Friday's NFL Week 3 Preseason Betting Preview
By Covers.com
New England Patriots at Carolina Panthers (-3.5, 44.5)
Tom Brady is apparently recovered from "scissorgate" and is available to play Friday night. As usual, we aren't hearing much out of Patriots camp - but I think it's safe to expect Brady to get some time with the first offensive unit and Jimmy Garoppolo to also get some time with the starters. The order they play in doesn't really matter but expect Brady for one quarter and Garoppolo for two quarters. The Patriots also learned this week that they will be without RB Dion Lewis for another 8-10 weeks after experiencing a setback with his knee. LeGarrette Blount, James White, Brandon Bolden and Tyler Gaffney will all be called upon to fill the void. Tight end Rob Gronkowski returned to practice this week and should be available to play Friday night.
This is the third straight year that the Panthers and Patriots have met during "dress rehearsal" week. Carolina has lost, and failed to cover the spread in, each of the past two preseason meetings but head coach Ron Rivera said the plan will be the same this time around. The plan is to play the starters for the entire first half, practice making halftime adjustments, and play one or two possessions into the third quarter before handing the ball to the backups. Tight End Greg Olsen will likely be held out after missing a week of practices with back spasms - he is back to practicing now but has been held out of contact drills.
Buffalo Bills at Washington Redskins (-2.5, 43)
Bills wide receiver Sammy Watkins will make his preseason debut, Friday against Washington. Watkins is finally healthy and has been ramping up to his return, five months removed from surgery on his foot and head coach Rex Ryan believes the former first round pick is ready to go. Watkins won't see as much time as other starters, but both Ryan and quarterback Tyrod Taylor wanted to get Watkins some real game exposure before the season in order to build some more chemistry between the receiver and his quarterback.
Washington will be without their top two running backs Friday, when they welcome the Buffalo Bills to town. Matt Jones is out with an AC injury to his shoulder and Chris Thompson is being held out for what is being called "precautionary reasons." That means rookies Robert Kelley and Keith Marshall will be seeing the majority of the action with the first team. Both have shown a lot of promise in camp, according to head coach Jay Gruden and while it's an opportunity to show what they can do, it also means they go up a first team defense for the first time and it's a good one at that.
Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Bucaneers (-3.5, 42)
Cleveland's starting offense (Robert Griffin III, Corey Coleman, Josh Gordon, Terrelle Pryor, Gary Barnidge and Duke Johnson) will all play together in a game for the first time Friday night against the Bucs. They're excited, and there is plenty of raw talent there, but do you think the fact that Sports Illustrated has picked them to win only one game this season will be on their minds - ONE GAME! Cornerback Joe Haden looks to be rounding into form nicely after offseason ankle surgery. Haden picked off Bucs' quarterback Jameis Winston twice during joint practices this week and he's looking forward to Friday's game.
Tampa Bay will focus on getting off to a quick start Friday night. They have really struggled, both last season and in their first two preseason games, in the opening quarter and will focus on not being behind early against the Browns. The Bucs have indicated that their starting units will play "into the second half" and the majority of them will not play at all during preseason Week 4. This one will be televised nationally on CBS - never thought I'd see a Browns at Bucaneers game being blasted nationally - preseason or otherwise.
Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints (-1.5, 45)
If you want to watch Steelers star running back Le'Veon Bell in NFL action any time soon, you should probably tune into the game Friday night. Even so, the expectation is Bell won't get more than a few carries to show coaches and fans he is healthy. Additionally, both Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown should take their first snaps of the preseason. Head coach Mike Tomlin said all healthy players will play in "some form or fashion" against the Saints. Tomlin has been cryptic about how much they will play, so don't expect more than a few series for his big stars this week.
The Saints offensive starters will play a "good half" of Friday's night game, according to head coach Sean Payton, who said he wants to see more from his first team offense. "I want to see our first offense be better," Payton told reporters said Wednesday. "I want to see us play better in the front, and I want to see us run the ball better. The third down numbers have been solid, but I would say that's important."
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (-1, 46.5)
Packers' quarterback Aaron Rodgers will see his first, and only, preseason game action Friday night. Rodgers hasn't been told how long he will play but he did indicate that he will not be playing in preseason Week 4. In Green Bay's first two preseason games the running game was dominant with a lighter, better Eddie Lacy leading the charge. It'll be interesting to see if this is a change in offensive identity for the pass-happy Packers, or if things will get back to the air with Rodgers back on the field.
The battle for the No. 1 quarterback job in San Francisco has been a hot topic for the last few months and it officially comes to a head Friday night. Blaine Gabbert has been handling the starting job for most practices and the first two preseason games - but that was with Colin Kaepernick sidelined with shoulder "fatigue". Well, Kaep is back and the duo split reps with the first team at practice this week. Head coach Chip Kelly is never one to discuss his game plan in advance but I think everyone is expecting an even split of playing time against the Packers.
Friday's Preseason Tips
By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider.com
Patriots at Panthers (-3½, 44½)
New England
Head coach: Bill Belichick (48-39 SU, 43-37-7 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback rotation: Tom Brady (?), Jimmy Garoppolo, Jacoby Brissett (rookie)
Beat Twitter Follow: Mike Reiss
Brady's availability may as well be a nationally-guarded secret, but his participation really doesn't matter. Garoppolo will play the bulk of this one as Belichick attempts to get his QB for the first four games prepared to hold the fort down.
