NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Week 10

NCAA Football Dunkel Week 10

NCAA Football Week 10 Trend Report

NCAAF
Weather Report
Tuesday, October 29

NCAAF
Weather Report
Wednesday, October 30

NCAAF
Weather Report
Thursday, October 31

NCAAF
Weather Report
Friday, November 1

NCAAF Weather Report Saturday, November 2

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday’s games
New Mexico State @ Florida International (-9.5)
New Mexico State (2-5, 1-3)
Aggies are 1-5 vs I-A teams, giving up 40.5 ppg.
Aggies are minus-10 in turnovers.
NM State has 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
Aggies have 115 starts back on offensive line.
Former JC QB Awad is 40-92/518 passing (4 TDs, 3 INTs).

Aggies gave up 280+ rushing yards in four of last five games.
NM State is 6-8-1 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog (0-3 TY).
Aggies are 12-4-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
NM State has completed less than half its passes in 6 of 7 games.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Florida International (2-6, 1-3)
Panthers lost five of their last six games.
FIU is 0-5 when it allows more than 16 points.
FIU has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
FIU has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Jankins started 11 games last year.

Last 4+ years, FIU is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, MacIntyre is 16-16 ATS as home favorite.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 0-4 ATS as a favorite anywhere.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 9-10 ATS coming off a loss.
Under MacIntyre, FIU is 9-11 ATS in conference games.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Teams split meetings the last two years, both in Las Cruces.
C-USA underdogs are 11-8 ATS in league games, 5-5 on road.

Louisiana @ Texas State (-3.5)
Louisiana (6-1, 3-0)
ULL has scored 33+ points in six of its seven games.
Cajuns’ only loss was 41-33 at home to Tulane.
ULL has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
Cajuns have 91 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Wooldridge had 8 starts before this year.

Louisiana is 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 games as road underdogs.
Under Desormeaux, ULL is 6-4 ATS as an underdog.
Under Desormeaux, ULL is 4-12-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Cajuns are 4-0 SU on road TY, scoring 33 ppg.
ULL gave up 200+ rushing yards in three of last five games.

Texas State (4-3, 2-1)
Bobcats scored 28+ points in five of six I-A games.
Texas State gave up 17-10-9 points in I-A wins, 31-40-24 in losses.
Texas State has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Texas State has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB McCloud has completed 68.4% of passes (20 TD’s, 7 INTs)

Texas State is 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
Under Kinne, Bobcats are 6-7 ATS as a favorite.
Texas State is 13-9 ATS last 22 games coming off a loss.
Texas State is 4-0 when it gains 467+ yards, 0-3 when it doesn’t.
Bobcats’ last three games stayed under the total.

Louisiana is 11-0 SU/10-1 ATS in last 11 series games.
Last time Texas State was favored over ULL: 2014.
Cajuns’ last three visits to Texas State went over the total.
Sun Belt home favorites are 9-7 ATS in conference games.

Louisiana Tech @ Sam Houston State (-9.5)
Louisiana Tech (3-4, 2-2)
Tech is 2-4 vs I-A teams, with three losses by 7 or less points.
Bulldogs are +3 in turnovers last three games (minus-8 in first three).
Tech has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tech has 79 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Bullock is 91-138/1,038 passing (9 TD, no INTs).

Under Cumbie, Tech is 3-8 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Cumbie is 4-9 ATS as a road underdog.
As a head coach, Cumbie is 8-11 ATS as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
Under Cumbie, Tech is 2-6 ATS coming off a win.

Sam Houston State (6-2, 3-1)
Bearkats won five of its last six games (4-2 ATS).
Bearkats were held to 10-14 points in last two games.
Sam Houston has 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Bearkats have 70 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Watson played JC ball in Iowa last year.

Sam Houston is 3-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
Bearkats are 6-6 ATS in last 12 conference games.
Sam Houston is 5-2 ATS in last seven games coming off a win.
Bearkats are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Sam Houston (+7.5) won 42-27 at Louisiana Tech LY
C-USA underdogs are 11-8 ATS in league games, 5-5 on road.

