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NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Week 16

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(@shazman)
Posts: 60804
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Tuesday 12/15/20 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & NCAAB games

 
Posted : December 15, 2020 11:15 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60804
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

195UAB -196 MARSHALL
UAB is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after going under the total in the last 3 seasons.

197BALL ST -198 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

201GEORGIA TECH -202 MIAMI
MIAMI is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) off upset loss vs conference foe since 1992.

203FLORIDA ST -204 WAKE FOREST
WAKE FOREST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs bad defenses (>31 PPG) in the last 3 seasons.

205AIR FORCE -206 ARMY
ARMY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against the Mountain West since 1992.

207NEBRASKA -208 RUTGERS
RUTGERS are 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better since 1992.

209PURDUE -210 INDIANA
INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

211MINNESOTA -212 WISCONSIN
WISCONSIN is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

215MICHIGAN -216 IOWA
MICHIGAN is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.

217MICHIGAN ST -218 MARYLAND
MICHIGAN ST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

 
Posted : December 15, 2020 11:16 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60804
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 17

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LA MONROE (0 - 10) at TROY (5 - 6) - 12/17/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
LA MONROE is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 1-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, December 18

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UAB (5 - 3) at MARSHALL (7 - 1) - 12/18/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALL ST (5 - 1) vs. BUFFALO (5 - 0) - 12/18/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WASHINGTON (3 - 1) at USC (5 - 0) - 12/18/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEBRASKA (2 - 5) at RUTGERS (3 - 5) - 12/18/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PURDUE (2 - 4) at INDIANA (6 - 1) - 12/18/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
INDIANA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
INDIANA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.
INDIANA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, December 19

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GEORGIA TECH (3 - 7) at MIAMI (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA ST (3 - 6) at WAKE FOREST (4 - 4) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AIR FORCE (3 - 2) at ARMY (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (3 - 3) at WISCONSIN (2 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ILLINOIS (2 - 5) at PENN ST (3 - 5) - 12/19/2020, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 143-182 ATS (-57.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 143-182 ATS (-57.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
PENN ST is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
PENN ST is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (2 - 4) at IOWA (6 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN ST (2 - 5) at MARYLAND (2 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 39-66 ATS (-33.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON ST (1 - 2) at UTAH (2 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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STANFORD (3 - 2) at UCLA (3 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
STANFORD is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
STANFORD is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON (3 - 2) vs. COLORADO (4 - 1) - 12/19/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
OREGON is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA ST (1 - 2) at OREGON ST (2 - 4) - 12/19/2020, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (0 - 5) at CALIFORNIA (1 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 65-92 ATS (-36.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NORTHWESTERN (6 - 1) vs. OHIO ST (5 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 202-154 ATS (+32.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 202-154 ATS (+32.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 171-134 ATS (+23.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 134-101 ATS (+22.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 183-139 ATS (+30.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA (7 - 2) vs. IOWA ST (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 3-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAFAYETTE (9 - 1) at COASTAL CAROLINA (11 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
LA LAFAYETTE is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-1 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEMSON (9 - 1) vs. NOTRE DAME (10 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (6 - 1) at CINCINNATI (8 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA (10 - 0) vs. FLORIDA (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BOISE ST (5 - 1) vs. SAN JOSE ST (6 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 157-116 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 157-116 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 52-27 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 98-70 ATS (+21.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS A&M (7 - 1) at TENNESSEE (3 - 6) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANDERBILT (0 - 9) at GEORGIA (7 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
GEORGIA is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OLE MISS (4 - 4) at LSU (4 - 5) - 12/19/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-1 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSOURI (5 - 4) at MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 7) - 12/19/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTSA (7 - 4) vs. SMU (7 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 
Posted : December 15, 2020 11:17 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60804
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

NCAAF

Week 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, December 17

Louisiana-Monroe @ Troy
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 11 games
Troy
Troy is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Troy's last 13 games

Friday, December 18

Nebraska @ Rutgers
Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 7 games
Rutgers
Rutgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Rutgers is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games

