Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
December 16
Myrtle Beach Bowl
Georgia Southern (-3.5) vs Ohio U
Georgia Southern (6-6)
— Eagles lost their last four games, giving up 39.3 ppg.
— Eagles beat Ball State of MAC 40-3 in September.
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 115 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 22 games at Tulsa.
— Georgia Southern scored 34+ points in its six wins.
— Georgia Southern’s coach is former USC coach Clay Helton.
— under Helton, Eagles are 8-5 ATS as a favorite.
— Helton is 2-4 as a head coach in bowls.
— over is 4-1-1 in Eagles’ last six games.
— since 2015, Panthers are 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS in bowls
— Sun Belt non-conference favorites are 9-5 ATS this year.
Ohio U (9-3)
— Ohio won its last three games, giving up 14.7 ppg.
— Bobcats are 8-0 when they score 17+ points.
— Bobcats allowed 17 or less points in eight of their nine wins.
— Ohio is +10 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line; they’re expected to improve.
— soph QB has started 19 games.
— Bobcats are 8-4 ATS last 12 games as an underdog.
— Ohio U is 4-2 SU in on the road this year.
— Albin won his first bowl game 30-27 (-2.5) over Wyoming LY.
— under is 7-4 in their I-A games this season.
— Ohio U won/covered its last four bowl games.
— MAC non-conference underdogs are 16-14 ATS this year.
— Favorite won/covered all three Myrtle Beach Bowls.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Average total in the three Myrtle Beach Bowls: 57.7.
— Since 2018, MAC teams are 15-9-1 ATS in games vs Sun Belt teams.
New Orleans Bowl
Jacksonville State vs Louisiana
Jacksonville State (8-4)
— Jacksonville State is 8-4 in its first year as a I-A team.
— Jax State is 7-1 when it scores 20+ points.
— Gamecocks were held to 17 or less points in 3 of its 4 losses.
— Coach is Rich Rodriguez (has coached West Va, Michigan, Arizona)
— In his career, Rodriguez is 5-6 SU in bowl games.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 43 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 22 starts.
— Gamecocks have +11 turnover ratio.
— Gamecocks are 3-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— JSU completed 50% or less of its passes in 5 of last 8 games.
— over is 3-1 in the Gamecocks’ last four games.
— Conference USA favorites are 4-4 ATS, out of conference.
— Last 3 years, Gamecocks were 24-11 SU, at I-AA level.
— This is obviously Jax State’s first bowl game.
Louisiana (6-6)
— Louisiana is 6-0 if they score 33+ points, 0-6 if they score less than 33.
— ULL is 6-0 if they run ball for 200+ yards, 0-6 if they don’t.
— Louisiana lost three of last four games, after a 5-3 start.
— Ragin’ Cajuns are 14-6-1 ATS in last 21 games as an underdog (3-1 TY).
— 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB is completing 70.9% of passes- 7 TD’s, 3 INTs.
— Cajuns gave up 31+ points in five of their six losses.
— Louisiana is 2-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— ULL is 2-4 away from home this season.
— Louisiana’s last three games went over the total.
— Coach Desormeaux is 1-1 in bowl games.
— ULL went bowling the last five years, going 3-2 SU/1-4 ATS.
— Cajuns won this bowl 36-21 (-4) over Marshall two years ago.
— Sun Belt underdogs are 9-10 ATS, out of conference.
— Favorites won/covered seven of last eight New Orleans Bowls.
— Last 11 years, Sun Belt teams are 8-3 ATS in this bowl.
— Last three years, Sun Belt teams are 12-7 ATS vs C-USA teams.
Cure Bowl
Miami OH vs Appalachian State (@ Orlando, FL)
Miami OH (11-2)
— Miami won its five games, giving up only 11 ppg.
— Red Hawks are 9-0 if they score 23+ points.
— Miami covered nine of its last 11 games.
— Miami was held to 3-17 points in its two losses (Miami FL/Toledo)
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 61 starts back on offensive line- lost 2 starters to transfer portal.
— senior QB has 29 career starts
— Miami is 3-2 ATS as an underdog TY.
— under Martin, Miami is 34-26-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Miami was 6-7 SU LY despite a +11 turnover ratio.
— Miami is 11-2 TY, with a +2 turnover ratio.
— under is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Miami played in bowls three of last four years, going 1-2 SU.
— Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last five bowls.
— MAC non-conference underdogs are 16-14 ATS this year.
Appalachian State (8-5)
— App State won five of its last six games, scoring 37.5 ppg.
— ASU is 2-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
— App State is 3-4 ATS as a favorite TY.
— ASU is 12-25-1 ATS in its last 38 games as a favorite.
— ASU is 8-1 scoring 26+ points, 0-4 scoring 24 or less.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 65 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB played JC ball; he’s thrown 33 TD’s, 9 INT this year.
— App State covered four of its last five games (+5 in turnovers).
— ASU gained 500+ TY in three of last six games.
— under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— ASU is 6-1 in bowl games (lost 59-38 to Western Kentucky LY).
— App State is 3-1 ATS as a favorite in bowl games.
— Sun Belt non-conference favorites are 9-5 ATS this year.
— Underdogs covered this bowl six of last seven years.
— Sun Belt teams are 4-4 SU in this bowl.
— Since 2018, MAC teams are 15-9-1 ATS in games vs Sun Belt teams.
New Mexico Bowl
Fresno State vs New Mexico State
Fresno State (8-4)
— Fresno lost its last three games, after an 8-1 start.
— Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
— Fresno scored 27+ points in its seven I-A wins.
— In their losses, Bulldogs scored 19-18-17-18 points.
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started 11 games at UCF.
