Tony Mathew's Free College Basketball Selection for January 1, 2008.
Matchup: Cincinnati vs. Louisville
Selection: Louisville -14 (-110)
Explanation: We will lay the points with Louisville as they face-off against Cincinnati in Tuesday's College Basketball contest.
Louisville has the much better offense. Louisville (at home) is scoring an average of 74.4 points per game, while Cincinnati (on the road) is scoring an average of only 60.5 points per game. To say the least, Louisville has the much better offense.
Louisville also has the better defense. Louisville (at home) is allowing opponents to score an average of only 57.6 points per game, while Cincinnati (on the road) is allowing opponents to score an average of 71 points per game. It's clear that Louisville has a huge advantage on defense.
Louisville is 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games against Big East Conference teams, while Cincinnati is 7-21-4 ATS in their last 32 games against Big East Conference teams.
Take Louisville -14!
Larry Ness | CFB Side
triple-dime bet466 Missouri -3.0 vs Arkansas
Analysis:
Arkansas has come a long way since opening the year 0-3 in the SEC, ending the regular season with triple-OT win at LSU. Since the final game of the regular season, Arkansas has made plenty of headlines off the field. First, Houston Nutt decided to leave his post as head coach and take over at Ole Miss. Then, on December 11th, Bobby Petrino resigned as head coach of the Atlanta Falcons to fill the void left by Nutt. DC Reggie Herring will coach the Razorbacks in the Cotton Bowl. Missouri was one win away from a national title game appearance but lost to Oklahoma (for the second time TY) in the Big 12 title game. Missouri really deserved a BCS bid but was left out of the mix. Excluding Oklahoma, Missouri scored 36-plus points on EVERY opponent in '07, going 11-0 vs any school not based in Norman, Oklahoma! Daniel (4,170 YP / 69.7% / 33-10 ratio) was great at QB and when healthy, as he is now, Temple is an explosive RB. TE Rucker (81) and Coffman (51) are a deadly duo and freshman WR Maclin (9 TDs receiving, 4 rushing and 3 on kick returns) is just SPECIAL! While McFadden (1,725 yards) is the nation's best RB and Jones (1,117 / 9.1 YPC!) is a star in the making, QB Casey Dick has MAJOR limitations. His ratio went from 9-6 LY to 18-9 TY but he didn't reach 1,500 YP on the season, topping 200 yards in a game against only North Texas (Daniel topped 300 yards in EIGHT games!). The Missouri D will have no worries with Dick and over the season's final nine games, allowed just 101 YPG and 3.3 YPC on the ground. The Arkansas D allowed good but not great passing teams like Ala, Ky, Sou Car, Tenn and LSU to average 40.2 PPG. Just imagine what Daniel and Co. are capable of. Arkansas also has a terrible bowl history, going 3-12 SU (4-11 ATS) since '79, including a 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS on New Year's Day. Let's also note that so far this year, bowl teams playing after losing their head coach prior to the game, are now 0-5 SU with Fresno's win over Ga Tech (my 20* Underdog GOY!). LEGEND Play on Missouri.
Ben Burns' BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR!! 6-2 L8
Under USC
Burns
Roast----Arkansas
Bowl GOY----Georgia
Bowl TOY----under USC/Ill
NHL best bet---Sabres
Brandon Lang
20 DIME - Southern California
10 DIME - Missouri
5 Dime - Missouri-Arkansas Over
5 Dime - Michigan
Vegas Experts Tip Of The Day
3 winning months in a row
December 18-11
Nov 17-10
Oct 15-10
50-31 last 3 months
Under Illi./Usc
Wolkosky Milan
373-290-15 last one hundred twenty eight days
43-21-2 last ten days!
5-3 Yesterday
Today:
10* TENNESSEE -1.5
10* MISSOURI -3
10* MICHIGAN +10.5
10* USC -13.5
10* ILL/USC UNDER 50.5
Alex Smart
Texas Tech -5.5
Mike Rose
Michigan +10.5
Pac Star
Michigan / Florida OVER 59
Ethan Law
Missouri -3
Advantage Plays 4* Best Bet for the Rose Bowl Posted Today at 02:06 AM
You should look into getting this early as the weather forecast will drop this like a rock...
4**** Best Bet/ USC UNDER 50
I am running behind and will not be able to provide the usual three paragraphs of analysis, but I was playing this one UNDER even before I saw the forecast of 30+ mph sustained winds with gusts over 50 mph expected. The Rose Bowl will be swirling as it sits in an actual bowl and no protection, but moreso neither of these teams have deep passing games and prefer to keep it on the ground. The coaches may be forced to play a field position game as field goals will be treacherous at best.
While many think of the Trojan offense as a "light 'em up" scheme, they only had one play over 50 yards in the air all year and their yards per pass attempt numbers are marginal. The Illini have a QB who is not respected as a passer and he lacks the arm strngth to battle the breezes. Aside from special teams scores and turnovers deep in home territory, this game should be played low, around 42 points by my numbers.
