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NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Week 10

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shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 60756

Member Moderator

Topic starter

Tuesday 11/3/20 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL & NCAAF

Posted : November 3, 2020 3:45 pm

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 60756

Member Moderator

Topic starter

College Football Odds Week 10: Opening lines and sharp money
Patrick Everson

With quarterback Trevor Lawrence out of the lineup and in COVID protocol, running back Travis Etienne will be key for No. 1 Clemson this week at No. 4 Notre Dame. FanDuel has the Tigers 5.5-point favorites.

College football odds for Week 10 are on the betting board and getting action, with a couple of gems on this week's schedule. No. 1 Clemson, minus star quarterback Trevor Lawrence, travels to No. 4 Notre Dame, while No. 8 Florida and No. 5 Georgia square off in their annual neutral-site showdown.

FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 10 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

College football Week 10 odds

These are the current College football Week 10 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of November 2.

Matchup Time Spread Over/Under
(9) BYU at (23) Boise State 9:45 p.m. ET Friday BYU -2.5 59.5
Air Force at (22) Army 11:30 a.m. ET Saturday Army -4.5 40.5
Houston at (6) Cincinnati 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday Cincinnati -13.5 56.5
(25) Michigan at (13) Indiana Noon ET Saturday Michigan -2.5 51.5
Rutgers at (3) Ohio State 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday Ohio State -38 TBA
Arizona State at (20) USC Noon ET Saturday USC -11.5 58.5
Stanford at (14) Oregon 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday Oregon -10.5 52.5
(12) Oklahoma State at Kansas State 4 p.m. ET Saturday Kansas State +12.5 46.5
(8) Florida vs (5) Georgia 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday Georgia -4.5 53.5
(1) Clemson at (4) Notre Dame 7 p.m. ET Saturday Clemson -5.5 51.5

(9) BYU at (23) Boise State odds
Opening line
Pick, Over/Under 59.5

Why the line moved
This game opened pick 'em at FanDuel and moved to Brigham Young -2.5 Monday afternoon, with practically every early ticket and all the early dollars on the Cougars. The total dipped two points to 57.5, then returned to the opener of 59.5, with ticket count 9/1 on the Over and 72 percent of early cash on the Over, as well.

Air Force at (22) Army odds
Opening line
Army -6.5, Over/Under 41.5

Why the line moved
The Black Knights were already down two points at FanDuel, sitting as 4.5-point favorites Monday night on some interesting point-spread betting splits: ticket count is more than 2/1 Army, but money is almost dead even. The total is also down a point to 40.5, with 77 percent of bets and nearly all the money on the Under.

Houston at (6) Cincinnati Odds
Opening line
Cincinnati -10.5, Over/Under 58.5

Why the line moved
Cincinnati opened -10.5 at FanDuel and sped to -13.5 by Monday afternoon, but the betting splits are a bit wild. The Bearcats are attracting 95 percent of early tickets, but money is two-way, with 52 percent of early dollars on double-digit-dog Houston. The total is down to 56.5 from 58.5, with a 4/1 ticket count on the Under and almost all the early money on the Under.

(25) Michigan at (13) Indiana odds
Opening line
Michigan -3.5, Over/Under 55.5

Why the line moved
Michigan, coming off a stunning home loss to Michigan State, opened -3.5 at FanDuel and moved to -2.5. As of Monday night, 53 percent of bets and 68 percent of money were on the Wolverines. The total tumbled from 55.5 to 51.5, with 62 percent of tickets on the Over, but 74 percent of cash on the Under.

Rutgers at (3) Ohio State Odds
Opening line
Ohio State -38, Over/Under TBA

Why the line moved
Ohio State opened a massive favorite at The SuperBook at Westgate, and there was no line movement on Monday. The Buckeyes are coming off a 38-25 victory at Penn State, while Rutgers fell to visiting Indiana 37-21.

Arizona State at (20) USC odds
Opening line
Southern California -9.5, Over/Under 59.5

Why the line moved
And hello to the Pac-12, which finally joins the college football scene on the first weekend of November. By Monday night, USC was already up to -11.5 at FanDuel in a game drawing two-way action, with 54 percent of bets on Arizona State and 55 percent of money on Southern Cal. The total ticked from 59.5 to 58.5, though 69 percent of bets and 60 percent of dollars were on the Over as of Monday night.

Stanford at (14) Oregon odds
Opening line
Oregon -9.5, Over/Under 53.5

Why the line moved
Staying in the Pac-12, FanDuel sped to Ducks -12 Sunday afternoon, but a volatile line was down to -10.5 by late Monday morning. Still, ticket count and money were both running 4/1 on Oregon. The total dipped from 53.5 to 52.5 Monday, with tickets split 50/50 but almost all the early money on the Under.

(12) Oklahoma State at Kansas State odds
Opening line
Oklahoma State -9.5, Over/Under 50.5

Why the line moved
The Cowboys bolted to -13.5 at FanDuel by early Monday afternoon, then receded a bit to -12.5. It's two-way action early, with 59 percent of tickets on Kansas State and 53 percent of money on Oklahoma State. The total first went up to 51.5, then plummeted to 46.5, with tickets more than 2/1 on the Over, but money 2/1 on the Under.

(8) Florida at (5) Georgia odds
Opening line
Georgia -4.5, Over/Under 52.5

Why the line moved
It's a neutral-site game in Jacksonville, Fla., for the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party, the unofficial name of this rivalry. FanDuel opened the Bulldogs -4.5, and that number stuck through Monday night, while the total moved from 52.5 to 53.5, but betting splits were not yet available.

(1) Clemson at (4) Notre Dame odds
Opening line
Clemson -6.5, Over/Under 51.5

Why the line moved
FanDuel posted a look-ahead line for this game back on Oct. 24, with Clemson a 14.5-point road chalk. However, last week's news that Tigers stud QB Trevor Lawrence tested positive for COVID-19 led to that line coming off the board. On the subsequent news that Lawrence won't play this week, the line went up at Clemson -6.5 Sunday and fell to -5.5 Monday. The Tigers were landing 60 percent of bets/64 percent of money on the spread through Monday night. The total opened 51.5 and went to 52.5 before returning to the opener Monday, with 76 percent of bets on the Over, but 53 percent of early money on the Under.

Posted : November 3, 2020 3:46 pm

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 60756

Member Moderator

Topic starter

285BALL ST -286 MIAMI OHIO
BALL ST is 22-5 ATS (16.5 Units) as a road dog of 31 PPG) over the last 2 seasons.