Carolina
Head coach: Ron Rivera (12-10 SU, 12-10 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback rotation: Cam Newton, Derek Anderson, Joe Webb
Beat Twitter Follow: Joe Person
Newton has gotten a lot of seasoning already this postseason, so beyond re-establishing a rapport with Benjamin, there's little to prove. Vets will follow, which combined with their great defense, makes Carolina among Friday's top plays.
Bills at Redskins (-3, 43)
Buffalo
Head Coach: Rex Ryan (14-16 SU, 14-16 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback Rotation: Tyrod Taylor, E.J. Manuel, Cardale Jones (rookie)
Beat Twitter Follow: Mike Rodak
This is going to be a fantastic test for Taylor, who was awarded with a contract extension before the preseason began but is still basically working year-to-year. With former first-rounderManuel also set to get time and Jones looking impressive, the Bills should have impressive QB play.
Washington
Head coach: Jay Gruden (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback rotation: Kirk Cousins, Colt McCoy, Nate Sudfeld (rookie)
Beat Twitter Follow: Mike Jones
You like that? Cousins will see extended action for the first time this preseason and should provide more room for optimism at home. With the rest of the NFC East struggling, this is a huge opportuntiy for the 'Skins to see growth from the key to their franchise.
Browns at Buccaneers (-3½, 42)
Cleveland
Head coach: Hue Jackson (0-6 SU, 0-6 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback rotation: Robert Griffin III, Josh McCown, Austin Davis, Cody Kessler (rookie)
Beat Twitter Follow: Mary Kay Cabot
Although Jackson still hasn't even covered a preseason spread, much less win outright, he's got RG III playing like he's at Baylor, throwing deep and looking comfortable in the pocket. McCown has looked solid too, but there hasn't been much depth behind the top two.
Tampa Bay
Head coach: Dirk Koetter (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback rotation: Jameis Winston, Mike Glennon, Ryan Griffin
Beat Twitter Follow: Jenna Laine
Tampa Bay turned it over five times in the preseason opener and looked much sharper last week, so you can expect the coaching staff to unleash their weapons in an effort to see consistency in addition to firepower. There's too much talent at the QB position for ths group to struggle, which means Koetter is losing his mind at this point. Beyond Winston, he has to develop depth. On the bright side, Glennon hasn't played well enough to become trade bait.
Steelers at Saints (-2, 45)
Pittsburgh
Head coach: Mike Tomlin (21-19 SU, 16-23-1 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback rotation: Ben Roethlisberger, Landry Jones, Bryn Renner
Beat Twitter Follow: Gerry Dulac
Although Roethlisberger will debut, Tomlin has never been one to push the envelope this time of year. With Bruce Gradkowski and Dustin Vaughan ailing, this will certainly be Jones and the unproven Renner wrapping up maaters. Renner, a former standout at UNC, needs to prove he's a pro.
New Orleans
Head coach: Sean Payton (19-20 SU, 21-18-1 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback rotation: Drew Brees, Luke McCown, Garrett Grayson
Beat Twitter Follow: Mike Triplett
This is the highest total we've seen to date. While these teams will undoubtedly be among the highest-scoring and fastest-paced during the regular season, it will be interesting to see how the two veteran coaches handle this preseason test. Brees looks great now that he's healthy, so Payton may not need to see much from him, which could open the door for Josh McCown to get a longer look. Roethlisberger will debut and probably play a half, but you'll be pulling for Jones again if on the Steelers since Bruce Gradkowski and Dustin Vaughan are both likely out.
Packers at 49ers (-2, 46½)
Green Bay
Head coach: Mike McCarthy (22-20 SU, 22-20 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback rotation: Aaron Rodgers, Brett Hundley, Joe Callahan (rookie), Marquise Williams (rookie)
Beat Twitter Follow: Rob Demovsky
McCarthy has never been big on the preseason, so there's a huge possibility that Rodgers' first appearance ends up being nothng more than a cameo, especially since Hundley has missed time with an ankle injury. Being out there is invaluable for him in a way that is irrelevant for Rodgers. The rookies have also shown signs. If Rodgers finishes the first half, I'd be shocked. He won't play next week so this will be it for him. It remains to be seen how long he goes, especially since Hundley needs work after missing the early portion of preseason due to an ankle issue.
San Francisco
Head coach: Chip Kelly (8-6 SU, 8-6 ATS in preseason)
Quarterback rotation: Blaine Gabbert, Colin Kaepernick, Cristian Ponder, Jeff Driskel (rookie)
Beat Twitter Follow: Cam Inman
Unless Kaepernick sets the world on fire, he looks like Gabbert's backup, so it will be intriguing to see how he fares. Tempo is obviously crucial to Kelly’s philosophy and the 49ers ran 52 offensive plays and racked up over 300 yards in the first half of the preseason opener against the Texans, so Kaepernick really has his work cut out for him as he tries to keep pace. Ponder impressed in his debut while Driskel has looked like he doesn't belong at this level, so all four 49ers quarterbacks have a lot to prove.