Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
December 28
Wasabi Fenway Bowl
SMU (-10) at Boston College (@ Fenway Park, Boston)
SMU (11-2)
— SMU won its last nine games (5-3 ATS), scoring 43.8 ppg.
— Mustangs scored 26+ points in its wins this year.
— SMU’s losses are to Big X teams: 28-11 at Oklahoma, 34-17 at TCU.
— under Lashlee, Mustangs are 6-3 ATS as a favorite, 4-2 on road.
— last five years, SMU is 42-18 SU/30-29 ATS.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 123 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB Stone has competed 59.9% of passes, with 28 TD’s, 8 INT.
— five of SMU’s last seven games went over total.
— AAC non-conference favorites are 6-6 ATS this year.
— SMU was in the AAC title game this year, for first time.
— SMU lost its last three bowls, were favored in all three;
— Mustangs’ last bowl win was in 2012.
Boston College (6-6)
— Eagles lost their last three games, giving up 32.3 ppg.
— BC is 5-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 allowing 27+.
— Eagles are 5-3 SU this year in one-score games.
— Last three games, BC averaged only 293.7 yards/game.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 137 starts back on offensive line; much improved.
— soph QB has completed 57.1% of passes (15 TD’s, 13 INT)
— under Hafley, BC is 15-16 ATS as an underdog (3-4 TY).
— over is 7-4 in their I-A games.
— ACC non-conference underdogs are 9-10 ATS this season.
— BC hasn’t played in a bowl since 2019 (one in ’21 was cancelled).
— Eagles lost last two bowls; their last bowl win was in 2016.
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— This is the 2nd Fenway Bowl; favorite won/covered the first one.
— Last three years, ACC teams are 11-1 SU/ATS vs AAC opponents.
— Boston in December; weather could be a factor.
Pinstripe Bowl (@ Bronx)
Miami vs Rutgers (-1)
Miami FL (7-5)
— Miami is 1-3 in last four games, after a 6-2 start.
— ‘canes are 7-2 when they score 28+, 0-3 if they don’t.
— Last three years, Miami is 19-17 SU, 14-21 ATS.
— Last two games, Miami gained 486-532 TY.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line.
— starting QB Van Dyke bolted to Wisconsin.
— backup QB Williams is 44-71/470 passing (3 TDs, one INT)
— Miami is 2-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Miami is 3-0 ATS this year, in non-conference games.
— TY, ACC teams are 26-18 SU/22-22 ATS out of conference.
— over is 3-2 in their last five games.
— Miami hasn’t been to a bowl since 2020
— ‘canes lost their last four bowls; last bowl win? 2016.
Rutgers (6-6)
— Rutgers lost its last four games, all by 19+ points.
— Knights scored 11.5 ppg in those four losses.
— Rutgers is 0-5 when it scores less than 24 points.
— Rutgers threw for more than 180 yards in only one game TY.
— Knights are 0-6 when they allow more than 319 TY.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 101 starters back on offensive line; new OL coach comes from NFL.
— soph QB started 6 games last year.
— Scarlet Knights are 4-4 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Rutgers is 9-3 ATS in last 12 non-conference games.
— over is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Big 14 teams are 22-11 SU/14-19 ATS out of conference.
— Rutgers is 1-3 in its last four bowls; last bowl win was in 2014.
— This is only second bowl since 2014 for the Scarlet Knights.
— These teams haven’t met since 2003.
— since 2020, Big 14 teams are 14-8 ATS vs ACC opponents.
— Big 14 teams beat ACC squads in last six Pinstripe Bowls.
— Underdogs are 5-3 ATS in this bowl last eight years.
— Miami lost this bowl 35-3 five years ago.
— December in New York; weather could be an issue.
Pop-Tarts Bowl (@ Orlando, FL)
NC State vs Kansas State (-2.5)
NC State (9-3)
— NC State won its last five games, after a 4-3 start.
— Last five games, Wolfpack is +9 in turnovers.
— NC State was held to 24-10-3 points in its losses.
— State is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB Armstrong started 30 games at Virginia.
— This year, State is 6-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— This year, Wolfpack is 5-2 ATS as an underdog.
— six of their last nine games stayed under total.
— ACC underdogs are 9-11 ATS out of conference.
— NC State lost its last three bowls; their last bowl win: 2017.
Kansas State (8-4)
— K-State’s QB bolted to USC.
— Backup QB is 23-35/301 passing (3 TD’s, no INT)
— K-State split last four games, after a 6-2 start.
— Last seven games, K-State has a +13 turnover ratio.
— Wildcats are 7-0 when they allow less the 29 points.
— K-State is 8-1 scoring 31+ points (27-21-30-35 in losses)
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— Backup QB has run ball 44 times for 217 yards.
— K-State is 4-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— under Klieman, K-State is 19-11 ATS as a favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 9-6 ATS in non-conference games.
