Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Friday 11/2/18
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Virginia Cavaliers Preview and Predictions
NCAAF Previews 30th October 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 10/30/2018
First place in the ACC Coastal division is on the line Friday night when No.22 Virginia hosts a Pittsburgh squad who scored with five seconds left to notch an exciting victory over Duke last weekend. The Cavaliers posted a 31-21 triumph against North Carolina behind four total touchdowns from quarterback Bryce Perkins (three passing) to return to the national rankings for the first time since 2011, while the Panthers' offense finally broke out and scored their most points in nearly two years.
Perkins completed 18-of-27 passes for 217 yards and added 112 more on the ground as Virginia won its third conference game in a row for the first time since 2011 to remain atop the division at 4-1 with Pitt and Virginia Tech sitting 3-1. "You can feel it in the locker room. We are not satisfied," Perkins said after the game. "We come out, and coach tells us every day that we can win however many we want to. We go out there and play - we have a different kind of swagger, and you can feel it on the field when we play together. We want the Coastal, and we are not going to be satisfied until we get that." Pittsburgh quarterback Kenny Pickett, who has struggled under center all season, connected with Maurice Ffrench on a 25-yard touchdown strike to provide Pitt a 54-45 victory over the Blue Devils (the Panthers added a safety on the final play of the game for the nine-point margin). The Pittsburgh offense registered 634 yards, including 484 yards rushing, second most in school history, but the defense continued to underwhelm, yielding 619 yards.
TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2. LINE: Virginia -7.
ABOUT PITTSBURGH (4-4, 3-1 ACC): Defensive back V'Lique Carter, a 5-9, 170-pound freshman, moved to running back and gained 137 yards on seven carries with two touchdowns in the first game of his career against Duke, while workhorse Qadree Ollison added 149 yards and a score on 18 carries to push his rushing total for the season to 795 yards - third in the ACC. Pickett (60.6 completion percentage, eight TDs, five interceptions), who is averaging just over 10 yards per completion this season, finished 8-of-18 for 150 yards (72 in the final drive) and two touchdowns with Ffrench catching a 50-yard scoring pass prior to the game winner. The Panthers surrendered just 19 points in a five-point loss to Notre Dame on Oct. 13 but 120 in the previous three contests, prompting coach Pat Narduzzi to sum up the defense's play by saying, "one step forward and two steps back."
ABOUT VIRGINIA (6-2, 4-1): Perkins, a junior college transfer who tied season highs in passing and total touchdowns while rushing for 100 yards for the third time, has completed 63.1 percent of his 217 attempts for 1,623 yards and 21 total touchdowns (15 passing) against eight interceptions. Olamide Zaccheaus (team highs of 56 receptions, 690 yards and six TDs) collected 10 catches for the second week in a row, recorded his fourth 100-yard receiving game of the season and became Virginia's all-time career receptions leader with 213. The Cavaliers are surrendering 18.8 points - 18th in FBS and second in the ACC -- and 327 yards per game, and they have held seven opponents under 400 yards and all but two to 21 points or fewer.
EXTRA POINTS
1. Pittsburgh beat Virginia 31-14 last season and has won three straight in the series.
2. Perkins (575 yards) passed Bill Dudley (469, 1940) and Shawn Moore (505, 1989) into second place all-time at Virginia for single-season rushing yardage by a quarterback.
3. Zaccheaus is the only active player in the nation with 2,000 receiving and 500 rushing yards and one of three ACC players to accomplish the feat since 2000. "The capability has always been there, but his drive for excellence keeps accelerating to a higher level," coach Bronco Mendenhall told reporters.
PREDICTION: Virginia 28, Pittsburgh 24
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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Preview and Predictions 11-02-2018 in NCAAF
NCAAF Previews 31st October 2018 By Charles Jay for Scores And Stats
by Charles Jay Scores & Stats on 10/31/2018
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are on the verge of bowl eligibility, and they can give a nice sendoff to the coach's son, Brent Stockstill, their quarterback who has actually been on campus for six years. Coming off a big victory over Old Dominion, this team carries a lot of momentum into its game against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, who had their homecoming spoiled last week against Florida international because they could not get the stops when they needed it.