329LA MONROE -330 GEORGIA ST
LA MONROE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

331LOUISVILLE -332 VIRGINIA
LOUISVILLE is 20-7 ATS (12.3 Units) in road games after a game where they forced no turnovers since 1992.

333BOSTON COLLEGE -334 SYRACUSE
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games vs poor passing QB's (<5.8 PYA) since 1992.

335N CAROLINA -336 DUKE
N CAROLINA is 13-33 ATS (-23.3 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.

337TULSA -338 NAVY
NAVY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

341RUTGERS -342 OHIO ST
RUTGERS are 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) after 2 straight overs since 1992.

343MARYLAND -344 PENN ST
MARYLAND is 28-53 ATS (-30.3 Units) off a win vs. the conference since 1992.

345BAYLOR -346 IOWA ST
IOWA ST is 22-10 ATS (11 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.

347MINNESOTA -348 ILLINOIS
MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after being outgained by 175 or more total yds 2 consecutive games since 1992.

349MICHIGAN ST -350 IOWA
MICHIGAN ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

351PURDUE -352 WISCONSIN
WISCONSIN is 15-5 ATS (9.5 Units) in home games off home conference win since 1992.

355ARIZONA -356 UTAH
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.

359STANFORD -360 OREGON
STANFORD is 57-31 ATS (22.9 Units) in road games in the second half of the season since 1992.

363FRESNO ST -364 UNLV
UNLV is 54-87 ATS (-41.7 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

365WASHINGTON -366 CALIFORNIA
CALIFORNIA is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) when the line is +/-3 since 1992.

367APPALACHIAN ST -368 TEXAS ST
TEXAS ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after 2 straight overs since 1992.

369S FLORIDA -370 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 in the last 3 seasons.

371KANSAS -372 OKLAHOMA
KANSAS are 21-47 ATS (-30.7 Units) off home conference loss since 1992.

373TEXAS TECH -374 TCU
TEXAS TECH is 33-16 ATS (15.4 Units) off a home loss since 1992.

375OKLAHOMA ST -376 KANSAS ST
OKLAHOMA ST is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games vs poor rushing teams (=6.25 yards/play since 1992.

391FLA INTERNATIONAL -392 UTEP
UTEP is 18-41 ATS (-27.1 Units) vs terrible teams (31 PPG) over the last 2 seasons.

403TENNESSEE -404 ARKANSAS
TENNESSEE is 26-7 ATS (18.3 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.

405MASSACHUSETTS -406 MARSHALL
MASSACHUSETTS are 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

Posted : November 3, 2020 3:47 pm

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 60756

Member Moderator

Topic starter

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 4

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BALL ST (0 - 0) at MIAMI OHIO (0 - 0) - 11/4/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E MICHIGAN (0 - 0) at KENT ST (0 - 0) - 11/4/2020, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 1-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W MICHIGAN (0 - 0) at AKRON (0 - 0) - 11/4/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AKRON is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BOWLING GREEN (0 - 0) at TOLEDO (0 - 0) - 11/4/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-1 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (0 - 0) at N ILLINOIS (0 - 0) - 11/4/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
BUFFALO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO U (0 - 0) at C MICHIGAN (0 - 0) - 11/4/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, November 5

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WYOMING (1 - 1) at COLORADO ST (0 - 1) - 11/5/2020, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH ST (0 - 2) at NEVADA (2 - 0) - 11/5/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 1-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, November 6

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MIAMI (5 - 1) at NC STATE (4 - 2) - 11/6/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN JOSE ST (2 - 0) at SAN DIEGO ST (2 - 0) - 11/6/2020, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BYU (7 - 0) at BOISE ST (2 - 0) - 11/6/2020, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 156-113 ATS (+31.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 156-113 ATS (+31.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
BOISE ST is 98-67 ATS (+24.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 89-56 ATS (+27.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 96-69 ATS (+20.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
BYU is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 2-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-1 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, November 7

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SMU (6 - 1) at TEMPLE (1 - 3) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
TEMPLE is 113-83 ATS (+21.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AIR FORCE (1 - 2) at ARMY (6 - 1) - 11/7/2020, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 32-62 ATS (-36.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
ARMY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.
ARMY is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 16-40 ATS (-28.0 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULANE (3 - 4) at E CAROLINA (1 - 4) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
TULANE is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
TULANE is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (3 - 4) at FLORIDA ST (2 - 4) - 11/7/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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S ALABAMA (3 - 3) at COASTAL CAROLINA (6 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
S ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LIBERTY (5 - 0) at VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
LIBERTY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
LIBERTY is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROY (4 - 2) at GA SOUTHERN (4 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 2-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (2 - 2) at CINCINNATI (5 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA MONROE (0 - 7) at GEORGIA ST (2 - 3) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LA MONROE is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
LA MONROE is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 1-1 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (2 - 5) at VIRGINIA (2 - 4) - 11/7/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON COLLEGE (4 - 3) at SYRACUSE (1 - 6) - 11/7/2020, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-1 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N CAROLINA (4 - 2) at DUKE (2 - 5) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 1-1 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (3 - 1) at NAVY (3 - 4) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 43-65 ATS (-28.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NAVY is 186-138 ATS (+34.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 186-138 ATS (+34.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 103-65 ATS (+31.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 168-123 ATS (+32.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 118-79 ATS (+31.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
NAVY is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 2-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 2-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (1 - 1) at INDIANA (2 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RUTGERS (1 - 1) at OHIO ST (2 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 201-152 ATS (+33.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 201-152 ATS (+33.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 170-132 ATS (+24.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 133-99 ATS (+24.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 182-137 ATS (+31.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARYLAND (1 - 1) at PENN ST (0 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 28-53 ATS (-30.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (1 - 3) at IOWA ST (4 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 1-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (0 - 2) at ILLINOIS (0 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 141-179 ATS (-55.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 141-179 ATS (-55.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 72-98 ATS (-35.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 72-98 ATS (-35.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 96-138 ATS (-55.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (1 - 1) at IOWA (0 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PURDUE (2 - 0) at WISCONSIN (1 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCLA (0 - 0) at COLORADO (0 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
COLORADO is 123-160 ATS (-53.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-1 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (0 - 0) at UTAH (0 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 142-182 ATS (-58.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 142-182 ATS (-58.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 119-158 ATS (-54.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA is 36-60 ATS (-30.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 33-57 ATS (-29.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA ST (0 - 0) at USC (0 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STANFORD (0 - 0) at OREGON (0 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
STANFORD is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (0 - 0) at OREGON ST (0 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRESNO ST (1 - 1) at UNLV (0 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 97-136 ATS (-52.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UNLV is 64-92 ATS (-37.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (0 - 0) at CALIFORNIA (0 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