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday’s games
Jacksonville State @ Liberty (-2)
Jacksonville State (4-3, 3-0)
Gamecocks won their last four games, scoring 44-63-54-42 points.
Jax State ran for 273-384-334-438 yards in winning those games.
Jax State has 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Gamecocks have 67 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Huff played last two years at I-AA Furman.

Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 1-2 ATS as a road underdogs.
In his career, Rodriguez is 19-30 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 9-2 ATS in conference games.
Jax State was +10 in turnovers the last four games.
Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 12-7 ATS coming off a win.
Over is 5-2 in their games this season.

Liberty (5-1, 3-1)
Liberty lost to Kennesaw State LW, as a 27-point favorite.
Liberty’s three C-USA wins are by 6-18-7 points.
Liberty is scoring 29.4 ppg vs I-A teams (1-4 ATS).
Flames have 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Flames have 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Salter has 18 career starts.

Under Chadwell, Liberty is 6-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Chadwell, Liberty is 6-7 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Chadwell is 14-19 ATS as a home favorite.
Flames are 3-6 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
Liberty gave up 24+ points in five of its six games.

Liberty (-6.5) ran for 243 yards, won 31-13 at Jax State last year.

Kennesaw State @ Western Kentucky (-24)
Kennesaw State (1-6, 1-2)
Kennesaw got its first I-A win LW, 27-24 over Liberty.
Owls’ C-USA losses were 63-24 (Jax State), 14-5 (@ MTSU)
Kennesaw has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Owls have 33 starts back on offensive line, added six transfers.
Soph QB Bryson is 73-131/805 passing, with 3 TD’s, 6 INTs.

Owls gained 323 yards LW, 270 or fewer in their losses.
Kennesaw is 2-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
Owls were outgained by 140 yards/game in their C-USA tilts.
Kennesaw was 11-7 ATS in last 18 I-AA games coming off a win.
Under is 4-2 in their I-A games this season.

Western Kentucky (5-2, 3-0)
WKU won its three C-USA tilts, scoring 49-44-31 points.
WKU’s losses: 63-0 at Alabama, 21-20 at Boston College.
Hilltoppers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
WKU has 91 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Veltkamp is 114-164/1,428 passing (14 TD’s, 5 INTs).

Hilltoppers are 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS in their last five games.
WKU is 10-7 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.
WKU is 18-9-1 ATS in last 27 conference games.
Hilltoppers are 18-8-1 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

These teams haven’t met in the last 20 yards.

College Football Week 09 Betting Spots:

Let Down Spots:
Indiana at Michigan State after beating Washington is possible.
Houston hosting Kansas State after beating UTAH.
Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky after beating Liberty is one.
Texas A&M at South Carolina after emotional LSU win.
Get Up Spots:
Wisconsin needs to wake up at Iowa after crapping the bed against Penn State.
Nebraska needs to rise hosting UCLA after two rough road games.
Illinois hosting Minnesota is one after Oregon debacle.
Liberty hosting Jacksonville State is there due to Kennesaw State upset.
Kentucky better wake up at Tennessee after Auburn loss.
Look Ahead Spots:
Ole Miss looking past Arkansas to Georgia is one.
Virginia Tech looking past Syracuse to Clemson is possible.
Indiana could look past Michigan State to Michigan.
Long Rest:
New Mexico State coming off the bye with an extra three days over FIU.
Sam Houston coming off the bye with an extra three days hosting Louisiana Tech.
UTEP with an extra day over Middle Tennessee State.
Western Kentucky with an extra 4 days rest coming off the bye hosting Kennesaw State.
Georgia Southern with an extra two days at South Alabama.
Old Dominion with an extra two days at App State.
Syracuse with an extra two days hosting Virginia Tech.
Pitt with an extra two days at SMU.
Clemson off the bye with an extra six days hosting Louisville.
Boise State with an extra day of rest hosting San Diego State.
USC with an extra day of rest at Washington.
Arizona State off the bye at Oklahoma State.
Coastal Carolina off the bye at Troy.
Iowa State off the bye hosting Texas Tech.
Marshall off the bye hosting Louisiana Monroe.
NC State off the bye hosting Stanford.
Purdue off the bye hosting Northwestern.
South Carolina off the bye hosting Texas A&M.
Tennessee off the bye hosting Kentucky.
UAB off the bye hosting Tulsa.
UCLA off the bye at Nebraska.
Revenge Spots:
Wisconsin at Iowa is one from last year’s loss.
Penn State may want to beat Ohio State once in a while.