These Conference USA teams will square off on Friday night at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, TN.
TV: CBS Sports Network, 8 PM ET. LINE: Middle Tennessee -13.5
ABOUT WESTERN KENTUCKY: All season long, Western Kentucky (1-7 SU, 4-4 ATS) has been playing musical chairs with their quarterbacks. But they settled upon Davis Shanley, who did not have a productive game last time out against Florida international, as he threw for just 105 yards in 25 attempts in the 38-17 defeat. That ruined Homecoming on the Hill, and now Mike Sanford might want to explore his other options. Shanley has completed 68% of his passes this season with just three touchdowns. This offense is one of the worst in the nation when it comes to the yardage they have to gain for every point they score. In the "Yards Per Point" category, they are 126th nationally (19.5). They pass the ball 51.3% of the time, and that was great when Mike White was their quarterback. But now they are just searching for answers. They may want to run the ball more; they have been "stuffed" (held to no gain or thrown for a loss) only 15.5% of the time, which is actually a pretty good percentage. Joshua Samuel is the leading rusher, with 403 yards, and he had 83 last weekend. They have also been relatively ineffective in the red zone, scoring points only 75% of the time, and only 12 programs in the FBS ranks have a lower percentage than that. Linebacker Ben Holt had 19 tackles against FIU, and that was a real bright spot.
ABOUT MIDDLE TENNESSEE: Quarterback Brent Stockstill, a sixth-year senior, had 280 passing yards, leading an attack that almost got to 500, as the Blue Raiders (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) defeated Old Dominion 51-17. The Middle Tennessee defense also allowed 520 yards, although a lot of that came in "garbage time." With a victory over Western Kentucky, they can clinch bowl eligibility, and most people are projecting them for either the Hawaii Bowl or the Bahamas Bowl. Stockstill is 69.3% accurate on the season, with 15 touchdowns and only five interceptions. He distributes the ball pretty evenly, between wide receivers Ty Lee (31 catches, 313 yards), Patrick Smith (28 catches, 298 yards) and running back Brad Anderson (27 receptions, 332 yards). In terms of advanced metrics, the ground game is last in the nation in "marginal explosiveness." Middle Tennessee is 63rd nationally in Yards Per Points, and their "big-play rate" is 120th nationwide. They had only three plays of 50 yards or more going into the game with Old Dominion, but they did explode for three plays of at least 70 yards against the Monarchs. Despite their #88 ranking in Total Defense, they have been pretty stingy in the red zone, limiting their opponents to points on just 66.7% of all trips. That's fourth-best in the nation. However, they are dead last in defending on third down, allowing opponents to convert 50.4% of the time.
EXTRA POINTS
1. These two have played more often than any two Conference USA rivals, with Middle Tennessee holding a 34-32-1 advantage. Last year Western Kentucky won 41-38 in triple overtime, as Mike White (now in the NFL) threw for 485 yards. The last three meetings played in Murfreesboro have gone into overtime.
2. Middle Tennessee is sixth in the nation with three defensive touchdowns. Strong safety Reed Blankenship had 17 tackles last weekend, and he also brought an interception back 100 yards for a touchdown.
3. Sidney A. McPhee, president of Middle Tennessee, has canceled all Friday afternoon classes, in order to give more students an opportunity to get ready and come to the game. So expect a larger crowd than usual.
PREDICTION: Middle Tennessee 35, Western Kentucky 17
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Colorado Buffaloes vs. Arizona Wildcats Preview and Predictions
NCAAF Previews 30th October 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 10/30/2018
Colorado has plummeted from the top to the bottom of the Pac-12 South standings in the span of three weeks, while Arizona is riding high after its biggest win of the year. That sets the stage for Friday night when the Buffaloes and Wildcats clash in Tucson.