Alabama-Birmingham @ Marshall
Alabama-Birmingham
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 7 games when playing Marshall
Alabama-Birmingham is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Marshall
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Ball State @ Buffalo
Ball State
Ball State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ball State's last 8 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

Purdue @ Indiana
Purdue
Purdue is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Purdue's last 18 games on the road
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Washington @ Southern California
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Southern California
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Southern California
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern California's last 5 games when playing Washington
Southern California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Saturday, December 19

Vanderbilt @ Georgia
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing Georgia
Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia
Georgia is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia's last 7 games

Texas A&M @ Tennessee
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas A&M's last 9 games on the road
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games

Florida State @ Wake Forest
Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
Florida State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Wake Forest
Wake Forest
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 5 games when playing Florida State
Wake Forest is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Oklahoma @ Iowa State
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Iowa State
Iowa State
Iowa State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma
Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Northwestern @ Ohio State
Northwestern
Northwestern is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Northwestern's last 7 games when playing Ohio State
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northwestern

Washington State @ Utah
Washington State
Washington State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Washington State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Utah is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games

Air Force @ Army
Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing Army
Air Force is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Army
Army
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 5 games when playing Air Force

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Coastal Carolina
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Coastal Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Mississippi @ Louisiana State
Mississippi
Mississippi is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Louisiana State
Mississippi is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Louisiana State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana State's last 5 games at home
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Mississippi

Missouri @ Mississippi State
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Missouri's last 20 games
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Mississippi State's last 8 games

Clemson @ Notre Dame
Clemson
Clemson is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Clemson's last 6 games
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Notre Dame is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Minnesota @ Wisconsin
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Minnesota
Wisconsin is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Boise State @ San Jose State
Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
San Jose State
San Jose State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Jose State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Southern Methodist @ Texas-San Antonio
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games
Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas-San Antonio's last 8 games
Texas-San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Illinois @ Penn State
Illinois
Illinois is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Penn State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games when playing on the road against Penn State
Penn State
Penn State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Illinois
Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Illinois

Michigan @ Iowa
Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa
Iowa
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Iowa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Michigan State @ Maryland
Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 5 games when playing Maryland
Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Maryland
Maryland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Maryland's last 5 games when playing Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Maryland's last 7 games

Alabama @ Florida
Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Alabama

Tulsa @ Cincinnati
Tulsa
Tulsa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tulsa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Stanford @ California-Los Angeles
Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against California-Los An
Stanford is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing California-Los Angeles
California-Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Stanford
California-Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Oregon @ Colorado
Oregon
Oregon is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
Oregon is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Arizona State @ Oregon State
Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona State's last 9 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games
Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oregon State's last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona State
Oregon State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona State

 
Posted : December 15, 2020 11:18 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60804
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Tech Trends - Week 16
Bruce Marshall

Week 16 of the College Football season kicks off on Friday, Dec. 18 and concludes on Saturday, Dec. 19.

We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS matchups and focus on the 10 Championships on tap.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Friday, Dec. 18

UAB at Marshall (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Conference USA Title Game
John C Edwards Stadium, Huntington, West Virginia
After recent overachieving vs. the line, UAB tailed off in 2020, just 2-6 vs. spread
Blazers also no covers in their last five

Tech Edge: Slight to Marshall, based on recent trends.

Ball State at Buffalo (ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)
MAC Championship
Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
Buffalo covered 4 of 5 while recording an unbeaten 5-0 SU mark this season
Upping head coach Lance Leipold’s spread mark to 30-13-3 the last three+ seasons

Tech Edge: Buffalo, based on team trends.

Oregon at USC (FOX, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Pac-12 Championship
L.A. Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California
Ducks no covers last three in 2020
USC 3-0 last three games vs. the spread
Trojans “under” 4-1 this season

Tech Edge: Slight to USC and “under,” based on recent team and “totals” trends

Nebraska at Rutgers (Big Ten, 4:00 p.m. ET)
Scarlet Knights an improved 5-3 vs. line this season in head coach Greg Schiano debut.
Huskers 6-13-1 vs. line for Frost since last season

Tech Edge: Rutgers, based on team trends.

