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NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Wednesday 12/18/24

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : December 18, 2024 10:07 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60708
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

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Posted : December 18, 2024 10:09 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60708
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Topic starter
 

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Wednesday’s games
Boca Raton Bowl
Western Kentucky
vs James Madison (-7.5)
Western Kentucky (8-5)
WKU lost three of last four games, after a 7-2 start.
Last five games, Hilltoppers gave up 314.8 rushing yards/game.
Hilltoppers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
WKU has 91 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Veltkamp has 2,806 passing yards (23 TD’s, 10 INTs).

Hilltoppers are 3-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Overall, WKU is 9-7 ATS in last 16 games as an underdog.
WKU is 7-0 scoring 26+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 26.
WKU won its last three bowls, scoring 59-44-38 points.
WKU is 1-5 TY when they score less than 26 points.
Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.
C-USA underdogs are 8-10 ATS in non-conference games.

James Madison (8-4)
JMU lost its last two games, 34-20/35-33.
JMU is 1-3 when it scores less than 30 points.
Dukes have 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Dukes have 64 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Bennett has 2,596 PY, with 26 TD’s, 4 INTs

JMU lost its first-ever bowl game LY, 31-21 (+1) to Air Force.
This year, JMU is 3-2 ATS as a single digit favorite.
JMU is 41-22 ATS in last 63 games as a favorite.
Last 3+ years, JMU has +46 turnover ratio in 50 games.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Sun Belt favorites are 5-8 ATS in non-conference games.

Last five years, underdogs are 4-1 ATS in this bowl.
WKU won this bowl in 2016, 2021.

LA Bowl
California
(-1.5) vs UNLV
California (5-5)
Cal is 2-5 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Cal is 1-4 when it gives up more than 21 points.
Golden Bears have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Golden Bears have 112 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Mendoza started eight games last year.

Under Wilcox, Cal is 15-22-1 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Golden Bears are 3-3 ATS as a favorite.
Cal is +12 in turnovers this season (minus-4 in last 3 games).
This is Cal’s first road game in western time zone this season.
Under is 6-3-2 in their I-A games.
ACC favorites are 10-13 ATS in non-conference games.
California is 2-3 SU in last five bowls (favorites 4-1 ATS)

UNLV (10-3)
UNLV took a body blow; coach Odom bolted to Purdue.
Rebels are 10-3 this year, have a +14 turnover ratio.
UNLV are 6-1 SU/4-3 ATS on the road this year.
UNLV has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 79 starts returning on offensive line.
Senior QB Williams started 40 games at I-AA Campbell.

UNLV won 4 of last 5 games; they lost MW title game 21-7.
Last two years, UNLV is 6-3 ATS as an underdog.
Rebels lost last two bowls; their last bowl win was in 2000
This year, Rebels are 5-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
UNLV was minus in turnovers in only one game this year.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Mountain West underdogs are 17-13 ATS in non-conference games.

Cal (-12) beat UNLV 20-14 in ’22, before Odom was UNLV’s coach.
Favorites are 2-1 SU/ATS in the three LA Bowls.
Mountain West teams are 2-1 in this bowl, old Pac-12 teams 1-2

 
Posted : December 18, 2024 10:10 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60708
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

NCAAF

Bowl Season

Trend Report

Western Kentucky vs James Madison
Western Kentucky is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games
James Madison is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of James Madison's last 8 games

California vs Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of California's last 15 games
California is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Nevada-Las Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 6 games

 
Posted : December 18, 2024 10:12 am
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