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday’s games
Georgia State @ UConn (-8.5)
Georgia State (2-5, 0-4)
Panthers lost their last four games, giving up 31.8 ppg.
Georgia State ran ball for 219-194 yards in last two games.
Georgia State has 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
Georgia State has 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Veilleux started five games at Pitt last year
Sun Belt road underdogs are 10-6 ATS in non-league games.

Panthers allowed 32+ points in five of six I-A games.
Georgia State is 13-8 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.
Panthers are 14-10-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss.
Georgia State’s only I-A win: 36-32 (+8.5) over Vanderbilt.

UConn (5-3)
UConn won four of its last five games.
Huskies are 5-0 giving up 20 or less points (gave up 50-26-23 in losses)
UConn has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
UConn has 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Evers completed 9-24 passes in 17-10 win vs Rice last week

Under Mora, Huskies are 6-2 ATS as a home favorite.
In his college career, Mora is 20-17 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Mora, Huskies are 7-5 ATS in games coming off a win.
UConn held 4 of last 5 opponents to 270 or fewer total yards.
UConn’s last three games stayed under the total.

Georgia State (-3) beat UConn 35-14 at home LY.
Panthers ran ball for 250 yards in that game.

South Florida (-2.5) @ Florida Atlantic
South Florida (3-4, 1-2)
USF lost three of its last four games.
Bulls scored 49-35 in I-A wins (0-4 score less than 35)
Bulls have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
USF has 58 returning starts on offensive line.
Redshirt frosh QB Brown has started 15 games.

Since 2019, USF is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Golesh, Bulls are 4-7 ATS in conference games.
Under Golesh, USF is 5-3 ATS coming off a win.
In 4 of last 5 games, Bulls gave up 485+ total yards.
Last four games, USF is minus-5 in turnovers.

Florida Atlantic (2-5, 0-3)
FAU lost last three I-A games, giving up 48-41-38 points.
Owls’ only I-A win: 38-20 over Florida International.
FAU has 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Owls have only 22 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Fancher started 17 games at Marshall.

Last three I-A games, FAU gave up 503.7 yards/game.
Under Herman, FAU is 1-2 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Herman is 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Herman, Owls are 4-6-1 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Herman is 26-36-2 ATS in conference games.
Over is 4-0 in their last four I-A games.

FAU (+2.5) won 56-14 at South Florida last year.
Owls outgained USF 587-388 in that game.
That was teams’ first meeting since 2013.

San Diego State @ Boise Sate (-23.5)
San Diego State (3-4, 2-0)
Aztecs’ last four games were all decided by 3 or fewer points.
Aztecs are 3-0 if they score 27+ points, 0-4 if they don’t.
San Diego State has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Aztecs have 67 starts returning on offensive line.
Frosh QB O’Neil has thrown for 1,240 yards (6 TDs, 2 INTs)

Aztecs have losses this year by 21-21-1-3 points.
San Diego State is 8-4 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
In his career, coach Lewis is 12-15 ATS as a road underdog.
San Diego State is 9-4 ATS last 13 conference games.
In his career, Lewis is 18-13 ATS in games coming off a loss.