Arizona is playing its second straight home game after walloping No. 21 Oregon 44-15 late Saturday night. Quarterback Khalil Tate threw a trio of touchdown passes after missing the previous game with an ankle injury, while J.J. Taylor ran for 212 yards and two TDs as the Wildcats ended a two-game skid. Colorado, meanwhile, is doing some serious soul-searching after blowing a 31-3 third-quarter lead Saturday en route to a 41-34 homecoming loss to 24-point underdog Oregon State. It was the third straight loss for the Buffaloes who entered the stretch 5-0, 2-0 in the Pac-12 and ranked 18th nationally.
TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1. LINE: Arizona -3.5
ABOUT COLORADO (5-3, 2-3 Pac-12): The Buffaloes held a players-only meeting this week in the wake of their collapse against Oregon State, and their previously-solid defense will be under the microscope after surrendering 31 points over the final 23:17 of regulation and then the Beavers' game-winning TD in overtime. The Colorado offense, meanwhile, managed only a field goal after Travon McMillian scored on a 75-yard burst 12 seconds into the second half to put the Buffaloes up 31-3, and the onus will be on junior quarterback Steven Montez, who's averaged 211 passing yards and thrown for three TDs and two interceptions during the team's three-game slide. Montez and Co., have badly missed do-it-all FBS receiving leader Laviska Shenault (10.0 receptions, 130.0 receiving yards per game), who's sat out the last two contests with a toe injury and still was listed as "day-to-day" early this week.
ABOUT ARIZONA (4-5, 3-3): Taylor ranks fourth in the Pac-12 in rushing with 114.3 yards per game and leads all Power Five players with 175.4 all-purpose yards with his conference-leading 447 kickoff return yards thrown in. Tate is coming off one of his most efficient passing games of the season but, by design of the offense, his rushing has fallen off considerably from last season, going from 1,411 yards on 153 carries a season ago to 139 on 53 attempts in eight games so far this season. Sophomore linebacker Colin Schooler averages a Pac-12-leading 1.78 tackles for loss to pace the defense which is limiting conference foes to 23.8 points, including a season-low 15 points and 260 total yards for Oregon on Saturday.
EXTRA POINTS
1. Arizona has won five of the seven meetings since Colorado joined the Pac-12 in 2011, including a 45-42 win in Boulder last season.
2. Last season's Oct. 7 game was Tate's coming out party as he entered the contest following an injury to then-starting QB Brandon Dawkins in the first quarter and proceeded to rush for a FBS quarterback-record 327 yards and four TDs while throwing for 154 yards and another score.
3. Turnovers could be even more important than usual in this matchup as the Buffaloes lead the Pac-12 with a plus-7 differential while the Wildcats have a league-best 12 takeaways in conference play.
PREDICTION: Colorado 33, Arizona 31
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Friday's Tip Sheet
October 31, 2018
By Brian Edwards
**Pittsburgh at Virginia**
There’s a rare ACC showdown in Charlottesville on Friday night that will have conference-championship implications at 7:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2. As of Wednesday, most spots had Virginia (6-2 straight up, 7-1 against the spread) installed as a 7.5-point home favorite vs. Pitt with a total of 48. The Panthers were +245 on the money line (risk $100 to win $245).
UVA is 4-0 both SU and ATS at home this year. As a home favorite during Bronco Mendenhall’s three-year tenure, the Cavaliers have compiled a 5-3 spread record. Mendenhall has his team atop the ACC Coastal Division with a 4-1 record in league play. The Cavs own a one-half game lead over both Pitt and Virginia Tech, both of whom are 3-1 in ACC action.
UVA has won three straight games both SU and ATS, including last week’s 31-21 over UNC as a 7.5-point home ‘chalk.’ QB Bryce Perkins rushed for a team-best 112 yards and one TD on 21 carries, while junior RB Jordan Ellis ran 16 times for 64 yards.
Perkins completed 18-of-27 passes for 217 yards and three TDs with one interception. Olamide Zaccheaus brought down 10 catches for 108 yards, while Hasise Dubois had two receptions for 40 yards and one TD.
Perkins, the juco transfer who started his career at Arizona State, has completed 63.1 percent of his passes for 1,623 yards with a 15/8 touchdown-to-interception ratio. The dynamic signal caller has run for 575 rushing yards and six TDs. Ellis paces the Cavs in rushing yards (683) and has seven rushing scores and a 5.3 yards-per-carry average.
