NCAAFB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Saturday 12/1/18

Saturday
Conference USA, Murfreesboro, TN
Middle Tennessee whacked UAB 27-3 last week here, outgaining Blazers 394-89; Blazers hit on only 9-27 passes, ran for minus-1 yard. MTSU is 3-1 vs UAB in C-USA meetings. Blazers lost last two games, after winning eight in row; all three of their losses this year are by 21+ points. MTSU won five of last six games after a 3-3 start; their senior QB is the coach’s son. UAB/Middle Tennessee State are both in this game for first time; UAB didn’t even field a team n 2015-16, due to budget issues- they’re 17-8 since reviving the program. Three of last four UAB games went over the total.

AAC, Orlando
Central Florida QB Milton tore up his knee LW, is out here; Knights won their last 25 games, edging Memphis 31-30 Oct 13, their only win this year by less than 11 points. Memphis ran ball for 281 games vs UCF, outgaining Knights 490-461. UCF won its last 10 games vs Memphis, beating Tigers 62-55 in OT in this game LY. Backup QB Darriel was 5-14/81 passing in relief of Milton LW. Memphis won its last four games after a 4-4 start, scoring 47+ points in three of the four games; Tigers ran ball for 401 yards in 52-31 win over Houston LW. Four of last five Memphis games went over; seven of last eight UCF games stayed under.

Big X, Arlington, TX
Texas (+7.5) beat Oklahoma 48-45 Oct 6; Longhorns were +3 in turnovers that day- yardage was 532-501, OU. Sooners fired their DC after the game. Teams split their last six meetings, with underdogs covering all six games. As a head coach, Tom Herman is 8-1-1 vs spread as an underdog. Oklahoma is 6-0 since Texas loss, scoring 48+ points in all six games, scoring 51+ five times; Sooner defense allowed 640-524-704 yards in their last three games. Longhorns won their last three games, giving up 10-17 points in last two; Texas is 2-3 when it gives up 21+ points. Over is 10-1-1 in Oklahoma games this year. Sooners are in this game for 10th time, going 8-1 in previous nine visits. Texas is 3-2 in Big X title tilts.

Sun Belt, Boone, NC
Appalachian State is in only its 5th year of I-A football; they’re 39-11 the last four years, 5-0 vs Louisiana, beating the Ragin’ Cajuns 27-17 back on October 20, when ASU ran ball for 258 yards. App State won its last four games, allowing average of only 10.3 ppg. ASU is 9-2 this year with an OT loss at Penn State when they outgained the Nittany Lions. Louisiana won its last three games after a 4-5 start; Cajuns have allowed 200+ rushing yards in seven games this year. Four of last six ULL games, five of last seven App State tilts stayed under the total.

SEC, Atlanta
Alabama is 12-0 this season; closest game they’ve played was 45-23 over Texas A&M. Georgia is 11-1 with a 36-16 loss at LSU; Dawgs won their last four games- under Smart, they’re 3-1 as an underdog, 0-0 this year. Alabama beat Georgia 26-23 in OT for the national title LY; yardage was 371-365- this is only teams’ 5th meeting the last 11 years, with Crimson Tide winning last four by 11-4-28-3 points. Bama won national title LY but didn’t make SEC title game, which Georgia won over Auburn. Crimson Tide won their five SEC title games; Georgia is 3-3 in this game. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Georgia games, 6-3 in last nine Alabama games.

Mountain West, Boise
Fresno State is 10-2 but lost 24-17 (-2.5) on blue carpet Nov 9, first time Broncos had been home underdog in almost 20 years. Fresno allowed 20 or fewer points in nine of their ten wins; they’re 1-2 when allowing more than 20. Under Tedford, Bulldogs are 4-0 as road underdogs. Fresno is 1-2 in this game, with both losses to Boise (28-14/27-14, LY). Boise won its last seven games after a 3-2 start; Broncos were held under 60 yards rushing in both their losses. Boise is 4-2 as a home favorite this year, after going 4-15 the previous three years. Under is 7-1 in last eight Fresno games. 4-0 in last four Boise games.

