New Mexico State vs. Texas College Football Week 1 Free Pick
By Drew Sharper
AUSTIN, TX (The Spread) – No. 15 Texas welcomes New Mexico State to Texas Memorial Stadium on Saturday at 8PM ET on the Longhorn Network.
Texas is coming off a 9-4 record in 2012 in which the Longhorns were 6-7 against the spread. New Mexico State was just 1-11 last year and went 4-8 against the spread. These two haven’t met since the 2003 season, where Texas picked up a 66-7 victory.
Odds: The oddsmakers from Bovada.lv have Texas as the heavy favorite to win this game, as the Longhorns have a point spread of -42 against New Mexico State. The over/under odds have been set at 58 points
Line Movement: The opening odds for this game had Texas favored by 42 points as well. The point spread dropped to 41.5 points at one point before climbing back up to 42. The over/under total opened at 56.5 points and was never lower than that, hitting its peak of 58 points.
Public Betting: Of the wagers that have been placed on this game, 68% are going on Texas with odds of -42 points against New Mexico State. Be sure to click on the public betting link to get the latest odds and betting percentages.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PICK: Take the under. According to latest college football trends, the Longhorns have hit the under in 4 of their last 5 games on fieldturf and 6 of their last 8 home games. New Mexico State has hit the under in 9 of its last 13 games on fieldturf as well. Texas may not have much of a defense in a national perspective, but it should be good enough to keep New Mexico State from finding much offense. The Longhorns will score some points, but it would have to score most, if not all, of the 58 points to cover the over/under total.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 1 FREE PICK: NEW MEXICO STATE/TEXAS UNDER 58