Zaccheaus has 56 receptions for 690 yards and six TDs, while Dubois has caught 32 balls for 360 yards and three TDs.
Mendenhall’s team took its defeats at Indiana (20-16) in Week 2 and at N.C. State (35-21) on Sept. 29.
Pittsburgh (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) is winless in three road assignments with a 1-2 spread record. Pat Narduzzi’s club has covered the spread in three consecutive contests, winning outright in two of those and taking the cash when it lost 19-14 at Notre Dame as a 21-point underdog.
Pitt is off a 54-45 win over Duke this past Saturday as a three-point home underdog. The Panthers trailed by a double-digit margin four separate times to the Blue Devils, but they pulled even at 42-42 with 2:33 left on a 48-yard field goal from Alex Kessman. Then with five ticks remaining, QB Kenny Pickett found Maurice Ffrench for a 25-yard game-winning scoring strike.
Pickett had a pair of TD passes without an interception, in addition to rushing for 76 yards and one TD on seven attempts. Senior RB Qadree Ollison ran for 149 yards and one TD on 18 carries, while V’Lique Carter rushed for 137 yards and two TDs on seven totes.
Pickett has completed 60.6 percent of his passes for 1,156 yards with an 8/5 TD-INT ratio. He’s run for 152 yards and three TDs. Allison has rushed for a team-high 795 yards and seven TDs with a 6.3 YPC average. Darrin Hall has run for 429 yards and four TDs while averaging 6.1 YPC.
Ffrench has 19 receptions for 294 yards and four TDs.
When these teams collided last year at Heinz Field, Pitt beat UVA for the third straight time. The Panthers won a 31-14 decision as one-point home favorites, while the 45 combined points dropped ‘under’ the 49-point tally.
Totals have been an overall wash (4-4) for the Cavs, with the ‘over’ going 2-2 in their four home contests. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 47.0 PPG.
Totals have been an overall wash (4-4) for the Panthers, who have seen the ‘under’ go 2-1 in their road assignments. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 60.6 PPG.
ESPN2 will have Friday night’s broadcast at 7:30 p.m. Eastern.
**Colorado at Arizona**
As of Wednesday, most books had Arizona (4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS) installed as a three-point home favorite with a total of 57.5 or 58. The Buffaloes were +140 on the money line (risk $100 to win $140).
Kevin Sumlin’s team improved to 3-3 in Pac-12 play and picked up its best win of the season by blasting Oregon 44-15 as a seven-point home underdog this past Saturday night. Sophomore running back J.J. Taylor erupted for 212 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 30 carries. Junior QB Khalil Tate, who had missed most of the past two games injured, returned to the starting lineup and completed 19-of-33 passes for 189 yards and three TDs with one interception.
WR Shun Brown had 10 receptions for 96 yards, while Shawn Poindexter had two catches for 30 yards and a pair of TDs. Josh Pollack buried three field goals from 32, 34 and 23 yards out.
UA dominated from start to finish, enjoying a 465-270 advantage in total offense and a 27-18 edge in first downs. The Wildcats are now on a 5-2 ATS run after starting the season with back-to-back defeats vs. BYU (28-23) and at Houston (45-18). Two of its three losses since then have come by five combined points, falling 31-30 at UCLA and 24-20 at home vs. USC. The only bad loss besides the one at Houston was a 42-10 loss at Utah when Tate was injured early in the first quarter and didn’t return.
Tate exploded on the scene last season with his legs, rushing for 1,411 yards and 12 TDs while averaging 9.2 yards per carry. He was considered by many to be a legit Heisman Trophy candidate coming into the 2018 campaign. Tate has improved throwing the ball, but his production on the ground has basically been non-existent.
Tate has completed 54.0 percent of his throws for 1,604 yards with a 14/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has 53 rushing attempts for 139 yards and two TDs with a meager 2.6 YPC average.
Taylor is second in the Pac-12 in rushing yards with 1,034. He has six rushing scores and averages 6.2 YPC. Poindexter has 32 receptions for 582 yards six TDs, while Brown has 46 catches for 485 yards and four TDs.
