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NCAAFB Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Tuesday 11/6/18

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 11/6/18

 
Posted : November 6, 2018 10:01 am
(@shazman)
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Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bulls Preview and Predictions 11-06-2018

The Kent State Golden Flashes are not going to a bowl game this season, which means they are going to have to make the most of these last three games for first-year head coach Sean Lewis.

The Buffalo Bulls, on the other hand, are possibly headed toward their greatest season ever, with a quarterback who may be bound for the NFL someday and an offensive line that really knows how to protect him.

In the Mid-American Conference's quest for exposure, these teams get together for a Tuesday night showcase at UB Stadium in Buffalo.

TV: ESPNU, 7:30 PM ET. LINE: Buffalo -21.5

ABOUT KENT STATE: When you have an opportunity to get a win, you take it, and so Kent State (2-7 SU, 6-3 ATS) was happy to have encountered a floundering Bowling Green squad last Tuesday night. The Falcons lack defense and have been through a coaching change, and they also went into that game with a 1-7 record, but it was a struggle nonetheless for KSU, which trailed 13-7 at one point but came out of it with a 35-28 victory. Woody Barrett was inconsistent, going just 14 of 24 for 157 yards, but the Flashes really made the ground game work against a defense that was yielding 6.6 yards a carry. Barrett had 77 yards on the ground, but the real standout was Jo-el Shaw, who had 128 yards in place of the injured Justin Rankin. Shaw, from Pittsburgh, was originally committed to Syracuse, where current Kent State head coach Sean Lewis was the co-offensive coordinator. He didn't qualify academically, so he went to junior college. Lewis reached out for him when he got the head job with the Golden Flashes. Lewis' first signee at Kent State was Barrett, who was impressive enough as a high school prospect that he was brought aboard by Gus Malzahn at Auburn, and then transferred to JC ball last spring when there was too much of a logjam at quarterback.

ABOUT BUFFALO: Like Kent State, the Bulls (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS) played last Tuesday on the ESPN networks, and although they had a difficult time with Miami of Ohio's Gus Ragland, they were almost impossible to stop in their 51-42 victory at home. Tyree Jackson threw for 358 yards, and the guy he repeatedly looked to was Anthony Johnson, who had eight receptions for 238 yards and three touchdowns. Jackson is a downfield passer, averaging almost eight yards an attempt, and he has 23 TD passes. The 6-7 junior has been sacked only eight times. Johnson had only one 100-yard game before last Tuesday; he is actually the team's second-leading receiver, behind KJ Osborn (730 yards). There are a lot of other reasons the Bulls have been successful. They have some balance in the offense, with Kevin Marks and Jaret Patterson both approaching 600 yards rushing. And they've also got a +10 turnover margin. They are very competitive on the stop end, and in fact rank 16th in the nation in Passing Efficiency Defense. Junior linebacker Khalil Hodge ranks sixth in the nation in tackles. Last season he was second. Buffalo currently leads the MAC East division with a 5-0 record.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Buffalo head coach Lance Leipold won six national championships at the Division III level at Wisconsin-Whitewater and was runner-up another occasion. In each case, his team played Mount Union in the title game.

2. Kent State likes to operate with some "tempo," and indeed they are ninth in the nation in "Adjusted Pace." But since they don't generate enough on offense, they are outside the nation's top 100 in Time of Possession.

3. Kent State is dead last in the nation in two categories - Tackles for Loss allowed (10.56 per game) and Penalties Per Game (10.22).

PREDICTION: Buffalo 44, Kent State 21
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Posted : November 6, 2018 10:03 am
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NCAAF

Week 11

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Trend Report
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Tuesday, November 6

Kent State @ Buffalo
Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 6 games
Kent State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Buffalo
Buffalo is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
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Posted : November 6, 2018 11:24 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAF
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 6

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KENT ST (2 - 7) at BUFFALO (8 - 1) - 11/6/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Posted : November 6, 2018 11:24 am
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