APPALACHIAN ST (4 - 1) at TEXAS ST (1 - 7) - 11/7/2020, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S FLORIDA (1 - 5) at MEMPHIS (3 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS (0 - 6) at OKLAHOMA (4 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 137-178 ATS (-58.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 137-178 ATS (-58.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 88-126 ATS (-50.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 53-86 ATS (-41.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 53-86 ATS (-41.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 98-132 ATS (-47.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 127-169 ATS (-58.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 107-140 ATS (-47.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 90-126 ATS (-48.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 63-94 ATS (-40.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
KANSAS is 61-92 ATS (-40.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
OKLAHOMA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS TECH (2 - 4) at TCU (2 - 3) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (4 - 1) at KANSAS ST (4 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 182-144 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 182-144 ATS (+23.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 78-51 ATS (+21.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 137-96 ATS (+31.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 98-71 ATS (+19.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W VIRGINIA (4 - 2) at TEXAS (4 - 2) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
W VIRGINIA is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEBRASKA (0 - 1) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (3 - 1) vs. GEORGIA (4 - 1) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 74-46 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTSA (4 - 4) at RICE (1 - 1) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 66-37 ATS (+25.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 59-34 ATS (+21.6 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
RICE is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
RICE is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
RICE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTSA is 2-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
UTSA is 2-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (2 - 3) at MIDDLE TENN ST (2 - 5) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 2-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANDERBILT (0 - 4) at MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 4) - 11/7/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS ST (3 - 4) at LA LAFAYETTE (5 - 1) - 11/7/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 3) at UTEP (3 - 3) - 11/7/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
UTEP is 43-68 ATS (-31.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO (0 - 1) at HAWAII (1 - 1) - 11/7/2020, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (2 - 5) at FLA ATLANTIC (2 - 1) - 11/7/2020, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all games this season.
W KENTUCKY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
W KENTUCKY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISIANA TECH (4 - 3) at NORTH TEXAS (2 - 3) - 11/7/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS A&M (4 - 1) at S CAROLINA (2 - 3) - 11/7/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEMSON (7 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (6 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (2 - 3) at ARKANSAS (2 - 3) - 11/7/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MASSACHUSETTS (0 - 1) at MARSHALL (5 - 0) - 11/7/2020, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Posted : November 3, 2020 3:49 pm

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 60756

Member Moderator

Topic starter

NCAAF

Week 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wednesday, November 4

Western Michigan @ Akron
Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Akron
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Akron
Akron
Akron is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Western Michigan
Akron is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Western Michigan

Eastern Michigan @ Kent State
Eastern Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 6 games
Kent State
Kent State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kent State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Eastern Michigan

Ball State @ Miami-OH
Ball State
Ball State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ball State's last 6 games
Miami-OH
Miami-OH is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami-OH's last 7 games

Buffalo @ Northern Illinois
Buffalo
Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

Ohio @ Central Michigan
Ohio
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ohio's last 6 games when playing Central Michigan
Central Michigan
Central Michigan is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Ohio
Central Michigan is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Bowling Green @ Toledo
Bowling Green
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Bowling Green's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Bowling Green's last 13 games when playing Toledo
Toledo
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Bowling Green
Toledo is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Bowling Green

Thursday, November 5

Utah State @ Nevada
Utah State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games
Utah State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nevada
Nevada
Nevada is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Nevada is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah State

Wyoming @ Colorado State
Wyoming
Wyoming is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado State
Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado State
Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado State's last 7 games at home

Friday, November 6

Miami-FL @ North Carolina State
Miami-FL
Miami-FL is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Miami-FL's last 22 games on the road
North Carolina State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 6 games
North Carolina State is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home

San Jose State @ San Diego State
San Jose State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose State's last 6 games when playing San Diego State
San Diego State
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
San Diego State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Jose State

Brigham Young @ Boise State
Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brigham Young's last 7 games on the road
Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brigham Young
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Saturday, November 7

Air Force @ Army
Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing Army
Air Force is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Army
Army
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 5 games when playing Air Force
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Arizona State @ Southern California
Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona State's last 7 games when playing Southern California
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 6 games
Southern California
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern California's last 5 games
Southern California is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

West Virginia @ Texas
West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games on the road
West Virginia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Texas
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games

North Carolina @ Duke
North Carolina
North Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
North Carolina is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Duke
Duke
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Duke's last 12 games at home

Michigan @ Indiana
Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Liberty @ Virginia Tech
Liberty
Liberty is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Liberty is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Michigan State @ Iowa
Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 6 games on the road
Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 6 games at home
Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Nebraska @ Northwestern
Nebraska
Nebraska is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Nebraska is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Northwestern
Northwestern
Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Northwestern is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Nebraska

Southern Methodist @ Temple
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Southern Methodist is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Temple
Temple is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Temple's last 6 games at home

Tulsa @ Navy
Tulsa
Tulsa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Tulsa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Navy
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulsa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Navy's last 6 games

South Florida @ Memphis
South Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Florida's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Florida's last 8 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Florida

Tulane @ East Carolina
Tulane
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulane's last 5 games when playing on the road against East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tulane's last 6 games
East Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of East Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Tulane
East Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tulane

Arkansas State @ Louisiana-Lafayette
Arkansas State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisiana-Lafayet
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 8 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games at home
Louisiana-Lafayette is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Arkansas State

Louisiana-Monroe @ Georgia State
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games on the road
Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia State's last 6 games
Georgia State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Troy @ Georgia Southern
Troy
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Troy's last 8 games
Georgia Southern
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Georgia Southern's last 8 games

Boston College @ Syracuse
Boston College
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston College's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 6 games on the road
Syracuse
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games

Massachusetts @ Marshall
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Massachusetts's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Massachusetts's last 23 games on the road
Marshall
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Marshall is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Appalachian State @ Texas State
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Appalachian State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Texas State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas State's last 10 games

North Alabama @ Southern Miss
North Alabama
No trends to report
Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Southern Miss's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Miss's last 10 games at home

Florida @ Georgia
Florida
Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
Georgia
Georgia is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Georgia's last 14 games

Pittsburgh @ Florida State
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 21 games on the road
Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games
Florida State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

Oklahoma State @ Kansas State
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Oklahoma State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas State
Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Florida International @ Texas El Paso
Florida International
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida International's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 6 games
Texas El Paso
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games at home
Texas El Paso is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games on the road
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games at home

Western Kentucky @ Florida Atlantic
Western Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida Atlantic
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Western Kentucky's last 19 games on the road
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

Texas A&M @ South Carolina
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas A&M's last 7 games on the road
South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games

