MIAMI (6 - 5) at NY JETS (2 - 8) - 12/1/2014, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI vs. NY JETS
Miami is 7-13-1 ATS in their last 21 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home
NY Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games at home
Miami at New York Jets
Miami: 11-2 UNDER versus division opponents
New York: 2-10 ATS off a division game
Miami @ NY Jets
The Dolphins are 13-6 ATS when the total is 35½ to 42 points and 18-12 ATS versus AFC opponents, but 16-21 ATS playing on Monday night. Miami is 24-16 Under overall, 7-2 Under as a favorite of 3½ to 9½ points, 11-5 Under as a favorite overall, 13-7 Under on the road, 34-20 Under on the road with a total of 38½ to 42 points, 20-9 Under verus AFC opponents, 11-2 Under versus divisional opponents, 9-3 Under playing on turf, 8-2 Under playing in a dome, 8-2 Under versus losing teams in the second half of the season, but they’re 24-14 Over playing on Monday night. The Jets are 2-8 ATS this season, 1-5 ATS at home, 9-16 ATs when the total is 35½ to 42 points, 2-10 ATS after a divisional game, 2-6 ATS off a divisional loss and 2-7 ATS in weeks 10 through 13, but they’re 16-7 ATS playing on Monday night. New York is 14-9 Over as a home dog of 3½ to 7 points, but 7-3 Under playing in December. In this series the Jets are 26-13 ATS, but Miami is 2-0 ATS the last 2 trips to New York.
NFL Week 13
Dolphins (6-5) @ Jets (2-9) -- Miami won five of last six visits here, winning 30-9/23-3 in last two in series where road team won last four games. Jets covered against Packers-Pats-Steelers, all good teams, are 0-7-1 vs spread in other eight games; five of their last six losses are by 14+ points, evidence of lack of heart once they fall behind- they were outscored 56-9 in second half of last four games. Smith gets nod at QB for Jets, who are 2-4 at home, with losses by 8-7-14-20 points. Since 2006, Jets are 8-16-1 vs spread in divisional home games. Dolphins won four of last six games, losing last two on road, at Lions/Denver. Over is 28-10 in nationally televised primetime games this year. Five of last six Miami games, last three Jet games stayed under total.
Armadillosports.com
NF: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
The Monday night'r features AFC East rivals Miami Dolphins and New York Jets squaring off at MetLife Stadium. In their last game, Miami squandered a 28-17 third quarter lead losing 39-36 to the Broncos at Sports Authority Field at Mile High but did cash as 6.5 point road underdogs. Dolphins with slim playoff hopes still alive hit the field 6-5 on the year with a 7-4 mark against the spread. Meanwhile, Jets off another horrible performance shellacked 38-3 by the Bills now stand at 2-9 with a 2-8-1 record against the betting line. The game matches up Dolphins' 9th ranked offense (25.9) against Jets' 30th ranked defense (27.5) and Dolphins' 8th ranked defense (19.9) vs Jets 30th ranked offense (16.1). The disparity in talent, Dolphins are handing Jets 6.5 to 7.0 points of offense. Jets with Gino Smith taking snaps the slump deepens. Lay the points, Dolphins have thrived in Jets back yard posting a 5-1-1 ATS record, have cashed 4 of it's last 5 on the road and 6 of it's last 8 as chalk.
Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Dolphins at Jets
By Covers.com
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (+7, 42)
Geno Smith will step out of the revolving door to start at quarterback as the New York Jets host the Miami Dolphins in an AFC East matchup on Monday night. Smith, who has just one win in seven starts on the season, got the call from an apparent lame-duck coach Rex Ryan after Michael Vick struggled in another ugly performance for the Jets last week. Neither quarterback has made much of a difference for the Jets, who are ranked last in the league in passing.
Miami is trying to bounce back from a painful loss at Denver a week ago when it blew an 11-point lead in the fourth quarter. The Dolphins have little wiggle room in their playoff hunt that has basically come down to a quest for a wild card berth after losing touch in the division race to New England. The visiting team has won the past four games in the series.
LINE HISTORY: The Dolphins opened anywhere from -4.5 to -6 and are currently -7. The total opened 41.5 and is up a half-point.