ACC, Charlotte
Clemson is in ACC title game for 4th year in row, winning last three by 8-7-35 points over three different teams, while scoring 41.7 ppg. Clemson is 12-0 this year, despite playing freshman QB; their last seven wins are all by 20+ points. Tigers gave up 510 PY in 56-35 win over Palmetto State rival South Carolina LW— total yardage in game was 744-600. Pitt is in ACC title game for first time; Panthers won four of last five games after a 3-4 start; they had scored 40.8 ppg in last four games before 24-3 loss at Miami LW. Pitt is 5-3 vs spread as an underdog this year. Three of last four Pitt games stayed under the total.

Big 14, Indianapolis
Ohio State is on fringes of making national playoff; impressive win here and an Alabama win in SEC game makes it a OSU/Oklahoma decision for 4th seed. Buckeyes won last four gamess, but also allowed 31+ points in four of last five games- they hammered arch-rival Michigan 62-39 LW, so this could be little bit of a letdown. OSU ran ball for 283-249 yards last two weeks. Northwestern won seven of its last eight games after a 1-3 start; Wildcats are 4-1 this year in games decided by 4 or fewer points. Ohio State is 2-1 in this game, beating Wisconsin 27-21 here LY; Northwestern is in its first Big 14 title game.

Other games
Stanford won its last eight games with arch-rival Cal; they won they last five visits to Berkeley. Cardinal is 3-4 in its last seven games after a 4-0 start; they scored 48-49 points in winning last two games. Stanford threw ball for 320+ yards in last four games. Cal Bears won four of its last five games, allowing 14.2 ppg, after a 3-3 start; Cal was held under 300 TY in its last four games- under Wilcox, they’re 5-1 as home underdogs. Stanford is 6-3-1 in its last ten games as a road favorite. Over is 7-1 in last eight Stanford games, six of last seven Cal games stayed under. This game was moved back two weeks after the wildfires in northern California.

East Carolina lost six of its last seven games and fired its coach this week, so they’re in disarray; Pirates (+6) upset NC State 33-30 in teams’ last meeting two years ago. ECU is 3-10-1 in its last 14 games as road underdogs, 2-2 this year- they allowed 535+ TY in three of their last four games. NC State scored 52-34 points in winning its last two games; under Doeren, Wolfpack is 13-14 as home favorites, 3-2 this season. State allowed 429+ total yards in five of its last six games. Three of last four East Carolina games went over total.

Marshall won its last three games, allowing 12.7 ppg; Thundering Herd covered seven of their last eight games as a road underdog- they held three of last four opponents under 230 TY. Virginia Tech needs win here to become bowl eligible; Tech lost four of its last five games, allowing 31+ points in all five games- under Fuente, Hokies are 7-5 vs spread as home favorites, 0-1 this year. Five of last seven Marshall games went over the total. Over last four years, ACC teams are 11-5 vs spread when playing a C-USA opponent.

Saturday's Group of 5 Tips
November 29, 2018
By Joe Nelson

Playing for a championship is the goal of every program and eight conference champions will be decided on Saturday.

College Playoff berths are not likely on the line in the Conference USA, American, Sun Belt, and Mountain West games but all four contests will be rematches to fill out the championship Saturday schedule. One of these teams should also get called for the top Group of 5 spot in the New Year’s Six.

CONFERENCE USA CHAMPIONSHIP

Match-up: UAB Blazers at Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
Venue: At Johnny Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tennessee
Time/TV: Saturday, December 1, 1:30 PM ET, CBSSN
Line: Middle Tennessee State -1, Over/Under 44½
Last Meeting: November 24, 2018 at Middle Tennessee State (+3) 27, UAB 3

UAB wasn’t playing football two years ago and after a successful bowl season in last year’s re-boot the Blazers look to take another step this season with a division title and a shot a the conference title. Middle Tennessee State is also in the Conference USA Championship for the first time looking to keep a run of four consecutive championships for the East division champion going.

Bill Clark stayed with UAB through the two-year hiatus after coaching the Blazers for his first season in 2014 following one year at Jacksonville State. UAB was perfect at home this season in a 9-3 campaign though the team enters this game off back-to-back losses, falling 41-20 to Texas A&M and then in last week’s game in Murfreesboro. Senior quarterback A.J. Erdely miss three November games before returning last week with freshman Tyler Johnston filling in with similar numbers as both could see the field this week.