California-Los Angeles @ Colorado
California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against California-Los Angele

Baylor @ Iowa State
Baylor
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games when playing Iowa State
Baylor is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Iowa State
Iowa State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing Baylor

Louisiana Tech @ North Texas
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing North Texas
Louisiana Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing North Texas
North Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Texas's last 8 games at home

Tennessee @ Arkansas
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tennessee's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games on the road
Arkansas
Arkansas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Arkansas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Stanford @ Oregon
Stanford
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Stanford's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oregon
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Stanford's last 6 games
Oregon
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oregon is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

Clemson @ Notre Dame
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Clemson is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Rutgers @ Ohio State
Rutgers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Rutgers's last 9 games on the road
Rutgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers
Ohio State is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games at home

Louisville @ Virginia
Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Louisville's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 6 games when playing Virginia
Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Virginia's last 12 games

South Alabama @ Coastal Carolina
South Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of South Alabama's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Alabama's last 6 games
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Coastal Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Washington @ California
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 11 games when playing California
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against California
California
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of California's last 11 games when playing Washington
California is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Washington State @ Oregon State
Washington State
Washington State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington State's last 5 games when playing Oregon State
Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 5 games when playing Washington State
Oregon State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

New Mexico @ Hawaii
New Mexico
New Mexico is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games on the road
Hawaii
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hawaii's last 6 games at home
Hawaii is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Posted : November 3, 2020 3:50 pm

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 60756

Member Moderator

Topic starter

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Wednesday’s games

Ball State (0-0) @ Miami OH (0-0)
— This is the season opener for both teams.
— Ball State has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Cardinals have 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ball State has a senior QB with 18 starts.
— Since 2016, Cardinals are 12-9 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog.
— Ball State finished under .500 the last six years.

— This is the season opener for both teams.
— Miami has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Redhawks have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Miami has a soph QB with 14 career starts.
— Since 2016, Redhawks are 6-9 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite.
— Miami made it to a bowl LY, their 2nd one since 2010.

— Miami won three of last four series games.
— Favorites covered three of those four games.
— Ball State lost 42-21/21-20 in last two visits to Miami.

Eastern Michigan (0-0) @ Kent State (0-0)
— This is the season opener for both teams.
— EMU has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Eagles have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
— EMU will be using a new QB this season.
— Eagles are 16-3 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog.
— EMU is 25-26 SU last four years, after going 1-11 in 2015.

— This is the season opener for both teams.
— Kent has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Golden Flashes has 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Kent has a senior QB with 12 career starts.
— Golden Flashes are 4-6 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
— Kent was 7-6 LY, after going 16-55 from 2013-18.

— Kent State won five of last six series games.
— EMU lost three of its last five visits here.
— Favorites are 6-3 ATS in last nine series games.

Western Michigan (0-0) @ Akron (0-0)
— This is the season opener for both teams.
— WMU has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Broncos have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
— WMU has a soph QB with four starts.
— Broncos are 2-6-1 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
— WMU is 20-18 last three years, after going 13-1 in 2016.

— This is the season opener for both teams.
— Akron has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Zips have 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Akron has a senior QB with 26 career starts.
— Since 2010, Zips are 7-26 ATS as a home underdog.
— Akron lost all 12 of their games last year.

— Western Michigan won six of last eight games with Akron; teams last met in 2017.
— Broncos won their last four visits to Akron.
— Favorites are 5-3 ATS in last eight series games.

Bowling Green (0-0) @ Toledo (0-0)
— This is the season opener for both teams.
— Bowling Green has 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Falcons have 32 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bowling Green has a new QB this year.
— Falcons are 5-13 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog.
— Since 2016, Bowling Green is 12-36; they were 10-4 in 2015.

— This is the season opener for both teams.
— Toledo has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Rockets have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Toledo has a soph QB with 2 career starts.
— Rockets are 6-4 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
— Toledo is 13-12 the last two years; they were 11-3 in 2017.

— Bowling Green (+26) upset Toledo 20-7 LY, their first win in last 10 series games.
— Falcons lost last five visits to Toledo, but are 2-0-1 ATS in last three.

Buffalo (0-0) @ Northern Illinois (0-0)
— This is the season opener for both teams.
— Buffalo has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Bulls have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Buffalo has a soph QB with five career starts.
— Bulls are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
— Buffalo is 18-9 SU the last two years.

— This is the season opener for both teams.
— NIU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Huskies have 41 returning starts on the offensive line.
— NIU has a senior QB with 21 career starts.
— Since 2017, Huskies are 2-0-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last four years, NIU is 26-25 SU, after dominating the MAC for a few years before that.

— Northern Illinois won its last 11 games with Buffalo, last two by one point each.
— Teams last met in 2018 MAC title game (NIU 30-29)
— Favorites are 7-4 ATS in last 11 series games.

Ohio U (0-0) @ Central Michigan (0-0)
— This is the season opener for both teams.
— Ohio has 7 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Bobcats have 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ohio has a new QB this year.
— Since 2016, Bobcats are 15-9 ATS on the road.
— Since 2016, Ohio is 15-9 ATS on the road.

— This is the season opener for both teams.
— CMU has 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Chippewas have 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
— CMU has a new QB this year, unless they use a senior who has only 4 career starts.
— Chippewas were 6-0 ATS at home last year.
— CMU was 8-6 LY, after going 1-11 the year before.

— CMU won four in row, eight of last nine series games.
— Ohio lost three of last four visits (1-3 ATS) to CMU.
— Underdogs are 3-2 ATS in last five series games.

Posted : November 3, 2020 3:50 pm

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 60756

Member Moderator

Topic starter

Tech Trends - Week 10
Bruce Marshall

Week 10 of the College Football season kicks off on Wednesday, Nov. 4 with MACtion and concludes on Saturday Nov. 7.

We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS and FCS matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Wednesday, Nov. 4

BALL STATE at MIAMI-OHIO (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m.)
Ball State covered 5 of 6 away from Muncie LY.
Also 5-1 as underdog.
Miami has lost and failed to cover openers the past three seasons.

Tech Edge: Slight to Ball State, based on team trends.

EASTERN MICHIGAN at KENT STATE (ESPN+, 6:00 p.m.)
EMU enters 2020 with 22-5-1 spread mark last 28 away from Ypsilanti.
Though has failed to cover last two years vs. Kent State.
Golden Flashes closed 2019 covering last 5 and 7 of last 8, but only 2-2 as chalk, and just 6-8 in role.