Kelso
25 units Florida -10
25 units Illinois +14
25 units Georgia -7.5
plus round robin 2 team parlays for 5 units each and a 3 team parlay for 10 units totalling 100 units
3 units Wisc +1.5
3 units Arkansas +3
3 units TxTch/Virginia OVER 58
Frank Rosenthal
OUTBACK BOWL
464 WISKY-1 SB
UNDER 57.5 SB
COTTON BOWL
466 MISSOURI-3 SB
UNDER 68 SB+
CAPITOL ONE BOWL
468 FLORIDA-10 SB+
OVER 59 SB
MUSIC CITY BOWL
458 KY-9 SB
UNDER 58 SB
GATOR BOWL
469 TEXAS TECH-5 SB
UNDER 59.5 SB
ROSE BOWL
472 USC-13.5 SB
UNDER 50 SB+
SUGAR BOWL
464 GEORGIA-7 SB
UNDER 69 SB
COLLEGE HOOPS
501 CINCY+14 SB
504 BAMA+2.5 SB
Lenny 20* Stevens
20 star Michigan
10 star Arkansas
10 star USC
CAPPERS ACCESS
CFB Tennessee
CFB Missouri
CFB Florida
CFB Illinois
ETHAN LAW
1* TEXAS TECH/VIRGINIA UNDER 59
1* MISSOURI -3
1/2* USC/ILLINOIS UNDER 50
1/2* WISCONSIN +2
1/2* FLORIDA/MICHIGAN UNDER 61
LEANS
MICHIGAN +11
HAWAII +8
Joe Wiz
CFB - Arkansas (+3.5) (-120)
CHARLIES SPORTS
6-0 in bowls yesterday
500* ncaaf bowl game of the year
tuesday january 1, 2008.
college football. georgia-7' (500* )
college football. illinois+14 (30*)
college football. texas tech @ virginia under 59 (20*)
college football. michigan+10' (20*)
college football. tennessee-1' (10*)
college football. missouri-3 (10*) free play
three2won
Tennessee -1.5
2-UNITS
Wisconsin has a run heavy offense (like Arkansas) that has a hobbled PJ Hill that will not start.
When Wisconsin wants to pass they turn to one of the best tight ends in the country, Travis Beckum, but he's suffering from a shoulder stinger (which means he plays), but he's matched up against line backers and safeties that have the ability to stop him in the open field.
I will make this as clear as I can.
Tennessee thrives against 1-DIMENTIONAL offenses.
Refer to McFadden and ARKANSAS:
TN 34-ARK 13
TN can cover the TE, and the suspensions and missing players are not going to have the effect that many are predicting. The reserves behind the three missing starters are actually veterans so there's no real drop-off.
Tennessee is Deep and LB, Deep at WR, Deep enough on the D-Line.
1. Wisconsin's secondary, and interior defensive line is in shambles.
2. Tennessee can actually run a stout NICKLE defense that can HAWK the RB or tackle the big TE in the open field.
3. Wisconsin's defensive line will not be able to stifle the TN passing game, and they DO NOT match-up AT ALL on the RUN.
In the end you have to see this game from the Offensive point of view.
I see this:
Tennessees Offensive line has allowed only a handful of sacks all season long, and now they are facing a banged up Wisconsin defense that will be exploited on the front end with a weak interior, and on the back end with a secondary that is a shadow of its former self.
In my thinking, you should fade the defense that cant stop the run, especially if they dont have the proper support from the 3rd level.
*Wisconsin allows almost 5 yards per carry.
It all starts in the trenches:
The Badgers have a 268 pound reserve defensive tackle that will NOT require a double team. Newkirk has trouble with average Big 10 lines, so this mismatch will be paramount. Newkirk will be facing A Left Guard that is VERY good at run blocking, and the RG is 330 pounds, and more than capable of handling the smaller interior lineman. Arian Foster is a BIG, one-cut running back that is well suited to run between the tackles. It seems like a perfect overlay for a few big runs.
Tennessee should exploit this mismatch immediately, especially if the Badgers are afraid to pack the box (due to inexperience and injury in the secondary)
And when you review the injuries in the secondary, then you have to think that packing the box with be a risky game-plan.
Im not sure how well the Badgers can handle man coverage if they dont get penetration from their defensive line. There probably wont be any coverage sacks today.
It appears that Ainge will be able to pick his spots today.
In football, you have to find the team that SHOULD be able to exert its will on the enemy. Tennessee is definitely the team that has the ROBOTIC advantage when it comes to running their schemes.
We have a small point spread, but the actual disparity is large. Tennessee should score, and I think the Badgers can be taken out of their running game if Tennessee can get out to an early lead.
If the Tennessee defense struggles, then I still think we have the offense that should be able to match Wisconsin.
Take the points.
MIKE ROSE
CFB
1/1/2008
TENNESSEE -2
CFB
1/1/2008
WISCONSIN at TENNESSEE Under 58.5
CFB
1/1/2008
VIRGINIA 6
CFB
1/1/2008
ILLINOIS at USC Under 50
CFB
1/1/2008
HAWAII 7.5