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Need Help...looking for a Bowl System that was posted here last year, I think?

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(@4frogster)
Posts: 110
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Topic starter
 

Someone in this forum posted in this forum a Bowl System. I think it was Sagarin rated teams and it went something like..FADE EVERY team ATS whose strength of schedule rating is 60 or worse unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is even lower than theirs. Can anyone help?? Post the system, info, etc.

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 7:01 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Man I remember that system and it was dead on to,let me see if I can dig it up.

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 9:31 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
 

I found it 4Frogster

This is from last year and ended up a winner again if I remember correctly.

I saw this somewhere else, so I am not taking credit for it.
Just thought I would pass it along.

11-1 last season:
Here it is: Of the top 60 Sagarin-rated teams, FADE EVERY team ATS whose strength of schedule rating is 60 or worse unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is even lower than theirs.

So here are the teams to take ATS this year:
Here are the official plays:
1. Wake Forest = win
2. South Florida = win
3. Arizona = win
4. TCU = loss
5. Notre Dame = win
6. NC State =win
7. Missouri = loss
8. Maryland = win
9. Rice = win
10. Air Force = loss
11. Kansas = win
12. USC =win
13. Kentucky
14. Alabama
15. Connecticut
16. Ball State

http://www.thespread.com/forum/index.php?topic=60574.0

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 9:49 pm
 ritz
(@ritz)
Posts: 20
Eminent Member
 

I found it 4Frogster

This is from last year and ended up a winner again if I remember correctly.

I saw this somewhere else, so I am not taking credit for it.
Just thought I would pass it along.

11-1 last season:
Here it is: Of the top 60 Sagarin-rated teams, FADE EVERY team ATS whose strength of schedule rating is 60 or worse unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is even lower than theirs.

So here are the teams to take ATS this year:
Here are the official plays:
1. Wake Forest = win
2. South Florida = win
3. Arizona = win
4. TCU = loss
5. Notre Dame = win
6. NC State =win
7. Missouri = loss
8. Maryland = win
9. Rice = win
10. Air Force = loss
11. Kansas = win
12. USC =win
13. Kentucky
14. Alabama
15. Connecticut
16. Ball State

http://www.thespread.com/forum/index.php?topic=60574.0
[/quote

Mr Blade- Are these plays from last year? or this year's bowl plays with the sagarin fade system?

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 10:23 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Those were last years plays it was 9-3 up to the last 4 in the system, according to the guy that ran across it the system went 11-1 the year before.

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 10:25 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
 

Here are the Top 60 Sagarin ratings as of 12/5

1 Alabama
2 Florida
3 Texas
4 TCU
5 Oregon
6 Cincinnati
7 Virginia Tech
8 Boise State
9 Georgia Tech
10 LSU
11 Miami-Florida
12 Ohio State
13 Southern California
14 Arizona
15 Oregon State
16 Arkansas
17 Stanford
18 Pittsburgh
19 Iowa
20 Penn State
21 Clemson
22 Mississippi
23 Oklahoma
24 Nebraska
25 Auburn
26 Tennessee
27 West Virginia
28 Georgia
29 BYU
30 North Carolina
31 Texas Tech
32 Oklahoma State
33 California
34 South Carolina
35 Utah
36 Wisconsin
37 Villanova
38 Central Michigan
39 Boston College
40 Kentucky
41 Connecticut
42 Washington
43 UCLA
44 Florida State
45 Mississippi State
46 Houston
47 Missouri
48 Notre Dame
49 William & Mary
50 East Carolina
51 South Florida
52 Rutgers
53 Fresno State
54 Navy
55 Air Force
56 Nevada
57 Michigan State
58 Texas A&M
59 Wake Forest
60 Arizona State

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt09.htm?loc=interstitialskip

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 10:34 pm
(@rbacks3)
Posts: 5
Active Member
 

so how dose it work??

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 11:02 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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so how dose it work??

Of the top 60 Sagarin-rated teams, FADE EVERY team ATS whose strength of schedule rating is 60 or worse unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is even lower than theirs.

Follow that link and look at the " strength of schedule rating " and just follow the system above.

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 11:14 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
 

Here are the Top 60 Sagarin ratings as of 12/5

1 Alabama
2 Florida
3 Texas
4 TCU
5 Oregon
6 Cincinnati
7 Virginia Tech
8 Boise State
9 Georgia Tech
10 LSU
11 Miami-Florida
12 Ohio State
13 Southern California
14 Arizona
15 Oregon State
16 Arkansas
17 Stanford
18 Pittsburgh
19 Iowa
20 Penn State
21 Clemson
22 Mississippi
23 Oklahoma
24 Nebraska
25 Auburn
26 Tennessee
27 West Virginia
28 Georgia
29 BYU
30 North Carolina
31 Texas Tech
32 Oklahoma State
33 California
34 South Carolina
35 Utah
36 Wisconsin
37 Villanova
38 Central Michigan
39 Boston College
40 Kentucky
41 Connecticut
42 Washington
43 UCLA
44 Florida State
45 Mississippi State
46 Houston
47 Missouri
48 Notre Dame
49 William & Mary
50 East Carolina
51 South Florida
52 Rutgers
53 Fresno State
54 Navy
55 Air Force
56 Nevada
57 Michigan State
58 Texas A&M
59 Wake Forest
60 Arizona State

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt09.htm?loc=interstitialskip

These aren't the figures you need for this system so disregard,my bad.

You can find the numbers you need here.

