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NCAAF Betting News Match-Ups and Trends For Thursday 11/2/23

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : November 2, 2023 6:06 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60118
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Thursday’s games
TCU
@ Texas Tech
TCU (4-4)
— TCU scored 34+ points in its wins, 42-21-14-3 in losses.
— Frogs are 0-3 when they score less than 34 points.
— Frogs are 0-3 in games decided by fewer than 17 points.
— TCU gave up 343 RY last week, 212.5 RY/game in last four games.
— 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started three games.
— TCU is 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
— under Dykes, Frogs are 8-6-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under is 5-1 in their last six games.
— TCU went 13-2 LY, but lost national title game 65-7 to Georgia.
— TCU qualified for a bowl in four of last six seasons.

Texas Tech (3-5)
— Tech lost last two games, with a minus-8 turnover ratio.
— Red Raiders scored 49-39 points in their I-A wins.
— Tech is 0-5 in I-A games if they score less than 39 points.
— 11 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 142 starts back on offensive line.
— freshman QB is completing 57.1% of passes (8 TD’s, 2 INTs)
— Tech is 5-4 ATS in its last nine games as a home favorite.
— Red Raiders are 10-6 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
— under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Tech won last two bowls as an underdog; scored 34-34-42 in last three.

— TCU won last four series games, scoring 38.3 ppg.
— Horned Frogs won their last four visits to Lubbock (2-2 ATS)
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
— Big X home favorites are 12-9 ATS.

Wake Forest @ Duke
Wake Forest (4-4)
— 4-year starting QB Hartman bolted to Notre Dame (45 starts).
— Wake Forest lost four of last five games, after a 3-0 start.
— Deacons are 1-4 in ACC, scoring 16-12-13-21-16 points.
— Wake Forest scored 36-27-21 points in its I-A wins.
— Deacons scored 16 or fewer points in its four losses.
— 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has completed 56.8% of passes (9 TD’s, 7 INT’s).
— since 2016, Deacons are 5-6 ATS as road underdog (1-1 TY).
— In his career, Clawson is 32-22 ATS as an underdog.
— Wake is 16-13 ATS in last 29 ACC games (2-3 TY)
— under is 5-1 in their last six games.
— Wake won bowl games the last two years, 38-10/27-17.

Duke (5-3)
— Duke QB Leonard has been banged up (check status)
— Blue Devils completed less than 50% of passes four games in row.
— Duke lost three of last four games, after 4-0 start.
— Duke scored 24+ points in its wins, 14-20-0 in losses.
— Blue Devils covered their last eight tries as a home favorite.
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 122 starts back on offensive line, with 4 starters back
— junior QB has started 14 games.
— under Elko, Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS as a home favorite (2-0 TY).
— under Elko, Duke is 8-4 ATS in ACC games. 
— under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Duke won/covered its last four bowls; last bowl loss was in 2014.

— Wake Forest won four of last six series games.
— Deacons are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five visits to Duke.
— under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
— ACC home favorites are 10-9 ATS.

South Alabama @ Troy
South Alabama (4-4)
— USA is 4-0 when it scores 33+ points, 0-4 when it doesn’t.
— All four Jaguar wins have been by 18+ points. 
— USA is 0-3 in games decided by 13 or less points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 69 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB had 13 career starts coming into this year. 
— Last three games, Jaguars gained 589-647-498 TY.
— under Wommack, Jaguars are 3-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Four of Jaguars’ last five games went over the total.
— under Wommack, Jaguars are 9-11 ATS in conference games.
— South Alabama is 0-3 in bowl games (’14, ’16, last year)

Troy (6-2)
— Troy won last five games, giving up 23 points in last four games.
— Trojans were held to 13-14 points in their two losses.
— Troy is 8-12 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite (1-2 TY). 
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 88 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB had 28 career starts coming into this year. 
— Troy’s last four wins were all by 18+ points.
— Last two games. Trojans are +7 in turnovers.
— under Sumrall, Trojans are 12-2 ATS in Sun Belt games.
— Troy’s last six games stayed under the total.
— Troy won its last five bowls, dating back to 2010.

— Trojans won/covered last five series games.
— USA lost 31-24/37-13 in last two visits to Troy.
— Under is 7-2 in last nine meetings.
— Sun Belt home favorites are 8-12 ATS.

 
Posted : November 2, 2023 6:16 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60118
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NCAAF Weather Report Week 10

 
Posted : November 2, 2023 6:19 am
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