NFL betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, December 19th, 2016
CAROLINA (5 - 8 ) at WASHINGTON (7 - 5 - 1) - 12/19/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CAROLINA is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 58-90 ATS (-41.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games when playing on Monday night since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 22-44 ATS (-26.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA vs. WASHINGTON
Carolina is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Carolina is 3-6-2 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Carolina at Washington
Carolina: 8-1 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3
Washington: 4-15 ATS in home games when playing on Monday night
NFL Week 15
Panthers (5-8 ) @ Redskins (7-5-1) — Washington enters week half-game behind Bucs in Wild Card race; Redskins won/covered last four home games, scoring 31.5 pts/game- they’re 3-1 as home favorites. Panthers are 1-5 on road, with only win 13-10 at LA; they were favored in four of six road games, are 1-1 as a road underdog. Washington scored 23+ points in its last six games; they’re 6-1 allowing less than 27 points. Carolina held Redskins to nine first downs in 44-16 win LY; Panthers won last four series games after losing seven of previous eight- Carolina lost five of six games here. NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 9-2 vs spread. NFC East home favorites are 7-3. Last six Redskin games went over total; under is 4-2 in last six Carolina games. Hopefully Cam Newton wore a tie on the team flight.
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NFL: Streaks, Tips, Notes
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Carolina at Washington
Redskins enter the contest 7-5-1 (9-4 ATS) overall with a +1.0 winning margin, 4-2 SU/ATS at home with a +2.7 differential. On the other side, Panthers are 5-8 (4-8-1 ATS) on the campaign with a -2.0 losing margin, 1-5 (1-4-1 ATS) on the road losing by an average -8.7 points/game.
Redskins with more at stake looking to keep their slim playoff hopes alive, oddsmakers opened Redskins -4.0 point home favorite. But, betting market has since moved Skins' to -7.0 point faves. Currently in Over/Under markets, the Total is sitting at 51.0
Given what's at stake, Redskins should get the job done in front of the home audience. However, coming through against-the-spread will be a challenger.
The Redskins have a habit of floundering against the betting line in the situation they find themselve here. Redskins are 1-3 ATS as home chalk vs teams with a sub .400% record, they're a money-burning 1-6 ATS as home favorites vs a team off a win its previous effort. Additionally, Redskins have not responded at FedEx Field under Monday night light's posting money-guzzling 1-9 record against the betting line including 0-3 ATS handing points to the visitor.
MNF - Panthers at Redskins
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
The Week 15 card wraps up on Monday night from Washington as the Redskins look to stay alive in the NFC playoff race against the Panthers. Last season, Carolina lost its first game in Week 16 following a 14-0 start, but went through the expected letdown this season after a Super Bowl appearance by limping to a 5-8 record. The Panthers can put a dent in Washington’s postseason hopes with a road victory at FedEx Field.
LAST WEEK
Carolina (5-8 SU, 4-8-1 ATS) rebounded from a 40-7 drubbing at Seattle in Week 13 to beat San Diego last Sunday, 28-16 to cash as one-point home favorites. After allowing a total of 75 points in the previous two losses, the Panthers’ defense stepped up by causing five turnovers, including three interceptions of Chargers’ quarterback Philip Rivers. Kicker Graham Gano connected on four field goals for Carolina, while the Panthers overcame just 10 completions from Cam Newton to improve to 4-3 at Bank of America Stadium.
Washington (7-5-1 SU, 9-4 ATS) finished off a string of three consecutive road games by rallying past Philadelphia, 27-22 to cover as two-point favorites. The Redskins lost the previous two weeks at Dallas and Arizona, but pulled off the season sweep of the Eagles thanks to a pair of touchdown passes by Kirk Cousins and the go-ahead touchdown run scored by Chris Thompson after the two-minute warning. DeSean Jackson burned his former team by hauling in three catches for 102 yards and a touchdown, his highest yardage mark in a victory this season.
SERIES HISTORY
The Panthers have won four consecutive matchups with the Redskins since 2009, including three victories at Bank of America Stadium. Last season, Carolina blasted Washington, 44-16 to easily cover as seven-point favorites. The Redskins hung around after one quarter, tying the Panthers at 14-14 with a 99-yard kickoff return for a touchdown. However, Carolina exploded for 17 points in the second quarter and only allowed a fourth quarter safety in the final 45 minutes. Newton diced up the Redskins’ defense for five touchdown passes to five different receivers, as last season’s MVP owns a perfect 3-0 record against Washington in his career.
LINE MOVEMENT
The Las Vegas Westgate Superbook opened the Redskins as four-point favorites with a total of 51, but Washington has jumped to seven-point chalk. The total is still a solid 51 across the board as game-time temperatures are expected to be in the low 30’s.
ROAD WOES
Carolina has slumped to a 1-5 mark on the highway this season following a 7-1 road record last season. The Panthers dropped three of those games by three points or less at Denver, Oakland, and New Orleans, while allowing at least 35 points in four of six road contests, as Carolina is 5-1 to the OVER away from Bank of America Stadium. Carolina is listed as an underdog for the third time this season, going 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS with the lone cover coming at Oakland as 3½-point ‘dogs in a 35-32 setback.
MONDAY NIGHT MISERY
Since 2013, the Redskins have struggled on Monday Night Football by posting a 1-5 SU/ATS record, including an 0-5 SU/ATS mark at FedEx Field. In this season’s opener against Pittsburgh, the Redskins were steamrolled by the Steelers, 38-16 on Monday night as 2½-point underdogs. The last time Washington won a Monday night home game came in 2012 against the Giants, as the Redskins own a dreadful 2-15 record on Mondays at FedEx Field since the stadium opened in 1997.