Boise State (6-1, 3-0)
Broncos won last four I-A games, scoring 45-62-28-29 points.
Boise has run for 263.7 yards/game in its I-A games.
Boise has 6 starters back on offense, all 11 on defense.
Broncos have 66 starts returning on the offensive line.
Soph QB Madsen (132 pass attempts LY) is the ‘QB.

Boise won its two I-A home games, 45-24 Wazzu/62-30 Utah State
Broncos are 10-4 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-2 in their I-A games.
Broncos are 13-6-2 ATS in last 21 conference games.
Boise is 13-22-2 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.

Underdogs are 8-1 ATS in last nine series games.
Boise State won last two meetings, 34-31/35-13.
Teams split their last four meetings on the blue carpet.
Mountain West home favorites are 6-4 ATS in conference games.

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday’s best 13 games
Ohio State (-3) @ Penn State
Ohio State (6-1, 3-1)
Ohio State scored 31+ points in six of seven games.
Buckeyes’ only loss was 32-31 at Oregon; Ducks gained 496 yards.
Ohio State has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Buckeyes have 103 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Howard stated 33 games at Kansas State.

Under Day, OSU is 11-9-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Buckeyes are 1-1 on road (38-7 @ Michigan State/31-32 @ Oregon).
Buckeyes are 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 conference games.
OSU is 9-5-2 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Ohio State allowed 17 or fewer points in all of its wins.

Penn State (7-0, 4-0)
Penn State QB Allar is banged up; check status.
PSU is 4-0 in Big 18, with three wins by 15+ points.
Nittany Lions are 1-3 ATS at home this season.
Nittany Lions have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Penn State has 45 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Allar started 13 games last year.

Under Franklin, Penn State is 54-38-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Franklin, Penn State is 33-25-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 SU/1-3 ATS in conference games TY.
PSU held five of seven opponents under 300 total yards.
Five of their seven games stayed under the total.

Ohio State is 7-0 SU/2-5 ATS in last seven meetings.
Buckeyes are 7-1 SU/4-4 ATS in last eight visits to Happy Valley
Under is 5-1 in last six series games.
Big 18 home underdogs are 10-9 ATS

Ole Miss (-8) @ Arkansas
Ole Miss (6-2, 2-2)
Ole Miss split its four SEC games; both losses were by 3 points.
Rebels are 0-2 when they give up more than 14 points.
Rebels have 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Rebels have 222 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dart has started 25 games.

All six Ole Miss wins are by 12+ points.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 9-4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Kiffin is 19-17-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 21-15-2 ATS coming off a win.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 15-20-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 7-0 in Ole Miss’ I-A games this season.

Arkansas (5-3, 3-2)
Arkansas scored 19 or fewer points in three of last four games.
Razorbacks were minus-8 in turnovers in their losses (+7 in wins).
Razorbacks have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Razorbacks have 67 returning starts on the offensive line;
Junior QB Green started 22 games at Boise State.

Under Pittman, Arkansas is 8-5 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 20-8 ATS as an underdog overall.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 23-14-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 12-11-2 ATS coming off a win.
Four of Arkansas’ last five games stayed under the total.

Home team won last five series games.
Underdogs are 12-1 ATS in last thirteen meetings.
Under is 11-7 in last eight meetings.
Ole Miss lost four of last five visits to Arkansas.
SEC home underdogs are 9-5 ATS in league games.

Minnesota (-3) @ Illinois
Minnesota (5-3, 3-2)
Minnesota won its last three games, scoring 31 ppg.
Gophers allowed 11.8 ppg in I-A wins, 19-31-27 points in losses.
Gophers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Minnesota has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Brosmer started 36 games at I-AA New Hampshire.

Minnesota is 8-4-1 ATS last 13 games as a road favorite.
In his career, Fleck is 14-8-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 33-31-2 ATS in conference games.
Minnesota is +13 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
Gophers were held under 100 YR in all three losses.