Saturday, Dec. 19

Florida State at Wake Forest (ACC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
FSU 2-6 vs. line this season
Seminoles are 15-28-2 vs. points since 2017
Wake 3-1-1 vs. line last five meetings
WF also on 5-1 spread run this season

Tech Edge: Wake Forest, based on team trends.

Air Force at Army (CBSSN, 3:00 p.m. ET)
Underdog team 4-0-1 vs. line last five meetings
Air Force has won and covered last three and 9 of last 10 meetings at Michie Stadium (NY)

Tech Edge: Air Force, especially if dog, based on team and series trends

Minnesota at Wisconsin (Big Ten, 4:00 p.m. ET)
Road team 5-0-1 vs. line last six in battle for Paul Bunyan’s Axe

Tech Edge: Minnesota, based on series trends.

Illinois at Penn State (FS1, 5:30 p.m. ET)
Nittany Lions on a late-season surge, having won and covered last three after dropping first five.

Tech Edge: Penn State, based on recent trends.

Washington State at Utah (FS1, 1:30 p.m. ET)
Cougars have faltered since opening win at Oregon State
Washington State just 1-2 vs. line this season
Cougars are now on 5-13 spread skid since late 2018, dating to the Mike Leach era

Tech Edge: Utah, based on team trends.

Stanford at UCLA (ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Bruins broke 10-game SU series losing streak (1-9 vs. line) in last year’s 34-16 win at Palo Alto
Stanford 4-12-1 vs. spread since 2019

Tech Edge: UCLA, based on recent trends.

Arizona State at Oregon State (ESPN, 10:30 p.m. ET)
Beavers continue to provide good spread value, now on 13-3-1 spread run last 17 on board

Tech Edge: OSU, based on team trends.

Northwestern at Ohio State (FOX, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Big Ten Championship
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
Northwestern 5-1 both SU and ATS this season
Wildcats are 13-3 as underdogs away from home since 2016
Buckeyes only 4-6 last 10 vs. spread since late 2019
'Cats also on 13-5 “under” run

Tech Edge: Northwestern and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Oklahoma at Iowa State (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Big 12 Championship
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Matt Campbell 2-3 SU but 5-0 vs. line against OU since arriving at Ames in 2016.
Cyclones 19-9-1 as underdogs for Campbell (counts OSU this year as push).

Tech Edge: Iowa State, based on series and team trends.

UL Lafayette at Coastal Carolina (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Sun Belt Championship
Brooks Stadium, Conway, South Carolina
ULL 9-2-1 last 12 as an underdog since early 2018
Though Coastal is 11-0 SU and 8-2-1 vs. ATS in 2020
Note road team has covered last two meetings including 48-7 ULL win at Conway last year.

Tech Edge: Slight to ULL, based on team and series trends.

Clemson at Notre Dame (ABC, 4:00 p.m. ET)
ACC Championship
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
Rematch of ND’s 40-34 upset in OT back on Nov. 7
Irish head coach Brian Kelly 4-1 last five as a 'dog.
Clemson 11-3-1 ATS last 15 vs. ACC foes away from Death Valley
However, Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney only 4-6 vs. line in 2020

Tech Edge: Slight to Clemson, based on extended trends.

Tulsa at Cincinnati (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)
American Championship
Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
Magical Tulsa has won last six SU and is 6-1 vs. spread in 2020
Golden Hurricane on 10-3 spread uptick since mid 2019, also “under” 7-3 last 10
Tulsa 6-1 last seven as a 'dog and covered last year vs. Cincy
Bearcats however on 8-3 spread advance since late 2019

Tech Edge: Tulsa and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Alabama at Florida (CBS, 8:00 p.m. ET)
SEC Championship
Mercedez-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Note Gators head coach Dan Mullen covered 4 of last 7 meetings while at MSU in games vs. Alabama
However, Mullen didn’t win outright in any of those, or in 9 tries vs. Nick Saban while coaching in Starkville
Crimson Tide has won and covered last seven in 2020

Tech Edge: Slight to Alabama, based on recent trends.