INJURY REPORT: Dolphins - WR Mike Wallace (Probable, leg), CB Cortland Finnegan (Questionable, neck), TE Charles Clay (Questionable, leg), CB Jamar Taylor (Out, shoulder). Jets - TE Jace Amaro (Doubtful, concussion), DL Muhammad Wilkerson (Doubtful, toe).
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-40s and wind will blow toward the SE endzone at 6 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Dolphins (-5.25) - Jets (+6.25) + home field (-3.0) = Dolphins -8.5
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Three of Miami's last five games are against losing teams including the Jets twice. The Jets couldn't take advantage of the Buffalo situation and were blown out in Detroit. They host Miami Monday night and are 1-5 ATS last six home games." Covers Expert Matt Fargo.
ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS, 5-6 O/U): Although Miami is actually in 10th place in the AFC standings, it is just one game behind five teams battling for one of two wild card spots. Ryan Tannehill is having a fine sophomore season with 20 touchdown passes and he's second on the team with 276 yards rushing. Mike Wallace has caught a touchdown pass in his last three games against the Jets but he is dealing with a calf injury and has been outplayed lately by rookie Jarvis Landry, who leads the team with 49 receptions.
ABOUT THE JETS (2-9 SU, 2-8-1 ATS, 5-6 O/U): Ryan has been scratching his head trying to figure out who should start at quarterback and he's back to Smith, who went 10-for-12 in relief of Vick last week in a 38-3 loss against Buffalo. Smith lost his spot as starter a few weeks ago after throwing three interceptions on three straight possessions in a 43-23 loss to the Bills. New York will most likely be without rookie tight end Jace Amaro who is going through the NFL's concussion protocol, and defensive end Muhammad Wilkerson with a toe injury.
TRENDS:
* Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
* Under is 7-1 in Dolphins last eight games in December.
* Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
COVERS CONSENSUS: According to Covers Consensus, 72 percent of bettors are backing the Dolphins.
MNF - Dolphins at Jets
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
The AFC playoff picture continues to tighten up heading into December as the Bills and Chargers both picked up crucial victories on Sunday to complicate matters. The Dolphins knocked off both Buffalo and San Diego at home in November, as Miami is right in the mix looking to avoid a letdown with a trip to Met Life Stadium on Monday against the disappointing Jets.
Miami (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS) has lost three games this season with the lead in the fourth quarter, falling to eventual playoff squads Green Bay, Detroit, and Denver. The most recent defeat came to Peyton Manning and the Broncos last Sunday in a 39-36 setback, but the Dolphins covered as 6 ½-point underdogs. Miami led by 11 points three times (14-3, 21-10, 28-17), but the Broncos kept rallying back until finally taking their first lead with five minutes left in regulation at 32-28. Ryan Tannehill connected with rookie Jarvis Landry on a pair of touchdowns, including a one-yard strike with one minute remaining to secure a cover.
The Jets (2-9 SU, 2-8-1 ATS) couldn’t follow up a Week 10 upset of the Steelers, as New York was blown out for the second time by Buffalo this season last Monday night. Rex Ryan’s team traveled to Detroit due to the inclement weather in Buffalo, but the Jets were the team that looked disoriented in a 38-3 blowout loss as short 2½-point underdogs. The short-lived Michael Vick experiment went up in flames, as the former Falcons’ standout threw for just 76 yards and was intercepted once prior to being pulled in favor of Geno Smith, who is set to start against the Dolphins.
Smith has been a part of only one victory in eight starts for the Jets this season, while throwing 10 interceptions to just seven touchdowns. New York has covered only twice in 2014, as the Jets have put together a 1-5 ATS mark at Met Life Stadium. Since 2012, the Jets are 5-5 ATS as a home underdog, but have lost each of the past two home meetings with the Dolphins, which includes a 23-3 defeat exactly one year ago.
However, the Jets bounced the Dolphins from playoff contention in Week 17 of last season at Sun Life Stadium, 20-7 as 7½-point underdogs. Smith threw for just 190 yards, but ran in the go-ahead touchdown from seven yards out before halftime to give New York a 14-7 advantage. Nick Folk kicked a pair of field goals to put the game out of hand, while the Jets’ defense picked off Tannehill three times as both teams finished 2003 with an 8-8 record.