Colorado (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS) raced out to a 5-0 start with wins over Colorado St. (45-13 in Denver), at Nebraska (33-28), vs. New Hampshire (45-14), vs. UCLA (38-16) and vs. Arizona State (28-21). Since then, however, Mike MacIntyre’s club has lost three games in a row, including a stunning 41-34 overtime loss to Oregon State as a 24.5-point home ‘chalk.’
We should point out, however, that the Buffaloes have been without star Laviska Shenault. The sophomore WR was playing like a first-team All-American until being sidelined with turf toe that caused him to miss the losses at UW and vs. OSU. Shenault remains ‘questionable’ for Friday’s game in Tucson. Before the injury, he had 60 receptions for 780 yards and six TDs, in addition to rushing for 87 yards and five TDs on 15 attempts.
In last week’s improbable setback, Colorado led 24-3 at halftime and then extended its advantage to 31-3 on Travon McMillian’s 75-yard run to start the third quarter. The Beavers responded with 25 unanswered points to trim the deficit to 31-28 with 7:13 remaining. CU got a 34-yard FG from Evan Price to extend the lead to 34-28.
But with 29 seconds left, OSU’s Jake Luton found Trevon Bradford for a 10-yard scoring strike. However, the Beavers missed the PAT to force OT. Oregon State got the ball first in the extra session and scored on Jack Colletto’s one-yard TD run, and it got a stop to preserve the shocking victory.
Colorado junior QB Steven Montez connected on 24-of-39 passes for 319 yards and two TDs without an interception. He also rushed nine times for 66 yards, while McMillian finished with 132 rushing yards and one TD on 20 attempts. K.D. Nixon had 13 receptions for 198 yards and two TDs.
Montez has connected on 68.2 percent of his throws for 2,053 yards with a 14/4 TD-INT ratio. He is second on the Buffaloes in rushing yards with 226 and four TDs. WR K.D. Nixon has 46 catches for 560 yards and three TDs. McMillian, a grad transfer from Virginia Tech, has run for 778 yards and five TDs while averaging 5.3 YPC.
CU has lost two of its three road games outright, but it has produced a 2-1 spread record. As a road underdog since MacIntyre took over in 2013, Colorado is 13-12 ATS.
Arizona is 1-1 both SU and ATS as a home favorite this season. The Wildcats are 3-2 both SU and ATS in five home games, but they’ve been home underdogs in their last three outings at Arizona Stadium.
The road team is 6-0 ATS in the past six head-to-head encounters. The ‘over’ is on a 3-0 run to improve to 6-1 in the past seven meetings of this rivalry.
When these squads squared off in Boulder last season, Arizona captured a 45-42 win as a seven-point road underdog. Tate was nothing short of sensational, rushing for 327 yards and four TDs on merely 14 carries. He completed 12-of-13 passes for 154 yards and one TD without an interception.
In the losing effort, Montez threw for 251 yards and three TDs without an interception.
The ‘under’ is 7-2 overall for the Wildcats, 4-1 in their home games. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 57.0 points per game.
The ‘under’ is 6-2 overall for the Buffaloes, 4-0 in their road assignments. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 55.9 PPG.
Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. Eastern on Fox Sports 1.
**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**
-- One day after reinstating D.J. Durkin as its head football coach, Maryland pulled a U-turn and decided to fire Durkin on Wednesday. The change of course started with major criticism from the media and multiple players walking out of a team meeting with Durkin on Tuesday, but the real tide turner came from Maryland Governor Larry Hogan. He released a statement Wednesday afternoon ripping the Board of Regents. Durkin and the BOR won a power struggle with the school president, who wanted Durkin out to begin with. OC Matt Canada will remain the interim head coach for the Terrapins, who host Michigan State this weekend.
-- Oregon QB Justin Herbert practiced Wednesday and was upgraded to ‘probable' for Saturday’s home game vs. UCLA. Herbert will continue to be monitored after sustaining a concussion in last week’s 44-15 loss at Arizona. Herbert has 2,069 passing yards and a 20/6 TD-INT ratio. His favorite target Dillon Mitchell remains in concussion protocol and is ‘questionable’ against the Bruins. Mitchell has 48 receptions for 677 yards and four TDs. The Ducks were 10-point home favorites, as of Wednesday night.
