @ Arkansas.
— Miss State gave up 41-37-40 points in its losses.
— Bulldogs passes for less than 110 yards in three of last five games.
— 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has started 32 games.
— MSU is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Bulldogs are 15-23 ATS in last 38 SEC games.
— four of last four Miss State games went over the total.
— New coach TY after Mike Leach passed away last year.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.
Auburn (3-4)
— Auburn lost its last four games, giving up 27-27-48-28 points.
— In those three losses, Auburn was 47-87/421 passing, combined.
— Tigers beat UMass 59-14/Cal Bears 14-10 for their I-A wins.
— Last 3+ years, Auburn is 20-23 SU.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 25 games at Michigan State.
— In his career, Freeze is 31-21-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Auburn is 12-7 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite.
— In his career, Freeze is 24-20 ATS coming off a loss.
— Auburn is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
— Freeze is Auburn’s third coach in 4 years.
— Miss State won last two meetings, 39-33/43-34
— Bulldogs are 4-6 ATS in last ten visits to Auburn.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 11-7 ATS.
Tennessee @ Kentucky
Tennessee (5-2)
— Tennessee lost both true road games, 29-16/34-20, at Florida/Bama.
— Vols outgained Alabama 404-358 LW, still lost 34-20.
— Vols’ I-A wins are by 36-31-21-7 points.
— Vols ran for 232+ yards in all of its I-A wins.
— Vols are 16-4 SU in last 20 games (27-33 from 2017-21)
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 93 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB has nine starts.
— under Heupel, Tennessee is 3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Heupel, Tennessee is 10-10 ATS in SEC games.
— Vols are 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five bowls.
Kentucky (5-1)
— Kentucky lost last two games, 51-13/38-21, after a 5-0 start.
— Wildcats scored 39.3 ppg in beating four I-A stiffs.
— All six of their I-A games were decided by 17+ points.
— Last three games, Kentucky completed only 33-73 passes.
— 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line (four starters back)
— senior QB started 26 games at NC State.
— Wildcats are 26-15-1 ATS last 42 games as an underdog.
— Under Stoops, Kentucky is 10-12-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— Kentucky is 12-8 ATS in last 20 SEC games.
— Wildcats won four of their last five bowls (lost 21-0 LY).
— Tennessee won 23 of last 26 series games (4-2 last six)
— Vols covered their last five visits to Lexington.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
— SEC home underdogs are 4-8 ATS.
Colorado @ UCLA
Colorado (4-3)
— Colorado lost three of its last four games.
— Buffs gave up 42-48-46 points in their two losses.
— Colorado gave up 35+ points in five of seven games.
— Last three games, Buffs allowed 403-335-399 passing yards.
— Colorado is 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as road underdog.
— Deion Sanders is the new coach (27-6 at I-AA Jackson State)
— 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 44 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB Sanders started 26 games at Jackson State
— Buffs are 3-10-1 ATS in last 14 Pac-12 games.
— Colorado’s new OC was a good head coach at Kent State.
— Colorado hasn’t gone bowling since 2020; their last bowl win, 2004.
UCLA (5-2)
— UCLA is 4-2 vs I-A teams, giving up 13-10-14-17-36-7 points.
— Bruins’ losses: 14-7 (+3.5) @ Utah, 24-36 @ Oregon State
— Under is 5-1 in their I-A games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— 126 starts back on offensive line; high expectations.
— frosh QB Moore is completing 51.8% of passes, with 10 TD’s, 7 INT’s.
— Under Kelly, Bruins are 7-13 ATS as home favorites.
— Since 2019, UCLA is 22-16 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— UCLA is 15-13 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
— UCLA lost its last three bowls, giving up 37-35-37 points.
— Bruins’ last bowl win was 40-35 over K-State in 2014 Alamo Bowl.
— UCLA won nine of last 12 series games.
— Buffs are 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to UCLA.
— Last three meetings went over the total.
— Pac-12 home favorites are 8-7 ATS.
Washington State @ Arizona State
Washington State (4-3)
— Wazzu lost last three games, giving up 25-44-38 points.
— In those games, Coogs were outgained, 1,527-945.
— Coogs scored 50-31-38 points in their I-A wins.
— since 2018, Wazzu is 7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 13 games LY; he’s thrown 15 TD’s, 3 INTs TY.
— Wazzu is 14-7-1 ATS in last 22 conference games.
— Last five games, Coogs are minus-7 in turnovers.
— Wazzu went bowling five of last six years (1-4 SU/0-5 ATS)
Arizona State (1-6)
— ASU is 0-6 vs I-A teams, losing last three by 3-3-8 points.
— ASU’s only win: 24-21 over I-AA Southern Utah.
— Last two weeks, Sun Devils allowed 295-288 yards.
— 32-year old first-year HC was OC at Oregon last year.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 151 starts back on offensive line— added 6 transfers on OL
— Sun Devils have already used four QB’s this year.
— Sun Devils are 2-5-1 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
— ASU is 9-7-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss
— ASU lost four of their last five bowls (won ’19 Sun Bowl, 20-14)
— Washington State won four of last five series games.
— Coogs are 1-5 ATS in last six visits to Tempe.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 6-3 ATS.
Cincinnati @ Oklahoma State
Cincinnati (2-5)
— Bearcats lost last five games, giving up 29.6 ppg.
— Cincinnati’s only I-A win: 27-21 (+6.5) at Pittsburgh.
— Cincy ran ball for 242+ yards in three of last five games.
— 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 20 starts back on offensive line; not much experience.
— senior QB Jones started 7 games at Arizona State LY.
— since 2017, Cincinnati is 9-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— New coach Satterfield is 10-13-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— over is 4-2 in their I-A games this year.
— Cincinnati lost its last three bowls SU; favorites covered 4 of last 5 bowls.
Oklahoma State (5-2)
— Okla State won its last three games, scoring 29-39-48 points.
— OSU allowed 32+ points in four of its last five games.
— Okla State is 3-1 in Big X games (average total, 66).
— Cowboys were minus-2 in turnovers in losses, +7 in wins.
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— Cowboys are 15-12-1 ATS last 28 games as a home favorite.
— OSU is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 Big X games.
— Over is 3-1 in their four games.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.
— These teams haven’t met recently.
— Big X home favorites are 9-8 ATS.
UNLV @ Fresno State
UNLV (6-1)
— UNLV won its last five games, scoring 39.9 ppg.
— Rebels’ only loss: 35-7 (+37) at Michigan.
— Last four weeks, UNLV gained 488.3 yards/game.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line, but there isn’t much depth.
— freshman QB has completed 65.2% of passes (5 TD’s, 2 INT’s)
— In his career, coach Odom is 9-14 ATS on road, 3-0 TY.
— Since 2021, Rebels are 11-4 ATS on road.
— Four of their last five games went over the total.
— Rebels haven’t been to a bowl game since 2013.
— UNLV’s last bowl win was in 2000.
Fresno State (6-1)
— Fresno won its two I-A home games, 53-10/27-9.
— Four of their seven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Fresno scored 37 ppg in its five I-A wins.
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started 11 games at UCF.
— in his career, Tedford is 43-32 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Tedford, Fresno is 20-16-2 ATS in Mountain West.
— under Tedford, Fresno is 9-5 ATS coming off a win.
— Over is 4-2 in their I-A games this season.
— last five years, Bulldogs are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in bowl games.
— Fresno State won last five series games (3-2 ATS)
— Bulldogs won last two games, 37-30/38-30.
— Rebels are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Fresno.
— Last four meetings went over the total.
— Mountain West home favorites are 4-7 ATS.