The importance of this game for Joe Philbin’s squad is paramount with five games remaining inside the AFC Wild Card race. The Dolphins are one-half game behind Buffalo, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Kansas City, and Cleveland (all who are 7-5), while San Diego has come back to life with three straight victories for an 8-4 mark. For tiebreaker purposes, the Dolphins have beaten the Chargers, split with the Bills, and lost to the Chiefs, as five of these teams will not qualify for the postseason.
The Jets have struggled on offense this season, but their rushing defense continues to play well, allowing 86.2 yards a game, which is third-best in the league. Miami's ground game seemed nearly non-existent last season (90 yards a game), but the Dolphins have rushed for 124.5 yards a game this season, which is 10th in the NFL.
The Dolphins own a 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS record away from South Florida, which includes a neutral-site blowout of the Raiders in London back in Week 4. Miami has taken care of its business on the highway against under .500 squads, beating both the Bears and Jaguars by double-digits, while allowing 20 points or less in four of six away contests.
Since 2010, Miami is winless in five Monday night appearances, with its last victory under the Monday spotlight coming against the Jets back in 2009. Last season, the Dolphins lost a pair of Monday night affairs on the road, falling at New Orleans and Tampa Bay, as Miami last picked up a road triumph on a Monday way back in 1999 in the opening week at Denver.
The Jets are appearing on a Monday night for the third time this season and the second straight week. Last season, Smith led the Jets past the Falcons, 30-28 in the team’s only Monday night showing as 10-point underdogs, while the previous home victory on a Monday for New York came against this Miami squad in 2011.
The ‘over’ has hit in 10 of 14 Monday night games, while road teams have won four of the previous six on Mondays. Home underdogs have struggled to close out the week, posting a 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS record, as the Chiefs were the lone home ‘dog to win outright on a Monday this season back in Week 4 against the Patriots.
The Dolphins are currently listed as seven-point road favorites at most spots, while several 6½’s are hanging around. The total is set between 41½ and 42 across the board, as temperatures are expected to be in the mid 30’s with no rain. The game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and can be seen on ESPN.
Jets look to play spoilers
By Sportsbook.ag
MIAMI DOLPHINS (6-5) at NEW YORK JETS (2-9)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Miami -6, Total: 41.5
The Dolphins look to stay alive in the AFC playoff race with a road win over the division rival Jets on Monday night.
Miami was unable to upset the Broncos in Denver last week, losing 39-36 but it did cover the spread for the fifth time in the past six games. New York, meanwhile, will come into this one after unexpectedly playing a Monday night game against the Bills in Detroit. The Jets were blown out 38-3 in that game to drop their ATS record to 2-8-1 this year.
The most recent meeting in this series was a 20-7 victory for the Jets as 7.5-point underdogs in Miami on Dec. 29, 2013, but the Dolphins are 5-1 SU and ATS when visiting the Jets since 2008. New York is 2-10 ATS off a division game over the past three seasons and 2-8 ATS in all games this season. The Dolphins, meanwhile, are 39-22 ATS in road games after covering the spread in two out of their previous three contests since 1992.
CBs Cortland Finnegan (ankle) and Jamar Taylor (shoulder), and TE Charles Clay (knee) are questionable for Miami in this contest, while DT Muhammad Wilkerson (toe) and TE Jace Amaro (concussion) are questionable for New York. Jets QB Michael Vick (wrist, ankle) is likely healthy enough to play, but QB Geno Smith was announced as the starter.
The Dolphins were close to pulling off an upset against the Broncos last week and QB Ryan Tannehill (2,582 pass yards, 20 TD, 8 INT) was very impressive in keeping his team toe-to-toe with Peyton Manning’s squad. Tannehill threw for 228 yards with three touchdowns and one interception in the game. He has now had a passer rating of over 100 in three of the past four games, and will be up against potentially the worst secondary in football on Monday.
One player who has really stepped up his game for Miami is rookie WR Jarvis Landry (49 rec, 450 yards, 5 TD). Landry had his best game of the season against Denver, catching seven passes for 50 yards and two touchdowns. He’s now caught at least five passes in each of the past four games and has totaled four touchdowns in those games as well. He’ll have no problem getting open against the New York defense.
Defensively, the Dolphins are a very tough team to play against. They struggled against the Broncos last week, but are still allowing just 211.7 passing yards per game (4th in NFL) and 104.2 rushing yards per game (11th in NFL). The Jets offense is miserable and the Dolphins will look to cause a lot of turnovers in this one.