Rick Stockstill won a Sun Belt title in his first season with the program in 2006 and this will be his first trip back to a championship game, leading mostly successful results over now 13 seasons with an 87-76 record and no losing seasons in Conference USA play. Last year’s team had a lot of potential but his son Brent was injured most of the year. Back as a senior quarterback the younger Stockstill has posted terrific numbers this season and he missed most of the one conference game the Blue Raiders lost at Florida International.

These schools are only about 200 miles apart as a good crowd should be expected even with some potential rain in the forecast for Saturday.

Regular Season Meeting: These teams met just last week on the same field. The incentives were vastly different however as Middle Tennessee State needed to win to get to this game and shortly after kickoff knew that Florida International had lost to make it a win-and-win-the-division-title game. UAB had already clinched its division and had little at stake last week and it showed, ultimately posting only 89 net yards of offense and not scoring again after taking a 3-0 lead on the opening drive in an eventual 27-3 result.

Series History: UAB won last season’s meeting 25-23 while Middle Tennessee State has won four of seven meetings since 1995 with a 3-2 ATS run in lined games since 2000.

AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP

Match-up: Memphis Tigers at Central Florida Knights
Venue: At Spectrum Stadium in Orlando, Florida
Time/TV: Saturday, December 1, 3:30 PM ET, ABC
Line: Central Florida -3, Over/Under 65
Last Meeting: October 13, 2018, Central Florida (-4½) 31, at Memphis 30

This will be the fourth meeting in two seasons for these programs with UCF looking to extend the nation’s longest winning streak to 25 games with a second straight conference title. The storyline however will be the absence of quarterback McKenzie Milton who was injured for UCF in last week’s win over South Florida.

In last year’s championship game these teams put on a show with Milton helping to deliver a 62-55 win in double-overtime with both teams eclipsing 700 yards of offense in a game with several big swings. UCF has won the regular season meetings the past two years as well, getting a lopsided home win last year and this year winning in Memphis by one-point with a second half comeback.

The Tigers are one of the nation’s top rushing teams with Darrell Henderson posting 1,699 yards so far and Memphis posting 6.4 yards per carry for nearly 276 yards per game. Replacing a highly productive quarterback, junior Brady White has been effective in his first season after transferring from Arizona State. Freshman Darriel Mack will start at quarterback for UCF with Milton out. Mack did play in entire game in the win over East Carolina but that has been his only meaningful action this season. He is much bigger than Milton and a serious rushing threat but likely not nearly the same caliber performer in the passing game at this point in his career.

Regular Season Meeting: In a highly anticipated rematch of the 2017 championship game Memphis took command early with a 30-14 edge until just before halftime. UCF trimmed the deficit to just six points in the third quarter and then took a one-point lead in the fourth. Memphis fumbled twice in the second half to wind up shut out in the second half at home and losing despite a 281-165 rushing edge.

Series History: Central Florida has won S/U 12 meetings in a row in this series going back to 2005 with the last win for Memphis coming in 1990 when UCF was not playing at the top college football level. Memphis has gone 4-2-1 ATS in the seven meetings going back to 2010.

SUN BELT CHAMPIONSHIP

Match-up: UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns at Appalachian State Mountaineers
Venue: At Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, North Carolina
Time/TV: Saturday, December 1, 12:00 PM ET, ESPN
Line: Appalachian State -18, Over/Under 59
Last Meeting: October 2, 2018 at Appalachian State (-25½) 27, UL-Lafayette 17

The Sun Belt split into two five-team divisions this season and will join the Championship Weekend with the inaugural title game this weekend after often featuring a full regular season schedule in this final weekend in previous years. There was great drama in determining the division champions this season with last week’s results meaningful and the heavy Sun Belt favorite to open the season, Arkansas State, did not make it.

Scott Satterfield led a 4-8 FCS squad in his first season in Boon in 2013 but has had a winning season every year since the program jumped to the FBS level in 2014. The Mountaineers are 3-0 in bowl games the past three years and 39-11 the past four years combined while going 28-4 in Sun Belt play in that span. Expect Satterfield to field interviews from prominent openings if he so chooses as he has done a remarkable job. This year may have been his best work as the roster appeared to be in a major transition with the loss of several key players from last season.

