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NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Wednesday 10/11/23

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(@shazman)
Posts: 60759
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : October 11, 2023 9:49 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60759
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

UTEP @ Florida International
UTEP (1-5)
— UTEP is 0-5 SU/ATS vs I-A teams; they beat a I-AA team, 28-14.
— Miners lost their last four games, all by 14+ points.
— UTEP lost road games, 17-14/38-7/31-10.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 122 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 29 starts.
— Under Dimel, Miners are 14-18 ATS on road.
— Last 3+ years, UTEP is 12-11 ATS in conference games (0-2 TY).
— Last 5+ years, UTEP is minus-50 in turnovers (minus-7 TY).
— Miners have played in one bowl since 2014 (2021 New Mexico Bowl)

Florida International (3-3)
— FIU lost its last two games, 38-6/34-17.
— last 4+ years, FIU is 14-34 ATS, 16-30-1 ATS
— Panthers allowed 439+ total yards in four of five I-A games.
— FIU was held to 17-6-17 points in their losses.
— junior QB started 10 games last year.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line, with a new OL coach
— Last three years, Panthers were 0-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— FIU is 5-6 ATS in last 11 C-USA games (2-16-1 ATS from 2019-21)
— FIU lost three of last four bowls SU; they haven’t been to bowl since 2019.

— Home team won four of last five series games.
— Miners lost 32-17/52-12 in last two visits to FIU.

Sam Houston State @ New Mexico State
Sam Houston State (0-5)
— Bearkats lost first five games, but last two were 35-28/21-16.
— Sam Houston was outscored 65-10 in its first three games.
— This is Sam Houston’s first season in I-A football
— Coach Keeler has been here for 10 years.
— This is Bearkats’ fifth road game in six weeks.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 50 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 22 starts.
— Bearkats are 3-1 ATS as road dog (lost 14-0/13-3/38-7/21-16).
— Bearkats were outgained 448-327 in 21-16 loss at Liberty.
— Last three years, Sam Houston was 26-5 SU, at I-AA level.

New Mexico State (3-3)
— Aggies are 11-10 SU under coach Kill (went 8-30 from 2018-21)
— Aggies are 2-3 vs I-A teams, giving up 41-33-20 points in losses.
— State’s I-A wins TY were 27-17 (+3) at New Mexico, 34-17 (-7) vs FIU.
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 51 starts back on offensive line- four starters are back
— junior QB has 8 starts.
— Last 4+ years, Aggies are 9-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— In his career, coach Kill is 23-18 ATS as a home favorite.
— Three of State’s last four games stayed under the total.
— Last year was Aggies’ first bowl since 2017.

— These teams haven’t met recently.

 
Posted : October 11, 2023 9:51 am
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