After last week’s loss to the Bills, there is again a controversy at the quarterback position for the Jets. While veteran Michael Vick (604 pass yards, 3 TD, 2 INT) is likely the better option, New York will start second-year QB Geno Smith (1,459 pass yards, 7 TD, 10 INT) on Sunday, and he could be in for a long day against a very good Dolphins secondary.
The Jets would be wise to pound away with both RBs Chris Ivory (579 rush yards, 5 TD) and Chris Johnson (400 rush yards, 1 TD), because even though the Dolphins are not bad at defending the run, they are far better stopping the pass. The Jets will likely try to wear this defense out with a lot of interior rushes in this game and they’ll do their best to stop the Dolphins’ air attack.
The Jets defense is still allowing just 86.2 rushing yards per game (4th in NFL), but it’s the passing game which has given them problems all season long. This team is thin at the cornerback position and they just lack the talent required to stop some of today’s most potent offenses. The Jets gave up 38 against the Bills last game and will really need to find a way to make Ryan Tannehill uncomfortable in the pocket or he will absolutely pick them apart. The potential loss of DT Muhammad Wilkerson (49 tackles, 4.5 sacks) would be devastating for this defense if he does not play.
Dolphins vs. Jets Betting Preview and Pick
By: Michael Robinson
Sportingnews.com
The Jets will be coming full circle at quarterback when they host the Dolphins at MetLife Stadium on Monday Night Football (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN).
The Jets got blown out 38-3 by Buffalo last Monday in a game moved to Detroit due to bad weather. They’ve decided to go back to original starter Geno Smith after Mike Vick got the nod in the last three. It’s a surprising move, one possibly made by general manager John Idzik, and not head coach Rex Ryan.
Line: Dolphins -6.5, Total: 42
Line movement: The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened the Dolphins as 4-point road favorites and is now up to -6.5. A few Vegas sports books are still at -6. The total opened at 41.5 and is up to 42. For updated spreads and totals from around Las Vegas, visit our live odds page.
Trends that matter: New York is 1-5 ATS at home this year.
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last six games. The UNDER went 5-1 in those contests.
The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the teams.
Miami is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven games at the Jets.
Smith back at quarterback: The Jets’ (2-9 SU and 2-8-1 ATS) offense has been pretty bad no matter who has been under center, ranking 30th in the league in scoring (16.1 PPG) and last in passing (173.7 YPG).
It’s hard to imagine the Jets opening up the offense this week with Smith, even with nothing to lose and Miami hurting at cornerback with Cortland Finnegan and backup Jamal Taylor both possibly out. Reserve Will Davis was lost earlier in November.
New York will likely feature its run game (136.5 YPG, ranked fifth) with Chris Ivory and Chris Johnson, plus Smith also has the ability to break containment on this good Miami pass rush and head downfield.
Miami flying under the radar: The Dolphins (6-5 SU and 7-4 ATS) have played very good football in their last eight games (5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS). Their five wins were by an average margin of 20.2 points, and the three losses by just 3.3 points against tough teams in Green Bay, Detroit and Denver.
Quarterback Ryan Tannehill doesn’t throw for a ton of yards, but has 16 touchdowns versus six interceptions in the last eight games, and has had at least a 104.9 rating in five of them.
The Jets rank seventh in the NFL in total defense (324.8 YPG), but can be thrown on and will be without their best defensive player in lineman Muhammad Wilkerson.
Injuries that matter: New York’s Wilkerson (toe) and tight end Jace Amaro (concussion) have been ruled out.
Miami cornerbacks Finnegan (ankle) and Taylor (shoulder) are both questionable, as is tight end Charles Clay (knee).
Weather: The forecast calls for a chance of rain and the temperature around 40 degrees. Visit nflweather.com for the latest forecast.
The Linemakers lean: Brian Blessing credits Dolphins head coach Joe Philbin for keeping his team playing hard despite some tough losses this season. He also warns bettors to remember that this is a game between two division rivals, and he doesn't expect the Jets -- as poorly as they've played this season -- to lay down against the 'Fins. He has a slight lean to the Jets, but really likes this contest to stay UNDER the total. Richie Baccellieri agrees with the UNDER, but explains that the team that has covered has also won in each of the last eight meetings. He doesn't like the Jets to win or cover, and will instead lay the points with Miami.