The one game in Sun Belt play that Appalachian State lost came without quarterback Zac Thomas at Georgia Southern and the numbers were dominant for the Mountaineers with a 255-108 scoring record in going 7-1 in league play. Appalachian State went 5-0 at home on the season and nearly upset Penn State in the opening week on the road.

Louisiana started the season 1-3 but losses at Mississippi State and at Alabama certainly are forgivable. The Ragin’ Cajuns beat Arkansas State at home 47-43 and last week earned this spot by besting rival UL-Monroe on the road 31-28. The Ragin’ Cajuns played both Appalachian State and Troy on the road for a difficult crossover draw and lost both games by 10 points in lower scoring games. In going 5-3 in Sun Belt play Louisiana outscored foes by just 24 points while being outscored overall on the season despite being 7-5.

Regular Season Meeting: As a massive home favorite Appalachian State led just 17-10 at the half before pulling away. The final score was 27-17 but Louisiana scored with 63 seconds to go to make the final margin tighter, though the yardage edge for the Mountaineers was modest at 372-328. The ground game was the key with a 266-140 rushing advantage for the Mountaineers at home.

Series History: These teams have met each of the last five years with five straight wins for Appalachian State, going 3-2 ATS including 2-1 in the home meetings.

MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERNCE CHAMPIONSHIP

Match-up: Fresno State Bulldogs at Boise State Broncos
Venue: At Albertson’s Stadium in Boise, Idaho
Time/TV: Saturday, December 1, 7:45 PM ET, ESPN
Line: Boise State -2½, Over/Under 50½
Last Meeting: November 9, 2018, at Boise State (+2½) 24, Fresno State 17

These teams met in the Mountain West title game last season with a 17-14 win for Boise State with a 90-yard touchdown drive for the lead late in the fourth quarter. That was after Fresno State defeated Boise State at home the previous week to close the regular season. These teams also met in the 2014 MWC Championship, also a win but missed cover for Boise State.

The stakes are potentially higher this season as if UCF loses to Memphis now playing without its star quarterback, the victor of this game could be the highest rated Group of Five squad in line for a New Year’s Six bowl bid. Boise State is currently 22nd while Fresno State is 25th in those rankings. UCF is 8th and could potentially hold the highest ranked spot with a loss though that would be an unusual precedent to set as they wouldn’t be a conference champion and would likely look like a much less promising team without Milton.

Marcus McMaryion and Brett Rypien are both in the nation’s top 12 in QB Rating and both seniors are coming to the close of excellent seasons and careers. They have combined to throw only 10 interceptions in nearly 800 attempts. Defense has been the key for Fresno State however, second nationally allowing just 13.5 points per game with a significant edge in pass defense relative to Boise State. The Broncos are 119-7 S/U at home since 1999 for truly the toughest home field edge in the nation however.

Regular Season Meeting: As a rare home underdog Boise State fell behind 17-3 early in the third quarter. The Broncos rallied to win in the fourth taking a 24-17 edge while Fresno State had a missed field goal while getting stopped on downs in Boise territory on its final two possessions. Boise State had a 448-390 edge in yards and committed the only turnover in the game.

Series History: Boise State is 15-4 S/U in this series since 1996 with a 13-5 ATS record however Fresno State has covered in four of the past five meetings. This will be the MWC Championship matchup for the third time in the last five years with a 28-14 win for Boise in 2014 and a 17-14 win over Boise last season with the Broncos hosting all of those games. Fresno State did win S/U hosting Boise State in the regular season in 2013 and 2017 but has not won in Boise since 1984.

Saturday's Best Bet
November 28, 2018

Big 12 Championship Game
Oklahoma vs. Texas

All good things must come to an end, and the 8-0 ATS run I had been on with these Saturday best bet plays came to a screeching halt last week. Georgia Tech and SMU were never really in their respective games for the bulk of the contests, and karma for all my “sweeping, and broom” comments came back to bite me in the ass.

Bad days like that happen to everyone in this industry though, and as tough as it may be to do, you've got to put them behind you and not let it influence the next game(s). With it being Championship Saturday this week and so many great games to watch (from both a betting and general perspective), there might not be a better week to rebound.