Tech Edge: EMU, based on team trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at AKRON (ESPN3, 6:00 p.m.)
WMU just 1-7-1 vs. line last 9 away from Waldo Stadium, and just 6-12-1 last 19 as chalk.
Zips, however, off subterranean 1-11 SU and spread marks in 2019 for Arth, and 1-11 vs. spread last 12 as host.

Tech Edge: WMU, based on recent Akron woes.

BOWLING GREEN at TOLEDO (ESPNU, 8:00 p.m.)
BG continued as poor value last season under Loeffler, only 3-9 vs. line and now 14-34 vs. spread the past four seasons.
Falcons did shock local rival Toledo 20-7 LY as 26½-point dog after losing nine straight in series and having allowed 204 points the previous four series losses.
Rockets didn’t exactly close with a rush in 2019 themselves as 0-6-1 last 7 vs. number suggests.
But, Toledo had covered five of previous seven as MAC host into 2019 and was 5-1 as DD chalk in 2018.

Tech Edge: Toledo, based on extended Bowling Green woes.

BUFFALO at NORTHERN ILLINOIS (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)
Buffalo on 26-12-3 run vs. line since late in 2016 for Leipold.
Bulls, however, have lost all 11 SU vs. NIU since 1999 (didn’t play LY).
Meetings in 2017-18 each decided by one point!
Huskies were 5-1 as dog in 2019 and 8-2 last ten in role.

Tech Edge: Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.

OHIO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)
Solich has covered 5 of his last 7 as MAC visitor and 15-7 vs. spread as visitor since 2016.
If Solich a 'dog here note 14-5 mark in role since 2015.
Ohio has lost and failed to cover last 4 vs CMU though teams haven’t met since 2017.
McElwain 10-4 vs. spread in Chip debut LY when 6-0 vs. spread at Mt Pleasant (Not-so-pleasant for visitors).

Tech Edge: Slight to Ohio, especially if dog, based on extended Solich trends.

Thursday, Nov. 5

WYOMING at COLORADO STATE (CBSSN, 9:00 p.m.)
Border war!
Advantage Wyoming, as Bohl has won and covered last four meetings.
Cowboys on 8-2 spread run in Laramie after Hawaii win.

Tech Edge: Wyoming, based on team and series trends.

UTAH STATE at NEVADA (FS1, 7:00 p.m.)
Utags sagging, only 4-8 last 12 vs. line since early 2019.
Wolf Pack on 6-2 spread run last 8 vs. MW at Reno.

Tech Edge: Nevada, based on recent trends.

Friday, Nov. 6

MIAMI-FLA at NC STATE (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)
NC State has covered its first two in Raleigh this season and 5-1 “over” as well in 2020.
Canes only 1-4 vs. line last five as chalk away from home (though 1-0 in role this season).

Tech Edge: Slight to NCS and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

SAN JOSE STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE (CBSSN, 9:00 p.m.)
SJSU on 11-4-1 spread run since late 2018, 9-3 last 12 as dog.
Spartans however haven’t beaten SDSU outright since 2012.
Aztecs covered vs. feeble UNLV in opener but home chalk not a good role lately (5-12 since 2017).

Tech Edge: SJSU, based on team trends.

BYU at BOISE STATE (FS1, 9:45 p.m.)
Cougs 7-0 SU, 6-1 vs. line in 2020, won and covered first two on road.
BYU has covered 4 of last 5 series meetings.
Boise State now 8-3 last 11 vs. line at home after previous struggles on the blue carpet.

Tech Edge: Slight to BYU, based on series trends.

Saturday, Nov. 7

SMU at TEMPLE (ESPN+, 12:00 p.m.)
Owls were 6-2 vs. line at Linc in 2019 but failed to cover 2020 home opener vs. USF.
Temple was whipped at SMU in 2019, however.
Mustangs just 1-4 vs. line last five and 2-5 last seven vs. spread away from Dallas.

Tech Edge: Slight to Temple, based on team trends.

AIR FORCE at ARMY (CBS, 11:30 a.m.)
Underdog side unbeaten last five vs. line (4-0-1) in series.
Falcons have won and covered last three trips to Michie.
Troy Calhoun 19-10-2 vs. spread as dog since 2014.

Tech Edge: Air Force, based on team trends.

TULANE at EAST CAROLINA (ESPN+, 12:00 p.m.)
Tulane on 14-7 spread uptick since late 2018, also “over” 5-1 last 6 in 2020.
ECU 8-3 last 11 as dog (3-1 in 2020 after Tulsa cover) and “over” last four this season.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on recent “totals” trends.

PITT at FLORIDA STATE (ACC, 4:00 p.m.)
Panthers on 6-2 “over” run.
Pitt on 2-7-1 spread skid since late 2019.
FSU only 3-7 last ten as chalk, “over” 7-3 last ten since late 2019.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

SOUTH ALABAMA at COASTAL CAROLINA (ESPNU, 8:00 p.m.)
Chants 5-1 vs. line in 2020 and on 9-3 spread uptick since mid 2019.
USA “under” 12-5 last 17 since 2019.

Tech Edge: “Under” and Coastal, based on “totals” and team trends.

LIBERTY at VIRGINIA TECH (ACC, 12:00 p.m.)
Virginia Tech has covered five straight at Blacksburg.
Hugh Freeze, however, has covered 6 of last 8 away from Lynchburg and 4-1 last five as 'dog.

Tech Edge: Slight to Liberty, based on team trends.

TROY at GEORGIA SOUTHERN (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
Troy 3-3 vs. line in 2020, 7-11 vs. spread since Chip Lindsey arrived last season.
Trojans have covered last two and won last three handily vs. GSU.
Note Eagles have alternated covers their last 12 games thru USA on Oct. 29, due to L if pattern continues.

Tech Edge: Slight to Troy, based on series trends.

HOUSTON at CINCINNATI (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
Holgorsen very so-so lately, 8-8 vs. line at UH, 6-6 as dog.
Cougs also “over” 6-2 last 8 since late 2019.
Cincy, however, “under” 14-5 since last season.

Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on Cincy extended “totals” trends.

ULM at GEORGIA STATE (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
Warhawks 2-5 vs. line in 2020, 10-23 last 33 on board for Matt Viator.
Even after blowout loss to Coastal Carolina, Panthers 6-2 vs. spread last 7 in Atlanta.
Home teams have won and covered handily past two years in series.

Tech Edge: Georgia State, based on team trends.

LOUISVILLE at VIRGINIA (ACC, 8:00 p.m.)
Home team has covered last four in series.
Cards “over” 10-2 last 11 since mid 2019, Cavs “over” 11-1 last 12 since mid 2019.