— over is 3-1 in their last four games
— Big X non-conference favorites are 11-14 ATS
— Wildcats went to a bowl games three of last four years.
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— ACC teams are 7-3 SU in last 10 Pop Tarts Bowls.
— Favorites covered this bowl six of last seven years.
— Last two years, Big X teams are 7-1-1 ATS vs ACC opponents.
Alamo Bowl (@ San Antonio)
Arizona (-2.5) vs Oklahoma
Arizona (9-3)
— From 2018-22, Wildcats were 15-38 SU; they’re 9-3 this year.
— Arizona won its last six games, scoring 38.8 ppg.
— Last two games, Wildcats threw ball for 852 yards.
— Wildcats are 8-0 when they give up less than 31 points.
— last four years, Arizona is minus-32 in turnovers (even TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— frosh QB has completed 73.6% of passes (23 TD’s, 5 INTs)
— Arizona is 5-0 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Arizona is 3-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
— over is 3-0 in last three Arizona games.
— Pac-12 non-conference favorites are 14-7 ATS.
— Arizona hasn’t played in a bowl game since 2017.
— Wildcats are 3-2 in last five bowls (average total, 76.2)
Oklahoma (10-2)
— QB Gabriel bolted to Oregon.
— Sooners have impressive numbers, but w/o the QB, who knows?
— Oklahoma scored 53 ppg in its last three games.
— under Venables, Sooners are 1-0 ATS as an underdog.
— Oklahoma is +11 in turnovers this season.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 147 starts back on OL; should be much better
— backup QB is 18-24/202 TY, with 2 TD’s, no INTs.
— Oklahoma allowed 20+ points in its last eight games.
— under Venables, Sooners are 6-1 ATS in non-conference games.
— Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Big X non-conference underdogs are 4-3 ATS this season.
— Oklahoma is 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in last five bowls (average total, 78.2)
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— since 2018, Big X teams are 14-8 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.
— Underdogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight Alamo Bowls.
— Oklahoma won this game 47-32 two years ago.
NCAAF
Bowl Season
Trend Report
Southern Methodist @ Boston College
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Southern Methodist is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Boston College
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston College's last 14 games
Boston College is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Rutgers @ Miami-FL
Rutgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rutgers's last 6 games
Rutgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami-FL
Miami-FL
Miami-FL is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami-FL's last 7 games
North Carolina State @ Kansas State
North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas State
Kansas State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Kansas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Arizona @ Oklahoma
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Oklahoma is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
December 29
Gator Bowl (@ Jacksonville)
Clemson (-4) vs Kentucky
Clemson (8-4)
— Clemson won its last four games, after a 4-4 start.
— Tigers are 8-0 giving up 23 or less points, 0-4 if they allow 24+
— Clemson is 9-6 SU in last 15 games overall.
— Last four games, Tigers are +6 in turnovers.
— Clemson held 3 of last 5 opponents under 260 total yards.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 99 starts back on OL, with four returning starters.
— soph QB has completed 63% of passes, with 19 TD’s, 8 INTs
— Tigers are 5-4 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Clemson is 4-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Tigers are 11-16 ATS in last 27 non-conference games.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine Clemson games.
— ACC non-conference favorites are 13-11 ATS
— Clemson lost three of its last four bowls SU.
Kentucky (7-5)
— Kentucky lost five of last seven games, after a 5-0 start.
— Wildcats are 7-1 giving up 31 or fewer points, 0-4 giving up 33+.
— Kentucky is 1-5 scoring less than 28 points.
— Kentucky was held under 300 TY in six of last seven games.
— 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line (four starters back)
— senior QB split two games vs Clemson while at NC State.
— Wildcats are 1-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
— in his career, Stoops is 30-33-2 ATS as an underdog
— Kentucky is 14-3 ATS in last 17 non-SEC games.
— Seven of last nine Kentucky games went over the total.
— Wildcats won four of their last five bowls (lost 21-0 LY).
— This year, SEC underdogs are 2-4 ATS out of conference.
— These teams haven’t met since 2009.
— Favorites are 6-3 ATS in last nine Gator Bowls.
— SEC teams are 6-2 SU in their last eight Gator Bowls.
— This year, ACC teams are 7-3 ATS vs SEC opponents.
Sun Bowl (@ El Paso)
Oregon State vs Notre Dame (-6)
Oregon State (8-4)
— Oregon State’s starting QB, coach have both left town.
— Beavers’ ex-coach is an OSU alum; big blow.
— Pac-12 has dissolved; OSU’s program is in limbo.
— Beavers are 0-3 in games decided by less than 7 points.
— This is only 2nd time this year Beavers are an underdog.
— under Smith, Beavers were 21-16-1 ATS as an underdog.
— OSU is 11-6 ATS in last 17 non-conference games.