Illinois (6-2, 3-2)
Illinois is 3-2 in Big 18 games, losing 21-7 (Penn St), 38-9 (Oregon).
Illini has a +6 turnover ratio, minus-2 in league games.
Illinois has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Illini has 77 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Altmyer has 10 career starts.

Under Bielema, Illinois is 5-4 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Bielema is 15-14 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 18-14 ATS in conference games.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 10-8 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-2 in Illinois’ I-A games.

Illinois won last three meetings, by 1-12-8 points.
Gophers are 6-3 SU/ATS in last nine visits to Illinois.
Over is 5-3-1 in last nine meetings.

Virginia Tech (-4) @ Syracuse
Virginia Tech (5-3, 3-1)
Tech won its last three games, by 24-21-15 points.
Hokies are 5-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
Hokies have 11 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Drones started 11 games last year.

Under Pry, Tech is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Pry, Hokies are 13-6 ATS in ACC games.
Under Pry, Hokies are 6-6 ATS coming off a win.
Tech is 0-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Over is 4-2 in last six Tech games.

Syracuse (5-2, 2-2)
Syracuse is 4-0 when it scores 31+ points (24-13 in losses).
Orange threw for 321+ yards in all six of its I-A games.
Syracuse has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Orangemen have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB McCord started 12 games at Ohio State last year.

Syracuse is 7-4-1 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
Average total in their I-A games is 58.2.
Syracuse is 7-13 ATS in last 20 conference games.
Orange is 2-9 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-1 in their last five I-A games.

Syracuse won four of last six series games.
Hokies are 1-3 SU/ATS in last four visits to the Carrier Dome.
Over is 2-1 in last three meetings.

Oregon (-14.5) @ Michigan
Oregon (8-0, 5-0)
Oregon won its last two games by a combined 73-9.
Last six games, Ducks gained 546-431-477-496-421-527 TY.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 144 returning starts on the offensive line.
Ducks poached senior QB Gabriel (49 starts at UCF/Oklahoma).

Under Lanning, Oregon is 9-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 20-8 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 16-7 ATS in conference games.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 19-8 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Michigan (5-3, 3-2)
Michigan scored 24+ points in its wins, 12-17-7 in losses.
Wolverines were held under 300 TY in three of last four games.
Wolverines have 2 starters back on offense, 5 on defense, a new head coach.
New defensive coordinator Martindale has a significant NFL resume.
Michigan has 53 returning starts on offensive line (none at Michigan).

Junior QB Warren has thrown for 567 yards (3 TDs, 6 INTs).
Last five games, Michigan threw ball for 115 yards/game.
Wolverines are 20-12-3 ATS in its last 35 conference games.
Michigan is 1-3 ATS this season, in games coming off a win.
Four of their last five games went over the total.

These teams haven’t met since 2007.
Big 18 home underdogs are 10-9 ATS

Florida vs Georgia (-14.5) (@ Jacksonville)
Florida (4-3, 2-2)
Florida scored 45-24-48 points in I-A wins, 17-20-17 in losses.
Gators are 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS in their last four games.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Mertz is OFY; frosh QB Lagway has 5 TD passes, 5 INT’s.

Under Napier, Florida is 9-6 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Napier is 20-9-1 ATS as an underdog.
Florida’s losses this year are by 24-13-6 points.
Under Napier, Florida is 11-9 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 4-2 in Florida’s I-A games.

Georgia (6-1, 4-1)
Georgia won its last three games, by 18-10-15 points.
Dawgs scored 31+ points in six of their seven games.
Dawgs have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Georgia has 87 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Beck started 14 games LY.

Georgia is 1-3 ATS as a double digit favorite this year.
Georgia is 1-4 ATS in its last five I-A games.
Georgia is 5-7 ATS in its last 12 SEC games.
Georgia is 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-2 in their last I-A games.

Georgia won three in row, six of last seven meetings.
Favorites are 7-2 ATS in last nine series games.
Over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games.