Tech Edge: Virginia and “over,” based on series and recent “totals” trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at SYRACUSE (ESPN3, 2:00 p.m.)
Road team has covered last four in series.
‘Cuse just 3-7 last 10 vs. line at Carrier Dome.
Eagles 13-5 last 18 vs. line as visitor, 4-2 last six as visiting chalk.

Tech Edge: BC, based on series and team trends.

NORTH CAROLINA at DUKE (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)
Cutcliffe only 1-2 as dog TY after 2-4-1 mark in role last season.
All following 25-12-1 as dog 2013-18.
Mack Brown 6-3 last 9 vs. line since late 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to UNC, based on recent trends.

TULSA at NAVY (CBSSN, 12:00 p.m.)
Mids 1-2 as Annapolis dog this season, 5-4-1 in role since 2016.
Navy 23-14-1 as dog overall since 2015.
Mids have won and covered last five meetings.
Tulsa however 8-1 vs. spread away since 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Navy, based on series trends.

MICHIGAN at INDIANA (FS1, 12:00 p.m.)
Hoosiers haven’t won in series since 1987, it’s 24 SU wins in a row since for Wolverines.
Road team has covered last two in series.
Harbaugh however just 3-5 vs. spread last 8 on Big Ten road.
IU 5-2 last seven as underdog.

Tech Edge: Slight to Michigan, based on series trends.

RUTGERS at OHIO STATE (Big Ten, 7:30 p.m.)
Buckeyes have now covered 6 of their last 7 at Big Horseshoe.
OSU has murdered Rutgers last six years, scoring 49 or more in each, covering all except last year’s 56-21 win.
Most of those vs. former OSU asst. Ash.

Tech Edge: OSU, based on team and series trends.

MARYLAND at PENN STATE (Big Ten, 3:30 p.m.)
James Franklin has been merciless on Maryland the past four years, win and covers in each, with 163-6 total score last three years.
Animosity from Franklin being bypassed at Md after 2010, though he failed to cover vs. Terps in 2014-15.
Franklin, however, on 0-6 spread skid at Happy Valley.

Tech Edge: Penn State, based on recent series trends.

BAYLOR at IOWA STATE (FS1, 7:00 p.m.)
At end of Rhule era, Baylor had covered seven straight vs. Big 12 foes away from Waco, though lost first conference road game of 2020 at WVU.
Bears were also 9-1 as dog to close Rhule era, 0-1-1 in role TY.
ISU has covered last two at Ames though only 2-4 vs. line last six as host, 3-6-1 last 10 overall.

Tech Edge: Slight to Baylor, based on team trends.

MINNESOTA at ILLINOIS (Big Ten, 3:30 p.m.)
Gophers now 4-8-1 vs. line as Big 10 visitor since 2018, though 3-2-1 last six in role.
Fleck on 11-4 “over” run after Maryland loss.
Aside from 6-0 midseason spread run last season, Lovie 8-18 vs. line in other Big Ten games since late 2016.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on Gophers “totals” trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at IOWA (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)
Hawkeyes “under” 10-4-1 since last season after Purdue & NU games.
Ferentz 8-5 last 13 as Iowa City chalk.
MSU 17-7 “under” since late 2018.

Tech Edge: “Under” and Iowa, based on “totals” and team trends.

PURDUE at WISCONSIN (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Even after Illini win, Wiscy just 3-6 vs. spread last 9 as Camp Randall Big Ten host.
Purdue has covered 5 of last 6 and 8 of 10 since mid-2019.
Brohm also 16-4 as dog with Boilermakers since 2017.

Tech Edge: Purdue, based on team trends.

UCLA at COLORADO (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)
Dorrell Colorado debut vs. his old team!
UCLA 18-30-1 vs. line since 2016.
Buffs covered last three at Boulder in 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Colorado, based on team trends.

ARIZONA at UTAH (ESPNU, 4:00 p.m.)
Utah has won and covered last four meetings.
Sumlin 4-7 vs. line last 11 away with Cats, also dropped 9 of 12 vs. spread in 2019.
Utes covered all five LY and 7 of last 8 vs. Pac-12 at Salt Lake City.

Tech Edge: Utah, based on team and series trends.

ARIZONA STATE at USC (FOX, 12:00 p.m.)
USC covered 4 of 5 as Pac-12 host in 2019 and has won and covered 4 of last 5 vs. ASU.
Herm only 5-10 vs. line last 15 since late 2018 though he was 4-2 as dog in 2019.

Tech Edge: SC, based on series trends.

STANFORD at OREGON (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)
Shaw only 1-5 as dog LY after 13-5-1 mark in role previously on Farm (since 2011).
Shaw had won and covered 3 straight vs. Ducks prior to 2019.
Ducks only 2-4 vs. spread last six as Pac-12 host.

Tech Edge: Slight to Oregon, based on recent trends.

WASHINGTON STATE at OREGON STATE (FS1, 10:30 p.m.)
Rolovich WSU debut.
If 'dog, note Rolo was only 8-14-1 in role past three years with Hawaii.
WSU closed out Leach era on 4-11 spread skid.
Beavs covered 9 of last 11 in 2019, note Smith 2-0 in rare chalk roles past two years.

Tech Edge: OSU and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

FRESNO STATE at UNLV (CBSSN, 3:30 p.m.)
Big wins last two years for FSU.
Bulldogs were on 2-9-1 spread skid until CSU win.
FSU still 8-4-2 vs. line last 14 on MW trail.
Rebs now on 7-13 spread skid as host at former home Sam Boyd Stadium or Allegiant Stadium after Nevada loss.

Tech Edge: Fresno State, based on team trends.

WASHINGTON at CAL (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)
Lake Huskies debut.
Cal has won SU upsets past two years vs. U-Dub.
If dog note Wilcox 16-7 in role past three years for Bears.
Cal also on 20-7 “under” run entering 2020.

Tech Edge: Cal, especially if dog, and “under” based on team and “totals” trends.

APPALACHIAN STATE at TEXAS STATE (ESPN+, 3:00 p.m.)
App only 1-5 vs. spread since late 2019, and has failed to cover 3 of last 4 in series.
Bobcats 1-3-1 vs. line as Belt host since LY, also on 13-7 “under” run (though “over” last two).

Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.

SOUTH FLORIDA at MEMPHIS (ESPN+, 12:00 p.m.)
Tigers on 1-7 spread skid since late 2019, no covers last five as Liberty Bowl chalk.

Tech Edge: Slight to South Florida, based on recent Memphis trends.

KANSAS at OKLAHOMA (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)
Les Miles is 0-5-1 vs. spread in 2020, 1-8-1 last ten vs. points since late 2019.
Jayhawks however have covered last two vs. OU (big prices).
Lincoln Riley, however, just 2-5 last seven as Norman Big 12 chalk.

