Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.
Saturday’s top 13 games
Clemson @ Syracuse
Clemson (2-2)
— Tigers are 0-2 in ACC, losing 28-7 at Duke, 31-24 in OT to Florida State
— Last 10 years, Clemson was 121-18 SU.
— Clemson missed 30-yard FG with score tied and 1:45 left LW.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 99 starts back on OL, with four returning starters.
— soph QB threw 100 passes LY, but started only once.
— Tigers are 6-7 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
— last 5+ years, Clemson is 30-14-1 ATS in ACC games (0-2 TY).
— last ten years, Clemson is 7-5-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Clemson lost three of its last four bowls SU.
Syracuse (4-0)
— Syracuse scored 37 ppg in winning its three I-A games.
— Syracuse was +5 in turnovers in those games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 47 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has started 21 games.
— under Babers, Syracuse is 12-13 ATS as a home underdog.
— Syracuse is 14-12 ATS in its last 26 ACC games.
— Orange are 11-4 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
— Syracuse won four of its last five bowls (were favored in 1 of 5 games).
— Clemson won 9 of last 10 series games (2-7 ATS in last nine)
— Tigers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to the Carrier Dome.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Florida @ Kentucky
Florida (3-1)
— Gators lost 24-11 at Utah, beat Tennessee 29-16/UNCC 22-7.
— since 2018, Florida is 8-1 ATS as an underdog.
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 74 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 32 games at Wisconsin
— Last 2+ years, Gators went 6-7/6-7/3-1 SU.
— in his career, Napier is 16-4-1 ATS as an underdog.
— All three of Florida’s I-A games stayed under total.
Kentucky (4-0)
— Kentucky scored 40.7 ppg in beating three I-A stiffs.
— Wildcats (-13) won SEC opener 45-28 at Vanderbilt LY.
— Kentucky held its I-A opponents to 72.7 rushing yards/game.
— 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line (four starters back)
— senior QB started 26 games at NC State.
— Under Stoops, Kentucky is 34-24-2 ATS at home.
— Kentucky is 11-6 ATS in last 17 SEC games.
— Wildcats won four of their last five bowls (lost 21-0 LY).
— Kentucky won last two meetings 26-16/20-13
— Before that, Florida had won 23 of previous 24 series games.
— Gators are 8-5 ATS in last 13 visits to Lexington (0-3 ATS last three).
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
USC @ Colorado
USC (4-0)
— USC won its first four games, scoring 55 ppg (2-2 ATS).
— Trojans won their first road game, 42-28 (-34) at ASU LW.
— USC has 16 sacks in its four wins.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 95 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has started 21 games, is favored to win Heisman Trophy.
— In his career, Riley is 8-14-1 ATS as a road favorite, 2-3 at USC.
— last 3+ years, Trojans are 11-16 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— USC is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 3 of 5 games)
— Their last bowl win was 52-49 over Penn State in 2016 Rose Bowl
Colorado (3-1)
— Colorado is 3-1, scoring 36+ points in all three wins.
— Buffs also allowed 35+ points in three of the four games.
— Colorado is 2-0 SU at home (36-14 Nebraska/43-35 Colorado State).
— Two-way star Hunter isn’t expected to play (check status)
— Deion Sanders is the new coach (27-6 at I-AA Jackson State)
— 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 44 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB Sanders started 26 games at Jackson State
— Colorado is 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a dog (0-0 TY).
— Buffs are 2-8 ATS in last ten Pac-12 games.
— Colorado’s new OC was a good head coach at Kent State.
— Colorado hasn’t gone bowling since 2020; their last bowl win, 2004.
— USC won last thirteen series games (4-1 ATS in last five)
— Trojans are 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Boulder.
— Over is 2-0-1 in last three meetings.
Texas A&M vs Arkansas (@ Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX)
Texas A&M (3-1)
— Aggies scored 52-33-47-27 points in its 3-1 start.
— A&M lost 48-33 at Miami, giving up 374 PY
— A&M allowed total of 23 points in its wins.
— 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 91 starts back on offensive line.
— QB Weigman (foot) is OFY; soph Johnson started 3 games LY.
— under Fisher, Aggies are 25-8 ATS as a favorite.
— in his career, Fisher is 68-52-3 ATS as a favorite.
— last 2+ years, A&M is 8-9-1 ATS in SEC games.
— A&M won its last three bowls, scoring 52-24-41 points.
Arkansas (2-2)
— Hogs lost their last two games, 38-31/34-31.
— Arkansas’ only I-A win: 28-6 (-38) over Kent State.
— Hogs allowed 291 or less yards in their three wins.
— Arkansas gave up 509 TY last week (320 PY)
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 78 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has 24 starts
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 16-9-2 ATS in SEC games.
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 13-6 ATS as an underdog.
— Razorbacks won three of their last four bowls, scoring 37 ppg.
— Texas A&M won 10 of last 11 meetings.
— Arkansas, though, is 4-0-1 ATS in last five meetings.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
South Florida @ Navy
South Florida (2-2)
— last 4+ years, USF is 10-39 SU/24-23-1 ATS
— Bulls lost only road game, 41-24 (+12) @ WKU.