Boise State at San Jose State (FOX, 4:15 p.m. ET)
Mountain West Championship
Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
SJSU is both 5-0 SU and ATS in 2020 (counting UNLV as a cover)
Spartans head coach Brent Brennan now on 14-4-1 spread uptick since late 2018
San Jose State has also covered seven straight as a dog and “under” 5-0 this season, “under” last six since late 2019
Boise State however “over” 5-0 in 2020

Tech Edge: San Jose State, based on team trends.

Texas A&M at Tennessee (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Vols 1-6 SU, 2-5 vs. line last seven TY, not closer than 12 points in any of the SU losses
Texas A&M head coach Jimbo Fisher has covered 6 of last 8 on road
Note that Vols are 11-3 “under” since late 2019

Tech Edge: A&M and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Mississippi at LSU (SEC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
If getting points, note Rebels are 7-2-1 as 'dogs since last season (2-1 for Kiffin TY)
Ole Miss has also covered 6 of last 7 away Kiffin teams (FAU included)
Rebels are 7-3 “over” last 10 since late 2019

Tech Edge: Ole Miss and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Missouri at Mississippi State (SEC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Leach has covered two of last three two two seasons after dropping previous five
Also, Leach had been on 5-16 spread skid prior since late 2018 at Washington State
Bulldogs “under” 7-2 in 2020, on 10-3 “under” run since mid 2019

Tech Edge: “Under”, based on “totals”

 
Posted : December 17, 2020 9:12 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60804
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

College Football Odds Week 16: Opening Lines and Sharp Money
Patrick Everson

Quarterback Ian Book and Notre Dame look to beat Clemson for the second time this season when the two teams meet Saturday in the ACC title game. But with Trevor Lawrence healthy, Clemson is -9.5.

College football odds for Week 16 are up and drawing dollars, with conference championship games dotting the schedule. Clemson gets a shot at revenge against Notre Dame in the ACC title tilt, while COVID issues forced Washington out of, and Oregon into, the Pac-12 finale against USC.

FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 16 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

UAB at (21) Marshall Odds
Opening line
Marshall -5.5, Over/Under 41.5

Why the line moved
FanDuel opened the Thundering Herd 5.5-point home favorites in the Conference USA championship game, and the number is still Marshall -5.5 Monday night. Marshall is taking 86 percent of early tickets and 74 percent of early money. The total bounced from 41.5 to 42.5 and back to 41.5, but FanDuel's betting splits aren't yet available.

Ball State vs Buffalo Odds
Opening line
Buffalo -11.5, Over/Under 66.5

Why the line moved
Buffalo is already up two points Monday night at Fanduel, sitting at -13.5 for the Mid-American Conference title game at Detroit's Ford Field. The Bulls are drawing 86 percent of tickets and 97 percent of money. The total is steady at 66.5, though practically all the tickets and dollars through Monday night are on the Over.

(23) Oregon at (13) USC Odds
Opening line
Southern Cal -3.5, Over/Under 62.5

Why the line moved
Oregon is a substitute invitee to Friday night's Pac-12 championship game, after Washington had to withdraw Monday due to COVID issues within the program. Host USC opened -3.5 and remains there late Monday evening on some interesting early betting splits: 78 percent of tickets are on the Trojans, while 79 percent of money is on the Ducks.

The total is down a point to 61.5, though the early splits don't reflect that, with 87 percent of tickets and pretty much every dollar on the Over.

(14) Northwestern vs (4) Ohio State Odds
Opening line
Ohio State -20.5, Over/Under 58.5

Why the line moved
FanDuel posted the Big Ten title game on Thursday, and it's bounced around a bit since then. Ohio State first moved to -21.5, then dipped to -19.5, and on Monday night, this line is back to the opener of -20.5. The Buckeyes are attracting 78 percent of early tickets and 89 percent of early dollars on the spread.