Hopefully this week's play gets us back in the win column after the rough way last Saturday treated the selections, so let's get right to it:

BetDSI.eu Odds: Oklahoma (-8); Total 78

Football fans get a second crack at consuming the Red River Rivalry this year as Oklahoma looks to avenge their only defeat of the campaign. The Sooners fell 48-45 to Texas back in early October, as it was a slow start and some early turnovers that put Oklahoma in a deep hole early that they weren't able to completely climb out of. Texas had multiple leads of 14 points in that game in the 2nd and 3rd quarters and it was those leads – including a 21-point margin entering the 4th – that proved to be too big.

Yet, Oklahoma and their tremendous offense actually managed to come all the way back from that 21-point deficit in the final frame, only to end up losing on a last second FG by what might be my favorite name/position combo in all of college football: Dicker the kicker. Handicappers who routinely spout off about Texas HC Tom Herman's 12-1 ATS record as an underdog got more content to spew out for this week's matchup, and when you combine that with the fact that Oklahoma's defense has been awful the past four weeks (allowed 40 or more in each of their last four games) and Texas did win the first matchup outright, you get the predictable statements of this being “too many points” to give Texas in this spot.

Look I get it, Oklahoma finished the year on a 0-3-1 ATS run in those four games where they allowed 40 or more, but they still went 4-0 SU in those games. Yes, the defense has been bad overall this year, but outside of the Kansas game, the Sooners also faced the three highest scoring offenses in the Big 12 in those final four games (West Virginia, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma State). Those three teams – along with Oklahoma – were the only four programs in the Big 12 to score more than 400 points this season. With West Virginia being the best of the bunch at 465 points scored, it puts into perspective just how good the Sooners offense and their 604 points scored this year really were. Compared to the 380 points Texas put up this year, as long as Oklahoma doesn't lose the turnover battle 3-0 again this time around, this game has blowout written all over it.

As far as Oklahoma's defense goes, it's hard to defend them too much given that they did allow the most total points of any Big 12 team (394), but there are other reasons behind that besides the “they don't have talent, they aren't good” narrative that's the go-to point for many here.

For one, being the defending Big 12 champs and the blue-blood program that they are, Oklahoma is always going to get the best shot from every one of their conference rivals. Teams know they've got to be able to score 40+ on the Sooners to simply even be in the game, and that means play-calling aggression is at an all time high in those contests.

Secondly, with the Sooners offense scoring seemingly at will, most of the time those are quick scores for the Sooners and that leads to a lack of rest for the defense. Mentally, for a defense that sees their own offense score like that week after week, there is an “ease-up” factor on certain drives or vs certain opponents (say a bad Kansas team) where they know that they'll win the game regardless of how good or bad they play. That mentality has led to the Sooners defense having some numbers that truly do look bad, but situational football has actually led this unit to step up and get stops when they need too. And you only have to look to the bulk of that 4th quarter in the first meeting with Texas – when Oklahoma came back from 21 down to tie it – to see that the Sooners are more than capable of doing so. Yes, they couldn't get the stop late to prevent the game-winning FG, but they gave their offense a chance for the first 14 minutes of that final frame to atone for the early mistakes and it nearly paid off.

The Sooners defense isn't going to be highly respected by anyone here and they will give up points, but you don't go 11-1 SU throughout the course of the year by not getting timely defensive stops. Should they be the ones to force Texas into some early turnovers this time around, QB Kyler Murray and this Sooners offense will make sure this game gets ugly in a hurry.

Finally, watching the betting markets themselves can tell you a lot about how this game is viewed by bettors and oddsmakers alike. With the predictable money coming in on Texas because “Tom Herman is 12-1 ATS as an underdog,” wouldn't you expect that the 80%+ action on Texas ML and 65%+ action on Texas + the points would shift this line the Longhorns way? After all, oddsmakers are well aware of those trends too, and yet, this line has actually moved up to -8 for Oklahoma.

Public underdogs are ones I've mentioned all year as teams you should generally stay away from, and when you get reverse line movement involved as well, that sentiment only grows. Don't forget that as the #5 team in the CFB Playoff rankings, Oklahoma knows they'll need to hang a convincing beating on Texas in this spot to get consideration for that #4 seed regardless of how the other conference title games play out. They saw how high Ohio State jumped in the rankings this week after they put in on Michigan last Saturday, so a similar 20+ point win for Oklahoma has to be the main goal for the Sooners this week.