— new HC Golesh was OC at Tennessee last two years.
— USF gave up 336+ PY in three of its four games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 40 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 7 starts.
— last 3+ years, Bulls are 8-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— last 3+ years, Bulls are 5-7-1 ATS out of conference.
— USF hasn’t been to a bowl since 2018.
Navy (1-2)
— Navy lost 42-3 to Notre Dame in Ireland, 28-24 at Memphis.
— Navy is 12-25 SU last 3+ years; new coach was DC last year.
— Navy’s only win was 24-0 over a I-AA team.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 51 starts back on offensive line- improvement is expected.
— senior QB started 8 games LY.
— since 2016, Navy is 7-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— Navy is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 AAC games.
— Last 5+ years, Middies are +17 in turnovers.
— Navy hasn’t been in a bowl since their 11-2 season in 2019.
— These teams haven’t met since 2019.
— Home team won/covered last three series games.
Illinois @ Purdue
Illinois (2-2)
— Illini lost its only road game, 34-23 (+3.5) at Kansas.
— Illinois allowed 28+ points in three of its four games.
— Last year was Illinois’ first winning season since 2011.
— Illinois losses this year; 34-23 at Kansas, 30-13 to Penn State.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— new QB started one game at Ole Miss.
— under Bielema, Illinois is 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— in his career, Bielema is 21-16-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Bielema, Illinois is 12-7 ATS in conference games.
— Illinois is 3-2 in last five bowls; they were underdog in 4 of the 5 games.
Purdue (1-3)
— Purdue allowed 39-35-38 points in its three losses.
— Boilers gave up 487-455-388 total yards in the losses.
— Purdue’s one win: 24-17 at 1-3 Virginia Tech.
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started five games at Texas.
— Purdue is 5-14 ATS in its last 17 home games.
— Boilers are 10-16 ATS in last 25 conference games.
— Purdue are -4 in turnovers; they hasn’t finished year with +TO ratio since 2017.
— Purdue won 14 of last 18 meetings.
— Illini covered three of last four visits to Ross-Ade Stadium.
— Under is 4-1-1 in last six series games.
Georgia @ Auburn
Georgia (4-0)
— First road game this season for Georgia.
— Dawgs won SEC opener 24-14 (-27) over South Carolina.
— Since 2017, Georgia is 77-10 SU
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— New QB for Georgia; he is 93-128/1,184 passing, with 6 tD’s, one INT.
— Under Smart, Dawgs are 19-8 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last two years, Georgia is 12-7 ATS in SEC games.
— Dawgs won their last six bowl games (4-2 ATS)
Auburn (3-1)
— Auburn was outgained 402-200 in first loss LW, 27-10 @ Texas A&M
— Tigers beat UMass 59-14/Cal Bears 14-10 for their I-A wins.
— Last 3+ years, Auburn is 20-20 SU.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 25 games at Michigan State.
— In his career, Freeze is 25-10 ATS as an underdog.
— Last ten years, Auburn is 10-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— In his career, Freeze is 9-4 ATS as a home dog.
— Auburn is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
— Freeze is Auburn’s third coach in 4 years.
— Georgia won/covered nine of last ten series games.
— Dawgs are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Auburn.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten meetings.
Kansas @ Texas
Kansas (4-0)
— Jayhawks has three I-A wins: 34-23/31-24/38-27.
— Kansas won its only road game, 31-24 (-28) @ Nevada.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line; four starters are back
— junior QB has started 13 games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 4-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— in his career, Leipold is 10-18-1 as a road underdog.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 8-10-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 5-2-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Kansas was 6-7 LY, going to their first bowl since 2008.
— Kansas won 3 of last 4 bowls (lost 55-53 (+2.5) to Arkansas LY)
Texas (4-0)
— Texas won its first three games, scoring 37-34-31-38 points.
— Road team covered all four of their games.
— Texas is 17-12 SU last 2+ years, after going 25-12 from 2018-20.
— 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line
— soph QB started 10 games last year.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 10-9 ATS at home, 4-3 on road.
— In his career, Sarkisian is 24-17 ATS as home favorite.
— since 2014, Texas is 19-22-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 9-10 ATS in Big X games.
— Texas is 4-1 in last five bowls; they were underdog is 3 of the 4 wins.
— Texas is 16-2 in last 18 series games (4-2 in last six)
— Jayhawks covered four of last five visits to Austin.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Boise State @ Memphis
Boise State (2-2)
— Boise State is 1-2 vs I-A teams, scoring 19-16 points in losses.
— Boise gave up 568-530 TY in those two games.
— Broncos have given up 512.3 yards/game vs I-A opponents.
— Broncos won MW opener 34-31 at San Diego State LW.
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 80 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started 10 games.
— since 2017, Boise is 8-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— Broncos are 1-6 ATS in last seven non-conference games.
— Last 6+ years, Boise is +31 in turnovers (even TY).
Memphis (3-1)
— Tigers scored 37-28-27 points in three I-A games.
— Tigers lost 34-27 to Mizzou LW, outgained 542-399.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line- 3 starters are back.