The total first ticked up to 59.5, then dialed down to 57.5, though tickets are 3/1 and money 2/1 on the Over for this neutral-site game at Indianapolis' Lucas Oil Stadium.

(10) Oklahoma vs (6) Iowa State Odds
Opening line
Iowa State +4.5, Over/Under 59.5

Why the line moved
Oklahoma gets a shot at revenge in the Big 12 title game, having lost at Iowa State 37-30 on Oct. 3. FanDuel opened the Sooners -4.5 for the rematch, taking place Saturday at AT&T Stadium, home of the Dallas Cowboys. The line jumped to -6.5, then receded to -5.5, and as of Monday night, 53 percent of tickets are on Iowa State and 60 percent of money is on Oklahoma.

The total initially dipped two points to 57.5, and it's at 58.5 Monday night, with 88 percent of tickets/96 percent of cash on the Over.

(19) Louisiana at (12) Coastal Carolina Odds
Opening line
Coastal Carolina -3.5, Over/Under 53.5

Why the line moved
Coastal Carolina opened -3.5 at FanDuel for the Sun Belt championship game and stuck at that number through Monday night, with the exception of 15 minutes Sunday at -4.5. Tickets and money are running 9/1-plus on the host Chanticleers. The total is up a point to 54.5, with practically all the early tickets and money on the Over.

(3) Clemson vs (2) Notre Dame Odds
Opening line
Notre Dame +7.5, Over/Under 61.5

Why the line moved
On Nov. 7, Notre Dame beat visiting Clemson 47-40 in overtime, but the Tigers didn't have star quarterback Trevor Lawrence, due to COVID. Lawrence is good to go for a neutral-site game in Charlotte, N.C., and Clemson rose up to -10.5 from a -7.5 opener at FanDuel and is currently -9.5. However, the Fighting Irish are attracting 69 percent of spread bets and 59 percent of spread money through Monday night.

The total fell from 61.5 to 60.5, though the Over is taking 85 percent of tickets and 78 percent of money.

(23) Tulsa at (9) Cincinnati Odds
Opening line
Cincinnati -14.5, Over/Under 46.5

Why the line moved
Host Cincinnati opened -14.5 in the American Athletic Conference title game, initially fell to -13.5, rose to -15.5 and is back at the opener of -14.5 Monday night at FanDuel. It's two-way action with a lean toward the Bearcats, who are landing 55 percent of tickets and 53 percent of cash through Monday night.

The total went from 46.5 to 47.5 and back to 46.5, though the ticket count is beyond 6/1 and money 5/1 on the Over.

(1) Alabama vs (7) Florida Odds
Opening line
Alabama -13.5, Over/Under 71.5

Why the line moved
A lot of the air went out of the balloon for the SEC championship game when Florida, a 23-point home chalk against LSU last weekend, lost outright 37-34. But the Gators can certainly give the College Football Playoff committee a headache with an upset of Alabama in Saturday's contest in Atlanta.

The Crimson Tide initially ticked up to -14 at FanDuel, dipped to -12.5, then rocketed up to -17.5, where the line is Monday night. However, FanDuel doesn't yet have betting splits available. The hefty total opened at 71.5, got to 74.5 and is 73.5 late Monday night.

Boise State vs (24) San Jose State Odds
Opening line
San Jose State +7.5, Over/Under 54.5

Why the line moved
San Jose State is the home team for the Mountain West Conference championship game, but the game will be at a neutral site, because local COVID regulations won't allow the game to be played in San Jose, Calif. Rather, the game will be at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas.

Boise State is down a point to -6.5 at FanDuel, where through Monday night, San Jose State is drawing 51 percent of bets and 57 percent of dollar on the spread. The total is stable at 54.5 on what must be light early action, as practically all the tickets and dollars are on the Over.

 
Posted : December 17, 2020 9:13 am
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