— in his career, Tedford is 29-26-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Fresno is 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 games as an underdog.
— last five years, Bulldogs are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in bowl games.
— Mountain West underdogs are 17-9 ATS out of conference.
— Fresno won this bowl two years ago, 31-24 (-11) over New Mexico.
New Mexico State (10-4)
— Aggies won eight of last nine games, after a 2-3 start.
— Aggies are 17-10 SU under coach Kill (went 8-30 from 2018-21)
— State won 31-10 at Auburn in November.
— Aggies are 9-1 when they give up less than 33 points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 51 starts back on offensive line- four starters are back
— junior QB has 8 starts.
— Aggies are 4-1 ATS as a favorite TY.
— In his career, coach Kill is 35-24 ATS as a favorite.
— In his career, coach Kill is 1-5 SU in bowl games.
— Nine of State’s last 12 games stayed under the total.
— Last year was Aggies’ first bowl since 2017.
— Aggies are 4-0-1 SU all-time in bowl games.
— Conference USA favorites are 4-4 ATS, out of conference.
— Aggies (+2.5) upset New Mexico 27-17 on this field in September.
— Fresno State won seven of last eight meetings (last one was 2019).
— Bulldogs were double digit favorite in 7 of the 8 games.
— New Mexico State covered six of last seven meetings.
— under is 7-1 in last eight series games.
— Last seven years, underdogs are 5-2 ATS in this bowl.
— Average total in this bowl the last six years, 54.5.
— Mountain West team won this bowl the last five years (4-1 ATS)
— This year, Mountain West teams are 4-1 SU vs C-USA squads.
Los Angeles Bowl
Boise State @ UCLA
Boise State (8-5)
— Boise fired its coach November 12, has now won four in a row.
— Boise is 1-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Broncos won last four games, running for 263 yards/game.
— Broncos are minus-1 in turnovers this season.
— Last six years, Boise was +31 in turnovers.
— Broncos allowed 31+ points in four of their five losses.
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 80 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started 10 games.
— since 2014, Boise is 10-5 ATS as an underdog (1-2 TY)
— over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— since 2017, Boise is 2-1 in bowls (had two cancelled)
— Mountain West underdogs are 16-9 ATS out of conference.
UCLA (7-5)
— UCLA lost three of last four games, scoring 10-7-7 points in losses.
— UCLA is 7-0 scoring 25+ points, 0-5 if they score less.
— No one ran for more than 133 yards against the Bruins TY.
— UCLA is 1-1 TY in games decided by less than 10 points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line; high expectations.
— UCLA has been juggling three QB’s; one already transferred.
— under Kelly, Bruins are 13-22 ATS as favorites (3-5 TY).
— under is 10-1 in their I-A games this season.
— UCLA lost its last three bowls, giving up 37-35-37 points.
— Bruins’ last bowl win was 40-35 over K-State in 2014 Alamo Bowl.
— This year, Pac-12 favorites are 13-6 ATS out of conference.
— Mountain West teams beat Pac-12 squads in first two LA Bowls.
— 2022-23, MW teams are 3-17 SU/7-13 ATS vs Pac-12 teams TY.
— From 2017-21, MW teams were 25-16 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.
Independence Bowl (Shreveport, LA)
California vs Texas Tech
California (6-6)
— Cal won last three games, scoring 34 ppg, to become bowl eligible.
— This is Cal’s first bowl since 2019.
— Bears allowed 34+ points in their last five losses.
— Cal scored 32-40-49 points in three of their losses.
— In four of last five games, Cal allowed 309+ passing yards.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line.
— freshman QB completed 62.4% of passes (13 TDs, 7 INT).
— since 2017, Golden Bears are 29-14 ATS as an underdog.
— since 2018, Cal is 8-8 ATS outside the Pac-12.
— over is 5-2 in Cal’s last seven games.
— Golden Bears are 2-3 SU/ATS in their last five bowls.
— This year, Pac-12 underdogs are 3-3 ATS out of conference.
Texas Tech (6-6)
— Tech won three of last four games, to become bowl eligible.
— Last three games, Red Raiders gave up 247 rushing yards/game.
— Tech is 2-6 if they score less than 35 points.
— Last seven games, Red Raiders are minus-9 in turnovers.
— 11 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 142 starts back on offensive line.
— freshman QB is completing 61.8% of passes (12 TD’s, 7 INTs)
— under McGuire, Tech is 6-7 ATS as a favorite (3-5 TY).
— under is 6-4 in their last 10 I-A games.
— Red Raiders are in a bowl for third straight year.
— Tech won last two bowls as an underdog; scored 34-34-42 in last three.
— This year, Big X favorites are 10-13 ATS out of conference.
— These teams haven’t met since 2004.
— last seven years. underdogs are 4-2-1 ATS in this bowl.
— since 2018, Big X teams are 13-8 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents (1-3 TY)
— Last seven years, average total in Independence Bowl was 59.3.
NCAAF
Bowl Season
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Trend Report
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December 16
Georgia Southern @ Ohio
Georgia Southern
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 6 games
Georgia Southern is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio
Ohio is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Ohio's last 12 games
Jacksonville State @ Louisiana-Lafayette
Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Miami-OH @ Appalachian State
Miami-OH
Miami-OH is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami-OH is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Appalachian State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New Mexico State @ Fresno State
New Mexico State
New Mexico State is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
New Mexico State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Fresno State
Fresno State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing New Mexico State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Fresno State's last 8 games when playing New Mexico State
California-Los Angeles @ Boise State
California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games
California-Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Boise State
Boise State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Boise State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
California @ Texas Tech
California
California is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of California's last 7 games
Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games