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NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Wednesday 10/4/23

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(@shazman)
Posts: 58607
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : October 4, 2023 10:22 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 58607
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Jacksonville State @ Middle Tennessee State
Jacksonville State (4-1)
— This is Jacksonville State’s first season in I-A football
— Coach is Rich Rodriguez (has coached West Va, Michigan, Arizona)
— In his career, Rodriguez is 38-45-2 ATS in road games.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 43 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 22 starts.
— Gamecocks have +8 turnover ratio; they won in OT last week.
— JSU is 1-1 on road, 30-16 (+13) at Coastal. 35-28 (-7) @ Sam Houston
— Under is 3-1 in the Gamecocks’ I-A games. 
— Last 3 years, Gamecocks were 24-11 SU, at I-AA level.

Middle Tennessee (1-4)
— MTSU is 0-4 vs I-A teams, losing by 49-4-21 points.
— MTSU is minus-3 in turnovers (+12/+11 last two years).
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 50 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started six games the last two years. 
— MTSU is giving up 35.3 ppg in its I-A games.
— Blue Raiders are 11-8 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite.
— Blue Raiders are 21-18-1 ATS in last 39 conference games.
— MTSU won their bowl game the last two years.

— These teams haven’t met recently.
— Favorites are 4-2 ATS in C-USA conference games.

Florida International @ New Mexico State
Florida International (3-2)
— This year, FIU is 3-2 SU/ 3-1 ATS in I-A games.
— last four years, FIU is 14-33 ATS, 16-29-1 ATS
— Last three games, Panthers allowed 262.7 rushing yards/game.
— FIU was held to 17-6 points in their losses.
— junior QB started 10 games last year.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line, with a new OL coach
— This year, Panthers are 2-0 ATS as a road dog (7-13 since 2019)
— FIU is 5-5 ATS in last 10 C-USA games (2-16-1 ATS from 2019-21)
— FIU lost three of last four bowls SU; they haven’t been to bowl since 2019.

New Mexico State (2-3)
— Aggies are 10-10 SU under coach Kill (went 8-30 from 2018-21)
— Aggies are 1-3 this year vs I-A teams, giving up 41-33-20 points.
— State’s lone I-A win TY was 27-17 (+3) at New Mexico.
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 51 starts back on offensive line- four starters are back
— junior QB has 8 starts.
— Last 4+ years, Aggies are 8-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— In his career, coach Kill is 22-18 ATS as a home favorite.
— State’s last three games stayed under the total.
— Last year was Aggies’ first bowl since 2017.

— FIU (+14) upset New Mexico State 21-7 LY in Las Cruces.
— Before that, their previous meeting was in 2004.
— Favorites are 4-2 ATS in C-USA conference games.

 
Posted : October 4, 2023 10:24 am
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