— Beavers are 6-0 when they allow less than 22 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line
— soph QB Gulbranson started 8 games last year.
— Four of their last five games stayed under the total.
— Beavers are 2-3 SU in last five bowls (were favored in all five).
Notre Dame (9-3)
— Notre Dame’s QB quit the team, won’t play in bowl.
— backup QB is 19-25/272 passing (4 TD’s, one INT)
— Notre Dame won four of its last five games SU.
— Irish scored 14-20-23 points in losses, 41+ in eight of nine wins.
— Notre Dame is 7-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 69 starts back on offensive line- new OL coach was at Wisconsin for 7 years.
— First career start for freshman backup QB.
— This year, Irish are 4-2-1 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Notre Dame is +11 in turnovers in its wins, minus-5 in losses.
— Last five Notre Dame games went over the total.
— Irish lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).
— These teams haven’t met since 2004.
— Underdogs covered three of last four Sun Bowls.
— Pac-12 teams are 6-3 SU in last nine Sun Bowls.
Liberty Bowl
Iowa State (-10) @ Memphis State
Iowa State (7-5)
— Cyclones won five of last seven games, after a 2-3 start.
— ISU is 7-0 when it scores 27+ points, 0-5 when it doesn’t.
— Cyclones are 7-5, have a +9 turnover ratio.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line
— LY’s starting QB Dekkers withdrew from school (gambling charges)
— freshman QB is completing 63.5% of passes (20 TD’s/8 INTs).
— under Campbell, ISU is 10-9-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— over is 4-1 in their last five road games.
— ISU is 7-12 ATS in last 19 games non-conference games.
— This year, Big X non-conference road favorites are 2-6 ATS.
— Cyclones lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).
Memphis (9-3)
— Tigers won five of last six games, scoring 45.3 ppg.
— Tigers are 9-1 when they score 28+ points, 0-2 if they don’t/
— Three Memphis losses this year were by 7-10-4 points.
— Memphis allowed 31+ points in seven of last nine games.
— Last efive games, Memphis allowed 494.8 yards/game.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line- 3 starters are back.
— junior QB has completed 66.4% of passes (28 TDs, 9 INTs)
— Memphis is 9-4 ATS last 13 games as home underdogs.
— Tigers are 10-9-1 ATS in last 20 non-conference games.
— Nine of their last ten games went over the total.
— This year, AAC non-conference home underdogs are 2-6 ATS.
— Tigers have been bowl eligible nine years in row (’21 bowl cancelled)
— Favorites covered Memphis’ last three bowl games.
— These teams haven’t met since 2017.
— Underdogs are 6-1 ATS in last seven Liberty Bowls.
— Big X teams won four of last six Liberty Bowls SU.
— since 2019, AAC teams are 12-7 ATS vs Big X opponents.
Cotton Bowl (@ Arlington, TX)
Missouri vs Ohio State (-1)
Missouri (10-2)
— Mizzou is 9-2 vs I-A teams, losing to LSU/Georgia.
— Mizzou gave up 49-30 points in the two losses.
— Mizzou is 9-0 when it gives up less than 30 points.
— Tigers scored 30+ points in nine of their last ten games.
— Last three games, Mizzou is +9 in turnovers.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 136 starts back on offensive line; very experienced
— junior QB completed 66.7% of passes, with 20 TD’s, 5 INTs.
— Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 8-9 ATS in non-SEC games.
— seven of last 10 Mizzou games went over the total.
— This year, SEC teams are 16-21 ATS out of conference.
— Mizzou lost its last four bowls; their last bowl win— 2015.
Ohio State (11-1)
— QB McCord has bolted to Syracuse.
— backup QB Brown is 12-22/197 passing (2 TD’s, one INT)
— Ohio State was unbeaten until they lost 30-24 at Michigan.
— Buckeyes have only 2 wins (Notre Dame/Penn St) by less than 14 points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line; had 3 starters drafted last spring.
— first career start for freshman backup QB.
— Ohio State is 4-5-1 ATS in last 10 non-conference games.
— Under is 7-2 in Ohio State’s last nine games.
— This year, Big 14 teams are 15-19 ATS out of conference.
— Ohio State split last six bowls, giving up 52-45-42 points in last three.
— These teams haven’t met since 1998.
— Favorites are 7-1 ATS in last eight Cotton Bowls.
— since 2019, Big 14 teams are 11-6 ATS vs SEC opponents.
NCAAF
Bowl Season
Trend Report
Clemson @ Kentucky
Clemson
Clemson is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Clemson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kentucky's last 9 games
Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Oregon State @ Notre Dame
Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State's last 5 games
Oregon State is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Notre Dame
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 5 games
Notre Dame is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis @ Iowa State
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Iowa State
Iowa State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Iowa State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Missouri @ Ohio State
Missouri
Missouri is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Missouri is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Ohio State
Ohio State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ohio State's last 9 games