Tech Edge: Slight to OU, based on Kansas negatives.

TEXAS TECH at TCU (FS1, 3:30 p.m.)
Frogs on 5-16-1 spread skid as Fort Worth chalk.
Red Raiders have covered 4 of last 5 in series.

Tech Edge: Texas Tech, based on team and series trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS STATE (FOX, 4:00 p.m.)
Gundy on 13-5-1 spread run, though Klieman 8-3 as dog.
K-State 23-8 in role since 2016 back to last three years of Snyder II era.
Dog has covered 4 of last 5 meetings.

Tech Edge: slight to K-State, based on team and series trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at TEXAS (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)
Home team is 5-0-1 vs. line in WVU games this season.
Horns however only 2-6-1 last 9 as Austin Big 12 chalk.
Texas “over” 13-6 last 19.

Tech Edge: Slight to “over” and West Virginia, based on ‘totals” and extended team trends.

NEBRASKA at NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m.)
Prior to Md win, Cats were 2-5 previous seven vs. spread at Evanston vs. Big 12.
Road team has covered seven straight in this series!

Tech Edge: Nebraska, based on series road trends.

FLORIDA at GEORGIA (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)
Game played at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Florida.
Kirby Smart has won and covered last three in series though Dawgs just 2-3 vs. line last five as SEC host.
Dan Mullen teams 19-10 last 29 as dog at MSU & Gators.

Tech Edge: Slight to Georgia, based on recent series trends.

UTSA at RICE (ESPN3, 3:30 p.m.)
If Rice chalk here note 1-6 mark in role since 2017.
Roadrunners have won outright last five meetings (3-2 vs. line in those).
If UTSA dog note 9-2 spread mark last 11 in role.

Tech Edge: UTSA, especially if dog, based on series and team trends.

CHARLOTTE at MTSU (ESPN+, 3:30 p.m.)
Charlotte has covered last two meetings and won outright LY at home.
If MTSU chalk note 0-5 mark last five in role.

Tech Edge: Charlotte, especially if dog, based on team and recent series trends.

VANDERBILT at MISSISSIPPI STATE (SEC, 3:30 p.m.)
Vandy on 4-13 spread skid but Leach on 5-15 spread skid since late in his WSU career.
MSU 2-7 “under” run, Dores 6-10 “under” last 16.

Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

ARKANSAS STATE at UL-LAFAYETTE (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m.)
Cajuns have covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 meetings.
Billy Napier on 18-11-2 spread uptick.
ASU just 1-4 last five vs. line as Belt visitor.

Tech Edge: ULL, based on recent trends.

FIU at UTEP (ESPN3, 4:00 p.m.)
UTEP surprising 4-2 vs. line after 10-25-1 mark vs. spread previous three years.
Miners also covered this game vs. FIU in 2019.
Butch Davis just 5-11 vs. line with FIU since LY.

Tech Edge: Slight to UTEP, based on recent trends.

NEW MEXICO at HAWAII (11:00 p.m.)
For Rolovich, UH only 6-12 as Aloha Stadium chalk, and UH now 7-18 in role since 2014, back to the Norm Chow years.
Lobos entered 2020 on 4-15 spread skid at end of Davie era, then lost and faield to cover opener at SJSU.

Tech Edge: Slight to New Mexico, based on extended trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at FLORIDA ATLANTIC (6:00 p.m.)
WKU 0-7 vs. line in 2020, now on 0-8-1 spread skid since late 2019.
FAU has won last three meetings (2-0-1 vs. line).

Tech Edge: FAU, based on team and series trends.

LA TECH at NORTH TEXAS (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m.)
If Skip Holtz a dog, note 21-10-1 mark in role since he arrived at Ruston in 2014.
Also 5-1 SU and vs. line against UNT since 2014.
Mean Green 5-18 last 23 vs. line since mid-2018.

Tech Edge: La Tech, especially if dog, based on team and series trends.

TEXAS A&M at SOUTH CAROLINA (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)
Muschamp 3-1-1 as dog this season, 15-8-1 as dog since 2017.
Though A&M has won and covered last two meetings.

Tech Edge: Slight to SC, based on extended dog marks.

CLEMSON at NOTRE DAME (NBC, 7:30 p.m.)
Brian Kelly 10-6 as dog since 2014 and 1-1 vs. line against Clemson that span, including 2018 playoff loss at Cotton Bowl.
Dabo 13-3-1 vs. spread last 17 away from Death Valley.

Tech Edge: Clemson, based on team trends.

TENNESSEE at ARKANSAS (SEC, 7:30 p.m.)
Razorbacks 5-0 vs. line in 2020 for Pittman.
Vols have lost and failed to cover three in a row after 8 game SU win streak.
UT “under” 13-6 since late 2018 for Pruitt.

Tech Edge: Arkansas, based on recent trends.

Posted : November 4, 2020 12:22 pm

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 60756

Member Moderator

Topic starter

Dunkel Index - NCAAF

Posted : November 5, 2020 12:11 pm

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 60756

Member Moderator

Topic starter

BYU vs. Boise State Odds
Joe Nelson

While the ACC is in the spotlight Saturday with Clemson and Notre Dame, the college football weekend will kick off with a huge game late Friday night.

Undefeated BYU heads to Boise State for the toughest remaining test on the schedule with a perfect season in the balance.

Boise State looks to stay perfect as well as one of the expected Mountain West leaders that also could have a chance to run the table after nearly doing so last season. Here is a look at Friday’s big game between the Cougars and the Broncos.

Week 10 Matchup: Independent vs. Mountain West
Venue: Albertsons Stadium
Date: Friday, November 6, 2020
Time: 9:45 p.m. ET
TV: FS1

BYU-Boise State Betting Odds

Spread: BYU -3.5
Money-Line: BYU -160 Boise State +140
Total: 61

Heisman Trophy hopeful Zach Wilson leads undefeated BYU in a tough road test at Boise State. (AP)

How to Handicap BYU-Boise State

BYU has outscored its opposition 311-94 this season but it has not been a formidable path. BYU has only played two road games this season and will be at home in the final two games on the schedule as this is the toughest game remaining on what many will expect to be a 10-0 campaign. Kalani Sitake is now 34-25 S/U at BYU with his first season of 2016 finishing 9-4 being his best season until this year.

The Mountain West season just started as Boise State has only played two games. The Broncos have won those games with 42 and 49 points respectively but the defense did show some cracks last week allowing 30 points in a competitive game with Air Force. Since 2014 under Bryan Harsin Boise State is 66-17 including going 36-5 S/U on the famous blue turf.