Unless Oklahoma gets burned in the turnover battle again here, I have a tough time seeing how this won't be a double-digit win for the Sooners. Seeing Texas once already will help the defense in terms of understanding how they expect Texas to attack them. That's a similar case to what Oklahoma's defense did a year ago when they had one of their best performances in Big 12 play in their second meeting with a TCU squad (17 points allowed, fewest vs a Big 12 team not named Kansas) in that Big 12 title game. Texas probably gets to 20+ this week, but it won't be nearly enough to keep pace with this Sooners squad that should reach the mid-40's at a minimum.

Oklahoma wins this game by at least two TD's, as hopefully all this talk about Tom Herman's record as an underdog starts to become more of an afterthought going forward when he and the Longhorns crumble on this big stage.

Odds per - BetDSI.eu

Best Bet #1: Oklahoma -8

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 1

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UAB (9 - 3) at MIDDLE TENN ST (8 - 4) - 12/1/2018, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UAB is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (8 - 4) at UCF (11 - 0) - 12/1/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 77-105 ATS (-38.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
UCF is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
UCF is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 2-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 3-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS (9 - 3) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 1) - 12/1/2018, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAFAYETTE (7 - 5) at APPALACHIAN ST (9 - 2) - 12/1/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 3-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA (11 - 1) vs. ALABAMA (12 - 0) - 12/1/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ALABAMA is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
ALABAMA is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
GEORGIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FRESNO ST (10 - 2) at BOISE ST (10 - 2) - 12/1/2018, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 147-106 ATS (+30.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 147-106 ATS (+30.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 92-62 ATS (+23.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 83-51 ATS (+26.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 2-1 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-1 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (7 - 5) vs. CLEMSON (12 - 0) - 12/1/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NORTHWESTERN (8 - 4) vs. OHIO ST (11 - 1) - 12/1/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 189-146 ATS (+28.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 189-146 ATS (+28.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 171-132 ATS (+25.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E CAROLINA (3 - 8) at NC STATE (8 - 3) - 12/1/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARSHALL (8 - 3) at VIRGINIA TECH (5 - 6) - 12/1/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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AKRON (4 - 7) at S CAROLINA (6 - 5) - 12/1/2018, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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STANFORD (7 - 4) at CALIFORNIA (7 - 4) - 12/1/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
STANFORD is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
STANFORD is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 21-44 ATS (-27.4 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 1-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NCAAF

Week 14

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Trend Report

Saturday, December 1

East Carolina @ North Carolina State
East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of East Carolina's last 9 games on the road
East Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina State

North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
North Carolina State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

Akron @ South Carolina
Akron
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron's last 7 games

South Carolina
South Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games

Drake @ Iowa State
Drake
No trends to report

Iowa State
Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Iowa State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Texas @ Oklahoma
Texas
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma
Texas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma's last 8 games

Marshall @ Virginia Tech
Marshall
Marshall is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Marshall is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road

Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Marshall
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games when playing Marshall

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Appalachian State
Louisiana-Lafayette
No trends to report

Appalachian State
No trends to report

Alabama-Birmingham @ Middle Tennessee
Alabama-Birmingham
No trends to report

Middle Tennessee
No trends to report

Norfolk State @ Liberty
Norfolk State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Norfolk State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Norfolk State's last 5 games

Liberty
Liberty is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Liberty is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games

Incarnate Word @ Iowa State
Incarnate Word
Incarnate Word is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Incarnate Word is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

Iowa State
Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Iowa State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Stanford @ California
Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing California
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Stanford's last 8 games

California
California is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of California's last 7 games

Memphis @ Central Florida
Memphis
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Central Florida
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Central Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

Alabama @ Georgia
Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Alabama's last 7 games when playing Georgia

Georgia
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia's last 7 games when playing Alabama

Fresno State @ Boise State
Fresno State
No trends to report

Boise State
No trends to report

Clemson @ Pittsburgh
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Clemson is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Northwestern @ Ohio State
Northwestern
No trends to report

Ohio State
No trends to report
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