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NCAAF Betting News Match-Ups and Trends For Thursday 10/12/23

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(@shazman)
Posts: 60119
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : October 12, 2023 7:26 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60119
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

West Virginia @ Houston
West Virginia (4-1)
— WVU won last four games, after 38-15 loss at Penn State.
— WVU is 2-0 in Big X, beating Texas Tech 20-13/TCU 24-21. 
— WVU’s last three games stayed under the total. 
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started two games last year.
— since 2018, WVU is 3-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— Under Brown, WVU is 17-20 ATS in the Big X (2-0 TY).
— since 2016, West Virginia is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in bowl games

Houston (2-3)
— Cougars allowed 14-7 points in wins, 43-36-49 in losses.
— Houston lost first two Big X games, 36-13 to TCU, 49-28 @ Tech.
— Cougars are 2-3, despite a +6 turnover ratio.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 140 starts back on offensive line- should be improved.
— junior QB Smith started 8 games at Texas Tech
— in his career, Holgorsen is 29-43-1 ATS in home games.
— since 2017, Houston is 2-6 ATS as a home underdog.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Cougars are 3-2 SU/2-2-1 ATS in last five bowl games.

— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— Big X home underdogs are 4-3 ATS.

SMU @ East Carolina
SMU (3-2)
— SMU scored 38-34 points in its I-A wins, 11-17 in losses. 
— SMU is 0-2 on road: 28-11 at Oklahoma, 34-17 at TCU.
— Muatangs won AAC opener 34-16 (-22) over Charlotte.
— last 4+ years, SMU is 35-18 SU/25-27 ATS.
— since 2017, Mustangs are 6-11 ATS as a road favorite (3-0 LY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 123 starts back on offensive line.
— LY’s QB bolted to Wisconsin; soph QB has 2 starts.
— new QB Stone is 94-160/1,191 passing, with 11 TD’s, 5 INT.
— since 2017, Mustangs are 20-28 ATS in AAC (0-1 TY)
— Under is 4-0 in SMU’s I-A games.
— SMU qualified for a bowl 4 of last 5 years; last bowl win, 2012.

East Carolina (1-4)
— ECU is 0-4 vs I-A teams, losing by 27-18-15-7 points. 
— ECU lost its AAC opener, 24-17 (+3.5) at Rice. 
— Last two years, ECU was 15-10 SU/ATS.
— under coach Houston, Pirates are 7-7 ATS as home underdogs.
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 80 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB Flinn is completing 49.1% of passes (1 TD, 5 INT’s)
— Last 4+ years, ECU is 18-15 ATS in the AAC (0-1 TY)
— ECU qualified for bowl last 2 years, first bowls since 2014.

— Teams split their last eight series games.
— Last six meetings went over the total.
— Average total in last six series games: 85.0.
— SMU covered three of last four visits to East Carolina.
— AAC underdogs are 8-3 ATS this year.

 
Posted : October 12, 2023 7:29 am
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