[Sticky] NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Week 8

Troy was 23-5 SU last two years; they’re 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS vs I-A teams TY
Last 2+ years, Troy is 6-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Trojans are 13-5 ATS in Sun Belt games (0-2 TY).
Under is 3-1 in Troy’s last four games.
Trojans are 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.

South Alabama (2-4, 1-1)
USA is 1-4 in I-A games (only win 48-14 at App State).
Jaguars lost only I-A home game, 52-38 to North Texas.
USA has 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Jaguars have 21 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lopez has thrown for 1,306 yards (12 TD’s, one INT).

USA is 6-8 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Last 4+ years, South Alabama is 15-19 ATS in Sun Belt games.
New coach Applewhite was 15-11 in two years at Houston (’17-’18)
South Alabama is 5-6 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Jaguars’ last four I-A games stayed under the total.

Troy won/covered last six series games.
Trojans are 5-1 SU/4-1-1 ATS in last six visits to Mobile.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Sun Belt home favorites are 5-5 ATS in conference play.

Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee State (-10)
Kennesaw State (0-5, 0-1)
Kennesaw lost its first three I-A games by 12-24-21-39 points.
Owls also lost 27-13 to UT-Martin, a I-AA team.
Kennesaw has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Owls have 33 starts back on offensive line, added six transfers.
Soph QB Bryson is 57-111/616 passing, with 2 TD’s, 6 INTs.

All four of their I-A losses were by 12+ points.
Kennesaw is 1-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Owls were outgained by 236.3 yards/game in their I-A tilts.
Kennesaw is 2-9 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.
Under is 3-1 in their I-A games this season.

Middle Tennessee (1-5, 0-2)
MTSU is 0-5 vs I-A teams, outscored 218-69 (44-14 average).
MTSU beat a I-AA team 32-25, but was outgained, 341-328.
MTSU has 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Blue Raiders have 26 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Vattiato has started 18 games.

MTSU is 7-9 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Mason is 9-11 ATS as a home favorite.
MTSU is minus-8 in turnovers in its I-A games.
MTSU is 5-13 ATS in its last 17 conference games.
Blue Raiders are 6-10 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
Three of their last four games went over.

These teams haven’t met recently.
Favorites are 7-4 ATS in C-USA conference games.

Louisiana Tech (-11) @ New Mexico State
Louisiana Tech (2-3, 1-1)
Tech is 1-3 vs I-A teams; they beat MTSU 48-21 last week.
Bulldogs are minus-7 in turnovers in their four games.
Tech has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tech has 79 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Bullock is 48-68/557 passing (6 TD, no INTs).

Under Cumbie, Tech is 3-11 ATS on the road (1-1 TY).
In his career, Cumbie is 4-8 ATS as a favorite (1-2 TY).
LW, Tech ran ball for 222 yards (averaged 69.7 in previous 3).
Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last nine conference games.
Under Cumbie, Tech is 2-5 ATS coming off a win.

New Mexico State (1-5, 0-3)
Aggies are 0-5 vs I-A teams, giving up 42.6 ppg.
Aggies have given up 288.6 rushing yards/game in I-A games.
NM State has 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
Aggies have 115 starts back on offensive line.
Former JC QB Awad is 29-70/363 passing (3 TDs, 3 INTs).

Aggies lost two I-A home games, 30-24 (Liberty), 50-40 (New Mexico).
Last 2+ years, NM State is 3-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Aggies are 15-10 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss (0-4 TY).
NM State has completed less than half its passes in all five games.
Aggies did run for 285-206 yards in their last two games.

Louisiana Tech is 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS in last seven series games.
Tech won last three visits to Las Cruces, by 14-21-4 points (1-2 ATS)
Last three meetings stayed under the to
tal.
Favorites are 7-4 ATS in C-USA conference games.