Last week at Air Force Boise State allowed 484 yards but was able to pull away in the fourth quarter with the help of an 88-yard kickoff return touchdown. Air Force posted 6.2 yards per rush after the Broncos were a top 20 team nationally last season allowing just 3.6 yards per rush.

BYU hosted Western Kentucky last week and was mostly unchallenged in a 41-10 win. The 410-262 yardage edge wasn’t overwhelming but BYU had 35 points at halftime and coasted from there. BYU provided Boise State’s only regular season loss last season with a 28-25 win in Provo last October and this will be just the second time in Harsin’s time coaching the Broncos that they will have a home underdog price.

National Implications?

BYU has climbed into the top 10 of the polls and most power ratings at 7-0 with great statistics. The schedule grades poorly but a win here would give the team three road wins of decent quality. With a dearth of undefeated teams remaining around the country the Cougars could at least have an argument for national playoff consideration if they reach 10-0.

For that to be a realistic prospect BYU may need to win pretty handily in this game which is a national TV opportunity and will likely hold up as by far the highest quality team on the schedule.

If a run at being the first non-power 5 school to be in the College Football Playoff isn’t realistic, being the top Group of 5 squad will still be an alluring prize. Boise State is 42-8 S/U in Mountain West games under Harsin including going 8-0 last season and this is the only non-conference game this season.

With an abbreviated eight-game schedule Boise State is also a candidate to finish undefeated with a favorable remaining path and Nevada and San Diego State absent from the conference slate. Three of the final four games of the season will be road games but this game certainly lurks as the biggest challenge.

Quarterback Corner

Hank Bachmeier had great numbers when he was healthy last season as a freshman leading Boise State in seven regular season wins though he played poorly in the bowl game loss to Washington. Bachmeier didn’t play vs. BYU last season however and after a terrific opening performance in the win over Utah State he was a surprise scratch last week.

Jack Sears played in one game for USC in 2018 and after transferring to Boise State he made his first start last week in Bachmeier’s absence. He played extremely well but figures to face a much tougher assignment this week, though there has been little information on Bachmeier’s status this season.

Zach Wilson has moved to the top 5 in many Heisman Trophy Odds offerings and he may wind up with one of the best statistical lines in the nation for BYU. He has 19 touchdowns and only two interceptions while taking only four sacks.

His completion rate is nearly 75 percent and he has averaged 11.1 yards per attempt. Only Mac Jones and Grayson McCall among players that have more than two games played have a higher QB Rating at this point in the season than Wilson.

Betting Analysis – Cougars

2020: 7-0 S/U, 5-2 ATS, 3-4 O/U

BYU has allowed just 4.5 yards per play this season and 281 yards per game, both among the best in the nation among teams that have played at least a handful of games so far. BYU is allowing only 3.1 yards per rush and 6.3 yards per pass attempt.

Head coach Kalani Sitake took over for Bronco Mendenhall starting in the 2016 season. BYU was 9-4 that season and then reversed that record for a rare losing season in Provo in 2017.

The past two seasons BYU has finished 7-6 as Sitake is 34-25 S/U and 31-27-1 ATS in his career. BYU is 12-13 S/U on the road under Sitake but 16-9 ATS, but just 7-6 S/U and 6-7 ATS as a road favorite even after winning at Houston a few weeks ago.

BYU hasn’t had many games that have been competitive into the second half but in the one game where they were really tested at Houston, they rallied back from a 26-14 deficit with four touchdowns in the final 16 minutes.

Wilson rightly gets most of the attention and has climbed into the first round of a few 2021 NFL mock drafts leading the offense but Tyler Allgeier has gained 6.5 yards per rush and often hasn’t needed to be in games in the second halves.

The backfield remains a committee approach and expect to see Sione Finau more involved in the offense moving forward after returning from an early season injury as he was last season’s leading rusher.

Betting Analysis - Broncos

2020: 2-0 S/U, 2-0 ATS, 2-0 O/U

Boise State is a tough team to get a read on two games in given that different quarterbacks have played in those games. The production was nearly identical in both games but Boise State hit more big plays under Sears while rarely even facing 3rd down situations. Given how different styles of offenses the two opponents have been, the defensive strengths for Boise State aren’t clear and they have not faced a capable passing attack like BYU offers yet.

Normally given one of the strongest home field edges in the nation, Boise State’s edge at home could be downgraded a bit this season with no fans in attendance other than family members and a small number of students. The quarterbacks have both appeared capable and any information on who starts this week isn’t likely to change the spread or approach dramatically.

Khalil Shakir is the receiver to watch for Boise State, considered a borderline NFL draft pick at this point in his junior season. He already has 13 catches for 213 yards in two games as the Broncos have leaned on the passing game despite still posting 350 rushing yards already this season.

Head-to-Head

BYU has never won in Boise but three of the five losses have been very close games. Boise State is 7-3 S/U but 3-7 ATS in the past 10 meetings between these teams since 2003.

One of the wins for BYU was last season with a 28-25 result in Provo, a result that wound up costing Boise State a New Year’s Six invitation. The last meeting in Boise in 2018 was a 21-16 win for the Broncos and BYU hasn’t been favored in this series since a home win in 2013.

Last Meeting - 2019 (BYU 28 Boise State 25)

Boise State was 6-0 heading into last season’s game which was the second game started by Chase Cord after Bachmeier’s injury. Boise State led 10-7 at halftime but BYU scored three touchdowns in the third quarter.

Boise State climbed back within three in the fourth but BYU was able to burn off the final three-plus minutes to end the game. Both teams had missed field goals in the game and one of two Cord interceptions set-up a short field touchdown drive for BYU.

Wilson also didn’t play for BYU as Baylor Romney had an efficient game in his first career start and remains Wilson’s backup this season.

Notable Betting Trends

-- BYU is 12-13 S/U and 16-9 ATS on the road while 7-6 S/U and 6-7 ATS as a road favorite under Sitake including 2-5 ATS since the start of last season.

-- BYU is 32-38 ATS as a road favorite since 1997.

-- BYU is 12-20 ATS since 2011 as a favorite of 7 or fewer points including 4-11 ATS since 2016.

-- Boise State is 127-8 S/U and 66-55-3 ATS at home since 1999.

-- In that time they have gone 5-1 S/U and 5-1 ATS as a home underdog, though four of those wins were back in 1999.

-- Boise State has been a home underdog once since 2001, winning 24-17 at +2.5 in 2018 vs. Fresno State.

Posted : November 6, 2020 10:54 am

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