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[Sticky] NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Week 11

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : November 5, 2024 8:22 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 59934
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NCAAF
Weather Report
Tuesday, November 5

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Posted : November 5, 2024 8:37 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Tuesday’s games
Bowling Green
(-14) @ Central Michigan
Bowling Green (4-4, 3-1)
Falcons are 2-0 on MAC road (27-20 @ Akron/41-26 @ Toledo)
Bowling Green is 4-2 if it scores 27+ points, 0-2 if it doesn’t.
Falcons have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Falcons have 123 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bazelak has 40 career starts.

Bowling Green is 7-3 ATS last 10 games as a road favorite.
Falcons are 1-4 ATS as a favorite this season.
Under Loeffler, Falcons are 16-25 ATS in MAC games.
BG won last two weeks 27-6/41-20 (+5 in turnovers)
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Central Michigan (3-5, 1-3)
CMU lost its last three games, by 2-4-39 points.
Chippewas allowed 30+ points in 5 of 7 I-A games.
Chippewas have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Chippewas have 73 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Labas was at Iowa the last two years.

Under McElwain, CMU is 6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Four of their last five games TY were decided by 4 or fewer points.
Chippewas are 4-16 ATS in last 20 MAC games.
Last two weeks, CMU gave up 450-518 total yards.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

Bowling Green won three of last four meetings.
This is first time since 2004 that BG is favored over the Chippewas.
Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
MAC home underdogs are 8-4 ATS in conference games.

Miami OH (-11.5) @ Ball State
Miami (4-4, 3-1)
Redhawks won last three games, scoring 38-30-46 points.
Miami is 0-4 when it scores fewer than 23 points.
Redhawks have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Miami has 100 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gabbert has 37 career starts.

Miami is 5-2 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
Redhawks are 10-2 ATS in last 12 MAC games.
Favorites are 6-2 ATS in their games this season.
Miami held its last two opponents to 291-168 total yards.
Over is 4-0 in Miami’s MAC games.

Ball State (3-5, 2-2)
Ball State’s MAC losses: 37-34 at CMU, 45-42 to Western Michigan,.
Four of their last six games were decided by 3 or less points.
Cardinals have 8 starters back on offense, only one on defense.
Cardinals have 81 returning starts on offensive line.
Freshman QB Lemonza started three games last year.

Ball State is 5-1 ATS last six games as a home underdog (2-0 TY).
Four of their last six games TY were decided by 4 or fewer points.
Cardinals are 14-6 ATS in last 20 MAC games.
Ball State allowed 420+ TY in six of seven I-A games.
Over is 7-1 in their I-A games this year.

Miami won seven of last eight series games.
Last two years, Miami nipped Ball State, 17-15/18-17.
Redhawks are 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Muncie.
MAC home underdogs are 8-4 ATS in conference games.

 
Posted : November 5, 2024 8:38 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 59934
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NCAAF Week 11 Trend Report

NCAAF Dunkel Week 11

This post was modified 2 hours ago by shazman
 
Posted : November 5, 2024 8:40 am
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