-- Washington star RB Myles Gaskin has missed back-to-back games due to a shoulder injury. The all-time leader in career rushing yards for the Huskies remains ‘questionable’ vs. Stanford, which has plenty of injuries as well. Two preseason All-Americans – RB Bryce Love and OG Nate Herbig – are ‘questionable’ for the Cardinal at UW.
-- After missing an extra point five minutes before to leave Buffalo leading only 48-42 as a seven-point home favorite in the fourth quarter of Tuesday’s MACtion showdown vs. Miami (OH), senior kicker Adam Mitcheson broke the school record for career field goals by burying his 45th with 3:54 remaining in a 51-42 victory for the Bulls. QB Tyree Jackson threw for 358 yards and three TDs without an interception, while Anthony Johnson hauled in eight receptions for 238 yards and three TDs.
NCAAF
Long Sheet
Friday, November 2
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PITTSBURGH (4 - 4) at VIRGINIA (6 - 2) - 11/2/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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W KENTUCKY (1 - 7) at MIDDLE TENN ST (5 - 3) - 11/2/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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COLORADO (5 - 3) at ARIZONA (4 - 5) - 11/2/2018, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 59-91 ATS (-41.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 87-130 ATS (-56.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 34-56 ATS (-27.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NCAAF
Week 10
Trend Report
Friday, November 2
Pittsburgh @ Virginia
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Virginia
Virginia
Virginia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee
Western Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games when playing Middle Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games on the road
Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Western Kentucky
Middle Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado @ Arizona
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
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NCAAF
Week 10
Friday’s games
Pittsburgh is 0-3 on road, losing by 3-31-5 points, allowing an average of 34 ppg; Panthers are 11-6 as road underdogs under Narduzzi, 1-2 this year. Virginia won its last three games, allowing an average of 16 ppg; under Mendenhall, Cavaliers are 5-3 as home favorites, 3-0 this year. Pitt won its last three games with Virginia, winning 45-31 in its last visit here; favorites covered four of last five series games. Pitt beat Duke 54-45 LW, but allowed 619 yards, 396 thru the air.
Western Kentucky is 1-7 with a loss to a I-AA team; Hilltoppers won their last three games with Middle Tennessee, scoring 47.7 ppg in a series where average total in last four series games is 84.8. WKU’s last three visits here all decided either by 1 point or in OT. Hilltoppers are 5-1-1 in last seven games as road underdogs. MTSU won four of its last five games; they covered five of last six games as a HF. Last three WKU games went over the total; under is 4-2 in Blue Raiders’ last six games. Hilltoppers allowed 40-37-38 points in their last three games.
Colorado lost its last three games after 5-0 start; they blew a 31-3 lead in home loss to Oregon St LW. Buffaloes are 10-6 in last 16 games as road underdogs, 2-1 this year. Arizona won five of last six games with Colorado; road team won last three series games. Wildcats ran ball for 289-276 yards in last two games; they won last two home games, allowing 17-15 points. Arizona is 1-3-1 in its last five games as a home favorite. Four of last five Colorado games stayed under the total; under is 5-1 in last six Arizona games.
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College Football's Top ATS Teams:
1. Washington St 8-0 ATS
t2. Fresno St 7-1 ATS
t2. Georgia Southern 7-1 ATS
t2. UAB 7-1 ATS
t2. Utah St 7-1 ATS
t2. Virginia 7-1 ATS
t7. 8 teams tied at 6-2 ATS (Buffalo, BC, Florida, Florida Int, Iowa, Temple, Texas A&M, UL-Lafayette)
College Football's Worst ATS Teams:
t130. Navy 1-7 ATS
t130. Louisville 1-7 ATS
t130. Florida Atlantic 1-7 ATS
127. Connecticut 1-6-1 ATS
t125. Washington 2-7 ATS
t125. New Mexico St 2-7 ATS
t116. 9 teams tied at 2-6 ATS
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