HOME COOKING
The Redskins will look to break their Monday night jinx as home teams on Monday night have fared well over the last two months by going 7-2 SU and 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine weeks. Following a five-week UNDER run, the OVER has hit in four of the past six Monday night games.
HANDICAPPER'S CORNER
VegasInsider.com handicapper Vince Akins provides a solid trend which goes against the home team on Monday, "The Redskins are 0-12 ATS (-9.3 ppg) since October 1999 as a home favorite of more than three points coming off a game where they covered while scoring no more than 28 points."
PROPS
Carolina
C. Newton – Total Completions
19 – OVER (-110)
19 – UNDER (-110)
C. Newton – Total Touchdown Passes + Interceptions
2 – OVER (-110)
2 – UNDER (-110)
J. Stewart – Total Rushing Yards
69½ - OVER (-110)
69½ - UNDER (-110)
Washington
K. Cousins – Total Gross Passing Yards
283½ - OVER (-110)
283½ - UNDER (-110)
K. Cousins – Total Touchdown Passes
1½ - OVER (-170)
1½ - UNDER (+150)
R. Kelly – Total Rushing Yards
66½ - OVER (-110)
66½ - UNDER (-110)
NEXT WEEK
The Redskins opened as a 3½-point road favorite at Chicago in Week 16 at the Westgate Superbook, their fourth away contest in the past five weeks. Carolina is listed as a 2½-point home underdog against Atlanta next Sunday according to the Westgate, one year after the Falcons upset the Panthers as a home ‘dog.
Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Carolina at Washington
By Covers.com
Carolina Panthers at Washington (-6.5, 50.5)
How much of an impact Josh Norman's decision to leave Carolina via free agency had on the team will never be known, but one thing is certain: The Panthers will need a miracle to return to the postseason. Sitting three games out of the final playoff spot in the NFC with three to play, Carolina will pay a visit to Norman and the Washington Redskins on Monday night.
Panthers coach Ron Rivera said his team has "no room for error" and quarterback Cam Newton insisted going up against Norman, who signed a $75 million, five-year deal with the Redskins, is not part of the game plan. "It's not a game about him vs. us," Newton said. "We just need to win this game." Washington is not in as precarious a situation as Carolina but still faces an uphill climb, trailing Tampa Bay by one-half game for the sixth seed in the NFC. The Redskins suffered their worst loss of the 2015 season with a 44-16 beating at Carolina 13 months ago.
POWER RANKINGS: Carolina (2) - Washington (-1) + home field (-3) = Washington -2
LINE HISTORY: Washington opened as 4.5-home favorites and the public quickly jumped on the home team - bumping the line up two-full points to 6.5. The total hit the board at 51 and has been faded half-point to 50.5. View the complete line history here.
WEATHER REPORT: The forecast for FedEx Field on Monday night is calling for partly cloudy skies with temperatures in the high-20’s at kickoff. There will also be a 2-7 mph winds from the north just to make things a little more frosty.
WHAT BOOKS SAY: “We had Washington listed as a -4.5 point favourite Sunday night and by Monday afternoon it was up to Redskins-5 , and Wednesday we were up to -6 and finally settling in on our current number of Washington -6.5 where we are seeing just over 55% of the Action on the Redskins to cover.” - Michael Stewart from CarbonGaming.ag.
INJURIES:
Carolina - LB Luke Kuechly (probable, concussion), K Graham Gano (probable, heel), QB Cam Newton (probable, shoulder), WR Kelvin Benjamin (questionable, back), OT Daryl Williams (questionable, ankle), DE Charles Johnson (questionable, hamstring), LB David Mayo (questionable, concussion)
Washington - TE Jordan Reed (probable, shoulder), DE Chris Baker (questionable, ankle), RB Mack Brown (questionable, concussion), LB Ryan Kerrigan (questionable, knee), OT Ty Nsekhe (questionable, ankle), LB Martrell Spaight (questionable, shoulder), P Tress Way (questionable, ankle), RB Matt Jones (questionable, knee), G Spencer Long (questionable, concussion), S Will Blackmon (questionable, concussion), G Shawn Lauvao (questionable, groin), L Will Compton (questionable, knee), S Su’a Cravens (doubtful, bicep)
ABOUT CAROLINA (5-8 SU, 4-8-1 ATS, 7-6 O/U): Although Carolina is coming off a 28-16 victory over San Diego, its playoff hopes went on life support following a disastrous two-game West Coast trip in which its defense was carved up for 75 points in losses at Oakland and Seattle. Star middle linebacker Luke Kuechly, sidelined for the past three games, has practiced fully for the past three days but remains in the NFL's concussion protocol. Newton, dealing with a sore throwing shoulder that limited him in practice this week, has only 15 touchdown passes after tossing a career-high 35 last season and has failed to reach 200 yards in the air in three of the past four games. Carolina has amassed a league-best 39 sacks.
ABOUT WASHINGTON (7-5-1 SU, 9-4 ATS, 11-2 O/U): Washington coach Jay Gruden is not worried about Norman being overly amped up to face his former team, which allowed him to walk as a free agent after pulling back the franchise tag. "The good thing with Josh is that it doesn't vary week to week," Gruden said. "He gets up for everybody. That's the beauty of him. That's why he's such a great player, because he doesn't discriminate as far as him and his emotions and his level of intensity for game day." Quarterback Kirk Cousins has surpassed 4,000 yards for the second straight season and could get a boost with tight end Jordan Reed (shoulder), limited to one catch last week. Washington has won three straight at home, averaging 33 points.
TRENDS:
* Panthers are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 road games.
* Panthers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
* Washington are 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
* Over is 13-3 in Panthers last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Underdog is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
CONSENESUS: The public is split 50/50 on the betting line. The over is getting 59 percent of the action.