— junior QB has 24 career starts
— under Silverfield, Memphis is 6-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Silverfield, Memphis is 8-15 ATS as a favorite.
— since 2019, Tigers are 10-9 ATS in non-conference games.
— Tigers have been bowl eligible nine years in row (’21 bowl cancelled)
— These two teams haven’t met this century.
— Since 2020, Mountain West teams are 6-3 ATS vs AAC opponents.
LSU @ Ole Miss
LSU (3-1)
— LSU won first two SEC games. 41-14 at Miss State, 34-31 vs Arkansas.
— Tigers (-2) lost 45-24 to Florida State.
— Tigers gave up 494-201-426 yards in its I-A games.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 102 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 43 starts, 29 of them at Arizona State.
— under Kelly, LSU is 1-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— In his career, Kelly is 30-28-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— since 2017, LSU is 33-20-1 ATS in SEC games.
— LSU is 4-1 SU/ATS in bowls the last five years.
Ole Miss (3-1)
— Rebels were outgained 356-301 in 24-10 loss at Alabama LW
— Ole Miss scored 37-48 points in its I-A wins.
— Rebels ran ball for 89-299-56 yards in its I-A games.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 131 starts back on offensive line; good offensive line
— junior QB started 12 games last year.
— In his college career, Kiffin is 22-19 ATS at coming off a loss.
— In his college career, Kiffin is 3-8 ATS as a home underdog.
— Under Kiffin, Rebels are 11-15 ATS in the SEC.
— Ole Miss is 2-3 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.
— LSU won six of last seven meetings.
— Tigers are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Oxford.
— Over is 5-1 in last six series games.
South Carolina @ Tennessee
South Carolina (2-2)
— South Carolina is 1-2 vs I-A teams, losing 31-17/24-14.
— Gamecocks beat Miss State 37-30 LW for its one I-A win.
— Carolina allowed 471.3 yards/game in its three I-A games.
— 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line; they added two I-AA transfers, too.
— Junior QB has 30 starts, 13 of them at Oklahoma.
— Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 9-9 ATS in the SEC.
— Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 4-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— SC’s new offensive coordinator has been an OC in the NFL.
— Carolina is 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS in last five bowls.
Tennessee (3-1)
— Tennessee lost its SEC opener, 29-16 at Florida.
— Gators held Tennessee to 100 RY in that game.
— Vols scored 45-49 points in wins over I-A stiffs.
— Vols are 14-3 SU in last 17 games (27-33 from 2017-21)
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 93 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB has nine starts.
— Under Heupel, Tennessee is 9-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under Heupel, Tennessee is 8-9 ATS inn SEC games.
— Vols are 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five bowls.
— Tennessee won/covered three of last four series games.
— Gamecocks are 7-4-1 ATS in last 12 visits to Knoxville.
— Last four meetings went over the total.
San Diego State @ Air Force
San Diego State (2-3)
— Aztecs lost last three games, giving up 35-26-34 points.
— Aztecs’ only I-A win: 20-13 (-2.5) over Ohio U.
— San Diego State gave up 254 YR to UCLA, 241 to Boise State.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 53 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 8 career starts.
— Aztecs are 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road underdog.
— Last three years, San Diego State was 10-11-1 ATS in MW games.
— Aztecs are 9-5-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— San Diego State is 2-3 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
Air Force (4-0)
— Air Force’s I-A wins are by 10-18-25 points.
— last 4+ years, Air Force is 38-11 SU, 3-0 in bowls.
— Falcons have run ball for 329.2 yards/game vs I-A foes.
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has thrown 12 passes, run ball 54 times so far.
— Air Force has been favored in 37 of its last 48 games.
— Air Force is 13-8 ATS last 21 games as a home favorite.
— since 2019, Flyboys are 19-11 ATS in Mountain West games.
— Air Force won its last four bowl games, scoring 34.3 ppg.
— San Diego State won nine of last ten series games.
— Aztecs covered their last five visits to Colorado Springs.
— Under is 9-3 in last 12 meetings.
Alabama @ Mississippi State
Alabama (3-1)
— Alabama allowed 7-3-10 points in its three wins.
— Crimson Tide’s only loss was 34-24 at home to Texas.
— Longhorns threw for 349 yards in that game.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line.
— Alabama is 2-8 ATS in last ten games as a road favorite
— Crimson Tide won only road game, 17-3 (-34) at South Florida.
— Alabama is +1 in turnovers since start of LY (+76 from 2015-21)
— Alabama is 8-10-1 ATS in its last 19 SEC games.
— Crimson Tide won six of its last eight bowls.
Mississippi State (2-2)
— New coach TY after Mike Leach passed away last year.
— Miss State lost first two SEC games, giving up 41-37 points.
— Bulldogs gave up 431-530-432 TY in its I-A games.
— 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has started 32 games.
— MSU threw for 487 yards in LW’s 37-30 loss at South Carolina.
— Bulldogs are 14-22 ATS in last 36 SEC games.
— Miss State gave up 995 passing yards in its three I-A games.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.
— Alabama won last 15 series games (7-1 ATS last eight).
— Crimson Tide is 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Starkville.
— Under is 13-2-1 in last sixteen meetings.