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt09.htm?loc=interstitialskip

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 11:19 pm
 ritz
(@ritz)
Posts: 20
Eminent Member
 

Here are the Top 60 Sagarin ratings as of 12/5

1 Alabama
2 Florida
3 Texas
4 TCU
5 Oregon
6 Cincinnati
7 Virginia Tech
8 Boise State
9 Georgia Tech
10 LSU
11 Miami-Florida
12 Ohio State
13 Southern California
14 Arizona
15 Oregon State
16 Arkansas
17 Stanford
18 Pittsburgh
19 Iowa
20 Penn State
21 Clemson
22 Mississippi
23 Oklahoma
24 Nebraska
25 Auburn
26 Tennessee
27 West Virginia
28 Georgia
29 BYU
30 North Carolina
31 Texas Tech
32 Oklahoma State
33 California
34 South Carolina
35 Utah
36 Wisconsin
37 Villanova
38 Central Michigan
39 Boston College
40 Kentucky
41 Connecticut
42 Washington
43 UCLA
44 Florida State
45 Mississippi State
46 Houston
47 Missouri
48 Notre Dame
49 William & Mary
50 East Carolina
51 South Florida
52 Rutgers
53 Fresno State
54 Navy
55 Air Force
56 Nevada
57 Michigan State
58 Texas A&M
59 Wake Forest
60 Arizona State

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt09.htm?loc=interstitialskip

These aren't the figures you need for this system so disregard,my bad.

You can find the numbers you need here.

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt09.htm?loc=interstitialskip

here is some info i saw that may fit the bill-

Or.St-1.5 over BYU
Cal-3 over Utah
Miami-3 over Wisc
Mizzou-3 over Navy
LSU+3 over Penn St
Fla-10 over Cincy
Ark-7.5 over E.Car
Oregon-3.5 over OhSt

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 11:39 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
 

here is some info i saw that may fit the bill-

Or.St-1.5 over BYU
Cal-3 over Utah
Miami-3 over Wisc
Mizzou-3 over Navy
LSU+3 over Penn St
Fla-10 over Cincy
Ark-7.5 over E.Car
Oregon-3.5 over OhSt

You got it RITZ

I am sure there are more just to tired to look right now.

Now we just need to teach you how to use the quote feature. 😀

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 11:44 pm
(@4frogster)
Posts: 110
Estimable Member
Topic starter
 

WOW, great stuff guys. This is B E A utiful, lot's of contributions. I will try and get to the link that Blade posted, thank you and if someone else makes it their first, great. If whomever could post the plays that fit the system and because this is a little new to me and maybe some of you, let's have more than one post so we can make sure we are doing it correctly. Let's make some money this bowl season. GL to all.

 
Posted : December 9, 2009 11:38 am
(@4frogster)
Posts: 110
Estimable Member
Topic starter
 

Ok, here is what I have and the way I understand what we have. I will do the first 2 games just to make sure I am doing it correctly and I also think we will be having a new up dated Saragin list coming out soon.

The current Saragin list that I have is dated Dec. 5 2009 and it will change slightly. This list shows the following: Alabama #1, Florida #2, Texas #3, TCU #4, Oregon #5. As far as I know Texas is now #2 because they beat Nebraska and Alabama beat Florida.

To recap the instructions.

Of the top 60 Saragin rated teams, FADE EVERY team ATS whose SOS is 60 or worse unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is even lower than theirs.

The first bowl game is the New Mexico Bowl, Sat, Dec. 19 - we have WYOM vs FRSST.

WYOM is not ranked in the top 60 Saragin list, WYOM is ranked # 99. FRSST is ranked in the top 60 Saragin list, FRSST is ranked # 53.

The SOS for WYOM is 69.62 - the SOS for FRSST is 68.12.

So the play here would be to take the higher SOS team which is WYOM +10.5 pts.

Next game, St. Petersburg Bowl, Sat, Dec. 19 - we have CENFL vs RUTG.

CENFL is ranked 61 on the current list, again not in the top 60. RUTG is ranked # 52 on the current list.

The SOS for CENFL is 66.69 - the SOS for RUTG is 64.23.

So the play here would be to take the higher SOS team which is CENFL +2.5 pts.

I will do one more game where both are in the top 60.

Tuesday, Dec. 22, we have BYU vs OREST

BYU is ranked #29 in the current Saragin top 60 list - OREST is ranked #15.

BYU has an SOS of 68.04 - OREST has an SOS of 74.59.

So the play here would be on OREST -2.5 pts. Using the current top 60 Saragin rated list both teams are ranked. Both teams have an SOS that is hihger than 60, however we play on the team who has the higher SOS which is OREST.

Let me know what you guys think, right or wrong. I really don't know if I am doing this correctly, I may be looking at the Saragin list wrong and using the wrong columns.

 
Posted : December 9, 2009 2:21 pm
(@gramps)
Posts: 14
Eminent Member
 

If the SOS of lower than 60 is the criteria, then I dont see any teams qualifing for the system.

 
Posted : December 9, 2009 4:42 pm
(@4frogster)
Posts: 110
Estimable Member
Topic starter
 

If the SOS of lower than 60 is the criteria, then I dont see any teams qualifing for the system.

The way I understand the criteria is such:

1. Use the top 60 Saragin rated teams.
2. Fade every team ATS whose SOS is 60 or worse.
3. If or unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is lower than thier own SOS.

So, if none of the top 60 Saragin rated teams have a SOS of 60 or worse we fade the team that has the lower SOS and play on the team that has the higher SOS. Yes, no maybe? Thoughts.

 
Posted : December 9, 2009 5:12 pm
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