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[Sticky] NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Week 10

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : October 29, 2024 5:43 am
(@shazman)
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NCAA Football Dunkel Week 10

NCAA Football Week 10 Trend Report

 
Posted : October 29, 2024 9:07 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAF
Weather Report
Tuesday, October 29

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NCAAF
Weather Report
Wednesday, October 30

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Posted : October 29, 2024 9:12 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Tuesday’s games
New Mexico State
@ Florida International (-9.5)
New Mexico State (2-5, 1-3)
Aggies are 1-5 vs I-A teams, giving up 40.5 ppg.
Aggies are minus-10 in turnovers.
NM State has 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
Aggies have 115 starts back on offensive line.
Former JC QB Awad is 40-92/518 passing (4 TDs, 3 INTs).

Aggies gave up 280+ rushing yards in four of last five games.
NM State is 6-8-1 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog (0-3 TY).
Aggies are 12-4-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
NM State has completed less than half its passes in 6 of 7 games.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Florida International (2-6, 1-3)
Panthers lost five of their last six games.
FIU is 0-5 when it allows more than 16 points.
FIU has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
FIU has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Jankins started 11 games last year.

Last 4+ years, FIU is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, MacIntyre is 16-16 ATS as home favorite.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 0-4 ATS as a favorite anywhere.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 9-10 ATS coming off a loss.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 9-11 ATS in conference games.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Teams split meetings the last two years, both in Las Cruces.
C-USA underdogs are 11-8 ATS in league games, 5-5 on road.

Louisiana @ Texas State (-3.5)
Louisiana (6-1, 3-0)
ULL has scored 33+ points in six of its seven games.
Cajuns’ only loss was 41-33 at home to Tulane.
ULL has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
Cajuns have 91 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Wooldridge had 8 starts before this year.

Louisiana is 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 games as road underdogs.
Under Desormeaux, ULL is 6-4 ATS as an underdog.
Under Desormeaux, ULL is 4-12-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Cajuns are 4-0 SU on road TY, scoring 33 ppg.
ULL gave up 200+ rushing yards in three of last five games.

Texas State (4-3, 2-1)
Bobcats scored 28+ points in five of six I-A games.
Texas State gave up 17-10-9 points in I-A wins, 31-40-24 in losses.
Texas State has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Texas State has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB McCloud has completed 68.4% of passes (20 TD’s, 7 INTs)

Texas State is 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
Under Kinne, Bobcats are 6-7 ATS as a favorite.
Texas State is 13-9 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss.
Texas State is 4-0 when it gains 467+ yards, 0-3 when it doesn’t.
Bobcats’ last three games stayed under the total.

Louisiana is 11-0 SU/10-1 ATS in last 11 series games.
Last time Texas State was favored over ULL: 2014.
Cajuns’ last three visits to Texas State went over the total.
Sun Belt home favorites are 9-7 ATS in conference games.

Louisiana Tech @ Sam Houston State (-9.5)
Louisiana Tech (3-4, 2-2)
Tech is 2-4 vs I-A teams, with three losses by 7 or less points.
Bulldogs are +3 in turnovers last three games (minus-8 in first three).
Tech has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tech has 79 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Bullock is 91-138/1,038 passing (9 TD, no INTs).

Under Cumbie, Tech is 3-8 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Cumbie is 4-9 ATS as a road underdog.
As a head coach, Cumbie is 8-11 ATS as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
Under Cumbie, Tech is 2-6 ATS coming off a win.

Sam Houston State (6-2, 3-1)
Bearkats won five of its last six games (4-2 ATS).
Bearkats were held to 10-14 points in last two games.
Sam Houston has 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Bearkats have 70 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Watson played JC ball in Iowa last year.

Sam Houston is 3-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Bearkats are 6-6 ATS in last 12 conference games.
Sam Houston is 5-2 ATS in last seven games coming off a win.
Bearkats are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Sam Houston (+7.5) won 42-27 at Louisiana Tech LY
C-USA underdogs are 11-8 ATS in league games, 5-5 on road.

 
Posted : October 29, 2024 9:13 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Wednesday’s games
Jacksonville State
@ Liberty (-2)
Jacksonville State (4-3, 3-0)
Gamecocks won their last four games, scoring 44-63-54-42 points.
Jax State ran for 273-384-334-438 yards in winning those games.
Jax State has 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Gamecocks have 67 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Huff played last two years at I-AA Furman.

Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 1-2 ATS as a road underdogs.
In his career, Rodriguez is 19-30 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 9-2 ATS in conference games.
Jax State was +10 in turnovers the last four games.
Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 12-7 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 5-2 in their games this season.

Liberty (5-1, 3-1)
Liberty lost to Kennesaw State LW, as a 27-point favorite.
Liberty’s three C-USA wins are by 6-18-7 points.
Liberty is scoring 29.4 ppg vs I-A teams (1-4 ATS).
Flames have 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Flames have 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Salter has 18 career starts.

Under Chadwell, Liberty is 6-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Chadwell, Liberty is 6-7 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Chadwell is 14-19 ATS as a home favorite.
Flames are 3-6 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
Liberty gave up 24+ points in five of its six games.

Liberty (-6.5) ran for 243 yards, won 31-13 at Jax State last year.

Kennesaw State @ Western Kentucky (-24)
Kennesaw State (1-6, 1-2)
Kennesaw got its first I-A win LW, 27-24 over Liberty.
Owls’ C-USA losses were 63-24 (Jax State), 14-5 (@ MTSU)
Kennesaw has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Owls have 33 starts back on offensive line, added six transfers.
Soph QB Bryson is 73-131/805 passing, with 3 TD’s, 6 INTs.

Owls gained 323 yards LW, 270 or fewer in their losses.
Kennesaw is 2-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
Owls were outgained by 140 yards/game in their C-USA tilts.
Kennesaw was 11-7 ATS in last 18 I-AA games coming off a win.
Under is 4-2 in their I-A games this season.

Western Kentucky (5-2, 3-0)
WKU won its three C-USA tilts, scoring 49-44-31 points.
WKU’s losses: 63-0 at Alabama, 21-20 at Boston College.
Hilltoppers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
WKU has 91 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Veltkamp is 114-164/1,428 passing (14 TD’s, 5 INTs).

Hilltoppers are 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS in their last five games.
WKU is 10-7 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.
WKU is 18-9-1 ATS in last 27 conference games.
Hilltoppers are 18-8-1 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

These teams haven’t met in the last 20 yards.

 
Posted : October 30, 2024 10:27 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 59826
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College Football Week 09 Betting Spots:

Let Down Spots:
Indiana at Michigan State after beating Washington is possible.
Houston hosting Kansas State after beating UTAH.
Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky after beating Liberty is one.
Texas A&M at South Carolina after emotional LSU win.
Get Up Spots:
Wisconsin needs to wake up at Iowa after crapping the bed against Penn State.
Nebraska needs to rise hosting UCLA after two rough road games.
Illinois hosting Minnesota is one after Oregon debacle.
Liberty hosting Jacksonville State is there due to Kennesaw State upset.
Kentucky better wake up at Tennessee after Auburn loss.
Look Ahead Spots:
Ole Miss looking past Arkansas to Georgia is one.
Virginia Tech looking past Syracuse to Clemson is possible.
Indiana could look past Michigan State to Michigan.
Long Rest:
New Mexico State coming off the bye with an extra three days over FIU.
Sam Houston coming off the bye with an extra three days hosting Louisiana Tech.
UTEP with an extra day over Middle Tennessee State.
Western Kentucky with an extra 4 days rest coming off the bye hosting Kennesaw State.
Georgia Southern with an extra two days at South Alabama.
Old Dominion with an extra two days at App State.
Syracuse with an extra two days hosting Virginia Tech.
Pitt with an extra two days at SMU.
Clemson off the bye with an extra six days hosting Louisville.
Boise State with an extra day of rest hosting San Diego State.
USC with an extra day of rest at Washington.
Arizona State off the bye at Oklahoma State.
Coastal Carolina off the bye at Troy.
Iowa State off the bye hosting Texas Tech.
Marshall off the bye hosting Louisiana Monroe.
NC State off the bye hosting Stanford.
Purdue off the bye hosting Northwestern.
South Carolina off the bye hosting Texas A&M.
Tennessee off the bye hosting Kentucky.
UAB off the bye hosting Tulsa.
UCLA off the bye at Nebraska.
Revenge Spots:
Wisconsin at Iowa is one from last year’s loss.
Penn State may want to beat Ohio State once in a while.

 
Posted : October 30, 2024 2:12 pm
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