Indiana (-8) @ Michigan State
Indiana (8-0, 5-0)
Senior QB Rourke (thumb) is expected to be back for this game.
Hoosiers are 5-0 in league games, scoring 42-42-41-56-31 points.
Indiana’s wins this year are all by 14+ points.
Hoosiers have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Hoosiers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.

Since 2020, Indiana is 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 7-2 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 16-5 ATS in conference games.
Indiana is 16-9 ATS in its last 25 games coming off a win.
Five of Indiana’s last six I-A games went over the total.

Michigan State (4-4, 2-3)
Spartans lost four of their last five games.
MSU is 3-0 scoring 27+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 27.
MSU has 5 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Spartans have 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Chiles was a sub at Oregon State LY, playing every third series.

MSU is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Last 2+ years, Spartans are 9-12-2 ATS in league games.
Spartans held last two opponents to 283-265 yards.
Michigan State is 11-9-2 ATS in last 22 games coming off a loss.
Spartans are minus-7 in turnovers this season.

Road team won last four series games.
Indiana won 39-31/24-0 in last two visits to East Lansing.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.

Texas A&M (-3) @ South Carolina
Texas A&M (7-1, 5-0)
A&M won last seven I-A games, after a 23-13 loss to Notre Dame.
Aggies scored 33+ points in four of five SEC games.
Aggies have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
A&M has 112 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Weigman has 8 career starts.

A&M ran ball for 211.6 yards/game in its SEC tilts.
Aggies are 2-5 ATS last seven games as a road favorite (1-1 TY).
A&M is 8-10-3 ATS in its last 20 SEC games.
In his career, new HC Elko is 2-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Aggies are 6-9-3 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
A&M’s last three games went over the total.

South Carolina (4-3, 2-3)
Gamecocks allowed 19-6-7-9 points in wins, 36-27-27 in losses.
Carolina is +8 in turnovers in its wins, minus-4 in losses.
Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Gamecocks have 118 returning starts on the offensive line.
Freshman QB Sellers threw four passes in three games LY.

Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 4-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 16-13 ATS in SEC games.
Gamecocks are 6-3 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
South Carolina is 0-3 when it allows 20+ points.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Texas A&M won nine of last ten meetings.
Aggies are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in last five visits to Columbia.
Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Wisconsin @ Iowa (-3)
Wisconsin (5-3, 3-2)
Wisconsin won/covered three of its last four games.
Wisconsin gave up 42-38-28 points in its losses (Alabama, USC, Penn St).
Badgers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Badgers have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Locke started three games last year.

Since 2017, Badgers are 2-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Since 2017, Badgers are 3-7 ATS as an underdog anywhere.
In his career, Fickell is 16-11 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2014, Badgers are 25-20 ATS in conference games.
Wisconsin was held under 300 TY in all three losses.

Iowa (5-3, 3-2)
Iowa is 1-3 if it allows 20+ points, 4-0 if it allows less than 20.
Iowa’s five wins were all by 17+ points.
Hawkeyes have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 154 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB McNamara has 21 career starts.

Hawkeyes are 7-8-1 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite (2-2 TY).
In his career, Ferentz is 70-61-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Iowa is 31-18-1 ATS in last 50 games coming off a win.
Hawkeyes are 23-18-1 ATS in their last 42 conference games.
Over is 6-1 in their I-A games.

Iowa won three of last four meetings.
Badgers lost last two visits to Iowa City, 24-10/28-7
Last four series games stayed under the total.

USC (-2.5) @ Washington
USC (4-4, 2-4)
Trojans lost four of their first six Big 18 games.
USC’s losses are by 1-3-3-7 points.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Moss won his only start 42-28 LY (bowl game).

USC is 0-7 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite (0-3 TY).
In his career, Riley is 8-20-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Trojans are 12-22 ATS in last 34 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 34-38-1 ATS in conference games.
USC is is 10-15 ATS in last 25 games coming off a win.
Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

Washington (4-4, 2-3)
Washington was held to 19-18-16-17 in losses, scored 30-24-27 in wins.
Huskies are 0-4 when they allow more than 17 points.
Huskies have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Huskies have 36 returning starts on offensive line, none of them here.
Senior QB Rogers started 40 games at Mississippi State.

Since 2014, Washington is 2-7 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2018, Huskies are 20-36 ATS in conference games (2-3 TY).
In his career, Fisch is 8-4 ATS as an underdog.
Washington is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-2 in their I-A games this season.

Washington won three of last four meetings.
Teams split their last four meetings in Seattle.
Underdogs are 8-4 ATS in last 12 series games.
Under is 9-2 in last eleven series games.

Kentucky @ Tennessee (-17.5)
Kentucky (3-5, 1-5)
Kentucky scored 31-41-20 points in wins, 6-12-13-20-10 in losses.
Kentucky is 0-4 when it gives up more than 17 points.
Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Wildcats have 156 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Vandagriff was a backup at Georgia.

Kentucky is 0-3 SU/ATS in their last three games.
Kentucky is 6-3 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Kentucky is 15-15 ATS in last 30 SEC games.
Wildcats are 8-6 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-2 in Kentucky games this season.

Tennessee (6-1, 3-1)
Tennessee is 3-1 in SEC games (average total, 38.5).
Tennessee is giving up 13 ppg in I-A games this season.
Tennessee has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Vols have 112 returning starts on the offensive line;
Frosh QB Iamaleava had one start LY, was MVP of Citrus Bowl.

Under Heupel, Tennessee is 13-6 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Heupel is 22-14 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 13-15 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 4-0 in their SEC games this year.
Vols were held to 14 points in only loss, scored 25-23-24 in SEC wins.

Tennessee won five of last seven meetings.
Kentucky is 1-7 SU/2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Knoxville.
Under is 4-2 in last six series games.
Underdogs are 25-8 ATS in SEC games this year.

Pitt @ SMU (-7.5)
Pittsburgh (7-0, 3-0)
Pitt is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in its first six I-A games.
Panthers QB Holstein is banged up, but expected to play.
Panthers have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Panthers have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Holstein has 1,808 passing yards, with 17 TD’s, 5 INTs.

Pitt is 1-6 ATS last seven games as a road underdog.
Panthers were held to 277/217 TY last two games (Cal, Syracuse)
Pitt is 1-5 ATS in its last six ACC road games.
Panthers are 2-0 on road TY (28-27 Cincy, 34-24 UNC)
Panthers are 7-9 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-1 in their last five I-A games.

SMU (7-1, 4-0)
SMU won last five games; last three were on road.
SMU’s only loss: 18-15 at home to BYU.
Mustangs have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Mustangs have 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Jennings started twice LY.

SMU is 6-1 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.
Mustangs are 18-9 ATS in last 27 games as a home favorite.
Under Lashlee, SMU is 13-8 ATS in conference games.
Mustangs are 22-26 ATS in last 48 games coming off a win.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2011.
Home favorites are 12-12 ATS in ACC conference games.

TCU @ Baylor (-3)
TCU (5-3, 3-2)
TCU is 3-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
TCU gave up 289-238-207 rushing yards in their losses.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hoover started six games last year.

Under Dykes, TCU is 3-3 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Dykes is 23-22 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dykes, TCU is 12-11-1 ATS in Big X games.
Last five games (3-2), Frogs are minus-13 in turnovers.
Over is 5-2 in their I-A games this season.

Baylor (4-4, 2-4)
Baylor won its last two games, scoring 59-38 points.
Last five games, Bears gave up 37.6 ppg.
Baylor has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Robertson started four games last year.

Under Aranda, Baylor is 10-7 ATS as home favorites.
Under Aranda, Bears are 14-11 ATS coming off a win.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 21-22 ATS in conference games.
Last 2+ years, Baylor is +4 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
Baylor’s last five games went over the total.

TCU won four in row, 7 of last 8 meetings.
Horned Frogs are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four visits to Waco.
Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen series games.